NorwayNorway
EliteserienEliteserien
Round 13

Aalesund vs Molde Prediction & Betting Tips

11 Jul 2026
2-2
Full Time
Color Line Stadion, Aalesund
Next Meeting
Molde vs Aalesund
19 Sept · Eliteserien
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Asian Handicap
Molde -0.25
@ 1.41
2 : 2
FT
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Betting Tips

31%
23%
45%
AalesundDrawMolde
Match Result
Molde
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams Score
Yes
64%
Double Chance
Home/Away
38%
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.41
71%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
12 min read

Aalesund and Molde prepare to face each other at Color Line Stadion on Saturday, July 11 at 15:00 BST, with the visitors carrying significant momentum into Matchday 13 of the Eliteserien. Molde arrive in fifth position with 19 points from 11 matches, having won six of their last ten league fixtures ...

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Key Statistics

Aalesund3
1Draws
8Molde
2.92Avg Goals
33%BTTS
67%Over 2.5
11 Jul 2026Aalesund2-2Molde
16 May 2023Aalesund3-1Molde
3 May 2023Molde3-0Aalesund
18 Sept 2022Molde3-0Aalesund
16 May 2022Aalesund0-2Molde
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% Our Pick Win Rate
30+ Years Experience
16.2k Predictions Tracked
Aalesund vs Molde — match prediction & preview
Aalesund
WDDDL
Recent formvs
Molde
WLWDL

Molde Travel to Aalesund Seeking to Extend Winning Momentum at Color Line Stadion

Aalesund and Molde prepare to face each other at Color Line Stadion on Saturday, July 11 at 15:00 BST, with the visitors carrying significant momentum into Matchday 13 of the Eliteserien. Molde arrive in fifth position with 19 points from 11 matches, having won six of their last ten league fixtures and posted a sequence of results that reads WLWLW. Their recent form suggests a side building consistency as the season progresses, while their 19-point haul places them firmly in the upper half of the table with realistic ambitions of climbing further.

Aalesund occupy 13th place with 11 points from 11 games, a record of two wins, five draws and four defeats leaving them vulnerable to the lower reaches of the standings. Their form guide of DDWWL indicates some recent signs of resilience, yet the gap between themselves and Molde in the table tells its own story ahead of this encounter. With both clubs having enjoyed similar periods of rest since their previous outings, physical freshness should not be a differentiating factor when the action gets underway on Saturday afternoon.

The matchup presents a clear contrast in trajectories. Molde enter as the bookmaker's favourites, with Bet365 listing odds of 2.05 for a Molde victory, 3.7 for the draw and 3.2 for an Aalesund success. Whether Molde can convert their superior league position and recent results into three points on the road, or whether Aalesund can exploit home advantage to close the gap on the clubs above them, will define the narrative of this Eliteserien fixture.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Both Aalesund and Molde head into this Eliteserien encounter having found the net just once through their leading marksmen so far this season, suggesting an understated attacking threat from both camps. For Aalesund, forward K. Lonebu carries the primary goal-scoring responsibility as the club's sole top scorer with one strike. The visitors from Molde present a slightly more distributed threat, with midfielder E. Breivik and winger E. Hestad each accounting for one goal apiece, meaning Aalesund's defensive structure will need to account for multiple sources of danger rather than focusing on a single target man.

Aalesund are expected to set up in a 4-3-3 formation with K. Klaesson anchoring the defence behind a backline of E. Engqvist, P. Aukland, A. Hammer Kjelsen, and Ó. Guðmundsson. The midfield trio of M. Christensen, K. Nessø, and H. Hammer will be tasked with providing both defensive solidity and creative spark, while the attacking third features K. Lonebu, I. Djantou, and H. M. Reed. Molde, also operating from a 4-3-3 base, will likely field M. Kikkenborg between the posts with S. Kabini, B. Risa, S. Hansen, and H. Stenevik composing the defence. The midfield engine room of E. Breivik, J. Christensen, and E. Hestad will look to control the tempo, supporting the front three of K. Eriksen, F. Gulbrandsen, and the pacey Trent Toure Kone Doherty. These projected lineups reflect the players with the most appearances this season and should serve as a reliable guide to each side's likely approach, though substitutions and tactical adjustments during the match remain inevitable possibilities.

