Round 41
Derby vs Stoke City Prediction & Betting Tips
Pride Park, Derby
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
DerbyDrawStoke City
Match Result
Home Win
45%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Match Facts
Derby have scored all 4 penalties this season
Derby have received 3 red cards in 39 matches this season
C. Morris has been involved in 10 goals (10G + 0A)
Stoke City have conceded in each of their last 8 matches
Stoke City have received 4 red cards in 39 matches this season
Stoke City concede 30% of goals after the 75th minute (13 goals)
S. Thomas has been involved in 15 goals (9G + 6A)
Stoke City failed to score in 14 of 39 matches (36%)
Key Statistics
4Draws
5
2.25Avg Goals
50%BTTS
58%Over 2.5
9 Aug 2025Stoke City3-1Derby
3 May 2025Derby0-0Stoke City
2 Nov 2024Stoke City2-1Derby
30 Dec 2021Stoke City1-2Derby
18 Sept 2021Derby2-1Stoke City
Additional Information
Top Scorers
C. MorrisAttacker
10Goals
P. AgyemangAttacker
9Goals
B. BreretonAttacker
3Goals
B. ClarkMidfielder
3Goals
L. SalvesenAttacker
3Goals
Top Assists
J. WardMidfielder
6Assists
C. ElderDefender
4Assists
P. AgyemangAttacker
3Assists
B. BreretonAttacker
3Assists
A. WeimannAttacker
3Assists
Cards
C. ElderDefender
70
E. AdamsAttacker
70
D. SandersonDefender
60
D. OzohMidfielder
60
L. TravisMidfielder
60
Top Scorers
S. ThomasMidfielder
9Goals
M. ManhoefMidfielder
5Goals
D. MubamaAttacker
5Goals
L. BakerMidfielder
4Goals
Bae Jun-HoMidfielder
1Goals
Top Assists
S. ThomasMidfielder
6Assists
Bae Jun-HoMidfielder
3Assists
M. ManhoefMidfielder
2Assists
L. CisséAttacker
2Assists
A. CresswellDefender
2Assists
Cards
J. TchamadeuDefender
100
B. PearsonMidfielder
81
Mohammed Olabosun LawalDefender
60
S. ThomasMidfielder
50
A. PhillipsDefender
50
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
WWLWW
10Played
6Wins
0Draws
4Losses
| Points/Game | 1.8 |
| Win % | 60% |
| Goals/Game | 2.8 |
| Scored Avg | 1.7 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.1 |
| BTTS | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
21 MarWvs Birmingham1-0
16 MarWat Portsmouth1-0
10 MarLat Millwall0-1
7 MarWvs Sheffield Wednesday2-1
28 FebWvs Blackburn3-1
LWDLL
10Played
2Wins
3Draws
5Losses
| Points/Game | 0.9 |
| Win % | 20% |
| Goals/Game | 3 |
| Scored Avg | 1.3 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.7 |
| BTTS | 70% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% |
| Failed to Score | 30% |
Recent Matches
20 MarLat Preston1-3
14 MarWvs Watford3-1
10 MarDvs Ipswich3-3
7 MarLat Swansea0-2
28 FebLat Coventry1-2
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 12 |
| Average Goals | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Derby | 13 | 1.08 per game |
| Stoke City | 14 | 1.17 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Derby | 4 (33%) |
| Stoke City | 5 (42%) |
9 Aug 2025ChampionshipStoke City3-1Derby
3 May 2025ChampionshipDerby0-0Stoke City
2 Nov 2024ChampionshipStoke City2-1Derby
30 Dec 2021ChampionshipStoke City1-2Derby
18 Sept 2021ChampionshipDerby2-1Stoke City
20 Mar 2021ChampionshipStoke City1-0Derby
12 Dec 2020ChampionshipDerby0-0Stoke City
31 Jan 2020ChampionshipDerby4-0Stoke City
17 Aug 2019ChampionshipStoke City2-2Derby
13 Mar 2019ChampionshipDerby0-0Stoke City
28 Nov 2018ChampionshipStoke City2-1Derby
28 Jan 2012FA CupDerby0-2Stoke City
