Jadwal 13 November 2026 menyajikan 48 pertandingan dari kompetisiUEFA Nations League,respectiveTurnamenPersahabatan, hinggaseveral Liga eropa. Gambaran prediksi cukup jelas: 33 laga diperkirakan dimiti tim tuan rumah, 14 policing,in favor of the visiting team, dan hanya satu yang bernilai taruh serinya. Pada bagian Taruhan Nilai, sorry Holland Against Greece, Dijon Against Orleans, and
Swansea University Against
Treowen Stars, receive recognition because of the balance between model confidence and pricing. Pada intinya, pola tersebut menunjukkan bahwa advantage выступа home-field and fixture-specific conditions masih menjadi faktor paling dominan dalam model.
Pilihan dengan keyakinan tertinggi adalah Singapore melawan Paraguay. Percentage 88 persen and odds 1,05 for the away team create an almost one-sided market. Brazil U20 Against Peru U20 is next at 84 percent, followed by Skotlandia Against
FYR Macedonia at 79 percent and
Chinese Taipei Against Kyrgyzstan at 79 percent. The issue is not whether these picks can win, but whether the available price still leaves enough room for the bet to make sense. Very short prices generally offer limited upside when the margin between model probability and market expectation is small.
That is why the value selections are more interesting than simply choosing the safest favorites. Netherlands Against Greece, Dijon Against Orleans, and Swansea University Against Treowen Stars stand out because their combination of model confidence and quoted price ranks above some shorter-priced selections. The draw market is much less prominent: Moldova Against Kazakhstan is the sole match assigned a draw prediction, at only 29 percent. Even there, the away price of 2,40 remains a meaningful alternative to the 2,90 draw quote.
Throughout this analysis, percentages represent the model’s probability estimate, while odds represent the quoted price. A high-confidence prediction can still offer poor value if the market has already priced in the same conclusion. Conversely, a moderately confident result may be more useful when the corresponding odds are less compressed. All recommendations are for the 1X2 market and should be treated as probabilistic assessments rather than certain outcomes.
Prediksi Kemenangan Tim Tuan Rumah
Brazil U20 Against Peru U20: Keyakinan 84 Persen dan Odds 1,05
Brazil U20 Against Peru U20 offers the strongest home selection in the
International Friendlies group, with 84 percent model confidence and an odds quote of 1,05. The very low price shows that the market is highly aligned with the model, but the small downside compared with many home favorites comes from the strength of that shared conviction. A 1,05 return requires a high strike rate for the bet to remain profitable.
The analytical appeal lies in the unusually large separation between the leading probability and the alternatives. Peru U20 is assigned 16 for the home side’s principal challenger, while the draw and away prices are both much higher at 10 and 16. That structure indicates a match projected as decisive rather than balanced. At such a compressed price, however, the pick is best treated as the strongest directional outcome rather than a standalone high-margin wager.
Skotlandia Against FYR Macedonia: Keyakinan 79 Persen
Skotlandia Against FYR Macedonia is projected at 79 percent for the home result, with odds of 1,12. The margin over the draw, offered at 6,50, and the away price of 12, reinforces the model’s expectation of a controlled home performance. FYR Macedonia is not assigned a meaningful chance of overturning the result, while the draw also remains outside the central scenario.
The short 1,12 price limits the possible return, but the 79 percent probability creates a solid base for bettors who prioritize outcome identification. This is different from choosing solely by the shortest price: Scotland combines an 79 percent forecast with a market that still demands a fairly definite home result. The pick is stronger than many 1X2 options priced near 1,20 because the projected probability is substantially higher.
Coleraine FC Against Portadown: Keyakinan 77 Persen
Coleraine FC Against Portadown offers a 77 percent home probability and odds of 1,14. Portadown’s draw price at 6 and away price at 8,50 show that the market sees this as a one-sided Premiership contest. The home side has a substantial advantage in the model’s distribution of possible results.
At 1,14, the return remains relatively restrained, so the recommendation depends on the reliability of the 77 percent estimate rather than a large price anomaly. Coleraine’s projected probability is 20 percentage points above the implied break-even level associated with the quoted price. That gap supports the pick even though the market has already shortened the home option. It is one of the cleaner combinations of high confidence and identifiable market structure in the
Northern Ireland slate.
Slovakia Against Faroe Islands: Odds 1,23 dengan Keyakinan 70 Persen
Slovakia Against
Faroe Islands is projected to finish with a home win 70 percent of the time. The available odds of 1,23 are higher than those attached to several 88-to-77 percent selections, yet the forecast remains firm enough to support the home outcome. Faroe Islands is priced at 7,50, while the draw stands at 4,50, placing both alternatives well outside the model’s preferred result.
This fixture illustrates why probability and price should be assessed together. A 1,23 quote on a 70 percent projection creates a more useful balance than a much shorter price on an almost certain favorite, particularly if the quote is available before the market compresses further. The principal risk is that the 30 percent combined chance of a draw or away result is not negligible, so the stake should reflect the exact 1X2 proposition rather than a general “home team to win” narrative.
