ColombiaColombia
Primera APrimera A
Round 6

America de Cali vs Santa Fe Prediction & Betting Tips

14 Feb 2026
1-0
Full Time
Olimpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
1 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

45%
28%
28%
America de CaliDrawSanta Fe
Match Result
America de Cali
45%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
60%
Both Teams Score
No
53%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
37%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.50
@ 1.97
51%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
6 min read

As the Colombian Primera A season progresses into its early stages, every fixture carries weight — but few matches promise the emotional investment and tactical intrigue of the upcoming showdown between America de Cali and Santa Fe. For these two giants, this fixture isn’t just about three points; i...

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Match Facts

America de Cali
America de Cali have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches (60%)
America de Cali have received 3 red cards in 5 matches this season
America de Cali average 3.2 yellow cards per game (16 in 5 matches)
Santa Fe
Santa Fe have scored in each of their last 8 matches
Santa Fe score 50% of their goals after the 75th minute (3 goals)
Both teams scored in 12 of Santa Fe's last 15 matches (80%)
Santa Fe scored in the first half in 10 of their last 15 matches (67%)
Santa Fe average 3 yellow cards per game (15 in 5 matches)

Key Statistics

America de Cali6
7Draws
7Santa Fe
2Avg Goals
35%BTTS
30%Over 2.5
13 May 2026Santa Fe4-0America de Cali
10 May 2026America de Cali1-1Santa Fe
14 Feb 2026America de Cali1-0Santa Fe
3 Aug 2025Santa Fe2-1America de Cali
15 Feb 2025America de Cali2-0Santa Fe
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% Our Pick Win Rate
30+ Years Experience
16.2k Predictions Tracked
America de Cali vs Santa Fe — match prediction & preview
America de Cali
WLWDL
Recent formvs
Santa Fe
DWDWW

America de Cali vs Santa Fe: A Crucial Clash in the Colombian Primera A

As the Colombian Primera A season progresses into its early stages, every fixture carries weight — but few matches promise the emotional investment and tactical intrigue of the upcoming showdown between America de Cali and Santa Fe. For these two giants, this fixture isn’t just about three points; it’s about establishing momentum, asserting dominance in a crowded league table, and shaping perceptions of their championship ambitions.

Setting the Stage: A Battle for Mid-Table Supremacy

While neither team is yet firmly ensconced at the league summit, this clash offers a critical juncture. America de Cali, sitting in eighth place with seven points, aims to solidify their position and leverage their home advantage in Cali. Santa Fe, trailing slightly behind in tenth but with a game in hand and a recent winning streak, seeks to capitalize on their momentum and climb into the upper echelons of the standings.

With the season still in its infancy, each point carries amplified significance, and the tactical narratives emerging from this match could influence the teams' trajectories in the weeks to come.

Momentum and Form: The Race of Resurgence and Consistency

Examining recent form paints a picture of two teams with contrasting fortunes. America de Cali's last five encounters show a pattern of resilience and sporadic brilliance: a record of two wins, two draws, and a single loss. Their attacking output, averaging 1.1 goals per game, remains modest but sufficient, especially with a solid defensive base conceding just 0.8 on average.

Santa Fe, on the other hand, boasts a slightly better record—four wins in their last five matches—indicating a streak of confidence and attacking potency, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game. Their defense, conceding just 0.7 on average, has been particularly stingy, which could frustrate America’s attacking plans.

Both teams display defensive resilience, with clean sheets recorded in roughly 40% of recent fixtures, but Santa Fe’s sharper recent form suggests they might carry a psychological edge into Cali.

Strategic Tactics: The Battle of Formation and Philosophy

America de Cali typically sets up in a 4-2-3-1, favoring possession and structured build-up, aiming to exploit spaces through quick passing and width. Their midfield duo will be crucial in disrupting Santa Fe’s rhythm and initiating attacks. Expect them to press high initially, trying to impose their tempo early.

Santa Fe likely adopts a more pragmatic approach, possibly deploying a 4-3-3 or a variation of it, emphasizing compactness and counter-attacks. Their focus will be on quick transitions, leveraging the pace of creative midfielders like N. Bustos and the goal threat of C. Mafla and E. Olivera.

