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Indonesia
Liga 1
Round 29

Persita vs Bali United Prediction & Betting Tips

23 Apr 2026
0 - 1
Full Time
Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua, Tangerang
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Both Teams Score
Yes
0 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

41%
26%
33%
Persita Draw Bali United
Match Result
Persita
41%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams Score
Yes
55%
Double Chance
Home/Away
36%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
9 min read

The upcoming encounter between Persita and Bali United promises to be a pivotal moment in the race for mid-table stability within Liga 1. With both teams sitting just outside the playoff zone, every point carries significant weight as the season enters its critical phase. Persita, currently in seven...

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Persita
Persita have received 5 red cards in 34 matches this season
Persita have scored all 5 penalties this season
Persita failed to score in 15 of 34 matches (44%)
Persita score 31% of their goals after the 75th minute (11 goals)
Persita have lost 7 of 17 home matches (41%)
Bali United
Bali United have scored all 6 penalties this season
Bali United have received 4 red cards in 34 matches this season
Bali United concede 33% of goals after the 75th minute (16 goals)
Bali United score 32% of their goals after the 75th minute (18 goals)
Bali United score 66% of their goals in the second half

Key Statistics

1
4 Draws
6
2.27 Avg Goals
45% BTTS
36% Over 2.5
23 Apr 2026 Persita 0-1 Bali United
25 Oct 2025 Bali United 0-0 Persita
2 Mar 2025 Bali United 1-1 Persita
20 Oct 2024 Persita 0-1 Bali United
30 Apr 2024 Persita 4-2 Bali United
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst

Persita vs Bali United: A Crucial Clash in the Mid-Table Battle

The upcoming encounter between Persita and Bali United promises to be a pivotal moment in the race for mid-table stability within Liga 1. With both teams sitting just outside the playoff zone, every point carries significant weight as the season enters its critical phase. Persita, currently in seventh place with 41 points, hold a slight advantage over Bali United, who sit 10th with 36 points. However, the gap is narrow enough to suggest that this fixture could have long-term implications on both clubs’ ambitions.

The match will take place at the Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua, a venue that has historically been a source of comfort for home teams. Persita's strong form at home, combined with their better position in the table, may give them a psychological edge heading into the game. On the other hand, Bali United’s consistent performances throughout the season mean they remain a dangerous opponent, capable of causing disruption even against stronger sides. The outcome could influence not only the immediate standings but also the confidence levels of both teams moving forward.

Betting markets are likely to reflect the close nature of this contest, with odds favoring Persita slightly due to their superior position. However, factors such as recent form, tactical approaches, and team motivation will play crucial roles in determining the result. For fans and punters alike, this match represents more than just three points—it’s a statement of intent in a tightly contested league.

Persita vs Bali United - Form Analysis

Persita enters this encounter with a mixed run of form, having recorded two wins, one loss, and two defeats in their last five matches. Their average goal output stands at 1.4 per game, indicating a reasonably effective attack, though they have struggled to maintain consistency. Defensively, they have been more reliable, conceding just 0.9 goals on average, which reflects a solid backline. However, their clean sheet record is modest at 20%, suggesting that while they can keep a shutout, it’s not a frequent occurrence. The team has managed a 30% chance of both sides scoring, which implies a balanced approach but also some vulnerability in defense.

Bali United, by contrast, presents a different picture. They have had a slightly better recent run, with four wins, three draws, and three losses over their last ten games. Their attacking prowess is more evident, as they score 1.9 goals per game on average, significantly higher than Persita's rate. This suggests a more dynamic and creative front line. However, their defensive record is less impressive, allowing 1.4 goals per game, which places them at a disadvantage compared to their opponents. Despite this, their clean sheet percentage is notably higher at 40%, showing that they can organize well when required.

In terms of overall performance, Bali United holds a slight edge in form comparison, with a 57% rating versus Persita’s 43%. This difference is largely attributed to their stronger attacking capabilities, which account for 62% of their performance metric, compared to Persita’s 38%. On the defensive side, Persita outperforms Bali United, with a 63% rating against the latter’s 38%. This indicates that while Bali United can create chances, they often struggle to contain opposition attacks effectively.

