BrazilBrazil
Serie ASerie A
Round 23

Atletico-MG vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips

15 Aug 2026
19:30
MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte

Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Confidence
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Betting Tips

45%
45%
10%
Atletico-MGDrawGremio
Match Result
Atletico-MG
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams Score
Yes
60%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Match Facts

Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG concede 43% of goals after the 75th minute (3 goals)
Gremio
Carlos Vinícius has scored 4 of Gremio's 6 goals (67%)
Gremio have conceded in each of their last 6 matches

Key Statistics

Atletico-MG6
3Draws
11Gremio
3.2Avg Goals
70%BTTS
60%Over 2.5
26 Feb 2026Gremio2-1Atletico-MG
17 Aug 2025Atletico-MG1-3Gremio
29 Mar 2025Gremio2-1Atletico-MG
9 Oct 2024Atletico-MG2-1Gremio
1 Sept 2024Gremio2-3Atletico-MG
View all H2H matches

Frequently Asked Questions

Atletico-MG vs Gremio: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Atletico-MG with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Atletico-MG vs Gremio have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (50% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Both teams to score: Yes (60% confidence).
When and where is Atletico-MG vs Gremio played?
Atletico-MG vs Gremio takes place on 15 Aug 2026 at MRV Arena.

Additional Information

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG

Top Scorers

Victor Hugo
Victor HugoMidfielder
1Goals
Hulk
HulkAttacker
1Goals
Ruan Tressoldi
Ruan TressoldiDefender
1Goals
Dudu
DuduMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

Victor Hugo
Victor HugoMidfielder
1Assists
Hulk
HulkAttacker
1Assists
Renan Lodi
Renan LodiDefender
1Assists

Cards

Renan Lodi
Renan LodiDefender
20
Ruan Tressoldi
Ruan TressoldiDefender
10
A. Franco
A. FrancoDefender
10
Igor Gomes
Igor GomesMidfielder
10
Alexsander
AlexsanderMidfielder
10
GremioGremio

Top Scorers

Carlos Vinícius
Carlos ViníciusAttacker
4Goals
Tetê
TetêMidfielder
1Goals
Edenílson
EdenílsonMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

F. Amuzu
F. AmuzuMidfielder
2Assists
Gustavo Martins
Gustavo MartinsDefender
1Assists

Cards

Weverton
WevertonGoalkeeper
10
Wagner Leonardo
Wagner LeonardoDefender
10
André Henrique
André HenriqueAttacker
10
Dodi
DodiMidfielder
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Atletico-MG
WLWDW
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.7
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.6
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

26 JulWat Palmeiras2-1
21 JulDvs Bahia1-1
31 MayWat Vasco DA Gama1-0
24 MayLat Corinthians0-1
16 MayWvs Mirassol3-1
Gremio
DWLLD
10Played
4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.5
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.3
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

26 JulDvs Fluminense1-1
17 JulLat Mirassol1-2
30 MayLvs Corinthians1-3
23 MayWvs Santos3-2
17 MayDat Bahia1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches20
Average Goals3.2
BTTS70%
Over 2.5 Goals60%
Over 1.5 Goals85%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Atletico-MG281.4 per game
Gremio361.8 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Atletico-MG1 (5%)
Gremio5 (25%)
26 Feb 2026Serie AGremio2-1Atletico-MG
17 Aug 2025Serie AAtletico-MG1-3Gremio
29 Mar 2025Serie AGremio2-1Atletico-MG
9 Oct 2024Serie AAtletico-MG2-1Gremio
1 Sept 2024Serie AGremio2-3Atletico-MG
26 Nov 2023Serie AAtletico-MG3-0Gremio
23 Jul 2023Serie AGremio1-0Atletico-MG
10 Dec 2021Serie AGremio4-3Atletico-MG
4 Nov 2021Serie AAtletico-MG2-1Gremio
20 Jan 2021Serie AGremio1-1Atletico-MG
27 Sept 2020Serie AAtletico-MG3-1Gremio
13 Oct 2019Serie AAtletico-MG1-4Gremio
25 May 2019Serie AGremio1-0Atletico-MG
3 Nov 2018Serie AAtletico-MG0-1Gremio
19 Jul 2018Serie AGremio2-0Atletico-MG
3 Dec 2017Serie AAtletico-MG4-3Gremio
6 Aug 2017Serie AGremio2-0Atletico-MG
7 Dec 2016Copa Do BrasilGremio1-1Atletico-MG
23 Nov 2016Copa Do BrasilAtletico-MG1-3Gremio
28 Aug 2016Serie AGremio1-1Atletico-MG

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