MexicoMexico
Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MX
Round 13

CDS Tampico Madero vs Venados FC Prediction & Betting Tips

5 Apr 2026
1-1
Full Time
Estadio Tamaulipas, Tampico-Ciudad Madero
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Over 2.5
1 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

55%
23%
22%
CDS Tampico MaderoDrawVenados FC
Match Result
CDS Tampico Madero
55%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams Score
Yes
56%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
39%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -1.00
@ 2.08
48%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
9 min read

The upcoming encounter between CDS Tampico Madero and Venados FC promises to be a pivotal moment in the race for survival within the Liga de Expansión MX. Both teams find themselves in the lower half of the table, with CDS Tampico Madero currently occupying the 9th position on 14 points and Venados ...

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Match Facts

CDS Tampico Madero
CDS Tampico Madero have scored in each of their last 8 matches
CDS Tampico Madero are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches
CDS Tampico Madero have received 8 red cards in 33 matches this season
CDS Tampico Madero have scored all 8 penalties this season
CDS Tampico Madero have drawn their last 3 league matches
Venados FC
Venados FC have conceded in each of their last 8 matches
Venados FC have received 6 red cards in 27 matches this season
Venados FC have scored all 5 penalties this season
Venados FC have won just 2 of 13 away matches this season
Venados FC scored in the first half in 10 of their last 15 matches (67%)
Venados FC failed to score in 8 of 27 matches (30%)

Key Statistics

CDS Tampico Madero1
3Draws
0Venados FC
1.75Avg Goals
75%BTTS
25%Over 2.5
5 Apr 2026CDS Tampico Madero1-1Venados FC
24 Oct 2025Venados FC1-1CDS Tampico Madero
18 Jan 2025Venados FC1-2CDS Tampico Madero
3 Aug 2024CDS Tampico Madero0-0Venados FC
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

CDS Tampico Madero vs Venados FC: A Crucial Clash in the Midtable Battle

The upcoming encounter between CDS Tampico Madero and Venados FC promises to be a pivotal moment in the race for survival within the Liga de Expansión MX. Both teams find themselves in the lower half of the table, with CDS Tampico Madero currently occupying the 9th position on 14 points and Venados FC sitting just below them in 13th with 11 points. With only a three-point gap separating them, this match could have significant implications for both sides as they look to climb the standings.

The venue, Estadio Tamaulipas, will play a key role in shaping the outcome, offering a home advantage that CDS Tampico Madero has yet to fully capitalize on this season. However, Venados FC's ability to secure results away from home could prove vital. The stakes are high, and with limited margin for error, both managers will be under pressure to deliver a performance that moves their respective positions up the league table.

Bettors will be watching closely as the odds reflect the tight nature of this contest. Bookmakers are likely to offer competitive lines on goals, clean sheets, and overall match outcomes, making this one of the more intriguing fixtures of the weekend. Whether it’s a defensive battle or a more open affair, fans can expect a hard-fought game with everything on the line.

Form Analysis

CDS Tampico Madero enters this encounter with a more consistent performance compared to their opponents, Venados FC. The team has shown signs of stability in recent matches, recording two draws, one win, one loss, and another win in their last five games. Their attacking prowess is evident from their average of 1.6 goals scored per game, which ranks them higher than Venados FC in the league. This suggests that they have the capability to create chances and convert them into goals, making them a threat on the offensive end.

Defensively, CDS Tampico Madero has maintained a solid record, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per game. They have managed to keep clean sheets in 20% of their matches, indicating a level of organization in their backline. This balance between attack and defense makes them a well-rounded side, capable of securing points against a variety of opponents. Their ability to score and defend effectively could prove crucial in this matchup.

In contrast, Venados FC has struggled with consistency, particularly in their attacking output. With an average of just 0.9 goals scored per game, they face challenges in creating meaningful opportunities. Their recent form includes a win followed by four consecutive losses, highlighting a lack of momentum. This inconsistency may affect their confidence and ability to perform under pressure. Additionally, their defensive record is slightly worse than CDS Tampico Madero's, as they concede 1.3 goals per game, suggesting vulnerabilities that can be exploited.

