GermanyGermany
BundesligaBundesliga
Round 21

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips

Borussia-Park, Monchengladbach
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Asian Handicap
Bayer Leverkusen -0.25
@ 1.35
1 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

27%
23%
49%
Borussia MönchengladbachDrawBayer Leverkusen
Match Result
Bayer Leverkusen
49%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams Score
Yes
61%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
37%
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.35
74%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
6 min read

Few fixtures in the Bundesliga ignite as much anticipation as a battle between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Mönchengladbach. Historically, Leverkusen's recent dominance in head-to-head encounters—winning 7 of their last 10 meetings—paints a clear picture. But this Saturday’s clash isn't just about ...

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Match Facts

Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach have scored all 4 penalties this season
Borussia Mönchengladbach have received 3 red cards in 34 matches this season
Borussia Mönchengladbach score 31% of their goals after the 75th minute (13 goals)
Borussia Mönchengladbach have won just 3 of 17 away matches this season
H. Tabaković has been involved in 12 goals (10G + 2A)
Borussia Mönchengladbach failed to score in 12 of 34 matches (35%)
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen have scored in each of their last 12 matches
Bayer Leverkusen have scored all 7 penalties this season
Bayer Leverkusen scored in the first half in 11 of their last 15 matches (73%)
Both teams scored in 11 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 15 matches (73%)

Key Statistics

Borussia Mönchengladbach0
4Draws
7Bayer Leverkusen
3Avg Goals
64%BTTS
64%Over 2.5
7 Feb 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach1-1Bayer Leverkusen
21 Sept 2025Bayer Leverkusen1-1Borussia Mönchengladbach
18 Jan 2025Bayer Leverkusen3-1Borussia Mönchengladbach
23 Aug 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach2-3Bayer Leverkusen
27 Jan 2024Bayer Leverkusen0-0Borussia Mönchengladbach
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% Our Pick Win Rate
30+ Years Experience
16.2k Predictions Tracked
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen — match prediction & preview
Borussia Mönchengladbach
DDWLW
Recent formvs
Bayer Leverkusen
LWWLD

Unraveling the Drama at Borussia-Park: Will Leverkusen Extend Their Dominance?

Few fixtures in the Bundesliga ignite as much anticipation as a battle between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Mönchengladbach. Historically, Leverkusen's recent dominance in head-to-head encounters—winning 7 of their last 10 meetings—paints a clear picture. But this Saturday’s clash isn't just about stats; it’s a testing ground for both teams’ resilience amidst contrasting trajectories in the 2025/26 campaign.

Vital Context: A Battle for Mid-Table Respectability and Future Aspirations

The significance of this match extends beyond the points. Mönchengladbach, sitting comfortably in 12th with 21 points, is eager to shift gears after a mixed bag of results—only 2 wins in their last 10 matches and a goal difference that leans towards defensive vulnerabilities. Bayer Leverkusen, on the other hand, sit in 6th with 35 points, riding high with six wins in their last ten fixtures, and an eye on European qualification aspirations.

As the teams stride into Borussia-Park on a chilly Saturday afternoon, the stakes are clear: Leverkusen aim to continue their streak as the more consistent side, while Gladbach look to leverage home advantage and turn recent form around.

Momentum and Performance: The Tale of Two Forms

Recent Trends and Tactical Stance

Leverkusen's recent form is impressive, with a dominant run of five wins in their last ten matches, fueled by an attacking approach that averages nearly 1.8 goals per game. Their defense concedes just over 1.1 goals on average, reflecting a balanced yet ambitious setup. Their 40% BTTS rate indicates a propensity for both teams to find the net, aligning with their open style of play.

Gladbach, contrastingly, have struggled to find consistency, with only 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses over the last ten games. Their defensive record—conceding roughly 1.6 goals per game—is a concern, especially against a side that boasts a potent attack. With a scoring average under 1 goal per game and only 40% of matches seeing both teams score, their approach might lean toward cautious resilience, perhaps deploying a 3-4-2-1 formation aimed at compact defending and quick counterattacks.

Key Players That Could Swing the Balance

  • Gladbach:
    • Havard Nordtveit Tabaković (10 goals): The team's top scorer, his ability to hold up play and finish chances will be vital.
    • Stefan Machino (3 goals): Creative threat in midfield, capable of unlocking defenses with incisive passes.
    • Kevin Diks (3 goals): Overlapping full-back providing width and crosses from the flank.
  • Leverkusen:
    • P. Schick (6 goals): Clinical finisher, crucial in breaking down defenses and capitalizing on chances.
    • Álex Grimaldo (5 goals, 5 assists): Their creative hub, capable of both scoring and threading key passes.
    • E. Poku (4 goals, 3 assists): Energetic winger, instrumental in stretching defenses and providing width.

