IndonesiaIndonesia
Liga 1Liga 1
Round 21

Bali United vs Persija Prediction & Betting Tips

15 Feb 2026
0-1
Full Time
Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, Gianyar
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Asian Handicap
Persija -0.25
@ 1.35
0 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

30%
26%
44%
Bali UnitedDrawPersija
Match Result
Persija
44%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
51%
Both Teams Score
Yes
54%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
36%
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.35
74%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
6 min read

The sun casts a gentle glow over Gianyar’s lush surroundings as spectators fill the vibrant Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, ready to witness a crucial fixture in Indonesia’s Liga 1. Known for its intimate yet passionate atmosphere, this venue often provides a tangible home advantage—locally sourced en...

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Match Facts

Bali United
Bali United have scored all 6 penalties this season
Bali United have received 4 red cards in 34 matches this season
Bali United concede 33% of goals after the 75th minute (16 goals)
Bali United score 32% of their goals after the 75th minute (18 goals)
Bali United score 66% of their goals in the second half
Persija
Persija have scored in each of their last 13 matches
Persija have received 8 red cards in 34 matches this season
Persija have scored all 8 penalties this season
Persija concede 34% of goals after the 75th minute (10 goals)
Persija have won 11 of 17 away matches (65%)
Persija scored in the first half in 10 of their last 15 matches (67%)

Key Statistics

Bali United5
2Draws
3Persija
2.3Avg Goals
50%BTTS
40%Over 2.5
15 Feb 2026Bali United0-1Persija
14 Sept 2025Persija1-1Bali United
10 May 2025Persija3-0Bali United
15 Dec 2024Bali United3-1Persija
30 Mar 2024Bali United1-0Persija
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% Our Pick Win Rate
30+ Years Experience
16.2k Predictions Tracked
Bali United vs Persija — match prediction & preview
Bali United
WLLWW
Recent formvs
Persija
DWWWW

Gianyar’s Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium: A Stage for Bali United’s Quest for Momentum

The sun casts a gentle glow over Gianyar’s lush surroundings as spectators fill the vibrant Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, ready to witness a crucial fixture in Indonesia’s Liga 1. Known for its intimate yet passionate atmosphere, this venue often provides a tangible home advantage—locally sourced energy, familiar surroundings, and a raucous crowd that can lift Bali United’s spirits. Historically, Bali United’s stint here has seen a mixture of spirited victories and narrow defeats, but their recent form suggests they’re aiming to turn this advantage into a sustained push for the top half of the table.

The Significance of This Clash in the Current League Tapestry

As the season edges into its second quarter, this match becomes more than just a routine fixture; it symbolizes Bali United’s desire to cement their mid-table status and push for a higher position, especially against a formidable opponent like Persija. For Persija, sitting in 3rd with a significant points cushion, this game is an opportunity to refortify their title-chasing credentials and extend their dominance over a Bali United side that’s historically provided stiff competition.

Momentum and Form—Where Both Teams Stand

Gauging Bali United’s Recent Pathway

Bali United’s last five outings paint a picture of resilience mixed with inconsistency—recording two wins, two draws, and a loss. Their overall form (LDLWW) reflects a team that is capable of both high-quality performances and moments of vulnerability. Notably, they maintain an average goals scored and conceded at 1.3, indicating a balanced approach but also exposing defensive fragility. Their recent win streak of two matches suggests they’re gaining confidence at home, yet their 30% clean sheet rate hints at defensive lapses that Persija could exploit.

Persija’s Road to the Present

In stark contrast, Persija’s form (LLDDD) has been more tumultuous—coming off a run of four consecutive defeats. Despite this, their overall league standing remains high due to an impressive goal-scoring record (36 goals in 10 matches) and a compact defensive line, with only 16 goals conceded. Their recent pattern indicates struggles with consistency but also the capacity to bounce back, especially given their 13 wins and 2 draws overall. Their ability to score more than Bali United, combined with a decent clean sheet rate (30%), makes them a dangerous side, especially on the road.