The disparity in form between the two teams is significant, with CDS Tampico Madero holding a 75% advantage over Venados FC. In terms of attack, CDS Tampico Madero outperforms their rivals by 73% to 27%, while defensively, they hold a narrow edge at 54% to 46%. These metrics indicate that CDS Tampico Madero is likely to dominate possession and control the tempo of the game. However, Venados FC must find ways to improve their attacking efficiency and strengthen their defense if they hope to secure a positive result.

Tactical Preview: CDS Tampico Madero vs Venados FC

CDS Tampico Madero enters the match with a solid defensive record, having kept nine clean sheets in 11 games. Their formation is likely to be a pragmatic 4-4-2, focusing on organization and counterattacking efficiency. With 38 goals scored, they have shown they can be effective going forward, but their reliance on set pieces and quick transitions may be key to breaking down opponents. The team’s midfield should aim to control possession and limit the opposition's ability to build from the back, particularly against a Venados side that has struggled defensively.

Venados FC, despite sitting in 13th place, have been more attacking in nature, scoring 45 goals but also conceding 48. Their formation could vary between a 4-3-3 and a 4-2-3-1, depending on the game plan. They tend to play wide, utilizing pace on the flanks to stretch defenses. However, their lack of discipline at the back—only two clean sheets—leaves them vulnerable to quick attacks. Against Tampico Madero, they may look to exploit any gaps left by the home side’s high press, though their own defensive structure needs improvement if they are to avoid another defeat.

The contrast in styles between the two sides presents an interesting dynamic. Tampico Madero’s emphasis on defense and transition may neutralize Venados’ attacking threats, while Venados’ willingness to push forward could create chances if they manage to break through the home side’s organized setup. Bookmakers have positioned Tampico as slight favorites, reflecting their stronger defensive record and home advantage. A low-scoring encounter is possible, especially if both teams prioritize avoiding mistakes over taking risks. However, Venados may need to adopt a more balanced approach to stay competitive, given their recent inconsistency in maintaining leads.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head record between Venados FC and CDS Tampico Madero shows a closely contested rivalry, with the last three matches producing a mix of draws and narrow victories. CDS Tampico Madero has secured one win, while Venados FC has managed two draws, indicating that neither team holds a clear advantage over the other. The average goal count per game stands at 1.67, suggesting that encounters between these sides tend to be low-scoring affairs. This trend aligns with the 67% probability of both teams scoring in their previous meetings, highlighting the competitive nature of their matchups.

In the most recent clash on October 24, 2025, Venados FC and CDS Tampico Madero played out a 1-1 draw, reflecting the balance in their performances. Earlier in the season, on January 18, 2025, CDS Tampico Madero emerged victorious with a 2-1 result, showcasing their ability to secure results against a resilient opponent. A prior meeting on August 3, 2024, ended in a goalless draw, further emphasizing the defensive resilience displayed by both teams. These results suggest that tactical discipline and strong backlines play a significant role in determining outcomes between the two clubs.

From a betting perspective, the historical data points toward a high likelihood of both teams finding the net in this encounter, given the consistent BTTS rate across their past meetings. However, the low average goals per game also indicate that clean sheets remain a possibility for either side. Bookmakers may set lines that reflect this duality, offering opportunities for punters to bet on Over/Under 1.5 goals or Both Teams to Score. With such a tight head-to-head record, fans and analysts alike will be watching closely to see if this pattern continues or if one team can finally gain the upper hand in their ongoing rivalry.

CDS Tampico Madero vs Venados FC Betting Analysis

The clash between CDS Tampico Madero and Venados FC presents a compelling betting opportunity, particularly given the current form and positioning of both teams within the Liga de Expansión MX. CDS Tampico Madero sit in 9th place with 14 points from nine games, having secured four wins, two draws, and five losses. Their home record is slightly stronger, as they have played at Estadio Tamaulipas, which could provide a psychological edge. Venados FC, on the other hand, occupy 13th position with just 11 points, reflecting a more inconsistent campaign. With only three wins and two draws, their performance has been lackluster, especially away from home. The 1.25 odds for a home win suggest strong favorability towards Tampico Madero, but it's worth noting that the implied probability of 59.2% leaves room for alternative outcomes.

