Brazil
Serie ARound 19
Atletico-MG vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips
MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte
Our prediction: Atletico-MG — Win (44%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
@ 1.81
52%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Atletico-MGDrawBahia
Match Result
Atletico-MG
@ 1.97
45%
Total Goals
Best ValueUnder 2.5
@ 1.81
52%
Both Teams Score
Yes
@ 1.77
52%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
@ 1.30
36%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.5
@ 2.08
48%
Half Time
Draw
@ 2.04
44%
HT/FT
Draw/Home
@ 5.10
19.6%
Additional Markets
Anytime Goal Scorer
Mateo Cassierra
38.2%@ 2.62
Dudu Pereira
33.3%@ 3.00
Everaldo Stum
31.3%@ 3.20
da Silva Willian Jose
31.3%@ 3.20
Reinier Carvalho
29.4%@ 3.40
Alan Minda
29.4%@ 3.40
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Match Facts
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG concede 43% of goals after the 75th minute (3 goals)
BahiaBahia have conceded in each of their last 9 matches
Bahia have scored in each of their last 6 matches
Key Statistics
67Draws
7
2.7Avg Goals
60%BTTS
50%Over 2.5
5 Nov 2025Atletico-MG3-0Bahia
13 Jul 2025Bahia2-1Atletico-MG
15 Sept 2024Bahia3-0Atletico-MG
2 Jun 2024Atletico-MG1-1Bahia
7 Dec 2023Bahia4-1Atletico-MG
Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.16 | 3.40 | 3.52 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.42 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Our model predicts Atletico-MG with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
What is the best bet for Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Our top recommendation is Under 2.5 with 52% confidence.
What is the Asian Handicap prediction for Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Our Asian Handicap call is Atletico-MG -0.5 with 48% confidence.
Atletico-MG vs Bahia: what is our Half Time tip?
Our Half Time call is Draw with 44% confidence.
What is the HT/FT prediction for Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Our HT/FT call is X/1 with 20% confidence.
When and where is Atletico-MG vs Bahia played?
Atletico-MG vs Bahia takes place on 21 Jul 2026 at MRV Arena.
Additional Information
Atletico-MGTop Scorers
Victor HugoMidfielder
1Goals
HulkAttacker
1Goals
Ruan TressoldiDefender
1Goals
DuduMidfielder
1Goals
Top Assists
Victor HugoMidfielder
1Assists
HulkAttacker
1Assists
Renan LodiDefender
1Assists
Cards
Renan LodiDefender
20
Ruan TressoldiDefender
10
A. FrancoDefender
10
Igor GomesMidfielder
10
AlexsanderMidfielder
10
BahiaTop Scorers
No data
Top Assists
No data
Cards
No data
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
Atletico-MGWDWLW
10Played
5Wins
1Draws
4Losses
| Points/Game | 1.6 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 2.5 |
| Scored Avg | 1.2 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.3 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% |
| Failed to Score | 40% |
Recent Matches
31 MayWat Vasco DA Gama1-0
24 MayLat Corinthians0-1
16 MayWvs Mirassol3-1
10 MayDvs Botafogo1-1
3 MayWat Cruzeiro3-1
BahiaLLDLW
10Played
2Wins
3Draws
5Losses
| Points/Game | 0.9 |
| Win % | 20% |
| Goals/Game | 3.3 |
| Scored Avg | 1.4 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.9 |
| BTTS | 90% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% |
Recent Matches
30 MayWvs Botafogo2-1
25 MayLat Coritiba2-3
17 MayDvs Gremio1-1
14 MayLat Remo1-2
10 MayLvs Cruzeiro1-2
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 20 |
| Average Goals | 2.7 |
| BTTS | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 85% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 26 | 1.3 per game |
| Bahia | 28 | 1.4 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 5 (25%) |
| Bahia | 3 (15%) |
5 Nov 2025Serie AAtletico-MG3-0Bahia
13 Jul 2025Serie ABahia2-1Atletico-MG
15 Sept 2024Serie ABahia3-0Atletico-MG
2 Jun 2024Serie AAtletico-MG1-1Bahia
7 Dec 2023Serie ABahia4-1Atletico-MG
13 Aug 2023Serie AAtletico-MG1-0Bahia
2 Dec 2021Serie ABahia2-3Atletico-MG
5 Aug 2021Copa Do BrasilBahia2-1Atletico-MG
29 Jul 2021Copa Do BrasilAtletico-MG2-0Bahia
25 Jul 2021Serie AAtletico-MG3-0Bahia
13 Feb 2021Serie AAtletico-MG1-1Bahia
19 Oct 2020Serie ABahia3-1Atletico-MG
28 Nov 2019Serie ABahia1-1Atletico-MG
24 Aug 2019Serie AAtletico-MG0-1Bahia
17 Nov 2018Serie AAtletico-MG1-0Bahia
30 Jul 2018Serie ABahia2-2Atletico-MG
12 Nov 2017Serie ABahia2-2Atletico-MG
20 Jul 2017Serie AAtletico-MG0-2Bahia
21 Oct 2014Serie ABahia1-1Atletico-MG
19 Jul 2014Serie AAtletico-MG1-1Bahia