Predicted Tactical Approaches and Formational Dynamics

Bali United are likely to adopt a 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2 formation, focusing on solid midfield containment and quick transitions to utilize their home advantage. Expect them to press high early, aiming to capitalize on their familiarity with the pitch and atmosphere. Their attack will revolve around their top scorers, possibly deploying wingers to stretch Persija’s defense.

Persija, meanwhile, may stick with a pragmatic 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, emphasizing disciplined defending and swift counterattacks. Their goal-scoring prowess suggests they will seek to control possession and exploit Bali United’s occasionally shaky backline. Their midfield duo will be crucial in breaking down Bali’s buildup and initiating swift offensive moves.

Key Players to Watch: Impact Makers and Match Influencers

Bali United’s Main Men

  • Striker X: Leading scorer, sharp in finishing, and a constant threat in the box.
  • Midfielder Y: Creative playmaker responsible for unlocking defenses with incisive passes.
  • Defender Z: Key figure in maintaining defensive solidity, especially during set-pieces.

Persija’s Prime Threats

  • Goalgetter A: Prolific scorer, adept at finding space behind defenders.
  • Winger B: Fast, dribbling skills to stretch the defense and provide crosses.
  • Midfielder C: Deep-lying playmaker dictating tempo and orchestrating attacks.

Historical Encounters and Emerging Trends

Over their last nine meetings, Bali United holds a slight edge with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Goals per game average at 2.44, with a modest 56% of matches seeing both teams scoring. Notably, recent head-to-heads reflect tightly contested affairs—most recently a 1-1 draw and a 3-0 Persija victory earlier in 2025. Bali United’s ability to sometimes frustrate Persija’s offensive efforts hints at tactical nuances and psychological resilience that could be decisive here.

Decoding the Betting Market: Odds, Probabilities, and Value

Current Bookmaker Odds Breakdown

  • Match Winner: Bali United (2.4), Persija (1.5), Draw (3.1)
  • Implied Probabilities: Bali United (29.6%), Draw (22.9%), Persija (47.4%)
  • Double Chance: 1X (1.67), 12 (1.33), X2 (1.3)
  • Asian Handicap options: Home +0.5 (1.77), Away +0.5 (1.95), +0.25 (2.04/1.8)
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Data suggests a slight lean towards Under 2.5 with odds around 1.9
  • BTTS (Both Teams To Score): Approximate odds around 1.80-1.90 for Yes

Analytical Dive into Probabilities and Market Value

The implied probability for a Persija win stands at nearly 47.4%, which is high considering their recent struggles, but their superior league standing and head-to-head record support this view. Conversely, Bali United’s odds suggest a less than 30% chance for victory, yet their home form and recent momentum imply some undervaluation. The draw sits at about 22.9%, aligning with the 54% confidence in both teams scoring and a cautious approach.

The Asian Handicap market, especially Home +0.5 at 1.77, offers value when considering Bali United’s home advantage and recent form, combined with Persija’s inconsistency away from Jakarta. The under 2.5 goals market, at 1.9, aligns with both teams’ defensive records and the likelihood of a tightly contested match.

Expert Forecast: Strategic Predictions with Confidence Levels

  • Match Result: Persija to Win (45% confidence)
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 (51% confidence)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (54% confidence)
  • Double Chance: Draw or Persija Win (X2) at 1.3, with a 63% combined probability

Given Bali United’s home edge and their recent resurgence, a draw is plausible but Persija’s attacking potency and their stable defensive record tip the scales towards an away win. The likelihood of a low-scoring, tightly fought match is reinforced by both sides’ defensive stats and the historical goal average.

Best Bets and Strategic Play

  • Primary Bet: Persija to win at 1.5 – considering their superior league position, recent head-to-head form, and Bali United’s occasional defensive lapses, this is the strongest indication of value.
  • Secondary Bet: Under 2.5 goals at 1.9 – aligns with the defensive strength, goal stats, and the cautious approach expected from both sides.
  • Additional Consideration: Double Chance (X2) at 1.3 – offers a safer avenue given Persija’s slight edge and Bali United’s resilience at home.

