EnglandEngland
ChampionshipChampionship
Round 8

Burnley vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

19 Sept 2026
14:00
Turf Moor, Burnley

Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Confidence
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Betting Tips

10%
45%
45%
BurnleyDrawDerby
Match Result
Derby
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams Score
Yes
62%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Key Statistics

Burnley6
4Draws
0Derby
1.8Avg Goals
30%BTTS
40%Over 2.5
8 Apr 2025Derby0-0Burnley
10 Dec 2024Burnley0-0Derby
25 Jan 2016Burnley4-1Derby
21 Sept 2015Derby0-0Burnley
1 Mar 2014Burnley2-0Derby
View all H2H matches

Frequently Asked Questions

Burnley vs Derby: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Derby with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Burnley vs Derby have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (52% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Burnley vs Derby?
Both teams to score: Yes (62% confidence).
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Burnley vs Derby?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Burnley vs Derby played?
Burnley vs Derby takes place on 19 Sept 2026 at Turf Moor.

Additional Information

BurnleyBurnley

Top Scorers

Z. Flemming
Z. FlemmingAttacker
2Goals

Top Assists

Max Alleyne
Max AlleyneDefender
1Assists

Cards

No data
DerbyDerby

Top Scorers

S. Szmodics
S. SzmodicsAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

C. Morris
C. MorrisAttacker
1Assists

Cards

A. Mowatt
A. MowattMidfielder
10
R. Brewster
R. BrewsterAttacker
10
S. Langås
S. LangåsDefender
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Burnley
DDLLD
10Played
0Wins
4Draws
6Losses
Points/Game0.4
Win %0%
Goals/Game3.2
Scored Avg1
Conceded Avg2.2
BTTS80%
Clean Sheets0%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

2 SeptDvs Middlesbrough1-1
29 AugLat Norwich1-4
23 AugLat West Brom1-3
16 AugDvs West Ham2-2
24 MayDvs Wolves1-1
Derby
LLDLW
10Played
4Wins
1Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.3
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.9
Scored Avg1.4
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

1 SeptWat Portsmouth2-0
29 AugLvs Swansea0-3
22 AugDvs Cardiff2-2
15 AugLat Charlton1-2
2 MayLvs Sheffield Utd1-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches10
Average Goals1.8
BTTS30%
Over 2.5 Goals40%
Over 1.5 Goals60%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Burnley151.5 per game
Derby30.3 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Burnley7 (70%)
Derby4 (40%)
8 Apr 2025ChampionshipDerby0-0Burnley
10 Dec 2024ChampionshipBurnley0-0Derby
25 Jan 2016ChampionshipBurnley4-1Derby
21 Sept 2015ChampionshipDerby0-0Burnley
1 Mar 2014ChampionshipBurnley2-0Derby
31 Aug 2013ChampionshipDerby0-3Burnley
26 Dec 2012ChampionshipBurnley2-0Derby
22 Sept 2012ChampionshipDerby1-2Burnley
21 Jan 2012ChampionshipBurnley0-0Derby
27 Aug 2011ChampionshipDerby1-2Burnley

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