Spain
La LigaRound 8
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Our prediction: Atletico Madrid — Win (47%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Asian Handicap
Atletico Madrid -0.25
@ 1.35
74%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
AlavesDrawAtletico Madrid
Match Result
Atletico Madrid
@ 1.83
48%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
@ 1.86
52%
Both Teams Score
Best ValueYes
@ 1.70
55%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
@ 1.27
37%
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.35
74%
Half Time
Draw
@ 2.11
41%
HT/FT
Draw/Away
@ 5.00
20.0%
Correct Score
1:2
@ 7.00
14.3%
Additional Markets
Anytime Goal Scorer
Alexander Sorloth
45.5%@ 2.20
Jonathan David
42.0%@ 2.38
Julian Alvarez
40.0%@ 2.50
Ademola Lookman
36.4%@ 2.75
Lucas Boye
34.7%@ 2.88
Carlos Martin
34.7%@ 2.88
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
25Draws
11
2.06Avg Goals
44%BTTS
39%Over 2.5
18 Jan 2026Atletico Madrid1-0Alaves
30 Aug 2025Alaves1-1Atletico Madrid
3 May 2025Alaves0-0Atletico Madrid
23 Nov 2024Atletico Madrid2-1Alaves
21 Apr 2024Alaves2-0Atletico Madrid
Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.85 | 3.78 | 2.04 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.50 | 1.44 |
| Pinnacle | 3.74 | 3.57 | 1.98 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Atletico Madrid with 48% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
What is the best bet for Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?
Our top recommendation is Yes with 55% confidence.
What scoreline is predicted for Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?
Our most likely correct score is 1:2 (14.3% implied probability).
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid: what is our Asian Handicap tip?
Our Asian Handicap call is Atletico Madrid -0.25 with 74% confidence.
What is the Half Time prediction for Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?
Our Half Time call is Draw with 41% confidence.
When and where is Alaves vs Atletico Madrid played?
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid takes place on 10 Oct 2026 at Estadio Mendizorrotza.
Additional Information
AlavesTop Scorers
M. DíazAttacker
2Goals
N. TenagliaDefender
1Goals
Mikel RodriguezMidfielder
1Goals
Top Assists
M. DíazAttacker
2Assists
Cards
M. DíazAttacker
10
N. TenagliaDefender
10
Antonio BlancoMidfielder
10
Denis SuárezMidfielder
10
A. RebbachMidfielder
10
Atletico MadridTop Scorers
Álex BaenaMidfielder
1Goals
G. SimeoneAttacker
1Goals
Lee Kang-InMidfielder
1Goals
Marc PubillDefender
1Goals
Top Assists
Álex BaenaMidfielder
1Assists
G. SimeoneAttacker
1Assists
D. HanckoDefender
1Assists
Cards
Álex BaenaMidfielder
10
D. HanckoDefender
10
Robin Le NormandDefender
01
M. HjulmandMidfielder
10
Jorge DominguezDefender
10
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
AlavesWWLLD
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
| Points/Game | 1.7 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 2.2 |
| Scored Avg | 1.4 |
| Conceded Avg | 0.8 |
| BTTS | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
19 SeptDat Athletic Club0-0
15 SeptLvs Valencia0-1
12 SeptLat Racing Santander1-2
6 SeptWvs Osasuna5-2
28 AugWvs Villarreal1-0
Atletico MadridLLWWW
10Played
6Wins
1Draws
3Losses
| Points/Game | 1.9 |
| Win % | 60% |
| Goals/Game | 3.3 |
| Scored Avg | 1.9 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.4 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% |
Recent Matches
20 SeptWvs Real Madrid2-1
16 SeptWvs Osasuna4-0
13 SeptWat Real Sociedad3-0
9 SeptLat Liverpool1-2
5 SeptLat Athletic Club0-3
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 18 |
| Average Goals | 2.06 |
| BTTS | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 39% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 61% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 11 | 0.61 per game |
| Atletico Madrid | 26 | 1.44 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Alaves | 4 (22%) |
| Atletico Madrid | 8 (44%) |
18 Jan 2026La LigaAtletico Madrid1-0Alaves
30 Aug 2025La LigaAlaves1-1Atletico Madrid
3 May 2025La LigaAlaves0-0Atletico Madrid
23 Nov 2024La LigaAtletico Madrid2-1Alaves
21 Apr 2024La LigaAlaves2-0Atletico Madrid
29 Oct 2023La LigaAtletico Madrid2-1Alaves
2 Apr 2022La LigaAtletico Madrid4-1Alaves
25 Sept 2021La LigaAlaves1-0Atletico Madrid
21 Mar 2021La LigaAtletico Madrid1-0Alaves
3 Jan 2021La LigaAlaves1-2Atletico Madrid
27 Jun 2020La LigaAtletico Madrid2-1Alaves
29 Oct 2019La LigaAlaves1-1Atletico Madrid
30 Mar 2019La LigaAlaves0-4Atletico Madrid
8 Dec 2018La LigaAtletico Madrid3-0Alaves
29 Apr 2018La LigaAlaves0-1Atletico Madrid
16 Dec 2017La LigaAtletico Madrid1-0Alaves
28 Jan 2017La LigaAlaves0-0Atletico Madrid
21 Aug 2016La LigaAtletico Madrid1-1Alaves