Contrasting Styles Set for Tactical Duel at Color Line Stadion

Saturday's encounter at Color Line Stadion pitches together two clubs occupying markedly different positions in the Eliteserien hierarchy. Molde travel north as the fifth-placed side with 19 points from 11 outings, while Aalesund prop up the division in 13th with just 11 points accumulated over the same span. The form guide reinforces this disparity: Molde arrive on the back of a sequence that reads WLWLW, suggesting a side hitting its stride, whereas Aalesund's recent run of DDWWL points toward incremental improvement despite their precarious standing.

Tactically, this fixture presents an intriguing clash of philosophies. Molde, as visitors with superior resources and league standing, are expected to assert territorial dominance and control the tempo through patient build-up play. Their three wins from the last five rounds indicate a side comfortable dictating proceedings, engineering chances through structured possession phases rather than direct routes. Aalesund, by contrast, are likely to prioritise defensive solidity and aim to disrupt Molde's rhythm through disciplined defensive shape and swift transitions when possession is won. The compactness of their midfield block will be crucial in limiting the space Molde's creative players can exploit between the lines.

The odds from Bet365 reflect this dynamic, with Molde priced at 2.05 for the home win compared to Aalesund's 3.20 and the draw at 3.70. Molde's numerical and technical advantages suggest they will monopolise possession, but Aalesund's need for points to pull away from the relegation zone injects an urgency that could make them more adventurous than their league position implies. Whether the hosts can sustain a disciplined defensive structure for the full 90 minutes against a Molde side with proven quality in breaking down organised defenses will likely determine which team leaves with all three points.

Aalesund Search for Consistency as Molde Aim to Extend Momentum at Color Line Stadion

Both sides arrive at this Matchday 13 encounter carrying distinctly different trajectories. Molde occupy fifth place with 19 points and enter the fixture on the back of a WLWLW sequence that has them positioned solidly in the upper half of the Eliteserien table. Their most recent victory came in imperious fashion, a 2-1 home win over Sandefjord that demonstrated their ability to grind out results when not at their clinical best. The win followed a narrow 1-2 defeat away to Sarpsborg 08 FF, a result that halted their momentum temporarily but was quickly resurrected with wins against Kristiansund BK (1-0 at home) and Bodo/Glimt (1-0 away), with the latter particularly impressive given the stature of the opposition.

Aalesund, by contrast, sit in 13th place with just 11 points and face an uphill battle to climb away from the relegation zone. Their recent form reads DDWWL, a sequence that illustrates the inconsistency plaguing their campaign. The good news for the home side is that they arrive on the back of back-to-back victories, having secured a 2-1 win over Brann and a thrilling 3-2 victory away to Rosenborg. Those results provided crucial breathing room after a 0-1 loss away to Sandefjord, though they have since followed up with consecutive draws against Ham-Kam (2-2 at home) and Tromso (1-1 away). The failure to convert those draws into wins has left them dangerously exposed near the foot of the table.

The contrast in defensive solidity presents a major talking point heading into this clash. Molde have kept clean sheets in 20% of their matches this season and concede an average of 1.3 goals per game, a record that underscores their organizational structure. They have proven capable of grinding out narrow victories, as seen in their recent 1-0 wins over both Kristiansund BK and Bodo/Glimt. Aalesund, meanwhile, have recorded zero clean sheets from their ten matches this term and ship an alarming 1.8 goals per game on average. Their vulnerability at the back has been exposed repeatedly, most recently in the 2-2 draw with Ham-Kam where they squandered a lead.

Attack-minded bettors will note that 80% of Aalesund's matches have featured both teams scoring, compared to 60% for Molde. While Aalesund's attack operates at a respectable 1.4 goals per match, their defensive deficiencies mean they rarely keep opponents at bay. Molde's superior scoring average of 1.6 goals per game, combined with Aalesund's porous backline, suggests the visitors should find the net with relative ease. The form comparison gives Molde a 53% advantage over Aalesund's 47%, with Molde holding a significant edge in defensive metrics (58% vs 42%) that could prove decisive in determining the outcome at Color Line Stadion.

