Brazil

Serie A

Round 23

Atletico-MG vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips

Atletico-MG

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9th29 pts

16 Aug 2026

19:00

Gremio

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14th25 pts

MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte

Our prediction: Atletico-MG — Win (53%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet

Our #1 Pick

Match Result

Atletico-MG

@ 1.56

55%

Confidence

Betting Tips

53%

27%

20%

Atletico-MGDrawGremio

Match Result

Best Value

Atletico-MG

@ 1.56

55%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

@ 1.81

52%

Both Teams Score

Yes

@ 1.86

50%

Double Chance

Home/Draw

@ 1.19

40%

Asian Handicap

AH Home -0.75

@ 1.92

52%

Half Time

Draw

@ 2.06

42%

HT/FT

Draw/Home

@ 4.30

23.3%

Additional Markets

Total Corners

Over 9.5

@ 1.52

60.7%

Anytime Goal Scorer

Mateo Cassierra

40.0%@ 2.50

Dudu Pereira

34.7%@ 2.88

Reinier Carvalho

31.3%@ 3.20

Alan Minda

31.3%@ 3.20

Tomas Cuello

29.4%@ 3.40

Bernard

29.4%@ 3.40

Odds updated hourly from bookmakers

Predictions recalculated every 2 hours

Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Match Facts

Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG concede 43% of goals after the 75th minute (3 goals)

Gremio

Carlos Vinícius has scored 4 of Gremio's 6 goals (67%)

Gremio have scored in each of their last 6 matches

Gremio have conceded in each of their last 7 matches

Key Statistics

3Draws

3.2Avg Goals

70%BTTS

60%Over 2.5

26 Feb 2026Gremio2-1Atletico-MG

17 Aug 2025Atletico-MG1-3Gremio

29 Mar 2025Gremio2-1Atletico-MG

9 Oct 2024Atletico-MG2-1Gremio

1 Sept 2024Gremio2-3Atletico-MG

View all H2H matches

67%

Form

33%

50%

Attack

50%

69%

Defense

31%

65%

Poisson

35%

40%

H2H

60%

44%

Goals

56%

55%

Overall

44%

Atletico-MG

DWDWD

1.4Scored/G

0.8Conceded/G

30%CS

60%BTTS

Gremio

LDDWW

1.4Scored/G

1.2Conceded/G

20%CS

70%BTTS

View detailed form

Betting Odds

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	1.28	3.50	3.30
1xBet	1.80	3.55	4.88
888Sport	1.30	3.30	3.20

Frequently Asked Questions

Atletico-MG vs Gremio: who is predicted to win?

Our model predicts Atletico-MG with 55% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.

What is the Corners prediction for Atletico-MG vs Gremio?

Our Corners call is Over 9.5 with 61% confidence.

How many goals will Atletico-MG vs Gremio have?

We expect Under 2.5 goals (52% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.

Will both teams score in Atletico-MG vs Gremio?

Both teams to score: Yes (50% confidence).

Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Atletico-MG vs Gremio?

Our double chance pick is 1X with 40% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.

When and where is Atletico-MG vs Gremio played?

Atletico-MG vs Gremio takes place on 16 Aug 2026 at MRV Arena.

Additional Information

Atletico-MG

Top Scorers

Victor HugoMidfielder

1Goals

HulkAttacker

1Goals

Ruan TressoldiDefender

1Goals

DuduMidfielder

1Goals

Top Assists

Victor HugoMidfielder

1Assists

HulkAttacker

1Assists

Renan LodiDefender

1Assists

Cards

Renan LodiDefender

Ruan TressoldiDefender

A. FrancoDefender

Igor GomesMidfielder

AlexsanderMidfielder

Gremio