The market for total goals favors the over 2.5 line at 56% confidence, which aligns with the general trend of the league where matches tend to see moderate scoring. Both teams have shown some attacking capability, though neither is known for high-scoring performances. CDS Tampico Madero’s defensive record is mixed, allowing 11 goals in nine games, while Venados FC has conceded 14 goals in the same number of fixtures. This suggests that there may be opportunities for both sides to find the back of the net, supporting the over 2.5 goal prediction. However, the fact that the bookmakers offer only a slight edge for this outcome indicates that it is not a clear-cut choice, making it a potential value bet if either team shows signs of increased aggression.

The double chance of 1X (home win or draw) carries a 40% confidence rating, which is lower than the individual match result prediction. This reflects the uncertainty surrounding Venados FC’s ability to secure a positive result. While the home side appears to have the upper hand, the draw remains a plausible outcome due to the inconsistency of both teams. A draw would also be supported by the relatively balanced odds for the draw itself at 3.75, which implies a 19.7% chance. The BTTS (both teams to score) market at 56% confidence further supports the idea that this match will likely feature action from both sides. Given the defensive vulnerabilities of both teams, it is reasonable to expect that neither will be able to shut out the opposition completely.

Conclusion and Final Prediction Summary

CDS Tampico Madero enters this encounter in a slightly better position than Venados FC, sitting two places above them in the table with three more points. However, both teams have struggled for consistency, with Tampico Madero winning only four of their first 11 matches and Venados FC managing just three wins. The home advantage at Estadio Tamaulipas could play a role, as Tampico Madero has shown some resilience on their own turf. Despite this, Venados FC’s lack of form and poor away record suggest they may find it difficult to secure a positive result.

The betting model favors a home win with 57% confidence, indicating that Tampico Madero is the most likely outcome. The over 2.5 goals market also holds promise, with 56% confidence, suggesting that the game could see a higher-than-average number of goals. A clean sheet for either side appears unlikely, given both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities. The double chance of 1X reflects the possibility of a draw, though the lower confidence level suggests it is less probable. Overall, the match looks set to favor the home side, but with a competitive edge that could lead to an entertaining contest.

Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1TepatitlánTepatitlán147522110+1126
2CancúnCancún147432417+725
3MonarcasMonarcas147251812+623
4CA La PazCA La Paz145722212+1022
5CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero146351515021
6Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas146351920-121
7TapatíoTapatío146262824+420
8Atlante FCAtlante FC145542117+420
9IrapuatoIrapuato146262724+320
10TlaxcalaTlaxcala145541617-120
11Venados FCVenados FC144462525016
12Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca144462029-916
13DoradosDorados143471728-1113
14Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat143381427-1312
15Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG142571525-1011
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

CDS Tampico Madero
DWWWW
10Played
6Wins
4Draws
0Losses
Points/Game2.2
Win %60%
Goals/Game2.2
Scored Avg1.5
Conceded Avg0.7
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

3 MayDat Cancún1-1
1 MayWvs Cancún2-1
26 AprWat CA La Paz2-1
23 AprWvs CA La Paz2-0
19 AprWvs Monarcas1-0
Venados FC
DWDWL
10Played
4Wins
2Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.4
Win %40%
Goals/Game3
Scored Avg1.7
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

18 AprDat Tlaxcala2-2
12 AprWvs Leones Negros UDG2-1
5 AprDat CDS Tampico Madero1-1
28 MarWvs Atlante FC4-1
21 MarLat Tepatitlán0-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches4
Average Goals1.75
BTTS75%
Over 2.5 Goals25%
Over 1.5 Goals75%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
CDS Tampico Madero41 per game
Venados FC30.75 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
CDS Tampico Madero1 (25%)
Venados FC1 (25%)
5 Apr 2026Liga de Expansión MXCDS Tampico Madero1-1Venados FC
24 Oct 2025Liga de Expansión MXVenados FC1-1CDS Tampico Madero
18 Jan 2025Liga de Expansión MXVenados FC1-2CDS Tampico Madero
3 Aug 2024Liga de Expansión MXCDS Tampico Madero0-0Venados FC