The contrasting styles between these two teams could lead to an intriguing matchup. Persita’s focus on maintaining a compact defense may limit Bali United’s ability to exploit space, but their own lack of consistent goal-scoring could hinder their chances of securing a win. Meanwhile, Bali United’s attacking strength gives them the potential to break down Persita’s defense, although their own defensive frailties might allow Persita to capitalize on set pieces or counterattacks. The outcome will likely depend on how each team manages their respective strengths and weaknesses throughout the game.

Tactical Preview: How Persita and Bali United Will Approach the Match

Persita, currently sitting in 7th place with 41 points, have shown a balanced approach this season, scoring 35 goals while conceding 26. Their defensive record is solid, with seven clean sheets, suggesting a structured backline that limits opposition chances. While their formation isn’t specified, their performance indicates a preference for compactness and quick transitions. The team likely aims to maintain possession in midfield, using width to stretch Bali United’s defense. However, their relatively low goal tally compared to their attacking rivals suggests they may struggle against high-pressing opponents who disrupt their build-up play.

Bali United, in contrast, occupy 10th place with 36 points, but their attack has been more prolific, netting 41 goals. With nine clean sheets, their defense has proven resilient at times, though their higher number of conceded goals shows vulnerability in certain situations. Their formation, although unspecified, appears to prioritize offensive intensity, with a focus on creating chances through wide play and overlapping fullbacks. This style could create problems for Persita if their midfield lacks the discipline to contain quick counterattacks. However, Bali United’s reliance on individual flair might leave them exposed if Persita can limit space and force errors in their final third.

The tactical battle between these two sides will revolve around control of midfield and transition phases. Persita’s ability to absorb pressure and break quickly could neutralize Bali United’s attacking threats, while Bali United’s numerical advantage in forward areas may provide opportunities to exploit gaps. Both teams will need to manage their respective strengths—Persita’s defensive organization and Bali United’s attacking depth—to gain an edge in what promises to be a closely contested encounter.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head record between Bali United and Persita shows a slight edge for Bali United, having won five out of the last ten encounters. The rivalry has been closely contested, with four draws and one victory for Persita. This balance suggests that both teams have shown resilience and competitiveness against each other, making any upcoming clash unpredictable.

In terms of attacking play, the average of 2.4 goals per game indicates that matches between these two sides tend to be open and entertaining. The 50% BTTS (both teams to score) rate further supports this notion, as it highlights the tendency for both teams to find the back of the net. However, there have been moments where defensive solidity has played a key role, such as the goalless draw on 2025-10-25, which showcased the potential for tight, low-scoring affairs.

Looking at specific results, Bali United's 3-0 win in 2023 and their 1-1 draw in March 2025 show a pattern of strong performances, while Persita’s 4-2 victory in April 2024 demonstrates their ability to dominate when in form. These contrasting outcomes suggest that team form and tactical adjustments could heavily influence the outcome of future fixtures. Bookmakers will likely take this into account when setting odds, with the result potentially leaning towards either side depending on current conditions.

Persita vs Bali United Betting Analysis

Persita currently sit in 7th place in Liga 1 with 41 points from 27 games, having secured 12 wins, five draws, and 10 losses. Bali United, on the other hand, occupy 10th position with 36 points from the same number of matches, recording nine wins, nine draws, and nine losses. This suggests that both teams have had inconsistent performances throughout the season, but Persita’s higher position indicates a slight edge in form. The home advantage at Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua could play a significant role, as teams often perform better in familiar environments. However, Bali United has shown resilience in away games, making it difficult to predict a clear winner based solely on league positions.

The odds suggest a 35% confidence level for a Persita win, which aligns with their superior standing in the table. However, the margin is relatively narrow, indicating that the market sees little difference between the two sides. A draw is also a strong possibility, supported by the 70% confidence in the double chance 1X. Both teams have struggled to maintain consistency, and the likelihood of a low-scoring game should not be overlooked. With only one point separating them in the standings, any result is possible, and bettors should consider the potential for a tactical battle rather than a high-scoring encounter.

