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Top Yellow Cards Over/Under Picks for 14 Nov 2026

Alexey Andrianov Alexey Andrianov 5 min read 314 Nov 2026
Top Yellow Cards Over/Under Picks for 14 Nov 2026

Five matches offer the strongest yellow-card selections for 14 Nov 2026, led by Georgia vs Hungary at 70% confidence.

Yellow Cards Over/Under Analysis for 14 Nov 2026

This edition covers 20 fixtures on 14 Nov 2026 and focuses on the potential for bookings across each contest. Yellow Cards Over/Under predictions depend on more than disciplinary records alone. Officials, playing styles, competitive intensity, and the consequences of a tight match can all influence the number of cautions, making careful contextual assessment essential before selecting a side.

No universal total should be applied across the full slate. Some fixtures may feature controlled match situations, while others carry greater scope for arguments, tactical disputes, and repeated infringement. The best approach is to combine the available disciplinary picture with the nature of each contest, then consider whether an Over or Under line is supported by the underlying evidence rather than by reputation alone.

In-Depth Analysis

Georgia vs Hungary offers the strongest listed selection at 70% confidence, with Over 3.5 cards backed by competitive pricing that has the away side at 2.12 and the home side at 2.45. A draw is priced at 3.1, creating a balanced match market despite the clear preference for Hungary. The tighter prices on the teams suggest relatively little separation between Georgia and Hungary, a profile that can support a physical, closely contested Nations League fixture and keep the card total above the 3.5 line.

Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon carries a 68% confidence rating for Over 4.5, making it the highest-threshold selection in the group. Sporting Gijon are priced at 2.5, while Real Sociedad II sit at 2.04 and the draw is 3.25. The home side is the clear market favourite, but the higher cards line demands four bookings rather than three. That extra threshold separates this pick from the Over 3.5 alternatives and makes the cited 68% confidence particularly relevant to the recommendation.

Mallorca vs Cordoba also features Over 4.5 cards, with 67% confidence. Mallorca’s 1.7 price is the shortest in the entire group, compared with 3.7 for a draw and 3.11 for Cordoba, indicating a substantial home-market advantage. Sporting Gijon may have the longer price among the two Segunda División away teams, but Mallorca’s stronger position makes their match the more pronounced favourite-market setup. Both selections require four cards, yet the Mallorca market price provides a distinct reason for the slightly lower confidence rating.

Mirassol vs Atletico-MG returns to Over 3.5 at 65% confidence. Mirassol are strong favourites at 1.68, while Atletico-MG are priced at 3.28 and the draw at 3.6. That is the clearest favourite-versus-underdog contrast in the group, and it supports a card line below the 4.5 requirements used in the two Segunda División matches. Northern Ireland vs Ukraine follows the same Over 3.5 route at 63% confidence, with the home side at 2.09, Ukraine at 2.6 and the draw at 3. Its lower confidence rating reflects the narrow gap between the two teams, but the three-card target still provides a less demanding benchmark than Over 4.5.

More Yellow Cards Over/Under Predictions

Kosovo vs Israel brings a slightly different angle, with the selection leaning towards under 4.5 yellow cards at 58% confidence. The match is listed in the UEFA Nations League for Sat 14 Nov at 14:00, with home odds of 1.57, draw odds of 3.7 and away odds of 3.73. Norway vs Wales also carries 58% confidence, but the prediction moves to over 3.5 cards. Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina follows the same over 3.5 route at 58% confidence, while Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama is also projected to go over 3.5 cards with the same confidence level.

Several League Two fixtures add further variety. Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere is backed to produce over 3.5 cards at 58% confidence, with home odds of 1.68, draw odds of 3.4 and away odds of 3.25. Exeter City vs Cheltenham, by contrast, points towards under 4.5 yellow cards at 54% confidence. Its listed prices are 1.61 for the home side, 3.5 for a draw and 3.5 for the away side, creating a balanced contest in the main betting market even though the card projection favours fewer bookings.

The remaining selections include Romania vs Poland, which is projected over 4.5 cards at 56% confidence, and Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin, where over 5.5 cards is the 56% confidence choice. Portugal vs Denmark and Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland both feature over 3.5-card predictions, with confidence levels of 55% and 54%, respectively. These matches are all listed for Sat 14 Nov, with kick-off times ranging from 19:45 to 20:30. Across the slate, over 3.5 cards appears most frequently, while the higher thresholds require stronger card production and therefore carry slightly lower confidence.

Quick Tips for Remaining Yellow Cards Over/Under Predictions

Prioritize the two 54% selections: Valladolid vs Castellón in the Segunda División and Peru vs Bolivia in the International Friendlies. These offer the strongest stated confidence among the remaining fixtures. Colombia vs Chile is rated at 50%, so it carries slightly less predictive strength and should be treated as the most cautious option rather than a forceful recommendation.

Club Queretaro vs Monterrey, at 53% confidence in Liga MX, also merits close attention. Banfield vs Boca Juniors has a 51% confidence rating in the Copa Argentina. Before finalizing any Over/Under choice, compare the available card line with the forecast confidence and look for signs that either game could produce a high-risk or controlled-carding environment.

Conclusion

The Yellow Cards Over/Under analysis covers 20 fixtures dated 14 November 2026. Each prediction is based on the available match evidence, with the market presented as a guide for evaluating card totals.

Review the selections carefully and compare them with current bookmaker odds before making any final decisions.

Track Record and Full Statistics

Our Yellow Cards Over/Under predictions have hit 55.7% over the last ~90 days across 2756 settled picks. See the full breakdown on our Yellow Cards Over/Under statistics page, where readers can study our accuracy across every market and tournament.

The Ultimate Guide to Cards Betting in Football: Strategies, Tips & Insights

Discover comprehensive strategies, tips, and insights on cards betting in football. Learn about over/under booking points, referee impact, league tendencies, and more.

Read Full Guide
Alexey Andrianov
Alexey AndrianovFounder & Lead Analyst

Founder of Football Predictions — an AI-powered football analysis platform covering 180+ leagues worldwide. Each forecast is generated by our prediction engine and editorially reviewed.

60.3% Our Pick Win Rate 16179 Predictions Tracked 30+ Years Experience

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