IndonesiaIndonesia
Liga 1Liga 1
Round 21

Bali United vs Persija Prediction & Betting Tips

15 Feb 2026
0-1
Full Time
Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, Gianyar
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Asian Handicap
Persija -0.25
@ 1.35
0 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

30%
26%
44%
Bali UnitedDrawPersija
Match Result
Persija
44%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
51%
Both Teams Score
Yes
54%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
36%
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.35
74%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
6 min read

The sun casts a gentle glow over Gianyar’s lush surroundings as spectators fill the vibrant Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, ready to witness a crucial fixture in Indonesia’s Liga 1. Known for its intimate yet passionate atmosphere, this venue often provides a tangible home advantage—locally sourced en...

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Match Facts

Bali United
Bali United have scored all 6 penalties this season
Bali United have received 4 red cards in 30 matches this season
Bali United score 34% of their goals after the 75th minute (17 goals)
Bali United concede 31% of goals after the 75th minute (13 goals)
Bali United score 70% of their goals in the second half
Persija
Persija have scored in each of their last 10 matches
Persija have received 8 red cards in 30 matches this season
Persija have scored all 7 penalties this season
Persija concede 38% of goals after the 75th minute (10 goals)
Persija score 30% of their goals after the 75th minute (17 goals)
Persija score 66% of their goals in the second half

Key Statistics

Bali United5
2Draws
3Persija
2.3Avg Goals
50%BTTS
40%Over 2.5
15 Feb 2026Bali United0-1Persija
14 Sept 2025Persija1-1Bali United
10 May 2025Persija3-0Bali United
15 Dec 2024Bali United3-1Persija
30 Mar 2024Bali United1-0Persija
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

Gianyar’s Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium: A Stage for Bali United’s Quest for Momentum

The sun casts a gentle glow over Gianyar’s lush surroundings as spectators fill the vibrant Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, ready to witness a crucial fixture in Indonesia’s Liga 1. Known for its intimate yet passionate atmosphere, this venue often provides a tangible home advantage—locally sourced energy, familiar surroundings, and a raucous crowd that can lift Bali United’s spirits. Historically, Bali United’s stint here has seen a mixture of spirited victories and narrow defeats, but their recent form suggests they’re aiming to turn this advantage into a sustained push for the top half of the table.

The Significance of This Clash in the Current League Tapestry

As the season edges into its second quarter, this match becomes more than just a routine fixture; it symbolizes Bali United’s desire to cement their mid-table status and push for a higher position, especially against a formidable opponent like Persija. For Persija, sitting in 3rd with a significant points cushion, this game is an opportunity to refortify their title-chasing credentials and extend their dominance over a Bali United side that’s historically provided stiff competition.

Momentum and Form—Where Both Teams Stand

Gauging Bali United’s Recent Pathway

Bali United’s last five outings paint a picture of resilience mixed with inconsistency—recording two wins, two draws, and a loss. Their overall form (LDLWW) reflects a team that is capable of both high-quality performances and moments of vulnerability. Notably, they maintain an average goals scored and conceded at 1.3, indicating a balanced approach but also exposing defensive fragility. Their recent win streak of two matches suggests they’re gaining confidence at home, yet their 30% clean sheet rate hints at defensive lapses that Persija could exploit.

Persija’s Road to the Present

In stark contrast, Persija’s form (LLDDD) has been more tumultuous—coming off a run of four consecutive defeats. Despite this, their overall league standing remains high due to an impressive goal-scoring record (36 goals in 10 matches) and a compact defensive line, with only 16 goals conceded. Their recent pattern indicates struggles with consistency but also the capacity to bounce back, especially given their 13 wins and 2 draws overall. Their ability to score more than Bali United, combined with a decent clean sheet rate (30%), makes them a dangerous side, especially on the road.

Predicted Tactical Approaches and Formational Dynamics

Bali United are likely to adopt a 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2 formation, focusing on solid midfield containment and quick transitions to utilize their home advantage. Expect them to press high early, aiming to capitalize on their familiarity with the pitch and atmosphere. Their attack will revolve around their top scorers, possibly deploying wingers to stretch Persija’s defense.

Persija, meanwhile, may stick with a pragmatic 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, emphasizing disciplined defending and swift counterattacks. Their goal-scoring prowess suggests they will seek to control possession and exploit Bali United’s occasionally shaky backline. Their midfield duo will be crucial in breaking down Bali’s buildup and initiating swift offensive moves.

Key Players to Watch: Impact Makers and Match Influencers

Bali United’s Main Men

  • Striker X: Leading scorer, sharp in finishing, and a constant threat in the box.
  • Midfielder Y: Creative playmaker responsible for unlocking defenses with incisive passes.
  • Defender Z: Key figure in maintaining defensive solidity, especially during set-pieces.

Persija’s Prime Threats

  • Goalgetter A: Prolific scorer, adept at finding space behind defenders.
  • Winger B: Fast, dribbling skills to stretch the defense and provide crosses.
  • Midfielder C: Deep-lying playmaker dictating tempo and orchestrating attacks.

Historical Encounters and Emerging Trends

Over their last nine meetings, Bali United holds a slight edge with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Goals per game average at 2.44, with a modest 56% of matches seeing both teams scoring. Notably, recent head-to-heads reflect tightly contested affairs—most recently a 1-1 draw and a 3-0 Persija victory earlier in 2025. Bali United’s ability to sometimes frustrate Persija’s offensive efforts hints at tactical nuances and psychological resilience that could be decisive here.

