Ligue Professionnelle 1 Matchday 22 Review 2026: Surprises & Key Results

Round Summary: Goals, Drama, and Key Results

The 22nd matchday of the 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1 season was packed with drama, goals, and tactical battles that kept fans on edge. The weekend kicked off with Jeunesse Sportive Omrane pulling off a notable upset at home, edging out US Ben Guerdane 2-1. Stade Tunisien’s commanding 4-0 away win over Marsa stood out as a statement victory, demonstrating their growing consistency. ES Sahel’s narrow 1-0 win over AS Soliman underscored their resilience and strategic discipline. In a defensive stalemate, CA Bizertin and US Monastirienne played out a goalless draw, while CS Sfaxien reaffirmed their solid form with a 1-0 win. The most eye-catching result was Olympique Béja’s 0-3 defeat against ES Tunis, a match that highlighted the reigning champions’ dominance. Overall, the weekend offered a balanced mix of expected victories, tactical masterclasses, and surprising upsets that kept the title race and relegation battle alive.

Our Prediction Scorecard: Hits and Misses

Overall, our prediction accuracy stood at a commendable 75% for the 1X2 calls, reflecting solid analysis and understanding of the league’s current form. We correctly anticipated 6 out of 8 outcomes, with notable success on matches involving top-tier teams like ES Tunis, Club Africain, and CS Sfaxien, where confidence was high. However, some predictions missed the mark, particularly in the over/under and BTTS categories, which proved more volatile this round. The over/under predictions aligned only 50% with actual results, highlighting the league’s unpredictability in goal-scoring. Our BTTS calls fared slightly better at 75%, especially with matches like US Monastirienne vs. CA Bizertin, where we expected a clean sheet. The round’s mixed accuracy underscores the league’s competitive nature this season—expect more surprises as the season progresses.

Notable Results in Detail

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2-1 US Ben Guerdane

This result was a genuine shock, considering US Ben Guerdane’s recent form and league standing. Our prediction favored a draw or even an away win, but Omrane’s home advantage and tactical discipline paid off. The visiting side struggled to break down Omrane’s compact defense, and Omrane capitalized on set-pieces and counter-attacks. The win not only boosted Omrane’s morale but also complicated the relegation battle, proving that the league remains fiercely contested from top to bottom.

AS Marsa 0-4 Stade Tunisien

Stade Tunisien’s convincing 4-0 away victory was a key highlight. Our prediction leaned towards a closer game and even under 2.5 goals, but the visitors dismantled Marsa with clinical finishing and a relentless pressing game. This result underscores Stade Tunisien’s rise as a genuine contender, showing they can dominate both possession and set-piece situations. Marsa, meanwhile, faces mounting pressure as their defense continues to leak goals.

Olympique Béja 0-3 ES Tunis

The heavy defeat for Béja was emblematic of ES Tunis’s current form—clinical and disciplined. We predicted a win for ES Tunis, which turned out to be accurate, but the margin caught some off guard. Béja’s goal drought persisted, and ES Tunis’s attacking potency was on full display. This victory extended ES Tunis’s lead at the top and reaffirmed their status as the team to beat this season.

Biggest Surprises: Where Predictions Went Wrong

• Jeunesse Sportive Omrane’s win: Our forecast favored a more balanced or away result, but Omrane’s tactical setup and home advantage turned the tables.
• Over/Under predictions: The under 2.5 goals proved correct only half the time, reflecting the league’s unpredictable goal-scoring patterns this season.
• CA Bizertin vs. US Monastirienne: A goalless draw defied expectations, especially considering the attacking talent on both sides.

These surprises highlight that, despite thorough analysis, the league continues to be unpredictable, with tactical tweaks and momentary lapses dramatically affecting outcomes.

Best Calls: Where We Made the Right Predictions

• ES Sahel’s win: Correctly predicted their narrow 1-0 victory, showcasing their disciplined defensive setup against a resilient AS Soliman.
• CS Sfaxien’s narrow win: Our call for a 1-0 victory proved spot on, reflecting their effectiveness in tight matches.
• ES Tunis’s dominant away win: We predicted a comfortable victory for ES Tunis, which materialized convincingly.

These accurate calls are testament to the tactical acumen and data-driven insights that continue to guide our predictions.

Standings Impact: How the Round Changed the Table

The top of the table saw ES Tunis take a significant step forward, extending their lead to 47 points, closely followed by Club Africain and Stade Tunisien. ES Tunis’s decisive win widened the gap at the summit, intensifying the title race. Meanwhile, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane’s victory lifted them temporarily out of the relegation zone, although they remain in the lower half. The mid-table battle remains fierce, with US Monastirienne and ES Sahel solidifying their positions, but the relegation zone continues to be highly competitive. The league standings now look more fluid, with only a handful of points separating several teams, promising an exciting conclusion to the season.

Looking Ahead: What’s Next?

As the season approaches its final stages, the focus shifts to pivotal fixtures that could determine the champion and relegation candidates. Upcoming matches between top contenders like ES Tunis and Club Africain will be critical, while mid-table teams aim to secure safety. Injuries, tactical adjustments, and form will be key factors. Fans can also look forward to the continued battle for European qualification spots and the transfer window’s influence. Expect heightened intensity, tactical chess matches, and more surprises—this season’s unpredictability is set to continue.