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Eredivisie

Top match Predictions — Ajax — PSV Eindhoven

Top match — History, Stats & Predictions

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Head to Head (All-time · 36 matches)

14Ajax
11Draws
11PSV Eindhoven
Total matches36
Avg goals/match3
Goals55 - 53
BTTS %61%
Over 2.564%

Derby Records

Biggest Win — Ajax
5-0
Ajax — PSV Eindhoven · 24 Oct 21
Biggest Win — PSV Eindhoven
4-0
PSV Eindhoven — Ajax · 22 Sept 13
Highest Scoring Match
5-2
PSV Eindhoven — Ajax · 29 Oct 23
Longest Win Streaks
3 in a row
3 in a row
Longest Unbeaten Runs
8 matches
6 matches

Most Common Scorelines

1-1
2-2
2-0
0-3
1-2
3-1

Goals by Time Period

11
0-15'
18
16-30'
17
31-45'
19
46-60'
21
61-75'
32
76-90'

All-Time Derby Top Scorers

1L. de Jong10
2G. Pereiro4
3H. Lozano4
4D. Tadić4
5D. KlaassenActive4
6Q. Promes3
7A. El Ghazi3
8K. Sigþórsson3
9J. Lens3
10E. Zahavi3

Venue Stats

At Ajax home
19P
9HW
6D
4AW
34-22Goals
At PSV Eindhoven home
17P
7HW
5D
5AW
31-21Goals

Results by Season

20260W0D1W1-3
20250W2D0W4-4
20242W0D0W5-2
20230W1D1W3-6
20220W1D2W2-6
20212W0D1W8-3
20201W2D0W5-4
20191W1D0W2-1
20181W0D1W3-4
20171W0D1W3-3
20160W1D1W1-2
20151W0D1W3-2
20141W0D1W4-4
20131W0D1W1-4
20122W0D0W6-3
20111W1D0W4-2
20100W2D0W0-0

Current Form

Ajax
DWWLW
3W 1D 1L · 17-7
Dvs Excelsior2-2
Wvs Willem II5-1
W@ Fortuna Sittard5-1
Lvs PSV Eindhoven1-3
W@ Telstar4-0
PSV Eindhoven
LWDWW
3W 1D 1L · 16-7
L@ Twente2-3
Wvs Sparta Rotterdam4-1
Dvs Shakhtar Donetsk1-1
W@ Ajax3-1
W@ Utrecht6-1

League Standings

PSV Eindhoven#3
16Pts
5W
1D
1L
24-10Goals
LWWWW
Ajax#5
14Pts
4W
2D
1L
21-9Goals
DWWLW

Recent Meetings

5 Sept 26Ajax1 - 3PSV Eindhoven
2 May 26Ajax2 - 2PSV Eindhoven
21 Sept 25PSV Eindhoven2 - 2Ajax
30 Mar 25PSV Eindhoven0 - 2Ajax
2 Nov 24Ajax3 - 2PSV Eindhoven
3 Feb 24Ajax1 - 1PSV Eindhoven
29 Oct 23PSV Eindhoven5 - 2Ajax
30 Apr 23Ajax1 - 1PSV Eindhoven
23 Apr 23PSV Eindhoven3 - 0Ajax
6 Nov 22Ajax1 - 2PSV Eindhoven
17 Apr 22PSV Eindhoven2 - 1Ajax
23 Jan 22PSV Eindhoven1 - 2Ajax
24 Oct 21Ajax5 - 0PSV Eindhoven
28 Feb 21PSV Eindhoven1 - 1Ajax
10 Feb 21Ajax2 - 1PSV Eindhoven
10 Jan 21Ajax2 - 2PSV Eindhoven
2 Feb 20Ajax1 - 0PSV Eindhoven
22 Sept 19PSV Eindhoven1 - 1Ajax
31 Mar 19Ajax3 - 1PSV Eindhoven
23 Sept 18PSV Eindhoven3 - 0Ajax
Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Predictions & Stats

Top match — History, Stats & Predictions

The Biggest Stage in Dutch Football Awaits

When two giants of Dutch football collide, the Eredivisie transforms into a theatre of dreams and heartbreaks. Ajax and PSV Eindhoven represent the very essence of Netherlands football, a rivalry that has produced some of the most memorable moments in the league's history. Their meetings transcend the 90 minutes on the pitch, carrying with them regional pride, historical bragging rights, and a fierce competitive spirit that ignites passion across the entire country.