In this tactical tapestry, the key battles will be in midfield dominance and set-piece scenarios — areas where both sides have shown potential but also vulnerability.

Decisive Figures: Players Who Could Tilt the Balance

  • America de Cali:
    • Y. Guzmán: The top scorer with 2 goals, his movement and finishing accuracy will be pivotal in breaking down Santa Fe’s tight defense.
    • T. Palacios: A versatile midfielder with 1 goal and an assist, capable of orchestrating attacks and providing energy in midfield battles.
    • M. Castillo: Sharpness in the penalty area means he could be the difference-maker in tight situations.
  • Santa Fe:
    • C. Mafla: Their leading scorer with 2 goals, Mafla’s ability to find space and create scoring opportunities could prove decisive.
    • N. Bustos: Contributing 1 goal and 2 assists, his playmaking could unlock America’s defense if given the opportunity.
    • E. Olivera: A reliable defender and occasional goal threat, his presence will be vital in maintaining Santa Fe’s defensive solidity.

Historical Encounters and Trends

Looking back on their 17 meetings, the rivalry remains fiercely balanced. America has secured five wins, Santa Fe six, and the remaining six have ended in draws. The average goals per fixture hover around 1.94, with a modest 35% of matches seeing both teams score.

Recent clashes continue this pattern of tight contests: Santa Fe edged out America 2-1 last August, while America responded with a 2-0 victory earlier this year. Another notable result was a goalless draw in November, highlighting how closely contested their encounters tend to be.

This history suggests that expecting goals will require some confidence but also acknowledgment that defenses often lead the dance in this rivalry.

Financial Insights: Betting Markets and Value Opportunities

Bookmakers have set the odds reflecting America’s home advantage. The home win stands at around 1.5, with a roughly 48% implied probability. Santa Fe’s away victory is priced at about 2.45, translating to a 29.2% implied chance. The draw, at 3.1, implies just over a 23% chance.

Double Chance markets show a slight lean towards a safer bet with 1X (home or draw) at odds of 1.25, but value may be spotted elsewhere. The Asian Handicap offers some interesting angles: backing America at -0.5 is offered at 2.1, indicating a belief in their ability to secure victory but with enough room to consider safer options.

Over/Under markets for 2.5 goals are currently favored towards under, with a 58% confidence level, reflecting the defensive strengths and historical trend of lower-scoring matches between these sides. BTTS markets show a 52% chance of no both teams scoring, aligning with their recent defensive resilience.

Forecasting the Final Outcome: A Tactical Dilemma

Considering the statistical evidence and tactical tendencies, the most probable outcome leans towards America de Cali clinching a narrow win, likely 1-0 or 1-1, with a slight preference for the under 2.5 goals market. The cautious nature of both teams' defenses and their recent match patterns supports this scenario.

My confidence level for a home win is around 45%, bolstered by their home record and Santa Fe’s slightly more conservative recent results. The likelihood of both teams not scoring is marginally over 50%, reinforced by the defensive records and historical patterns.

Given the data, a safe yet strategic approach would be betting on a low-scoring affair with a home win or a draw, but for those seeking value, the under 2.5 goals with a modest stake aligns best with the analytical profile of this fixture.

Best Bets Summary

  • Home Win (America de Cali): Odds around 1.5 – a solid pick considering their home advantage and head-to-head history.
  • Under 2.5 Goals: Odds near 1.58 – reflecting the defensive tendencies and historical low-scoring outcomes.
  • No Both Teams to Score: Slightly better value at odds of 2.0, given the defensive resilience displayed by both sides lately.
  • Double Chance (1X): At 1.25, offers security if you are cautious but want exposure to a positive outcome for America.

Final Thoughts: A Tactically Tense Encounter

As the whistle approaches, expect an intense battle in Cali—where tactical discipline and individual moments of brilliance could decide the outcome. America’s home advantage provides a slight edge, but Santa Fe’s recent form and defensive solidity keep them in the contest. Be prepared for a contest where patience, positional play, and set-pieces could be the key differentiators in a match that promises to be as consequential as it is tightly contested.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
Our model predicts America de Cali with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Will both teams score in America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
Both teams to score: No (53% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 37% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
Rodrigo Holgado is our pick to find the net.
What is the Asian Handicap prediction for America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
Our Asian Handicap call is America de Cali -0.50 with 51% confidence.
When and where is America de Cali vs Santa Fe played?
America de Cali vs Santa Fe takes place on 14 Feb 2026 at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.

