Round 14
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction & Betting Tips
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Our prediction: Atletico Nacional — Win (77%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: No.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Atletico Nacional
@ 1.14
77%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Atletico NacionalDrawDeportivo Pasto
Match Result
Atletico Nacional
@ 1.14
77%
Total Goals
Best ValueOver 2.5
@ 1.59
58%
Both Teams Score
No
@ 1.59
58%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
@ 1.04
46%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -2
@ 2.14
47%
Half Time
Atletico Nacional
@ 1.57
55%
HT/FT
Home/Home
@ 1.62
61.7%
Correct Score
3:0
@ 6.50
15.4%
Additional Markets
Total Corners
Under 9.5
@ 1.72
53.8%
Anytime Goal Scorer
Alfredo Morelos
61.7%@ 1.62
Cristian Arango
52.4%@ 1.91
James Rodriguez
41.7%@ 2.40
Andres Sarmiento
41.7%@ 2.40
Edwin Cardona
41.7%@ 2.40
Kevin Parra
41.7%@ 2.40
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Match Facts
A. Estupiñán has scored 5 of Deportivo Pasto's 6 goals (83%)
Deportivo Pasto have received 3 red cards in 6 matches this season
Deportivo Pasto average 3.7 yellow cards per game (22 in 6 matches)
Deportivo Pasto have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches (50%)
Deportivo Pasto failed to score in 2 of 6 matches (33%)
Key Statistics
4Draws
1
2.2Avg Goals
45%BTTS
40%Over 2.5
29 Mar 2026Deportivo Pasto1-2Atletico Nacional
18 Oct 2025Deportivo Pasto2-2Atletico Nacional
30 Apr 2025Atletico Nacional3-0Deportivo Pasto
5 Dec 2024Atletico Nacional2-1Deportivo Pasto
24 Nov 2024Deportivo Pasto0-1Atletico Nacional
Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.20 | 5.80 | 13.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.05 | 5.75 | 11.00 |
| Betano | 1.06 | 5.40 | 8.00 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Atletico Nacional with 77% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
What is the Corners prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our Corners call is Under 9.5 with 54% confidence.
How many goals will Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (58% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto?
Both teams to score: No (58% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 46% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto played?
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto takes place on 23 Oct 2026 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Additional Information
Top Scorers
J. RengifoMidfielder
1Goals
E. CardonaMidfielder
1Goals
W. TesilloDefender
1Goals
M. CascoDefender
1Goals
A. SarmientoMidfielder
1Goals
Top Assists
J. RengifoMidfielder
2Assists
E. CardonaMidfielder
1Assists
M. MorenoMidfielder
1Assists
D. AsprillaAttacker
1Assists
Cards
J. RengifoMidfielder
10
M. CascoDefender
10
A. RománDefender
10
J. ZapataMidfielder
10
S. VelásquezMidfielder
10
Top Scorers
A. EstupiñánAttacker
5Goals
Y. GóezMidfielder
1Goals
Top Assists
A. EstupiñánAttacker
1Assists
J. CaicedoMidfielder
1Assists
Jonathan PerlazaMidfielder
1Assists
Cards
A. EstupiñánAttacker
31
J. CaicedoMidfielder
30
D. ChávezMidfielder
30
M. GaravitoDefender
20
E. SerjeMidfielder
20
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
WLDWD
10Played
6Wins
2Draws
2Losses
| Points/Game | 2 |
| Win % | 60% |
| Goals/Game | 2.8 |
| Scored Avg | 1.8 |
| Conceded Avg | 1 |
| BTTS | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% |
Recent Matches
8 OctDvs Deportes Tolima0-0
1 OctWvs Junior3-1
25 SeptDvs Millonarios1-1
21 SeptLat Llaneros0-2
17 SeptWat Internacional de Bogota3-2
DWWLD
10Played
2Wins
3Draws
5Losses
| Points/Game | 0.9 |
| Win % | 20% |
| Goals/Game | 1.9 |
| Scored Avg | 0.6 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.3 |
| BTTS | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 50% |
Recent Matches
4 OctDvs Fortaleza FC0-0
25 SeptLat Chico0-3
20 SeptWvs Once Caldas1-0
15 SeptWat America de Cali1-0
5 SeptDat Cucuta2-2
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 20 |
| Average Goals | 2.2 |
| BTTS | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | 32 | 1.6 per game |
| Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 0.6 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | 10 (50%) |
| Deportivo Pasto | 2 (10%) |
29 Mar 2026Primera ADeportivo Pasto1-2Atletico Nacional
18 Oct 2025Primera ADeportivo Pasto2-2Atletico Nacional
30 Apr 2025Primera AAtletico Nacional3-0Deportivo Pasto
5 Dec 2024Primera AAtletico Nacional2-1Deportivo Pasto
24 Nov 2024Primera ADeportivo Pasto0-1Atletico Nacional
6 Oct 2024Primera ADeportivo Pasto1-2Atletico Nacional
24 Mar 2024Primera AAtletico Nacional1-0Deportivo Pasto
25 Aug 2023Primera AAtletico Nacional2-0Deportivo Pasto
18 Jun 2023Primera AAtletico Nacional3-2Deportivo Pasto
20 May 2023Primera ADeportivo Pasto1-1Atletico Nacional
5 Mar 2023Primera ADeportivo Pasto0-1Atletico Nacional
2 Aug 2022Primera AAtletico Nacional3-1Deportivo Pasto
7 Feb 2022Primera ADeportivo Pasto0-1Atletico Nacional
26 Sept 2021Primera AAtletico Nacional1-1Deportivo Pasto
3 Feb 2021Primera ADeportivo Pasto0-0Atletico Nacional
9 Nov 2020Primera AAtletico Nacional1-0Deportivo Pasto
21 Sept 2019Primera ADeportivo Pasto1-2Atletico Nacional
31 Mar 2019Primera AAtletico Nacional0-1Deportivo Pasto
9 Sept 2018Primera ADeportivo Pasto0-2Atletico Nacional
18 Mar 2018Primera AAtletico Nacional2-0Deportivo Pasto