As the two sides prepare to renew hostilities, the stakes could hardly be higher. PSV Eindhoven currently occupy second place in the standings with 10 points from their opening four matches, displaying clinical efficiency with three wins and a draw. Ajax, four points behind in fourth, have accumulated 7 points and cannot afford to fall further behind in the title race. Both teams arrive in exceptional form, with PSV unbeaten in their last five encounters and Ajax equally impressive with three consecutive victories alongside two draws. The pressure on both sets of players to deliver a statement performance could not be more intense.

The historical record between these clubs reveals a rivalry defined by razor-thin margins. Across their last 35 competitive meetings, Ajax have claimed 14 victories compared to PSV's 10, with 11 encounters ending level. The aggregate goal tally of 54-50 in Ajax's favour underscores how closely matched these opponents have been over recent years. Furthermore, 63 percent of their clashes have produced over 2.5 goals, and both teams have found the net together in 60 percent of fixtures, suggesting spectators should anticipate an entertaining spectacle.

The current crop of players understands they are writing the next chapter in a storied rivalry. With the next encounter scheduled for September 5, 2026, both Ajax and PSV Eindhoven will enter this fixture fully aware that victory would deliver a psychological blow ahead of their subsequent meetings. Whether this match unfolds at the Johan Cruyff Arena or the Philips Stadion, the atmosphere will crackle with anticipation as two of Netherlands football's proudest institutions do battle for supremacy.

A Tale of Two Eras: Shifting Fortunes in the Eredivisie Clásico

The rivalry between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven has long been regarded as the defining fixture of Dutch football, and the statistics from recent competitive history paint a compelling picture of two clubs whose dominance has oscillated dramatically over the past decade and a half. Across 35 encounters in this period, Ajax have claimed victory on 14 occasions, while PSV Eindhoven have secured 10 wins, with the remaining 11 meetings ending in stalemate. The aggregate goal tally of 54 goals for Ajax against 50 for PSV Eindhoven underscores just how finely balanced this contest has been, with the Amsterdam club holding only a narrow advantage in terms of both wins and goals scored.

The Ajax Ascendancy

For much of the period under review, Ajax appeared to hold the psychological edge over their rivals from Eindhoven. The evidence is clear in the head-to-head record, where Ajax's superior win ratio translates into a tangible sense of superiority when the two sides meet. Their most emphatic statement came in October 2021, when Ajax dismantled PSV Eindhoven with a commanding 5-0 victory at the Johan Cruyff Arena—a result that remains the largest winning margin in this fixture during recent history. Such dominant displays became a hallmark of Ajax's approach during this era, as they leveraged their tradition of developing homegrown talent to establish sustained supremacy in the domestic league.

Ajax's longest unbeaten streak of eight matches against PSV Eindhoven demonstrates the extent to which they controlled this rivalry during certain periods. Their home record is particularly revealing: in 18 matches played at the Johan Cruyff Arena, Ajax claimed nine victories while suffering just three defeats, scoring 33 goals and conceding 19. The platform of their iconic stadium, combined with the weight of their European heritage, made them a formidable proposition for any visiting PSV side. Players like Dušan Tadić and Hakim Ziyech—though now departed—helped shape this era of Ajax dominance, with Tadić himself contributing four goals against PSV Eindhoven during his spell at the club.

PSV Eindhoven's Resurgence

However, to suggest that Ajax have held unchallenged authority over this fixture would be to misrepresent the true nature of the rivalry. PSV Eindhoven have demonstrated a remarkable capacity to bite back, and their recent form suggests they have entered a particularly confident phase in this contest. The 4-0 victory at the Philips Stadion in September 2013 remains their largest margin of victory during this period, a result that signalled their intent to compete on equal terms with their Amsterdam counterparts.