Additional Information

America de CaliAmerica de Cali

Top Scorers

Y. Guzmán
Y. GuzmánAttacker
2Goals
T. Palacios
T. PalaciosMidfielder
1Goals
M. Castillo
M. CastilloDefender
1Goals
D. Borrero
D. BorreroMidfielder
1Goals
Joel Romero
Joel RomeroMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

T. Palacios
T. PalaciosMidfielder
1Assists
O. Bertel
O. BertelDefender
1Assists
R. Carrascal
R. CarrascalMidfielder
1Assists
K. Angulo
K. AnguloAttacker
1Assists

Cards

R. Carrascal
R. CarrascalMidfielder
20
N. Hernández
N. HernándezDefender
11
Y. Garcés
Y. GarcésAttacker
20
J. Escobar
J. EscobarMidfielder
20
T. Palacios
T. PalaciosMidfielder
10
Santa FeSanta Fe

Top Scorers

C. Mafla
C. MaflaDefender
2Goals
N. Bustos
N. BustosAttacker
1Goals
E. Olivera
E. OliveraDefender
1Goals
F. Fagúndez
F. FagúndezAttacker
1Goals
E. Mosquera
E. MosqueraMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

N. Bustos
N. BustosAttacker
2Assists
A. Zapata
A. ZapataMidfielder
1Assists
V. Moreno
V. MorenoDefender
1Assists

Cards

C. Mafla
C. MaflaDefender
20
E. Mosquera
E. MosqueraMidfielder
20
V. Moreno
V. MorenoDefender
20
E. Olivera
E. OliveraDefender
10
F. Fagúndez
F. FagúndezAttacker
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

America de Cali
WLWDL
10Played
4Wins
2Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.4
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.2
Scored Avg1
Conceded Avg1.2
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

13 MayLat Santa Fe0-4
10 MayDvs Santa Fe1-1
3 MayWvs Deportivo Pereira1-0
25 AprLat Deportivo Cali0-1
23 AprWat Fortaleza FC2-1
Santa Fe
DWDWW
10Played
6Wins
3Draws
1Losses
Points/Game2.1
Win %60%
Goals/Game2.9
Scored Avg2.1
Conceded Avg0.8
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score0%

Recent Matches

28 MayWat Penarol1-0
20 MayWvs Platense2-1
17 MayDvs Junior1-1
13 MayWvs America de Cali4-0
10 MayDat America de Cali1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches20
Average Goals2
BTTS35%
Over 2.5 Goals30%
Over 1.5 Goals75%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
America de Cali190.95 per game
Santa Fe211.05 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
America de Cali8 (40%)
Santa Fe8 (40%)
13 May 2026Primera ASanta Fe4-0America de Cali
10 May 2026Primera AAmerica de Cali1-1Santa Fe
14 Feb 2026Primera AAmerica de Cali1-0Santa Fe
3 Aug 2025Primera ASanta Fe2-1America de Cali
15 Feb 2025Primera AAmerica de Cali2-0Santa Fe
12 Nov 2024Primera AAmerica de Cali0-0Santa Fe
21 Apr 2024Primera ASanta Fe1-0America de Cali
27 Aug 2023Primera AAmerica de Cali2-0Santa Fe
15 Mar 2023Primera ASanta Fe2-0America de Cali
3 Aug 2022Primera ASanta Fe1-1America de Cali
8 Feb 2022Primera AAmerica de Cali2-2Santa Fe
30 Aug 2021Primera ASanta Fe1-1America de Cali
19 Feb 2021Primera AAmerica de Cali0-0Santa Fe
27 Dec 2020Primera ASanta Fe2-0America de Cali
20 Dec 2020Primera AAmerica de Cali3-0Santa Fe
22 Feb 2020Primera ASanta Fe2-0America de Cali
29 Nov 2019Primera AAmerica de Cali2-0Santa Fe
9 Nov 2019Primera ASanta Fe2-1America de Cali
23 Aug 2019Primera ASanta Fe1-2America de Cali
28 Feb 2019Primera AAmerica de Cali0-0Santa Fe

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