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Primeira LigaPrimeira Liga
Round 28

Nacional vs Estrela Prediction & Betting Tips

Nacional

Nacional

16th22 pts
4 Apr 2026
16:00
Estrela

Estrela

12th28 pts
Estádio da Madeira, Funchal
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Confidence
Do you agree with this prediction?

Betting Tips

10%
45%
45%
NacionalDrawEstrela
Match Result
Away Win
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Match Facts

Nacional
Nacional have lost 8 of 13 home matches (62%)
Nacional have conceded in each of their last 6 matches
Nacional have received 6 red cards in 26 matches this season
Nacional have scored all 5 penalties this season
C. Ramírez has scored 13 of Nacional's 29 goals (45%)
Nacional have won just 2 of 13 away matches this season
Estrela
Estrela have received 4 red cards in 26 matches this season
Estrela have scored all 4 penalties this season
Estrela failed to score in 11 of 26 matches (42%)
Estrela have won just 2 of 13 away matches this season
Estrela average 2.5 yellow cards per game (65 in 26 matches)

Key Statistics

Nacional2
2Draws
3Estrela
1.71Avg Goals
29%BTTS
14%Over 2.5
9 Nov 2025Estrela1-1Nacional
6 Apr 2025Nacional0-1Estrela
10 Nov 2024Estrela2-0Nacional
21 May 2023Estrela0-1Nacional
15 Jan 2023Nacional0-1Estrela
View all H2H matches

Additional Information

NacionalNacional

Top Scorers

C. Ramírez
C. RamírezAttacker
13Goals
Zé Vitor
Zé VitorDefender
4Goals
Léo Santos
Léo SantosDefender
3Goals
Paulinho Bóia
Paulinho BóiaAttacker
2Goals
José Gomes
José GomesDefender
1Goals

Top Assists

José Gomes
José GomesDefender
4Assists
Liziero
LizieroMidfielder
4Assists
Paulinho Bóia
Paulinho BóiaAttacker
2Assists
Zé Vitor
Zé VitorDefender
1Assists
Léo Santos
Léo SantosDefender
1Assists

Cards

Léo Santos
Léo SantosDefender
80
Zé Vitor
Zé VitorDefender
50
C. Ramírez
C. RamírezAttacker
40
Paulinho Bóia
Paulinho BóiaAttacker
40
Liziero
LizieroMidfielder
40
EstrelaEstrela

Top Scorers

No data

Top Assists

No data

Cards

No data

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Nacional
LLDLL
10Played
1Wins
2Draws
7Losses
Points/Game0.5
Win %10%
Goals/Game2.1
Scored Avg0.8
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score50%

Recent Matches

21 MarLat Famalicao0-1
15 MarLvs Estoril0-1
7 MarDat Moreirense1-1
28 FebLvs SC Braga1-2
21 FebLat Arouca0-3
Estrela
WLDDL
10Played
2Wins
3Draws
5Losses
Points/Game0.9
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.8
Scored Avg1
Conceded Avg1.8
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

20 MarWvs Casa Pia4-0
15 MarLat Rio Ave1-2
8 MarDvs GIL Vicente2-2
28 FebDat AVS0-0
20 FebLvs Tondela0-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches7
Average Goals1.71
BTTS29%
Over 2.5 Goals14%
Over 1.5 Goals43%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Nacional60.86 per game
Estrela60.86 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Nacional2 (29%)
Estrela4 (57%)
9 Nov 2025Primeira LigaEstrela1-1Nacional
6 Apr 2025Primeira LigaNacional0-1Estrela
10 Nov 2024Primeira LigaEstrela2-0Nacional
21 May 2023Segunda LigaEstrela0-1Nacional
15 Jan 2023Segunda LigaNacional0-1Estrela
16 Apr 2022Segunda LigaEstrela0-0Nacional
4 Dec 2021Segunda LigaNacional4-1Estrela