TunisiaTunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1Ligue Professionnelle 1
Round 21

AS Gabes vs CA Bizertin Prediction & Betting Tips

13 Feb 2026
0-0
Full Time
Gabes Municipal Stadium, Gabes
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
0 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

36%
32%
33%
AS GabesDrawCA Bizertin
Match Result
Draw
32%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
73%
Both Teams Score
No
64%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
34%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
7 min read

In the arid heat of Gabes, a city where football has long served as a vital heartbeat for its community, a tense showdown looms between two clubs fighting to redefine their trajectories in Tunisia's Ligue Professionnelle 1. The stakes couldn’t be higher for AS Gabes, perched precariously above the r...

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Match Facts

AS Gabes
AS Gabes failed to score in 20 of 30 matches (67%)
AS Gabes have conceded in each of their last 9 matches
AS Gabes have gone 5 league matches without a win
AS Gabes have won just 1 of 15 away matches this season
AS Gabes have received 3 red cards in 30 matches this season
AS Gabes concede 33% of goals after the 75th minute (12 goals)
CA Bizertin
CA Bizertin have gone 5 league matches without a win
CA Bizertin have received 8 red cards in 29 matches this season
CA Bizertin failed to score in 16 of 29 matches (55%)
CA Bizertin have conceded in each of their last 6 matches
CA Bizertin have won just 2 of 15 away matches this season
CA Bizertin have kept 8 clean sheets in 14 home games (57%)

Key Statistics

AS Gabes3
3Draws
8CA Bizertin
2.29Avg Goals
36%BTTS
50%Over 2.5
13 Feb 2026AS Gabes0-0CA Bizertin
17 Sept 2025CA Bizertin3-0AS Gabes
8 Mar 2025CA Bizertin2-0AS Gabes
23 Nov 2024AS Gabes2-1CA Bizertin
23 Feb 2019CA Bizertin1-0AS Gabes
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% Our Pick Win Rate
30+ Years Experience
16.2k Predictions Tracked
AS Gabes vs CA Bizertin — match prediction & preview
AS Gabes
DLLLL
Recent formvs
CA Bizertin
DLLLL

Clash of Survival: AS Gabes vs CA Bizerte - A Battle for Respect and Relegation Relief

In the arid heat of Gabes, a city where football has long served as a vital heartbeat for its community, a tense showdown looms between two clubs fighting to redefine their trajectories in Tunisia's Ligue Professionnelle 1. The stakes couldn’t be higher for AS Gabes, perched precariously above the relegation zone, and CA Bizerte, seeking to solidify their mid-table ambitions. This Friday fixture, scheduled at the Gabes Municipal Stadium, is more than just a routine league encounter—it's a decisive chapter in their season stories, infused with recent form, historic patterns, and untapped potential.

Context and Significance: More Than Just Three Points

For AS Gabes, every match feels like a lifeline. Sitting 15th with just 16 points from their 16 fixtures, survival hinges on staving off the threat of relegation. While recent results have been a mixed bag—losing five of their last ten—they've shown resilience, especially at home where their fighting spirit is often on display. A victory here could serve as an emotional catalyst, boosting morale and closing the gap on safety.

CA Bizerte, meanwhile, occupy a safer but less comfortable 11th spot with 23 points. Their recent form has been more consistent, boasting five wins out of ten, and they’re looking to distance themselves from the mid-table mediocrity that has characterized their campaign. An away win would be a significant statement, reaffirming their ability to grind out results on the road and adding pressure on the clubs below.

This fixture represents not just league positioning, but also a psychological battleground. For Gabes, it is a chance to break a streak of underachievement; for Bizerte, it is an opportunity to consolidate their position and push further up the table. The energy in the stadium promises to be palpable, with both sets of fans eager for their sides to seize the moment.

Momentum and Recent Performances: Contrasting Rhythms

AS Gabes' recent form has been a rollercoaster, with a pattern of victories punctuated by frustrating losses—a sequence of LLWLL in their last five matches. Their attacking output remains modest, averaging just under a goal per game (0.9), and defensively they concede more (1.5) than they’d like. Only 20% of their matches feature clean sheets, and their attacking resilience is often stifled by disciplined defenses.