Decoding the Betting Market: Odds, Probabilities, and Value

Current Bookmaker Odds Breakdown

  • Match Winner: Bali United (2.4), Persija (1.5), Draw (3.1)
  • Implied Probabilities: Bali United (29.6%), Draw (22.9%), Persija (47.4%)
  • Double Chance: 1X (1.67), 12 (1.33), X2 (1.3)
  • Asian Handicap options: Home +0.5 (1.77), Away +0.5 (1.95), +0.25 (2.04/1.8)
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Data suggests a slight lean towards Under 2.5 with odds around 1.9
  • BTTS (Both Teams To Score): Approximate odds around 1.80-1.90 for Yes

Analytical Dive into Probabilities and Market Value

The implied probability for a Persija win stands at nearly 47.4%, which is high considering their recent struggles, but their superior league standing and head-to-head record support this view. Conversely, Bali United’s odds suggest a less than 30% chance for victory, yet their home form and recent momentum imply some undervaluation. The draw sits at about 22.9%, aligning with the 54% confidence in both teams scoring and a cautious approach.

The Asian Handicap market, especially Home +0.5 at 1.77, offers value when considering Bali United’s home advantage and recent form, combined with Persija’s inconsistency away from Jakarta. The under 2.5 goals market, at 1.9, aligns with both teams’ defensive records and the likelihood of a tightly contested match.

Expert Forecast: Strategic Predictions with Confidence Levels

  • Match Result: Persija to Win (45% confidence)
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 (51% confidence)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (54% confidence)
  • Double Chance: Draw or Persija Win (X2) at 1.3, with a 63% combined probability

Given Bali United’s home edge and their recent resurgence, a draw is plausible but Persija’s attacking potency and their stable defensive record tip the scales towards an away win. The likelihood of a low-scoring, tightly fought match is reinforced by both sides’ defensive stats and the historical goal average.

Best Bets and Strategic Play

  • Primary Bet: Persija to win at 1.5 – considering their superior league position, recent head-to-head form, and Bali United’s occasional defensive lapses, this is the strongest indication of value.
  • Secondary Bet: Under 2.5 goals at 1.9 – aligns with the defensive strength, goal stats, and the cautious approach expected from both sides.
  • Additional Consideration: Double Chance (X2) at 1.3 – offers a safer avenue given Persija’s slight edge and Bali United’s resilience at home.

Final Reflection

This fixture encapsulates the tactical chess game common in Liga 1—where home advantage, recent form, and individual brilliance could tilt the scales. Persija’s ability to sustain their attacking output and maintain defensive discipline will be key, but Bali United’s familiarity with the venue and recent momentum suggest they won’t go down without a fight. The most probable scenario, supported by data, points towards a disciplined Persija victory with a low goal count, and a match that stays just under the 2.5-goal threshold.

Summary of Top Bets

  • Persija to win at 1.5
  • Under 2.5 goals at 1.9
  • Double Chance (Draw or Persija) at 1.3

This analytical forecast underscores the importance of context, form, and statistical trends—offering a comprehensive guide for bettors and fans alike to understand the nuances that could define this exciting league fixture.

Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Persib BandungPersib Bandung3021635420+3469
2Pusamania BorneoPusamania Borneo3022356228+3469
3PersijaPersija3019565626+3062
4Malut UnitedMalut United3014796141+2049
5Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya3013984535+1048
6Bhayangkara FCBhayangkara FC30145114138+347
7Dewa UnitedDewa United30145113835+347
8Bali UnitedBali United3012995042+845
9PersitaPersita30135123628+844
10Arema FCArema FC30109114041-139
11PSIM YogyakartaPSIM Yogyakarta3091293839-139
12Persik KediriPersik Kediri3096153551-1633
13PersijapPersijap3087152843-1531
14PSM MakassarPSM Makassar30710133641-531
15Persepam Madura UtdPersepam Madura Utd3078153149-1829
16Persis SoloPersis Solo3069153353-2027
17Semen PadangSemen Padang3055202251-2920
18PSBS Biak NumforPSBS Biak Numfor3046202974-4518
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Bali United
WWWLW
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.7
Win %50%
Goals/Game3.7
Scored Avg2.2
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

27 AprWvs PSM Makassar2-0
23 AprWat Persita1-0
19 AprWvs Malut United4-1
12 AprLat Persib Bandung2-3
6 AprWvs PSBS Biak Numfor6-1
Persija
WDWWL
10Played
6Wins
3Draws
1Losses
Points/Game2.1
Win %60%
Goals/Game3
Scored Avg2
Conceded Avg1
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score0%

Recent Matches

27 AprWvs Persis Solo4-0
22 AprDat PSIM Yogyakarta1-1
18 AprWat PSBS Biak Numfor1-0
11 AprWvs Persebaya Surabaya3-0
5 AprLat Bhayangkara FC2-3

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches10
Average Goals2.3
BTTS50%
Over 2.5 Goals40%
Over 1.5 Goals60%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Bali United121.2 per game
Persija111.1 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Bali United3 (30%)
Persija2 (20%)
15 Feb 2026Liga 1Bali United0-1Persija
14 Sept 2025Liga 1Persija1-1Bali United
10 May 2025Liga 1Persija3-0Bali United
15 Dec 2024Liga 1Bali United3-1Persija
30 Mar 2024Liga 1Bali United1-0Persija
24 Sept 2023Liga 1Persija1-1Bali United
15 Jan 2023Liga 1Persija3-2Bali United
23 Jul 2022Liga 1Bali United1-0Persija
6 Mar 2022Liga 1Bali United2-1Persija
25 Nov 2021Liga 1Persija0-1Bali United