TunisiaTunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1Ligue Professionnelle 1
Round 21

AS Gabes vs CA Bizertin Prediction & Betting Tips

13 Feb 2026
0-0
Full Time
Gabes Municipal Stadium, Gabes
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
0 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

36%
32%
33%
AS GabesDrawCA Bizertin
Match Result
Draw
32%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
73%
Both Teams Score
No
64%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
34%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
7 min read

In the arid heat of Gabes, a city where football has long served as a vital heartbeat for its community, a tense showdown looms between two clubs fighting to redefine their trajectories in Tunisia's Ligue Professionnelle 1. The stakes couldn’t be higher for AS Gabes, perched precariously above the r...

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Match Facts

AS Gabes
AS Gabes failed to score in 16 of 25 matches (64%)
AS Gabes have lost their last 3 league matches
AS Gabes have conceded in each of their last 6 matches
AS Gabes have won just 1 of 13 away matches this season
AS Gabes have received 3 red cards in 25 matches this season
AS Gabes concede 31% of goals after the 75th minute (9 goals)
CA Bizertin
CA Bizertin have received 8 red cards in 24 matches this season
CA Bizertin failed to score in 13 of 24 matches (54%)
CA Bizertin have kept 8 clean sheets in 11 home games (73%)
CA Bizertin score 33% of their goals after the 75th minute (5 goals)
CA Bizertin have won just 2 of 13 away matches this season
CA Bizertin have kept 12 clean sheets in 24 matches (50%)

Key Statistics

AS Gabes3
3Draws
8CA Bizertin
2.29Avg Goals
36%BTTS
50%Over 2.5
13 Feb 2026AS Gabes0-0CA Bizertin
17 Sept 2025CA Bizertin3-0AS Gabes
8 Mar 2025CA Bizertin2-0AS Gabes
23 Nov 2024AS Gabes2-1CA Bizertin
23 Feb 2019CA Bizertin1-0AS Gabes
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

Clash of Survival: AS Gabes vs CA Bizerte - A Battle for Respect and Relegation Relief

In the arid heat of Gabes, a city where football has long served as a vital heartbeat for its community, a tense showdown looms between two clubs fighting to redefine their trajectories in Tunisia's Ligue Professionnelle 1. The stakes couldn’t be higher for AS Gabes, perched precariously above the relegation zone, and CA Bizerte, seeking to solidify their mid-table ambitions. This Friday fixture, scheduled at the Gabes Municipal Stadium, is more than just a routine league encounter—it's a decisive chapter in their season stories, infused with recent form, historic patterns, and untapped potential.

Context and Significance: More Than Just Three Points

For AS Gabes, every match feels like a lifeline. Sitting 15th with just 16 points from their 16 fixtures, survival hinges on staving off the threat of relegation. While recent results have been a mixed bag—losing five of their last ten—they've shown resilience, especially at home where their fighting spirit is often on display. A victory here could serve as an emotional catalyst, boosting morale and closing the gap on safety.

CA Bizerte, meanwhile, occupy a safer but less comfortable 11th spot with 23 points. Their recent form has been more consistent, boasting five wins out of ten, and they’re looking to distance themselves from the mid-table mediocrity that has characterized their campaign. An away win would be a significant statement, reaffirming their ability to grind out results on the road and adding pressure on the clubs below.

This fixture represents not just league positioning, but also a psychological battleground. For Gabes, it is a chance to break a streak of underachievement; for Bizerte, it is an opportunity to consolidate their position and push further up the table. The energy in the stadium promises to be palpable, with both sets of fans eager for their sides to seize the moment.

Momentum and Recent Performances: Contrasting Rhythms

AS Gabes' recent form has been a rollercoaster, with a pattern of victories punctuated by frustrating losses—a sequence of LLWLL in their last five matches. Their attacking output remains modest, averaging just under a goal per game (0.9), and defensively they concede more (1.5) than they’d like. Only 20% of their matches feature clean sheets, and their attacking resilience is often stifled by disciplined defenses.