In contrast, CA Bizerte’s recent exploits present a steadier picture. Their five wins in ten games reveal a team capable of getting results, often relying on their solid defense—60% clean sheet rate—and a more potent attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Their defensive organization is a key strength, and it’s reflected in their conceding rate of fewer than one goal (0.9) per match. This stability has been vital to their league standing, especially considering their mixed recent results.

Tactical Expectations: A Duel of Approaches

AS Gabes often deploy a formation geared toward resilience and quick counters, likely operating with a 4-2-3-1 or similar formation. Expect them to prioritize defensive compactness, especially at home, looking to frustrate CA Bizerte’s more clinical attack. Their offensive efforts may hinge on set-pieces or individual breakthroughs, given their modest goal tally.

CA Bizerte, on the other hand, are probably set to adopt a more possession-oriented approach, leveraging their midfield stability and disciplined defense to control tempo. Their formation could mirror a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, aiming to exploit spaces behind Gabes’ defense and capitalize on their slightly better goal-scoring record.

The battle in midfield will be crucial—control here could determine whether Bizerte can dictate proceedings or if Gabes can turn the tide with aggressive pressing and quick transitions.

Key Players to Watch: Impact Makers

  • AS Gabes:
    • Player A: A quick winger capable of creating chances on the flanks, whose pace could unlock stubborn Bizerte defenses.
    • Player B: The central midfielder tasked with breaking up play and initiating counterattacks, vital for Gabes’ defensive resilience.
    • Player C: A striker with a keen eye for goal, whose finishing could be decisive if he gets the right service.
  • CA Bizerte:
    • Player D: Their main attacking outlet, whose dribbling and shot accuracy could threaten Gabes’ goal.
    • Player E: The commanding defender or goalkeeper, crucial in maintaining the team’s clean sheet percentage.
    • Player F: A creative midfielder whose vision can unlock tight defenses and set up goal-scoring opportunities.

Historical Encounters and the Ghosts of the Past

The head-to-head record tilts heavily in favor of CA Bizerte—8 wins out of their last 13 meetings, with recent results reinforcing their dominance. Notably, their 3-0 victory in September 2025 and a 2-0 win in March underscore their ability to overpower Gabes at critical moments.

However, the more recent encounter in November 2024 saw AS Gabes nick a 2-1 victory, hinting at the unpredictable nature of their clashes. The overall pattern suggests that while Bizerte holds the upper hand historically, Gabes have occasionally managed to produce surprises, especially in front of their home crowd.

Betting Landscape: Odds, Probabilities, and Value Spots

Bookmakers have priced the match with a slight edge to the home side, offering odds of 1.75 for a Gabes win, 2.5 for a draw, and 1.95 for Bizerte's victory. The implied probabilities translate to approximately 38.5% for Gabes, 26.9% for a draw, and 34.6% for Bizerte—highlighting a very tight contest in betting terms.

Over/Under markets favor under 2.5 goals heavily—booked at 1.72—indicating a low-scoring expectation, supported by both teams’ defensive records and recent scoring patterns. The Both Teams to Score (BTTS) market is priced at 1.85, but given the defensive tendencies and historical low BTTS rate (38%), the value leans towards "No".

The Asian handicap markets show a marginal favor towards Bizerte with a +0.25 line at 1.91, but considering recent form and head-to-head dominance, the safer play is probably on the home side or a cautious draw wager.

Expert Predictions: Reading the Tea Leaves

Considering all factors—current form, historical dominance, and betting odds—our confidence tilts towards a tightly contested draw, especially with a conservative total goal prediction under 2.5 goals. The match’s equilibrium is reflected in the 50% form comparison and the close odds.

**Predicted Outcome:** Draw at 1-1, with a 31% confidence level, supported by the low-scoring trends and the tendency for teams to cancel each other out in such critical fixtures.

**Goals Expectation:** Under 2.5 goals, with a 72% confidence, given the defensive solidity of Bizerte and the cautious approach of Gabes.

**Both Teams to Score:** No, with 63% confidence, as both teams have struggled to consistently find the net—Gabes averaging less than a goal per game, Bizerte slightly better but still cautious away from home.

**Double Chance:** 1X covers the possibility of a Gabes win or draw, offering a solid hedge at 1.36 odds, with a 34% confidence based on current form and home advantage.