Molde's Recent Dominance Over Neighbours Aalesund

The head-to-head record between these two Norwegian clubs tells a clear story of Molde's overwhelming superiority. Across the last 11 meetings, Molde have secured victory on 8 occasions, while Aalesund have managed only 3 wins. Remarkably, none of those 11 encounters have ended in a draw, making the prospect of a share of the spoils increasingly unlikely when these sides meet. The complete absence of stalemates speaks to the fiercely competitive nature of this rivalry, where one team tends to assert early dominance and see out the result.

Goal trends paint an interesting picture for potential Over/Under backers. The average goals per meeting stands at 2.82, suggesting consistently competitive rather than high-scoring affairs. Notably, both teams have failed to find the net in the majority of these encounters, with BTTS landing in just 27% of their previous meetings. This low BTTS percentage indicates that matches between Molde and Aalesund typically feature one side keeping a clean sheet rather than cagey back-and-forth battles.

Examining the most recent fixtures reveals a pattern of Molde comfortable victories punctuated by occasional Aalesund upsets. In May 2023, the clubs met twice within a fortnight, with Molde winning 3-0 in the first encounter before Aalesund responded emphatically with a 3-1 victory in the return fixture. Earlier in 2022, Molde recorded back-to-back 3-0 victories, demonstrating their capacity to dominate over 90 minutes when fully focused. The overall record suggests Molde enter every meeting as clear favourites, though Aalesund have proven capable of springing surprises on their day.

Molde Backed to Edge Past Struggling Aalesund

Aalesund prepare to face Molde at Color Line Stadion for Matchday 13 of the Eliteserien, with the hosts sitting 13th in the table on 11 points from two wins, five draws and four defeats. Molde occupy fifth position with 19 points from six victories, one draw and four losses, making them clear favourites heading into this encounter. The form guide strongly favours the visitors, who have accumulated more than double their opponents' points tally despite playing the same number of matches.

The match result odds of 2.10 for an away victory translate to an implied probability of approximately 43.5%, making Molde the logical selection in this market. Our prediction of a Molde win carries 46% confidence, reflecting the gap in league position and overall consistency between the two sides. The best available price for backing the visitors is 2.14 at 1xBet, offering slightly enhanced value compared to the standard odds on offer. For punters seeking greater security, the double chance 12 market provides coverage for either a Molde victory or a draw, though the 38% confidence in this particular market suggests the straight away win presents better value.

The over 2.5 goals market appears well-supported by both teams' attacking tendencies this season, with 62% confidence assigned to this selection. Molde's goal-scoring record demonstrates their capability in the final third, while Aalesund's defensive struggles have been evident throughout the campaign. The BTTS yes market carries 64% confidence, indicating a strong likelihood that both sides find the net during this encounter. Aalesund possess enough attacking quality to breach the Molde defence even in defeat, while the visitors' attacking prowess should ensure they create clear opportunities regardless of the hosts' defensive setup.

Punters considering where to place their stakes will find the most competitive odds across several markets. The standout value lies with Molde at 2.14 with 1xBet for the away win, while those backing over 2.5 goals should comparison shop to locate the best available price. The combination of Molde's superior league position, their stronger recent form and Aalesund's vulnerability at the back creates a compelling case for an away victory. The probability of both teams scoring provides an attractive secondary option given the respective defensive and attacking profiles entering this fixture.

Alternative Markets: Where the Value Lies

The Asian Handicap market presents the strongest case for a Molde victory, with the visitors backed at -0.25 at 1.41 odds and a 71% confidence rating. For those seeking higher returns, the most likely correct score projection sits at 1:2, available at 7.50 odds with a 13% confidence level. Jalal Abdullai emerges as the standout anytime goalscorer option at 2.30 odds with 43% confidence, making him a viable candidate for those backing Molde to find the net. Regarding half-time markets, Molde's superior away record suggests they may hold or lead at the interval, though the model does not provide specific HT/FT odds for this fixture. Similarly, corner and card totals are not covered by our current data, so punters should compare bookmaker lines if pursuing those markets.