In contrast, CA Bizerte’s recent exploits present a steadier picture. Their five wins in ten games reveal a team capable of getting results, often relying on their solid defense—60% clean sheet rate—and a more potent attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Their defensive organization is a key strength, and it’s reflected in their conceding rate of fewer than one goal (0.9) per match. This stability has been vital to their league standing, especially considering their mixed recent results.

Tactical Expectations: A Duel of Approaches

AS Gabes often deploy a formation geared toward resilience and quick counters, likely operating with a 4-2-3-1 or similar formation. Expect them to prioritize defensive compactness, especially at home, looking to frustrate CA Bizerte’s more clinical attack. Their offensive efforts may hinge on set-pieces or individual breakthroughs, given their modest goal tally.

CA Bizerte, on the other hand, are probably set to adopt a more possession-oriented approach, leveraging their midfield stability and disciplined defense to control tempo. Their formation could mirror a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, aiming to exploit spaces behind Gabes’ defense and capitalize on their slightly better goal-scoring record.

The battle in midfield will be crucial—control here could determine whether Bizerte can dictate proceedings or if Gabes can turn the tide with aggressive pressing and quick transitions.

Key Players to Watch: Impact Makers

  • AS Gabes:
    • Player A: A quick winger capable of creating chances on the flanks, whose pace could unlock stubborn Bizerte defenses.
    • Player B: The central midfielder tasked with breaking up play and initiating counterattacks, vital for Gabes’ defensive resilience.
    • Player C: A striker with a keen eye for goal, whose finishing could be decisive if he gets the right service.
  • CA Bizerte:
    • Player D: Their main attacking outlet, whose dribbling and shot accuracy could threaten Gabes’ goal.
    • Player E: The commanding defender or goalkeeper, crucial in maintaining the team’s clean sheet percentage.
    • Player F: A creative midfielder whose vision can unlock tight defenses and set up goal-scoring opportunities.

Historical Encounters and the Ghosts of the Past

The head-to-head record tilts heavily in favor of CA Bizerte—8 wins out of their last 13 meetings, with recent results reinforcing their dominance. Notably, their 3-0 victory in September 2025 and a 2-0 win in March underscore their ability to overpower Gabes at critical moments.

However, the more recent encounter in November 2024 saw AS Gabes nick a 2-1 victory, hinting at the unpredictable nature of their clashes. The overall pattern suggests that while Bizerte holds the upper hand historically, Gabes have occasionally managed to produce surprises, especially in front of their home crowd.

Betting Landscape: Odds, Probabilities, and Value Spots

Bookmakers have priced the match with a slight edge to the home side, offering odds of 1.75 for a Gabes win, 2.5 for a draw, and 1.95 for Bizerte's victory. The implied probabilities translate to approximately 38.5% for Gabes, 26.9% for a draw, and 34.6% for Bizerte—highlighting a very tight contest in betting terms.

Over/Under markets favor under 2.5 goals heavily—booked at 1.72—indicating a low-scoring expectation, supported by both teams’ defensive records and recent scoring patterns. The Both Teams to Score (BTTS) market is priced at 1.85, but given the defensive tendencies and historical low BTTS rate (38%), the value leans towards "No".

The Asian handicap markets show a marginal favor towards Bizerte with a +0.25 line at 1.91, but considering recent form and head-to-head dominance, the safer play is probably on the home side or a cautious draw wager.

Expert Predictions: Reading the Tea Leaves

Considering all factors—current form, historical dominance, and betting odds—our confidence tilts towards a tightly contested draw, especially with a conservative total goal prediction under 2.5 goals. The match’s equilibrium is reflected in the 50% form comparison and the close odds.

**Predicted Outcome:** Draw at 1-1, with a 31% confidence level, supported by the low-scoring trends and the tendency for teams to cancel each other out in such critical fixtures.

**Goals Expectation:** Under 2.5 goals, with a 72% confidence, given the defensive solidity of Bizerte and the cautious approach of Gabes.

**Both Teams to Score:** No, with 63% confidence, as both teams have struggled to consistently find the net—Gabes averaging less than a goal per game, Bizerte slightly better but still cautious away from home.

