PeruPeru
Primera DivisiónPrimera División
Round 12

ADT vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas Prediction & Betting Tips

27 Apr 2026
4-0
Full Time
Estadio Union Tarma, Tarma
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
4 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

44%
27%
29%
ADTDrawClub Deportivo Los Chankas
Match Result
ADT
44%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
54%
Both Teams Score
Yes
52%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
36%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.50
@ 2.00
50%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
11 min read

The clash between ADT and Club Deportivo Los Chankas at the stadium in Tarma on Monday evening carries significant weight in the Primera División. While the visitors sit comfortably at the top of the table with 23 points from nine matches, ADT find themselves in a desperate fight for survival, occup...

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Key Statistics

ADT3
1Draws
1Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2.4Avg Goals
40%BTTS
40%Over 2.5
27 Apr 2026ADT4-0Club Deportivo Los Chankas
10 Nov 2025ADT1-0Club Deportivo Los Chankas
4 Jul 2025Club Deportivo Los Chankas1-1ADT
27 Jul 2024ADT2-1Club Deportivo Los Chankas
11 Feb 2024Club Deportivo Los Chankas2-0ADT
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% Our Pick Win Rate
30+ Years Experience
16.2k Predictions Tracked

ADT vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: A Test of Survival Against the Leaders

The clash between ADT and Club Deportivo Los Chankas at the stadium in Tarma on Monday evening carries significant weight in the Primera División. While the visitors sit comfortably at the top of the table with 23 points from nine matches, ADT find themselves in a desperate fight for survival, occupying the 15th position with just nine points. This mismatch in form and standing sets up a compelling contrast that could have implications for both teams’ respective seasons.

The high stakes for ADT make this encounter particularly crucial. With only two wins and three draws to their name, they need results to avoid slipping further down the league table. Meanwhile, Club Deportivo Los Chankas will look to maintain their dominance and extend their lead as they aim for another successful campaign. The gap in performance is stark, but football is unpredictable, and a single result can shift momentum dramatically.

This game also serves as a litmus test for ADT’s ability to perform under pressure against a side that has shown consistency and strength throughout the season. For Club Deportivo Los Chankas, it's an opportunity to reinforce their status as one of the league's strongest teams. As fans prepare for the match, the atmosphere will likely reflect the contrasting ambitions of these two sides—survival versus supremacy.

Form Analysis

ADT enters this encounter in a difficult position, having shown inconsistent performances over their last five matches. The team has recorded two wins, three draws, and five losses in the season so far, accumulating nine points from ten games. Their attacking output has been modest, averaging just under one goal per game, while their defensive record is slightly better than average, conceding 1.2 goals on average. Despite a clean sheet rate of 30%, they have struggled to maintain consistency in both attack and defense, which could pose challenges against a stronger opponent.

On the other hand, Club Deportivo Los Chankas continues to dominate the league table, sitting at the top with 23 points after ten games. They have only lost once this season and have remained undefeated in their last five matches, showcasing strong form and tactical discipline. Their offensive efficiency stands out, with an average of two goals scored per game, making them one of the most potent attacks in the league. However, their defensive performance is slightly below that of ADT, conceding 1.1 goals per game, though still within a competitive range.

The contrast in form between these two sides is stark. ADT’s overall rating of 25% highlights their struggles, particularly in maintaining consistent results, while Club Deportivo Los Chankas’ 75% rating reflects their dominance. In terms of attacking strength, Club Deportivo Los Chankas clearly holds the advantage, with 67% of their rating attributed to their ability to score regularly. ADT, by comparison, shows weaker offensive capabilities, contributing to their lower overall rating. Defensively, both teams are relatively balanced, but Club Deportivo Los Chankas edges ahead slightly, indicating a more reliable backline.

When considering key statistical indicators such as BTTS (both teams to score), Club Deportivo Los Chankas leads with a 70% success rate, suggesting a tendency to create multiple chances and keep the opposition engaged. ADT, with a 40% BTTS rate, appears less likely to provide an open contest, potentially limiting the number of goals in the match. This disparity may influence betting strategies, with higher odds likely for over 2.5 goals due to Club Deportivo Los Chankas’ attacking threat. Bookmakers will also consider the home advantage, although the venue details remain unspecified, adding some uncertainty to the prediction model.

Tactical Preview

ADT enters the match as the underdog, sitting 15th in the Primera División with only nine points from eight games. Their 4-2-3-1 formation suggests a balanced approach, focusing on defensive solidity while attempting to create chances through their attacking midfielder. However, their low goal return—just one goal scored in the season so far—highlights a lack of consistent offensive threat. With only one clean sheet, their defense has struggled to maintain discipline, particularly against stronger opponents. This could leave them vulnerable if they face pressure from a more dynamic side like Club Deportivo Los Chankas.

