A Mixed Day of Predictive Outcomes

Yesterday's Results delivered a varied set of predictions across 43 fixtures, with the Over/Under market proving the most successful area of the review. The betting selections achieved a 67% accuracy rate, meaning 29 of the 43 games landed as predicted. This provided the strongest overall return from the day's forecasts and highlighted the value of focusing on goal totals when assessing a large fixture list.

The 1X2 predictions were less consistent, although they still produced a positive return with 23 correct selections from 43 matches, equivalent to 53% accuracy. BTTS predictions recorded 25 correct outcomes, or 58%, placing the category between the other two main markets. Across the full slate, the results illustrate a day shaped by uneven prediction performance rather than one dominant system, with goal-related forecasts outperforming the traditional match-result selections.

Honest Prediction Accuracy Breakdown

Across 43 matches, the predictions delivered a mixed record. The 1X2 market produced 23 correct selections from 43, a 53% success rate, meaning 20 predictions failed to match the match result. This was the weakest of the three categories and shows that selecting the winning side proved considerably more difficult than the headline figures may suggest. Even a modest edge can disappear quickly over a larger sample, so the 1X2 record does not support describing the picks as consistently reliable.

Over/Under was the strongest area, with 29 correct calls from 43, or 67%. That leaves 14 misses and indicates that the total-goals analysis was generally the most dependable part of the predictions. BTTS also performed positively at 25 from 43, equivalent to 58%, although its 18 misses show a meaningful gap behind the Over/Under record. The BTTS rate suggests the approach captured many matches containing goals from both teams, but it was not strong enough to be treated as a standalone certainty.

Overall, the honest summary is one of moderate rather than exceptional accuracy. Over/Under led the set, BTTS finished second, and 1X2 trailed despite still returning a positive return across 43 matches. These figures do not establish why individual predictions succeeded or failed, and they should not be presented as proof of a long-term profitable system. They simply show that the best-supported part of the analysis was the goals total, while the standard win, draw and loss selections required the greatest caution.

Our Best Prediction Calls

Our most successful set combined clear confidence with two notably brave selections. St-Philbert Gd Lieu’s 1-3 Coupe de France 1/128-finals defeat by La Roche VF validated the Away Win call at 73%, while Liechtenstein’s 0-1 UEFA Nations League League D - 5 loss to Azerbaijan confirmed an Away Win prediction made at 79%. Scotland’s 2-1 UEFA Nations League League B - 5 victory over FYR Macedonia was another high-confidence success, with the Home Win call at 81% proving accurate.

The standout pick was Luxembourg 0-1 Estonia in UEFA Nations League League C - 5. We forecast a Home Win at only 38%, meaning this result rewarded a measured selection outside the stronger choices. Andorra’s 2-0 UEFA Nations League League D - 5 win over Gibraltar was also well judged: the 58% Home Win prediction combined a moderate probability with a convincing two-goal margin.

Across these five competitive tournament fixtures, every forecast landed. The strongest evidence lies in the range: calls from 38% to 81% all proved correct without relying on a single narrow result. La Roche VF’s Coupe de France win, Estonia’s Nations League success, Azerbaijan’s away victory, Scotland’s win and FYR Macedonia’s defeat all followed the direction predicted, making this an excellent sequence across different competitions, rounds and confidence levels.

Our Biggest Prediction Misses

Our biggest miss was Slovakia 2-2 Faroe Islands in UEFA Nations League, League C - 5. We backed a Slovakia win with 70% confidence, but the match finished level. This was a competitive tournament fixture at a neutral venue, so there was no conventional home-ground advantage for Slovakia to exploit. Even so, our prediction placed too much weight on Slovakia’s nominal home status and not enough on the draw. The scoreline shows why a 2-2 outcome should have been treated as a serious possibility rather than the main outside result: Faroe Islands secured a point, while Slovakia’s pre-match advantage failed to translate into three points.

The second major error came in Llaneros 0-0 Chico. Our 67% home-win prediction was also too assertive, as neither side found a way to score and the required result never arrived. A 0-0 draw can be especially difficult to anticipate when the percentages show heavy confidence in one team, because it requires both sides to remain without a decisive breakthrough. Here, the draw was not merely an unexpected alternative outcome; it was the only outcome available from the final score.

Both misses share the same underlying issue: we overestimated the strength of the home-win selections and underweighted the possibility of a draw. Slovakia’s 70% and Llaneros’ 67% were not simply wrong picks; they also showed that our confidence levels were inflated. Lowering those probabilities and giving greater scope to drawn outcomes would have better reflected the uncertainty. These results are a reminder that named favourites can still be held to a draw, particularly when our forecast depends heavily on nominal team strength or home advantage rather than a sufficiently broad range of match scenarios.

Results Roundup by League

The Coupe de France 1/128-finals produced one successful 1X2 prediction and one miss. St-Philbert Gd Lieu defeated La Roche VF 1-3, while Dijon lost 1-2 to Orleans. In the UEFA Nations League, Andorra recorded a correct 1X2 call by beating Gibraltar 2-0, and Liechtenstein also earned a correct prediction in a 1-0 defeat to Azerbaijan. The other Nations League results were wrong: Moldova beat Kazakhstan 2-1, while Luxembourg lost 0-1 to Estonia.

The domestic league selections were more productive. Ospitaletto’s 1-0 win over Dolomiti Bellunesi was correct in Serie C - Girone A. The Premiership included three correct calls: Glentoran beat Bangor 2-1, Coleraine FC defeated Portadown 3-0, and Linfield beat Ballymena United 3-0. Carrick Rangers’ 1-1 draw with Crusaders FC was incorrect, as was the 0-0 draw between Llaneros and Chico in the Primera A. The only Ligue 1 fixture, JS Saoura 1-1 Khenchela, also ended with a wrong 1X2 prediction.

Conclusion

Friday, 13 Nov 2026 delivered 43 matches, with the review’s 1X2 predictions achieving an accuracy of 53%. The figures provide a clear snapshot of the day’s forecasting performance and highlight the value of comparing predictions against yesterday’s results.

Overall, the 53% record reflects a reasonably productive session, although the margin for improvement remains clear. Continued review of the strongest and weakest predictions can sharpen future accuracy.