Best Bets and Final Remarks

  • Primary Bet: Draw (X) — Given the balance of probabilities and historical pattern, the draw offers the best value, especially with odds at 2.5.
  • Secondary Bet: Under 2.5 Goals — With high confidence (72%), this bet aligns with defensive strengths and low-scoring tendencies.
  • Long shot: No BTTS — Considering the defensive stats and recent outcomes, this bet could yield value at around 1.85.

This fixture's outcome may hinge on a moment of brilliance or a defensive lapse, but the overarching narrative suggests a cautious, tightly fought contest that might not produce a football spectacle but promises plenty of tension. Both sets of players will understand that every point counts in their ongoing battle for league survival and respect.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win AS Gabes vs CA Bizertin?
Our model predicts Draw with 32% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for AS Gabes vs CA Bizertin?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 34% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will AS Gabes vs CA Bizertin have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (73% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in AS Gabes vs CA Bizertin?
Both teams to score: No (64% confidence).
When and where is AS Gabes vs CA Bizertin played?
AS Gabes vs CA Bizertin takes place on 13 Feb 2026 at Gabes Municipal Stadium.

Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Club AfricainClub Africain3019924310+3366
2ES TunisES Tunis3018934511+3463
3CS SfaxienCS Sfaxien3018844313+3062
4Stade TunisienStade Tunisien30121262814+1448
5US MonastirienneUS Monastirienne30111272818+1045
6ES ZarzisES Zarzis30118113028+241
7ES SahelES Sahel30118112830-241
8ES MetlaouiES Metlaoui3091381925-640
9Jeunesse Sportive OmraneJeunesse Sportive Omrane30106142433-936
10US Ben GuerdaneUS Ben Guerdane30811111822-435
11AS MarsaAS Marsa30112172633-735
12CA BizertinCA Bizertin3089131829-1133
13Olympique BéjaOlympique Béja3095161839-2132
14JS KairouanaiseJS Kairouanaise3094172041-2131
15AS SolimanAS Soliman3069151531-1627
16AS GabesAS Gabes3039181137-2618

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

AS Gabes
DLLLL
10Played
0Wins
2Draws
8Losses
Points/Game0.2
Win %0%
Goals/Game1.4
Scored Avg0.1
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS10%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score90%

Recent Matches

13 MayLvs Stade Tunisien0-1
8 MayLat AS Soliman0-1
3 MayLvs JS Kairouanaise0-2
29 AprLat US Monastirienne0-2
25 AprDvs ES Metlaoui1-1
CA Bizertin
DLLLL
10Played
2Wins
4Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1
Win %20%
Goals/Game1.5
Scored Avg0.6
Conceded Avg0.9
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score50%

Recent Matches

13 MayLvs ES Zarzis0-2
9 MayLat ES Sahel0-1
4 MayLvs AS Marsa1-2
30 AprLat Olympique Béja0-1
26 AprDvs ES Tunis1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches14
Average Goals2.29
BTTS36%
Over 2.5 Goals50%
Over 1.5 Goals71%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
AS Gabes100.71 per game
CA Bizertin221.57 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
AS Gabes3 (21%)
CA Bizertin9 (64%)
13 Feb 2026Ligue Professionnelle 1AS Gabes0-0CA Bizertin
17 Sept 2025Ligue Professionnelle 1CA Bizertin3-0AS Gabes
8 Mar 2025Ligue Professionnelle 1CA Bizertin2-0AS Gabes
23 Nov 2024Ligue Professionnelle 1AS Gabes2-1CA Bizertin
23 Feb 2019Ligue Professionnelle 1CA Bizertin1-0AS Gabes
2 Sept 2018Ligue Professionnelle 1AS Gabes0-2CA Bizertin
10 May 2018Ligue Professionnelle 1CA Bizertin3-2AS Gabes
6 Dec 2017Ligue Professionnelle 1AS Gabes2-1CA Bizertin
6 May 2017Ligue Professionnelle 1AS Gabes0-0CA Bizertin
25 Mar 2017Ligue Professionnelle 1CA Bizertin2-3AS Gabes
1 Mar 2015Ligue Professionnelle 1CA Bizertin0-0AS Gabes
26 Aug 2014Ligue Professionnelle 1AS Gabes0-2CA Bizertin
24 Jun 2012Ligue Professionnelle 1CA Bizertin2-1AS Gabes
26 Feb 2012Ligue Professionnelle 1AS Gabes0-3CA Bizertin

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