On the other hand, Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit at the top of the table with 23 points from eight matches, showcasing their dominance early in the season. Their 3-5-2 system emphasizes control of midfield and wide play, allowing for overlapping full-backs and quick transitions. The team’s ability to score two goals while conceding just once indicates a strong balance between attack and defense. Their high level of organization and possession-based style suggest they will look to dominate the game, using their numerical advantage in midfield to limit ADT's opportunities. For ADT, the challenge lies in breaking down a well-structured defense without overcommitting and exposing themselves to counterattacks.

The tactical battle will likely revolve around how ADT manages to cope with the width created by Los Chankas’ wing-backs. If they fail to contain the flanks, the home side may exploit space behind their backline. Conversely, if ADT can win the ball in central areas, their single striker might find himself in a position to test the opposition goalkeeper. Meanwhile, Los Chankas will aim to maintain their high press and maintain possession to wear down the lower-ranked side. The outcome could hinge on which team adapts better to the opponent’s strategies and executes their own plan effectively.

Key Players to Watch

H. Arakaki of ADT has been a reliable presence in front of goal, scoring one goal so far this season without any assists. While his contribution may seem modest, his ability to find the back of the net in crucial moments can have a significant impact on the outcome of the match. Arakaki's experience and positioning in attack make him a threat, especially if ADT adopts a more direct approach against Club Deportivo Los Chankas.

A. Ayarza and M. Torres both have one goal each for Club Deportivo Los Chankas, showing they are capable of making an immediate impact. Ayarza’s movement off the ball and technical ability create chances, while Torres’ physicality and finishing make him a danger in the box. Both players will need to capitalize on opportunities if their team is to secure a positive result. Their performances could determine whether Club Deportivo Los Chankas can overcome ADT’s defensive efforts.

The match could hinge on how effectively these strikers exploit gaps in the opposing defense. With limited goal contributions from the attacking line, both teams will rely heavily on individual brilliance to break the deadlock. Bookmakers may view these players as potential value picks for over/under goals markets, given their recent form and the likelihood of tight defensive battles. The outcome might ultimately depend on who can deliver in the final third when it matters most.

Head-to-Head History

The recent encounters between ADT and Club Deportivo Los Chankas have shown a closely contested rivalry, with ADT holding a slight edge in the last four meetings. The two teams have met on four occasions, resulting in two victories for ADT, one draw, and one win for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. These matches have been consistently competitive, with an average of two goals per game, indicating that both sides tend to create chances and avoid low-scoring affairs.

In the most recent encounter on 2025-11-10, ADT secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Club Deportido Los Chankas, highlighting their ability to take key points in tight matches. However, the previous meeting on 2025-07-04 ended in a 1-1 draw, showing that Club Deportivo Los Chankas can hold their own against ADT. The historical trend also reveals that over half of these games have featured both teams scoring, suggesting that defensive stability may be a challenge for either side in this matchup.

Looking further back, ADT's 2-1 win on 2024-07-27 and Club Deportivo Los Chankas’ 2-0 success on 2024-02-11 illustrate the unpredictable nature of this fixture. While ADT has managed to secure more wins in recent years, the fact that Club Deportivo Los Chankas has claimed at least one victory in each of the past two seasons suggests they remain a threat. Bookmakers will likely factor in this balance of form and the tendency for high-scoring games when setting odds for the upcoming clash.

Betting Analysis: ADT vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas

The upcoming clash between ADT and Club Deportivo Los Chankas presents a stark contrast in form and position within the Primera División. ADT, currently sitting at the bottom of the table with 9 points from 10 games, has struggled to find consistency, managing just two wins and three draws. In contrast, Club Deportivo Los Chankas lead the league with 23 points from 10 matches, boasting seven wins and two draws without a single loss. This gap in performance suggests that the home side faces a significant challenge in securing anything but a defeat. The odds reflect this imbalance, with the away team favored to win at 1.80, while the draw is priced at 3.50 and the home win at 5.00.

The over 2.5 goals market holds considerable appeal given the attacking tendencies of both teams. Club Deportivo Los Chankas have shown a strong offensive record, scoring frequently, while ADT, despite their defensive issues, has also found the back of the net on multiple occasions. The probability of more than two goals being scored stands at 53%, making this a high-confidence bet. Bookmakers have set the line at 2.5, which seems reasonable considering the attacking threats on display. However, punters should remain cautious about the possibility of a low-scoring game if ADT's defense improves significantly or if the visitors adopt a more conservative approach.