Denbigh Town Against Gresford Athletic: Keyakinan 70 Persen
Denbigh Town Against
Gresford Athletic is another 70 percent home selection, supported by odds of 1,25. The draw is offered at 4,75 and the away result at 5,38, so the model sees a clear separation between Denbigh Town and the other two possible outcomes. The combination of a 70 percent estimate and a price above 1,20 gives this
FAW Championship match a slightly less compressed profile than several international fixtures.
The important analytical point is that 1,25 still leaves the home selection priced as a strong favorite rather than an absolute certainty. With one quarter of the probability range assigned to a draw or Gresford Athletic victory, bettors should avoid treating the 70 percent forecast as a guarantee. Within the full slate, this is a coherent home pick whose value rests on both the strength of the probability estimate and the comparatively workable quoted price.
Glentoran Against Bangor: Odds 1,21 dan Keyakinan 69 Persen
Glentoran Against Bangor is projected at 69 percent for a home victory, with the home side available at 1,21. The draw price of 4,75 and Bangor price of 6,50 show that the market shares the model’s directional view but still allows for a meaningful minority outcome. Glentoran is favored, yet not with the same near-uniform certainty attached to the shortest prices in the list.
That distinction makes the match interesting for 1X2 bettors who do not want to chase prices of 1,05 or 1,10. The 69 percent probability is 21 points above the approximate break-even requirement implied by 1,21, indicating a comfortable cushion in the model’s assessment. The recommendation is strongest as a medium-confidence home pick, particularly when compared with alternatives carrying much shorter prices but only marginally higher confidence.
Spain U21 Against Jepang U21: Keyakinan 67 Persen dan Odds 1,25
Spain U21 Against Jepang U21 receives a 67 percent home probability and odds of 1,25. The alternatives are priced at 4,50 for a draw and 5,75 for Jepang U21, so the market identifies Spain U21 as the clear favorite without pricing the match as close to a certainty. The forecast is less forceful than those attached to the leading international picks, but the available price remains attractive relative to the degree of separation in the probability distribution.
This is a useful pick when seeking a higher-priced home outcome among the youth international fixtures. The 33 percent outside chance is broad enough to demand caution, but the home side still occupies the central position by a wide margin. Spain U21 therefore offers a balanced proposition: high confidence, clear market alignment and a price that does not demand near-perfect execution.
Llaneros Against Chico: Keyakinan 67 Persen pada Odds 1,26
Llaneros Against Chico is projected to produce a home win 67 percent of the time, with odds of 1,26. Chico is offered at 7 and the draw at 4,33, so the alternative outcomes have noticeably lower implied chances than the home side. The model and market agree on the direction of the fixture, while the quoted price leaves a slightly more visible return than the very shortest favorites.
The 67 percent estimate gives Llaneros a strong position without eliminating the possibility of an upset. For a pure 1X2 strategy, this is preferable to paying a lower price for a forecast that is only marginally stronger. The key analytical question is whether the combination of a 67 percent rating and 1,26 price remains intact before wagering, because any shortening of the quote would reduce the comparative appeal of the selection.
Prediksi Kemenangan Tim Tandang
Singapore Against Paraguay: Keyakinan 88 Persen, Odds 1,05
Singapore Against Paraguay is the most emphatic result prediction in the entire 48-match slate. Paraguay receives 88 percent confidence and an odds quote of 1,05, compared with 23,50 for Singapore and 10 for a draw. Such an extreme probability gap makes the direction exceptionally clear, even if the 1,05 price leaves little room for error or for the bettor to earn a substantial return.
The low 1,05 quote confirms that market expectations are almost entirely aligned with Paraguay. This is a maximum-conviction away selection rather than a value play. The main risk is not that the match is fundamentally unclear—it is that an extremely compressed price offers limited compensation if the model is wrong. Therefore, the outcome may be attractive for building a short-price parlay, while a standalone wager offers a comparatively thin margin.
Chinese Taipei Against Kyrgyzstan: Keyakinan 79 Persen
Chinese Taipei Against Kyrgyzstan is assigned a 79 percent away victory, with Kyrgyzstan available at 1,14. Chinese Taipei is quoted at 8,50 and the draw at 6,50, confirming that Kyrgyzstan occupies a dominant position in the market. The 65 percentage-point separation between the away probability and the home estimate gives the model a decisive directional structure.
Compared with the shortest away prices in the schedule, the 1,14 return offers slightly more visible upside while retaining a high 79 percent assessment. Kyrgyzstan therefore sits near the ideal intersection of confidence and price. The pick still carries a meaningful 21 percent chance of not producing an away win, but that is much less uncertainty than the fixtures projected at 50 percent or lower.
Serbia Against Jerman: Keyakinan 75 Persen dan Odds 1,19
Serbia Against Jerman is forecast to end in an away victory 75 percent of the time. Jerman’s odds are 1,19, with Serbia at 7,75 and the draw at 6,25.