IndonesiaIndonesia
Liga 1Liga 1
Round 21

Bali United vs Persija Prediction & Betting Tips

Bali United

Bali United

10th33 pts
15 Feb 2026
0-1
Full Time
Persija

Persija

3rd52 pts
Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, Gianyar
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.35
0 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

30%
26%
44%
Bali UnitedDrawPersija
Match Result
Away Win
@ 1.90
44%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
@ 1.82
51%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
@ 1.29
36%
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.35
74%
Half Time
Draw
@ 1.98
41%
HT/FT
Draw/Away
@ 5.00
20.0%

Additional Markets

Total Corners
Over 9.5
@ 1.75
52.4%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
6 min read

Gianyar’s Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium: A Stage for Bali United’s Quest for Momentum The sun casts a gentle glow over Gianyar’s lush surroundings as spectators fill the vibrant Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, ready to witness a crucial fixture in Indon...

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Match Facts

Bali United
Bali United have received 4 red cards in 24 matches this season
Bali United have scored all 4 penalties this season
Bali United concede 34% of goals after the 75th minute (12 goals)
Bali United score 68% of their goals in the second half
Persija
Persija have won their last 3 league matches
Persija have received 7 red cards in 24 matches this season
Persija have scored all 5 penalties this season
Persija concede 38% of goals after the 75th minute (8 goals)
Persija have won 8 of 12 away matches (67%)
Persija score 32% of their goals after the 75th minute (14 goals)

Key Statistics

Bali United5
2Draws
3Persija
2.3Avg Goals
50%BTTS
40%Over 2.5
15 Feb 2026Bali United0-1Persija
14 Sept 2025Persija1-1Bali United
10 May 2025Persija3-0Bali United
15 Dec 2024Bali United3-1Persija
30 Mar 2024Bali United1-0Persija
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet2.253.251.57
188Bet3.003.452.09
1xBet3.293.142.09

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

Gianyar’s Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium: A Stage for Bali United’s Quest for Momentum

The sun casts a gentle glow over Gianyar’s lush surroundings as spectators fill the vibrant Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, ready to witness a crucial fixture in Indonesia’s Liga 1. Known for its intimate yet passionate atmosphere, this venue often provides a tangible home advantage—locally sourced energy, familiar surroundings, and a raucous crowd that can lift Bali United’s spirits. Historically, Bali United’s stint here has seen a mixture of spirited victories and narrow defeats, but their recent form suggests they’re aiming to turn this advantage into a sustained push for the top half of the table.

The Significance of This Clash in the Current League Tapestry

As the season edges into its second quarter, this match becomes more than just a routine fixture; it symbolizes Bali United’s desire to cement their mid-table status and push for a higher position, especially against a formidable opponent like Persija. For Persija, sitting in 3rd with a significant points cushion, this game is an opportunity to refortify their title-chasing credentials and extend their dominance over a Bali United side that’s historically provided stiff competition.

Momentum and Form—Where Both Teams Stand

Gauging Bali United’s Recent Pathway

Bali United’s last five outings paint a picture of resilience mixed with inconsistency—recording two wins, two draws, and a loss. Their overall form (LDLWW) reflects a team that is capable of both high-quality performances and moments of vulnerability. Notably, they maintain an average goals scored and conceded at 1.3, indicating a balanced approach but also exposing defensive fragility. Their recent win streak of two matches suggests they’re gaining confidence at home, yet their 30% clean sheet rate hints at defensive lapses that Persija could exploit.

Persija’s Road to the Present

In stark contrast, Persija’s form (LLDDD) has been more tumultuous—coming off a run of four consecutive defeats. Despite this, their overall league standing remains high due to an impressive goal-scoring record (36 goals in 10 matches) and a compact defensive line, with only 16 goals conceded. Their recent pattern indicates struggles with consistency but also the capacity to bounce back, especially given their 13 wins and 2 draws overall. Their ability to score more than Bali United, combined with a decent clean sheet rate (30%), makes them a dangerous side, especially on the road.

Predicted Tactical Approaches and Formational Dynamics

Bali United are likely to adopt a 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2 formation, focusing on solid midfield containment and quick transitions to utilize their home advantage. Expect them to press high early, aiming to capitalize on their familiarity with the pitch and atmosphere. Their attack will revolve around their top scorers, possibly deploying wingers to stretch Persija’s defense.

Persija, meanwhile, may stick with a pragmatic 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, emphasizing disciplined defending and swift counterattacks. Their goal-scoring prowess suggests they will seek to control possession and exploit Bali United’s occasionally shaky backline. Their midfield duo will be crucial in breaking down Bali’s buildup and initiating swift offensive moves.

Key Players to Watch: Impact Makers and Match Influencers

Bali United’s Main Men

  • Striker X: Leading scorer, sharp in finishing, and a constant threat in the box.
  • Midfielder Y: Creative playmaker responsible for unlocking defenses with incisive passes.
  • Defender Z: Key figure in maintaining defensive solidity, especially during set-pieces.

Persija’s Prime Threats

  • Goalgetter A: Prolific scorer, adept at finding space behind defenders.
  • Winger B: Fast, dribbling skills to stretch the defense and provide crosses.
  • Midfielder C: Deep-lying playmaker dictating tempo and orchestrating attacks.

Historical Encounters and Emerging Trends

Over their last nine meetings, Bali United holds a slight edge with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Goals per game average at 2.44, with a modest 56% of matches seeing both teams scoring. Notably, recent head-to-heads reflect tightly contested affairs—most recently a 1-1 draw and a 3-0 Persija victory earlier in 2025. Bali United’s ability to sometimes frustrate Persija’s offensive efforts hints at tactical nuances and psychological resilience that could be decisive here.