When evaluating these supplementary options, the Asian Handicap stands out as the most reliable selection given its substantially higher confidence level. The anytime goalscorer angle on Jalal Abdullai offers a balanced risk-reward profile, while the correct score bet, despite its attractive odds, carries notable risk and should be approached with caution. Punters are encouraged to cross-reference these model-generated picks with their preferred bookmaker's offerings to identify the best available value before placing any bets.

Molde's Quality Set to Overpower Struggling Aalesund

The data paints a clear picture ahead of this Matchday 13 fixture at Color Line Stadion. Molde sit fifth in the Eliteserien with 19 points from six wins, while Aalesund languish in 13th place with just 11 points and only two victories all season. Molde's superior goal-scoring output and superior league position make them the clear favorites in this contest.

The most confident selections back an away victory with goals at both ends. Over 2.5 goals carries 62% confidence, reflecting Molde's attacking capabilities against a porous Aalesund defense. BTTS-yes at 64% confidence further reinforces expectations of an open match with scoring opportunities for both sides. Molde to win is the primary pick at 46% confidence, supplemented by the double chance 12 at 38% for added security against a potential upset. Everything points toward a Molde victory in what should be an entertaining encounter.

Our #1 PickYesBoth Teams to Score@1.45 · 64%
Best ValueMoldeMatch Result (1X2)@1.89 · 46%
Our Predictions: Aalesund vs Molde — Molde — Win (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Aalesund vs Molde?
Our model predicts Molde with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 12 a good bet for Aalesund vs Molde?
Our double chance pick is 12 with 38% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in Aalesund vs Molde?
Jalal Abdullai is our pick to find the net.
What is the Asian Handicap prediction for Aalesund vs Molde?
Our Asian Handicap call is Molde -0.25 with 71% confidence.
How many goals will Aalesund vs Molde have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (62% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
When and where is Aalesund vs Molde played?
Aalesund vs Molde takes place on 11 Jul 2026 at Color Line Stadion.

Additional Information

AalesundAalesund

Top Scorers

K. Lonebu
K. LonebuAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

J. Ørsahl
J. ØrsahlMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

E. Engqvist
E. EngqvistDefender
10
MoldeMolde

Top Scorers

E. Breivik
E. BreivikMidfielder
1Goals
E. Hestad
E. HestadMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

H. Stenevik
H. StenevikDefender
1Assists
C. Zady Sery
C. Zady SeryMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

E. Hestad
E. HestadMidfielder
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Aalesund
WDDDL
10Played
2Wins
4Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1
Win %20%
Goals/Game3.4
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg2.1
BTTS80%
Clean Sheets0%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

16 JulLat Valerenga1-6
11 JulDvs Molde2-2
29 MayDvs Ham-Kam2-2
25 MayDat Tromso1-1
20 MayWvs Brann2-1
Molde
WLWDL
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.7
Win %50%
Goals/Game3
Scored Avg1.8
Conceded Avg1.2
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

18 JulLvs Brann1-2
11 JulDat Aalesund2-2
30 MayWvs Sandefjord2-1
25 MayLat Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2
16 MayWvs Kristiansund BK1-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches12
Average Goals2.92
BTTS33%
Over 2.5 Goals67%
Over 1.5 Goals83%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Aalesund121 per game
Molde231.92 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Aalesund2 (17%)
Molde6 (50%)
11 Jul 2026EliteserienAalesund2-2Molde
16 May 2023EliteserienAalesund3-1Molde
3 May 2023EliteserienMolde3-0Aalesund
18 Sept 2022EliteserienMolde3-0Aalesund
16 May 2022EliteserienAalesund0-2Molde
6 Dec 2020EliteserienMolde2-1Aalesund
16 Jun 2020EliteserienAalesund1-4Molde
19 Jun 2019NM CupenAalesund4-0Molde
8 Jul 2017EliteserienAalesund0-3Molde
6 May 2017EliteserienMolde0-1Aalesund
14 Aug 2016EliteserienAalesund0-2Molde
30 Apr 2016EliteserienMolde1-0Aalesund

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