Formidable Formations and Tactical Preview

Expect Gladbach to deploy their customary 3-4-2-1, emphasizing defensive solidity and quick counters through their wingers and creative midfielders. Their recent goal tally suggests they struggle to impose sustained attacking pressure, making set-pieces and counterattacks their main avenues for goal.

Leverkusen, meanwhile, are likely to stick to their familiar 3-4-2-1 as well, with a focus on midfield control and attacking width. Their possession-based approach aims to unlock a sometimes leaky Gladbach defense, especially exploiting the flanks through Grimaldo and Poku.

The battle in midfield—particularly the performances of P. P. P. and Gladbach’s Machino—could decide the tempo and rhythm of the game. Expect Leverkusen to seek dominance in possession, probing Gladbach’s defenses and capitalizing on mistakes.

Head-to-Head Dynamics: More Than Just Numbers

Looking back at the last ten encounters, Bayer Leverkusen have enjoyed a clear upper hand with 7 wins, 3 draws, and zero defeats. The last five meetings have seen an average of 3.1 goals per game, with 60% of those matches seeing both teams score. Notably, the last clash at Borussia-Park finished 2-3 in favor of Leverkusen, highlighting their attacking prowess on the road.

The pattern reveals that Leverkusen’s attacking talent often overcomes Gladbach’s defensive shape, especially when the visitors manage to set the tone early. The recent 1-1 draw last September indicates that Mönchengladbach can hold their own tactically, but the long-term trend favors the visitors.

Betting Perspectives: Where’s the Value?

Current Odds and Probabilities

  • 1X2 Market: Leverkusen win around 1.80, Draw at 3.50, Gladbach win near 4.00 (bookmakers’ odds vary slightly)
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 at approximately 1.60, Under 2.5 about 2.40
  • Both Teams To Score: Yes at roughly 1.75, No at 2.00
  • Double Chance (Leverkusen or Draw): about 1.33

Implied Probabilities & Value Assessment

- Leverkusen’s chance of winning implied at ~55%, with the odds at 1.80, translating to a 56% probability—suggesting fair value but limited margin. - BTTS odds (1.75) imply a 57% chance, closely aligning with recent trends (60% BTTS in head-to-heads), indicating a solid candidate for betting. - Over 2.5 goals, at 1.60 odds, implies a ~62.5% probability, which aligns with the historical average of goals in head-to-heads and the attacking tendencies of both teams. Considering these, the best value bets seem to be on BTTS and Over 2.5 goals, given their favorable odds and statistical backing.

Forecast and Final Verdict: Precision in Prediction

Given the data and recent form, our confidence level favors an engaging match with goals at both ends. Leverkusen’s attacking firepower, particularly through Schick and Grimaldo, combined with Gladbach’s intermittent offensive threat, suggests a balanced yet open game.

Our primary prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to secure a narrow victory, backed by their superior form and history. The over 2.5 goals and Both Teams Score markets also hold strong value, thanks to the attacking styles and previous head-to-head patterns.

Specifically, we lean towards a 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline, with Leverkusen edging it by marginal margins. The match’s outcome hinges on early goal conversions and defensive lapses—elements that tend to define tight Bundesliga encounters.

Top Picks and Strategic Bets

  • Result: Leverkusen Win at 1.80 (high confidence, around 55%)
  • Over 2.5 Goals at 1.60 (good value, 62.5%)
  • Both Teams Score: Yes at 1.75 (strong likelihood, 57%)
  • Double Chance (Leverkusen or Draw): at 1.33 (less value, but a safe covering bet)

This combination maximizes the potential return while aligning with statistical favorability and tactical expectations. For the risk-taker, backing Leverkusen to win and BTTS could be a rewarding angle.

Conclusion: Goals, Chances, and the Road Ahead

Saturday’s clash is set to be a compelling chapter in this season’s Bundesliga narrative. Leverkusen’s streak of consistent attacking displays will test Gladbach’s defensive resilience, while the home side will seek to upset the odds with disciplined defending and swift counters.

