Round 23
Atletico-MG vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips
MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte
Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Atletico-MGDrawGremio
Match Result
Atletico-MG
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams Score
Yes
60%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Match Facts
Atletico-MG concede 43% of goals after the 75th minute (3 goals)
Carlos Vinícius has scored 4 of Gremio's 6 goals (67%)
Gremio have conceded in each of their last 6 matches
Key Statistics
3Draws
11
3.2Avg Goals
70%BTTS
60%Over 2.5
26 Feb 2026Gremio2-1Atletico-MG
17 Aug 2025Atletico-MG1-3Gremio
29 Mar 2025Gremio2-1Atletico-MG
9 Oct 2024Atletico-MG2-1Gremio
1 Sept 2024Gremio2-3Atletico-MG
Frequently Asked Questions
Atletico-MG vs Gremio: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Atletico-MG with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Atletico-MG vs Gremio have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (50% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Both teams to score: Yes (60% confidence).
When and where is Atletico-MG vs Gremio played?
Atletico-MG vs Gremio takes place on 15 Aug 2026 at MRV Arena.
Additional Information
Top Scorers
Victor HugoMidfielder
1Goals
HulkAttacker
1Goals
Ruan TressoldiDefender
1Goals
DuduMidfielder
1Goals
Top Assists
Victor HugoMidfielder
1Assists
HulkAttacker
1Assists
Renan LodiDefender
1Assists
Cards
Renan LodiDefender
20
Ruan TressoldiDefender
10
A. FrancoDefender
10
Igor GomesMidfielder
10
AlexsanderMidfielder
10
Top Scorers
Carlos ViníciusAttacker
4Goals
TetêMidfielder
1Goals
EdenílsonMidfielder
1Goals
Top Assists
F. AmuzuMidfielder
2Assists
Gustavo MartinsDefender
1Assists
Cards
WevertonGoalkeeper
10
Wagner LeonardoDefender
10
André HenriqueAttacker
10
DodiMidfielder
10
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
WLWDW
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
| Points/Game | 1.7 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 2.6 |
| Scored Avg | 1.3 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.3 |
| BTTS | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% |
| Failed to Score | 30% |
Recent Matches
26 JulWat Palmeiras2-1
21 JulDvs Bahia1-1
31 MayWat Vasco DA Gama1-0
24 MayLat Corinthians0-1
16 MayWvs Mirassol3-1
DWLLD
10Played
4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
| Points/Game | 1.5 |
| Win % | 40% |
| Goals/Game | 2.3 |
| Scored Avg | 1.3 |
| Conceded Avg | 1 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
26 JulDvs Fluminense1-1
17 JulLat Mirassol1-2
30 MayLvs Corinthians1-3
23 MayWvs Santos3-2
17 MayDat Bahia1-1
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 20 |
| Average Goals | 3.2 |
| BTTS | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 85% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 28 | 1.4 per game |
| Gremio | 36 | 1.8 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1 (5%) |
| Gremio | 5 (25%) |
26 Feb 2026Serie AGremio2-1Atletico-MG
17 Aug 2025Serie AAtletico-MG1-3Gremio
29 Mar 2025Serie AGremio2-1Atletico-MG
9 Oct 2024Serie AAtletico-MG2-1Gremio
1 Sept 2024Serie AGremio2-3Atletico-MG
26 Nov 2023Serie AAtletico-MG3-0Gremio
23 Jul 2023Serie AGremio1-0Atletico-MG
10 Dec 2021Serie AGremio4-3Atletico-MG
4 Nov 2021Serie AAtletico-MG2-1Gremio
20 Jan 2021Serie AGremio1-1Atletico-MG
27 Sept 2020Serie AAtletico-MG3-1Gremio
13 Oct 2019Serie AAtletico-MG1-4Gremio
25 May 2019Serie AGremio1-0Atletico-MG
3 Nov 2018Serie AAtletico-MG0-1Gremio
19 Jul 2018Serie AGremio2-0Atletico-MG
3 Dec 2017Serie AAtletico-MG4-3Gremio
6 Aug 2017Serie AGremio2-0Atletico-MG
7 Dec 2016Copa Do BrasilGremio1-1Atletico-MG
23 Nov 2016Copa Do BrasilAtletico-MG1-3Gremio
28 Aug 2016Serie AGremio1-1Atletico-MG