The double chance market offers a safer route for those seeking to capitalize on the dominance of Club Deportido Los Chankas. With a 90% confidence rating on the X2 (draw or away win) outcome, this bet provides a balanced approach by covering two possible results. The implied probability of this combination aligns closely with the bookmaker’s pricing, suggesting there may be limited value here. Nevertheless, the strength of the away team’s position makes this a solid choice for risk-averse bettors who believe ADT will struggle to secure a result. The odds for X2 sit at 1.40, offering a moderate return for a high-probability outcome.

The both teams to score (BTTS) market carries a 62% confidence level, indicating a strong likelihood that neither side will keep a clean sheet. Club Deportivo Los Chankas’ attacking prowess and ADT’s defensive frailties make it probable that both teams will find the net. While the home side has managed to keep one clean sheet in their last five games, their overall defensive record is weak, allowing opponents to score regularly. On the other hand, Club Deportivo Los Chankas have been consistent in finding the back of the net, with multiple matches featuring multiple goals. The odds for BTTS are set at 2.00, reflecting the high chances of both sides scoring, though some bookmakers may offer slightly better lines depending on the timing of the bet.

Conclusion and Final Prediction Summary

The upcoming clash between ADT and Club Deportivo Los Chankas presents a clear disparity in form and standing within the Primera División. ADT, sitting at the bottom of the table with 9 points from 10 games, faces a daunting challenge against a dominant Los Chankas side that leads the league with 23 points from just 9 matches. The visitors have shown consistency and attacking prowess, with seven wins and two draws on their record, while ADT struggles to find stability, having lost five of their last ten games. This gap in quality suggests a high probability of a defeat for ADT, supported by the 45% confidence in a home loss.

Betting trends reinforce this outlook, with over 2.5 goals marked as the most likely outcome at 53% confidence, indicating potential for a high-scoring game given Los Chankas’ strong offensive performance. The likelihood of both teams scoring is also high, with a 62% chance of BTTS, reflecting the attacking nature of the contest. A double chance of X2 (90% confidence) further highlights the imbalance, suggesting that either a draw or a win for Los Chankas is highly probable. Based on these factors, the match appears poised for a decisive result in favor of the stronger side.

Additional Information

ADTADT

Top Scorers

H. Arakaki
H. ArakakiMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

No data

Cards

J. Narváez
J. NarváezDefender
20
J. Valencia
J. ValenciaGoalkeeper
10
J. Soto
J. SotoDefender
10
A. Gutiérrez
A. GutiérrezDefender
10
L. Pérez
L. PérezMidfielder
10
Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas

Top Scorers

A. Ayarza
A. AyarzaMidfielder
1Goals
M. Torres
M. TorresMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

A. Quintana
A. QuintanaMidfielder
1Assists
J. Pósito
J. PósitoAttacker
1Assists

Cards

O. Takeuchi
O. TakeuchiMidfielder
20
A. Ayarza
A. AyarzaMidfielder
10
J. Palomino
J. PalominoMidfielder
10
M. Kaufman
M. KaufmanDefender
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

ADT
LWDWW
10Played
4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.5
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.7
Scored Avg1.6
Conceded Avg1.1
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

24 MayLat Sporting Cristal1-2
17 MayWvs Comerciantes Unidos2-0
9 MayDat UCV Moquegua2-2
2 MayWvs Atletico Grau1-0
27 AprWvs Club Deportivo Los Chankas4-0
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
LWDLL
10Played
6Wins
1Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.9
Win %60%
Goals/Game2.5
Scored Avg1.2
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

24 MayLat Alianza Lima0-3
17 MayWvs UCV Moquegua1-0
10 MayDat Cusco1-1
4 MayLvs Deportivo Garcilaso0-1
27 AprLat ADT0-4

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches5
Average Goals2.4
BTTS40%
Over 2.5 Goals40%
Over 1.5 Goals80%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
ADT81.6 per game
Club Deportivo Los Chankas40.8 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
ADT2 (40%)
Club Deportivo Los Chankas1 (20%)
27 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónADT4-0Club Deportivo Los Chankas
10 Nov 2025Primera DivisiónADT1-0Club Deportivo Los Chankas
4 Jul 2025Primera DivisiónClub Deportivo Los Chankas1-1ADT
27 Jul 2024Primera DivisiónADT2-1Club Deportivo Los Chankas
11 Feb 2024Primera DivisiónClub Deportivo Los Chankas2-0ADT

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