Expect a game that’s dynamic, high-energy, and potentially lucrative for those who pick up on the goal-laden tendencies and head-to-head patterns. The tactical chess match, combined with individual brilliance from key players, may ultimately tilt the scales—either way, it’s a fixture that promises excitement and plenty of betting opportunities.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Bayer Leverkusen with 49% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Will both teams score in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Both teams to score: Yes (61% confidence).
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 37% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen: what is our Asian Handicap tip?
Our Asian Handicap call is Bayer Leverkusen -0.25 with 74% confidence.
How many goals will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (59% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
When and where is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen played?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen takes place on 7 Feb 2026 at Borussia-Park.

Additional Information

Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach

Top Scorers

H. Tabaković
H. TabakovićAttacker
10Goals
S. Machino
S. MachinoAttacker
3Goals
K. Diks
K. DiksDefender
3Goals
J. Scally
J. ScallyDefender
1Goals
Y. Engelhardt
Y. EngelhardtMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

F. Honorat
F. HonoratMidfielder
5Assists
H. Tabaković
H. TabakovićAttacker
2Assists
J. Scally
J. ScallyDefender
2Assists
R. Reitz
R. ReitzMidfielder
2Assists
L. Netz
L. NetzDefender
2Assists

Cards

J. Scally
J. ScallyDefender
50
K. Diks
K. DiksDefender
40
R. Reitz
R. ReitzMidfielder
40
Y. Engelhardt
Y. EngelhardtMidfielder
20
J. Castrop
J. CastropMidfielder
11
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

Top Scorers

P. Schick
P. SchickAttacker
6Goals
Álex Grimaldo
Álex GrimaldoMidfielder
5Goals
E. Poku
E. PokuAttacker
4Goals
M. Tillman
M. TillmanMidfielder
4Goals
E. Tapsoba
E. TapsobaDefender
3Goals

Top Assists

Álex Grimaldo
Álex GrimaldoMidfielder
5Assists
Aleix García
Aleix GarcíaMidfielder
4Assists
E. Poku
E. PokuAttacker
3Assists
Arthur
ArthurMidfielder
3Assists
P. Schick
P. SchickAttacker
2Assists

Cards

J. Quansah
J. QuansahDefender
60
L. Badé
L. BadéDefender
50
Álex Grimaldo
Álex GrimaldoMidfielder
40
E. Tapsoba
E. TapsobaDefender
30
Christian Kofane
Christian KofaneAttacker
30

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach
DDWLW
10Played
3Wins
4Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.3
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.9
Scored Avg1.5
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

16 MayWvs 1899 Hoffenheim4-0
9 MayLat FC Augsburg1-3
3 MayWvs Borussia Dortmund1-0
25 AprDat VfL Wolfsburg0-0
19 AprDvs FSV Mainz 051-1
Bayer Leverkusen
LWWLD
10Played
4Wins
2Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.4
Win %40%
Goals/Game3.7
Scored Avg1.9
Conceded Avg1.8
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

16 MayDvs Hamburger SV1-1
9 MayLat VfB Stuttgart1-3
2 MayWvs RB Leipzig4-1
25 AprWat 1. FC Köln2-1
22 AprLvs Bayern München0-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches11
Average Goals3
BTTS64%
Over 2.5 Goals64%
Over 1.5 Goals82%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Borussia Mönchengladbach100.91 per game
Bayer Leverkusen232.09 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Borussia Mönchengladbach1 (9%)
Bayer Leverkusen4 (36%)
7 Feb 2026BundesligaBorussia Mönchengladbach1-1Bayer Leverkusen
21 Sept 2025BundesligaBayer Leverkusen1-1Borussia Mönchengladbach
18 Jan 2025BundesligaBayer Leverkusen3-1Borussia Mönchengladbach
23 Aug 2024BundesligaBorussia Mönchengladbach2-3Bayer Leverkusen
27 Jan 2024BundesligaBayer Leverkusen0-0Borussia Mönchengladbach
26 Aug 2023BundesligaBorussia Mönchengladbach0-3Bayer Leverkusen
21 May 2023BundesligaBayer Leverkusen2-2Borussia Mönchengladbach
22 Jan 2023BundesligaBorussia Mönchengladbach2-3Bayer Leverkusen
15 Jan 2022BundesligaBorussia Mönchengladbach1-2Bayer Leverkusen
21 Aug 2021BundesligaBayer Leverkusen4-0Borussia Mönchengladbach
6 Mar 2021BundesligaBorussia Mönchengladbach0-1Bayer Leverkusen

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