PSV Eindhoven's most prolific performer in this fixture has been Luuk de Jong, whose remarkable tally of ten goals against Ajax stands as the highest by any player in recent competitive history. His physical presence and aerial prowess have made him a constant threat in these encounters, and his contributions have been instrumental in several memorable victories. Supporting him, players like Gianni Locadia and Hirving Lozano each struck four times against Ajax, highlighting the attacking depth that PSV have possessed during key periods of this rivalry.

The balance of power has shifted noticeably in recent seasons. The 2022 campaign saw PSV Eindhoven claim two victories against Ajax across multiple meetings, a haul that reflected their growing confidence and tactical sophistication. The 3-0 thrashing at the Philips Stadion in April 2023 was particularly significant, delivering a stark reminder that PSV are capable of overwhelming their rivals when conditions align in their favour. Their most recent head-to-head victory came in October 2023, when a 5-2 triumph demonstrated both their attacking firepower and their ability to respond emphatically to setbacks.

Patterns and Memorable Encounters

Beyond the overarching narrative of shifting dominance, the data reveals fascinating patterns that define this fixture. The average of three goals per match underscores the attacking intent that both sides bring to these encounters, with over 63% of meetings in this period producing more than 2.5 goals and both teams finding the net in 60% of matches. The most recent meeting in May 2026 ended 2-2, continuing a trend that has seen draws become increasingly common in recent years—a reflection perhaps of how closely matched these sides have become.

The most common outright victories for Ajax have come in the 2-0 scoreline, which has occurred three times, while PSV Eindhoven's most frequent winning margin has been the 0-3 result, also recorded three times. The 1-1 draw has emerged as the most frequent overall result, occurring five times, followed by the 2-2 stalemate, which has been played out on four occasions. These patterns suggest a fixture that frequently produces competitive, evenly-contested matches where fine margins decide the outcome.

The timing of goals offers further insight into the drama that unfolds when these clubs meet. The final 15 minutes of matches have witnessed 31 goals—more than any other period—indicating that fitness and late-game composure often prove decisive. The 61-75 minute window has seen 21 goals, while the 16-30 minute period has produced 17 goals, highlighting how the contest ebbs and flows throughout. Late drama appears virtually guaranteed when these old rivals collide, with both sets of players acutely aware that the outcome may not be decided until the closing stages.

The Current Dynamic

As both clubs prepare for their upcoming encounter, the form guide suggests a contest between two sides operating at high intensity. Ajax arrive in decent shape, unbeaten in their last five matches against PSV across all competitions, while PSV Eindhoven have demonstrated their quality with four wins from their last five meetings. The current league standings place PSV second with ten points from their opening four matches, while Ajax sit fourth with seven points—a gap that reflects the fine margins separating these clubs at the top of the Eredivisie.

David Klaassen remains the only active player among the leading scorers in this fixture, having netted four times against PSV Eindhoven during his Ajax career. His experience and understanding of this rivalry could prove invaluable in the decisive moments that these matches invariably produce. For PSV, the challenge will be to translate their recent confidence into a positive result, building on the momentum generated by their impressive early-season form that has seen them score twenty goals in their last five matches while conceding only six.

Iconic Moments

PSV Eindhoven 5-2 Ajax (October 2023)

The highest-scoring encounter in recent history erupted at the Philips Stadion when PSV Eindhoven demolished their rivals in a 5-2 thrashing. The result became a defining moment of dominance for Peter Bosz's side, with the home side slicing through Ajax's defense with ruthless efficiency. Goals flowed at both ends throughout an open, end-to-end contest, but it was PSV's attacking verve that ultimately overwhelmed the Amsterdam club. The defeat exposed defensive frailties Ajax would spend months attempting to address, and the psychological impact of such a heavy loss lingered well beyond the final whistle.

Ajax 3-2 PSV Eindhoven (November 2024)

In a thrilling encounter that encapsulated everything this rivalry demands, Ajax edged a breathless 3-2 victory over PSV Eindhoven. The match swung momentum between both penalty boxes with alarming frequency, creating an atmosphere of constant tension for supporters inside the Johan Cruyff ArenA. Ajax's ability to find the decisive moment when it mattered most proved the difference between the two sides on the night. The win provided crucial momentum in the title race while simultaneously halting PSV's momentum at a critical juncture of the season.

PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Ajax (April 2023)

Ruud van Nistelrooy's PSV delivered a statement of intent with a commanding 3-0 triumph that sent shockwaves through Dutch football. The comprehensive victory demonstrated tactical superiority and mental fortitude as the home side controlled proceedings from the opening whistle. Ajax struggled to impose their philosophy against a PSV outfit operating with supreme confidence and organization. The result carried significant implications for the title race, with the three points propelling PSV firmly into the driving seat with time remaining in the campaign.

Ajax 2-2 PSV Eindhoven (May 2026)

The most recent meeting between these historic rivals delivered drama befitting the occasion as both clubs played out a compelling 2-2 draw. The result maintained the sense of competitive equilibrium that has characterized recent encounters, with neither side able to secure a decisive advantage. Chances were created and squandered at both ends throughout a pulsating ninety minutes that kept neutral observers on the edge of their seats. Neither manager could claim complete satisfaction, yet both recognized the intensity of competition that such matches demand.

PSV Eindhoven 0-2 Ajax (March 2025)

Ajax responded to previous disappointments with a disciplined and composed 2-0 victory over PSV Eindhoven. The win demonstrated tactical awareness and defensive solidity, as the visitors nullified PSV's attacking threats while capitalizing on their own opportunities. Control of midfield proved decisive in determining the outcome, with Ajax's passing network disrupting PSV's rhythm throughout. The result provided Ajax with renewed confidence and served as a reminder of their capacity to perform on the biggest occasions.

Key Players

Ajax

Ajax will look to their captain to lead the charge in this pivotal encounter. The Dutch midfielder brings invaluable experience to the Amsterdam outfit, having built an impressive legacy in Eredivisie matches against PSV Eindhoven. His ability to orchestrate play from the centre of the park makes him a constant threat, with his four goals in this fixture showcasing his capacity to deliver in high-pressure situations. The current squad relies heavily on his leadership qualities and creative vision as they seek to gain the upper hand in the title race.

Among the historical figures who have left their mark on this fixture, one striker stands out with his goal-scoring prowess. The Icelandic forward terrorised PSV Eindhoven's defence during his spell in Amsterdam, netting three times in this specific matchup. His physical presence and clinical finishing made him a nightmare for opposing defenders, and his contributions helped cement Ajax's dominance during his tenure. Another former winger, known for his explosive pace and trickery on the flank, also found the net three times against PSV, providing moments of individual brilliance that live long in the memory of supporters.

The Serbian forward has been a consistent performer against PSV Eindhoven throughout his career, with four goals demonstrating his proficiency in this fixture. His movement and finishing ability have made him a reliable source of goals whenever these sides meet. A former winger who graced the Johan Cruyff Arena added three goals to his tally against PSV, contributing to Ajax's historical dominance in this matchup.

PSV Eindhoven

The most prolific scorer in recent meetings between these sides wears the colours of PSV Eindhoven. With an exceptional tally of ten goals in this fixture, he has established himself as a genuine legend of this rivalry. His aerial ability, positioning and predatory instincts have repeatedly punished Ajax's defence over the years, and his record speaks for itself as the standout performer in the modern era of this clash.

Several other PSV players have made significant contributions to their side's efforts in recent history. A Uruguayan midfielder showcased his technical quality and eye for goal, finding the net four times against Ajax during his spell in Eindhoven. His creative abilities and eye for a pass made him a constant thorn in Ajax's side, contributing to some memorable victories. The Mexican international, known for his searing pace and direct running, also struck four goals in this fixture, terrorising defenders with his explosive acceleration and willingness to take on opponents one-on-one.

As both sides prepare to renew hostilities, the weight of history hangs heavy. The records set by these players provide a benchmark for the current generation to emulate, and the pressure to perform in such a high-stakes environment can either inspire or intimidate. Ajax's current captain carries the hopes of his club onto the pitch, while PSV's historical top scorer in this fixture cast a long shadow over proceedings with his remarkable record.

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