**Double Chance:** 1X covers the possibility of a Gabes win or draw, offering a solid hedge at 1.36 odds, with a 34% confidence based on current form and home advantage.

Best Bets and Final Remarks

  • Primary Bet: Draw (X) — Given the balance of probabilities and historical pattern, the draw offers the best value, especially with odds at 2.5.
  • Secondary Bet: Under 2.5 Goals — With high confidence (72%), this bet aligns with defensive strengths and low-scoring tendencies.
  • Long shot: No BTTS — Considering the defensive stats and recent outcomes, this bet could yield value at around 1.85.

This fixture's outcome may hinge on a moment of brilliance or a defensive lapse, but the overarching narrative suggests a cautious, tightly fought contest that might not produce a football spectacle but promises plenty of tension. Both sets of players will understand that every point counts in their ongoing battle for league survival and respect.

Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Club AfricainClub Africain271782399+3059
2ES TunisES Tunis2716924310+3357
3CS SfaxienCS Sfaxien2715843512+2353
4Stade TunisienStade Tunisien27111152712+1544
5US MonastirienneUS Monastirienne27101252516+942
6ES SahelES Sahel2710892524+138
7ES MetlaouiES Metlaoui2781271824-636
8Jeunesse Sportive OmraneJeunesse Sportive Omrane27105122128-735
9US Ben GuerdaneUS Ben Guerdane2781091820-234
10CA BizertinCA Bizertin2789101724-733
11ES ZarzisES Zarzis2788112427-332
12AS MarsaAS Marsa27101162227-531
13Olympique BéjaOlympique Béja2784151535-2028
14JS KairouanaiseJS Kairouanaise2773171741-2424
15AS SolimanAS Soliman2749141328-1521
16AS GabesAS Gabes2739151133-2218
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

AS Gabes
LDLLL
10Played
0Wins
3Draws
7Losses
Points/Game0.3
Win %0%
Goals/Game1.9
Scored Avg0.3
Conceded Avg1.6
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score70%

Recent Matches

29 AprLat US Monastirienne0-2
25 AprDvs ES Metlaoui1-1
10 AprLvs US Ben Guerdane0-1
5 AprLat Club Africain0-2
6 MarLvs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane0-2
CA Bizertin
LDDWW
10Played
2Wins
5Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.1
Win %20%
Goals/Game1.6
Scored Avg0.6
Conceded Avg1
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score50%

Recent Matches

30 AprLat Olympique Béja0-1
26 AprDvs ES Tunis1-1
11 AprDat Stade Tunisien1-1
3 AprWvs AS Soliman1-0
8 MarWat JS Kairouanaise2-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches14
Average Goals2.29
BTTS36%
Over 2.5 Goals50%
Over 1.5 Goals71%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
AS Gabes100.71 per game
CA Bizertin221.57 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
AS Gabes3 (21%)
CA Bizertin9 (64%)
13 Feb 2026Ligue Professionnelle 1AS Gabes0-0CA Bizertin
17 Sept 2025Ligue Professionnelle 1CA Bizertin3-0AS Gabes
8 Mar 2025Ligue Professionnelle 1CA Bizertin2-0AS Gabes
23 Nov 2024Ligue Professionnelle 1AS Gabes2-1CA Bizertin
23 Feb 2019Ligue Professionnelle 1CA Bizertin1-0AS Gabes
2 Sept 2018Ligue Professionnelle 1AS Gabes0-2CA Bizertin
10 May 2018Ligue Professionnelle 1CA Bizertin3-2AS Gabes
6 Dec 2017Ligue Professionnelle 1AS Gabes2-1CA Bizertin
6 May 2017Ligue Professionnelle 1AS Gabes0-0CA Bizertin
25 Mar 2017Ligue Professionnelle 1CA Bizertin2-3AS Gabes
1 Mar 2015Ligue Professionnelle 1CA Bizertin0-0AS Gabes
26 Aug 2014Ligue Professionnelle 1AS Gabes0-2CA Bizertin
24 Jun 2012Ligue Professionnelle 1CA Bizertin2-1AS Gabes
26 Feb 2012Ligue Professionnelle 1AS Gabes0-3CA Bizertin