Final Reflection

This fixture encapsulates the tactical chess game common in Liga 1—where home advantage, recent form, and individual brilliance could tilt the scales. Persija’s ability to sustain their attacking output and maintain defensive discipline will be key, but Bali United’s familiarity with the venue and recent momentum suggest they won’t go down without a fight. The most probable scenario, supported by data, points towards a disciplined Persija victory with a low goal count, and a match that stays just under the 2.5-goal threshold.

Summary of Top Bets

  • Persija to win at 1.5
  • Under 2.5 goals at 1.9
  • Double Chance (Draw or Persija) at 1.3

This analytical forecast underscores the importance of context, form, and statistical trends—offering a comprehensive guide for bettors and fans alike to understand the nuances that could define this exciting league fixture.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Bali United vs Persija?
Our model predicts Persija with 44% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Bali United vs Persija have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (51% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Bali United vs Persija?
Both teams to score: Yes (54% confidence).
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Bali United vs Persija?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 36% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
What is the Asian Handicap prediction for Bali United vs Persija?
Our Asian Handicap call is Persija -0.25 with 74% confidence.
When and where is Bali United vs Persija played?
Bali United vs Persija takes place on 15 Feb 2026 at Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium.

Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Persib BandungPersib Bandung3424735922+3779
2Pusamania BorneoPusamania Borneo3425457431+4379
3PersijaPersija3422576529+3671
4Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya34161086135+2658
5Bhayangkara FCBhayangkara FC34165135345+853
6Malut UnitedMalut United34158116853+1553
7Dewa UnitedDewa United34165134437+753
8Bali UnitedBali United34149115748+951
9Arema FCArema FC34139125347+648
10PersitaPersita34136153837+145
11PSIM YogyakartaPSIM Yogyakarta341112114344-145
12Persik KediriPersik Kediri34116174261-1939
13PersijapPersijap3499163145-1436
14Persepam Madura UtdPersepam Madura Utd3498173754-1735
15PSM MakassarPSM Makassar34810163949-1034
16Persis SoloPersis Solo34810163959-2034
17Semen PadangSemen Padang3455242265-4320
18PSBS Biak NumforPSBS Biak Numfor3446243195-6418

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Bali United
WLLWW
10Played
6Wins
0Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.8
Win %60%
Goals/Game3.6
Scored Avg2.2
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

22 MayWat Dewa United1-0
17 MayWvs Bhayangkara FC4-1
11 MayLvs Pusamania Borneo2-3
5 MayLat Persepam Madura Utd0-2
27 AprWvs PSM Makassar2-0
Persija
DWWWW
10Played
6Wins
3Draws
1Losses
Points/Game2.1
Win %60%
Goals/Game3
Scored Avg2.2
Conceded Avg0.8
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score0%

Recent Matches

23 MayWvs Semen Padang3-0
16 MayWat Persik Kediri3-1
4 MayWat Persijap2-0
27 AprWvs Persis Solo4-0
22 AprDat PSIM Yogyakarta1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches10
Average Goals2.3
BTTS50%
Over 2.5 Goals40%
Over 1.5 Goals60%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Bali United121.2 per game
Persija111.1 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Bali United3 (30%)
Persija2 (20%)
15 Feb 2026Liga 1Bali United0-1Persija
14 Sept 2025Liga 1Persija1-1Bali United
10 May 2025Liga 1Persija3-0Bali United
15 Dec 2024Liga 1Bali United3-1Persija
30 Mar 2024Liga 1Bali United1-0Persija
24 Sept 2023Liga 1Persija1-1Bali United
15 Jan 2023Liga 1Persija3-2Bali United
23 Jul 2022Liga 1Bali United1-0Persija
6 Mar 2022Liga 1Bali United2-1Persija
25 Nov 2021Liga 1Persija0-1Bali United

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