Decoding the Betting Market: Odds, Probabilities, and Value

Current Bookmaker Odds Breakdown

  • Match Winner: Bali United (2.4), Persija (1.5), Draw (3.1)
  • Implied Probabilities: Bali United (29.6%), Draw (22.9%), Persija (47.4%)
  • Double Chance: 1X (1.67), 12 (1.33), X2 (1.3)
  • Asian Handicap options: Home +0.5 (1.77), Away +0.5 (1.95), +0.25 (2.04/1.8)
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Data suggests a slight lean towards Under 2.5 with odds around 1.9
  • BTTS (Both Teams To Score): Approximate odds around 1.80-1.90 for Yes

Analytical Dive into Probabilities and Market Value

The implied probability for a Persija win stands at nearly 47.4%, which is high considering their recent struggles, but their superior league standing and head-to-head record support this view. Conversely, Bali United’s odds suggest a less than 30% chance for victory, yet their home form and recent momentum imply some undervaluation. The draw sits at about 22.9%, aligning with the 54% confidence in both teams scoring and a cautious approach.

The Asian Handicap market, especially Home +0.5 at 1.77, offers value when considering Bali United’s home advantage and recent form, combined with Persija’s inconsistency away from Jakarta. The under 2.5 goals market, at 1.9, aligns with both teams’ defensive records and the likelihood of a tightly contested match.

Expert Forecast: Strategic Predictions with Confidence Levels

  • Match Result: Persija to Win (45% confidence)
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 (51% confidence)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (54% confidence)
  • Double Chance: Draw or Persija Win (X2) at 1.3, with a 63% combined probability

Given Bali United’s home edge and their recent resurgence, a draw is plausible but Persija’s attacking potency and their stable defensive record tip the scales towards an away win. The likelihood of a low-scoring, tightly fought match is reinforced by both sides’ defensive stats and the historical goal average.

Best Bets and Strategic Play

  • Primary Bet: Persija to win at 1.5 – considering their superior league position, recent head-to-head form, and Bali United’s occasional defensive lapses, this is the strongest indication of value.
  • Secondary Bet: Under 2.5 goals at 1.9 – aligns with the defensive strength, goal stats, and the cautious approach expected from both sides.
  • Additional Consideration: Double Chance (X2) at 1.3 – offers a safer avenue given Persija’s slight edge and Bali United’s resilience at home.

Final Reflection

This fixture encapsulates the tactical chess game common in Liga 1—where home advantage, recent form, and individual brilliance could tilt the scales. Persija’s ability to sustain their attacking output and maintain defensive discipline will be key, but Bali United’s familiarity with the venue and recent momentum suggest they won’t go down without a fight. The most probable scenario, supported by data, points towards a disciplined Persija victory with a low goal count, and a match that stays just under the 2.5-goal threshold.

Summary of Top Bets

  • Persija to win at 1.5
  • Under 2.5 goals at 1.9
  • Double Chance (Draw or Persija) at 1.3

This analytical forecast underscores the importance of context, form, and statistical trends—offering a comprehensive guide for bettors and fans alike to understand the nuances that could define this exciting league fixture.

Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDptsForm
1Persib BandungPersib Bandung2518434314+2958
2Pusamania BorneoPusamania Borneo2517354825+2354
3PersijaPersija2516454522+2352
4Malut UnitedMalut United2513665132+1945
5PersitaPersita2512583524+1141
6Bhayangkara FCBhayangkara FC2512583227+541
7Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya2510963730+739
8PSIM YogyakartaPSIM Yogyakarta2591153532+338
9Dewa UnitedDewa United25104113031-134
10Bali UnitedBali United258983537-233
11Arema FCArema FC2587103636031
12Persik KediriPersik Kediri2585123245-1329
13PSM MakassarPSM Makassar2559112934-524
14PersijapPersijap2556142241-1921
15Persis SoloPersis Solo2548132844-1620
16Persepam Madura UtdPersepam Madura Utd2548132442-1820
17Semen PadangSemen Padang2555152141-2020
18PSBS Biak NumforPSBS Biak Numfor2546152753-2618
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Bali United
LWDDL
10Played
3Wins
4Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.3
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.7
Scored Avg1.2
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

12 MarLat Persis Solo0-3
6 MarWat Arema FC4-3
28 FebDvs Persijap0-0
23 FebDat PSIM Yogyakarta3-3
15 FebLvs Persija0-1
Persija
DDWWW
10Played
4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.5
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.9
Scored Avg1.4
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

15 MarDvs Dewa United1-1
3 MarDvs Pusamania Borneo2-2
24 FebWat Malut United3-2
20 FebWvs PSM Makassar2-1
15 FebWat Bali United1-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches10
Average Goals2.3
BTTS50%
Over 2.5 Goals40%
Over 1.5 Goals60%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Bali United121.2 per game
Persija111.1 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Bali United3 (30%)
Persija2 (20%)
15 Feb 2026Liga 1Bali United0-1Persija
14 Sept 2025Liga 1Persija1-1Bali United
10 May 2025Liga 1Persija3-0Bali United
15 Dec 2024Liga 1Bali United3-1Persija
30 Mar 2024Liga 1Bali United1-0Persija
24 Sept 2023Liga 1Persija1-1Bali United
15 Jan 2023Liga 1Persija3-2Bali United
23 Jul 2022Liga 1Bali United1-0Persija
6 Mar 2022Liga 1Bali United2-1Persija
25 Nov 2021Liga 1Persija0-1Bali United