The total goals over 2.5 is given a 57% confidence rating, suggesting a moderate belief that the match will produce more than two goals. While neither team has been prolific in front of goal, their recent fixtures show some attacking intent. Persita has scored 27 goals in 27 games, while Bali United has netted 25. These figures indicate that both teams can create chances, though defensive solidity may limit the overall tally. The over 2.5 line offers reasonable value, especially considering the lack of definitive form from either side. Bookmakers may have slightly underestimated the potential for a more open game, particularly if both teams adopt an attacking approach to secure crucial points.

The BTTS (both teams to score) option carries a 64% confidence rating, reflecting the belief that both sides will find the back of the net. Persita has kept 11 clean sheets this season, while Bali United has managed 10. Despite these numbers, there is still room for scoring, as both teams have faced challenges in maintaining defensive discipline. The fact that they are separated by just one point means that both may push forward more aggressively, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals. This makes the BTTS market an attractive proposition, especially for those looking for a balanced outcome where neither side dominates completely. The combination of these predictions highlights a match that could go either way, with several betting options offering value depending on the preferred strategy.

Persita vs Bali United – Final Prediction Summary

Persita enter the match in a stronger position within the Liga 1 table, sitting seventh with 41 points compared to Bali United's 36 points for tenth place. This gap suggests that Persita may have the edge in terms of form and motivation, particularly given their higher win percentage. However, Bali United has shown resilience with nine wins and nine draws, indicating they can offer resistance. The home advantage at Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua could further tip the scales in Persita’s favor, as teams often perform better in familiar surroundings.

The betting model favors a Persita victory with 35% confidence, supported by the high probability of over 2.5 goals (57%) and both teams scoring (64%). A double chance on 1X also reflects the likelihood of Persita securing a result, either through a win or draw. These factors suggest that while Bali United is not without threat, Persita’s positioning and recent performance make them the more reliable choice in this encounter.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59 22 +37 79
2 Pusamania Borneo 34 25 4 5 74 31 +43 79
3 Persija 34 22 5 7 65 29 +36 71
4 Persebaya Surabaya 34 16 10 8 61 35 +26 58
5 Bhayangkara FC 34 16 5 13 53 45 +8 53
6 Malut United 34 15 8 11 68 53 +15 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44 37 +7 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57 48 +9 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53 47 +6 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38 37 +1 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43 44 -1 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42 61 -19 39
13 Persijap 34 9 9 16 31 45 -14 36
14 Persepam Madura Utd 34 9 8 17 37 54 -17 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39 49 -10 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39 59 -20 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22 65 -43 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31 95 -64 18
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Persita
LDLLW
10Played
2Wins
1Draws
7Losses
Points/Game0.7
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.1
Scored Avg0.7
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score60%

Recent Matches

23 MayLvs Persis Solo1-3
16 MayDat Malut United1-1
10 MayLvs Persijap0-3
5 MayLat Pusamania Borneo0-2
30 AprWat PSIM Yogyakarta1-0
Bali United
WWLLW
10Played
6Wins
0Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.8
Win %60%
Goals/Game3.6
Scored Avg2.2
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

22 MayWat Dewa United1-0
17 MayWvs Bhayangkara FC4-1
11 MayLvs Pusamania Borneo2-3
5 MayLat Persepam Madura Utd0-2
27 AprWvs PSM Makassar2-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches11
Average Goals2.27
BTTS45%
Over 2.5 Goals36%
Over 1.5 Goals64%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Persita90.82 per game
Bali United161.45 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Persita2 (18%)
Bali United6 (55%)
23 Apr 2026 Liga 1 Persita 0-1 Bali United
25 Oct 2025 Liga 1 Bali United 0-0 Persita
2 Mar 2025 Liga 1 Bali United 1-1 Persita
20 Oct 2024 Liga 1 Persita 0-1 Bali United
30 Apr 2024 Liga 1 Persita 4-2 Bali United
30 Oct 2023 Liga 1 Bali United 3-0 Persita
7 Mar 2023 Liga 1 Bali United 1-1 Persita
5 Dec 2022 Liga 1 Persita 2-3 Bali United
17 Jan 2022 Liga 1 Bali United 2-0 Persita
24 Sep 2021 Liga 1 Persita 1-2 Bali United
1 Mar 2020 Liga 1 Bali United 0-0 Persita

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