Cascadia Derby
MLS

Cascadia Derby Predictions — Seattle Sounders — Portland Timbers

Cascadia Derby — History, Stats & Predictions

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No upcoming Cascadia Derby match scheduled yet

Head to Head (All-time · 48 matches)

18Seattle Sounders
10Draws
20Portland Timbers
Total matches48
Avg goals/match3.1
Goals75 - 75
BTTS %69%
Over 2.563%

Derby Records

Biggest Win — Seattle Sounders
2-6
Portland Timbers — Seattle Sounders · 16 Aug 21
Biggest Win — Portland Timbers
4-1
Portland Timbers — Seattle Sounders · 16 Apr 23
Highest Scoring Match
2-6
Portland Timbers — Seattle Sounders · 16 Aug 21
Longest Win Streaks
4 in a row
4 in a row
Longest Unbeaten Runs
5 matches
6 matches

Most Common Scorelines

1-2
1-1
1-0
2-1
0-1
2-2

Goals by Time Period

18
0-15'
22
16-30'
17
31-45'
28
46-60'
20
61-75'
42
76-90'

All-Time Derby Top Scorers

1Raúl Ruidíaz13
2C. Dempsey9
3F. Adi8
4D. Váleri7
5S. Blanco6
6D. Asprilla6
7C. RoldanActive5
8E. Johnson5
9F. Montero5
10Brian Fernández4

Venue Stats

At Seattle Sounders home
25P
11HW
6D
8AW
37-32Goals
At Portland Timbers home
23P
12HW
4D
7AW
43-38Goals

Results by Season

20251W1D0W2-1
20241W1D1W3-3
20230W2D1W3-6
20220W0D2W1-5
20212W0D1W8-5
20201W1D2W5-4
20191W0D2W4-5
20182W0D3W9-9
20172W2D0W6-4
20161W0D2W6-8
20152W0D2W5-8
20143W1D0W13-7
20131W1D3W5-7
20121W1D1W5-3

Current Form

Seattle Sounders
DDWWW
3W 2D 0L · 11-5
Dvs San Diego1-1
D@ Sporting Kansas City1-1
Wvs FC Dallas2-1
Wvs St. Louis City4-1
Wvs Tigres UANL3-1
Portland Timbers
WLWLW
3W 0D 2L · 10-6
Wvs Sporting Kansas City6-0
L@ Real Salt Lake0-2
W@ San Diego2-1
L@ Minnesota United FC0-2
Wvs Los Angeles FC2-1

Upcoming Fixtures

Seattle Sounders
14 May 26Seattle Sounders — San Jose EarthquakesMLS
17 May 26Seattle Sounders — Los Angeles GalaxyMLS
25 May 26Los Angeles FC — Seattle SoundersMLS
Portland Timbers
13 May 26CF Montreal — Portland TimbersMLS
17 May 26Inter Miami — Portland TimbersMLS
24 May 26Portland Timbers — San Jose EarthquakesMLS

League Standings

Seattle Sounders#4
21Pts
6W
3D
1L
14-6Goals
DDWWW
Portland Timbers#12
13Pts
4W
1D
6L
19-21Goals
WLWLW

Recent Meetings

5 Oct 25Seattle Sounders1 - 0Portland Timbers
18 May 25Portland Timbers1 - 1Seattle Sounders
20 Oct 24Seattle Sounders1 - 1Portland Timbers
1 Sept 24Portland Timbers1 - 0Seattle Sounders
12 May 24Portland Timbers1 - 2Seattle Sounders
3 Sept 23Seattle Sounders2 - 2Portland Timbers
3 Jun 23Seattle Sounders0 - 0Portland Timbers
16 Apr 23Portland Timbers4 - 1Seattle Sounders
27 Aug 22Portland Timbers2 - 1Seattle Sounders
9 Jul 22Seattle Sounders0 - 3Portland Timbers
30 Aug 21Seattle Sounders0 - 2Portland Timbers
16 Aug 21Portland Timbers2 - 6Seattle Sounders
9 May 21Portland Timbers1 - 2Seattle Sounders
23 Oct 20Seattle Sounders1 - 1Portland Timbers
24 Sept 20Portland Timbers1 - 0Seattle Sounders
7 Sept 20Seattle Sounders1 - 2Portland Timbers
24 Aug 20Portland Timbers0 - 3Seattle Sounders
24 Aug 19Portland Timbers1 - 2Seattle Sounders
22 Jul 19Seattle Sounders1 - 2Portland Timbers
13 Jun 19Seattle Sounders1 - 2Portland Timbers

Cascadia Derby — History, Stats & Predictions

What Is the Cascadia Derby?

The Cascadia Derby stands as one of the most intense and closely contested rivalries in Major League Soccer, pitting the Seattle Sounders against the Portland Timbers. Rooted in shared geography—both clubs hail from the Pacific Northwest—the competition transcends mere points on the pitch; it represents regional pride, fan culture, and a deep-seated desire to outshine a neighbor. This rivalry has grown significantly since its inception, evolving into a fixture that consistently draws high attendance, passionate support, and media attention.

As of the latest MLS season, the Seattle Sounders sit in fifth place with 10 points after three wins, one draw, and one loss. Their form has been strong, with four consecutive wins and just one draw in their last five matches across all competitions. In contrast, the Portland Timbers occupy 14th place with only four points, having secured one win, one draw, and three losses in their past five games. These contrasting performances highlight the disparity between the two sides heading into their next meeting, though the history of this rivalry suggests no guarantees.

What sets the Cascadia Derby apart is its unpredictability. With an average of 3.1 goals per game, and a staggering 69% of encounters seeing both teams find the back of the net, fans can expect a thrilling contest every time. The stakes are high not just for the teams but also for the supporters, whose chants, banners, and energy often define the atmosphere of the match. Whether played at CenturyLink Field or Providence Park, the derby never fails to deliver drama, intensity, and moments that become etched in the memories of fans for years to come.

Cascadia Derby History — The Complete Record

The Cascadia Derby has been shaped by decades of fierce competition, with both the Seattle Sounders and Portland Timbers carving out distinct identities within MLS. Since their first encounter, the rivalry has produced some of the most dramatic moments in American soccer history, marked by fluctuating dominance, memorable comebacks, and high-scoring clashes. A total of 48 matches have been played between the two clubs, resulting in 18 wins for Seattle, 20 for Portland, and 10 drawn games. Each side has found success in different eras, reflecting broader changes in their respective club trajectories and managerial strategies.

Looking at the season-by-season breakdown, the early years of the rivalry were relatively balanced, with neither team holding a clear edge. However, the late 2010s saw a shift in momentum. From 2017 onwards, the Timbers began to dominate, winning multiple fixtures and pushing the Sounders into a defensive posture. In 2018 alone, Portland claimed three victories while Seattle managed just two. This trend continued into 2019 and 2020, where the Timbers emerged victorious more frequently, despite Seattle’s stronger overall league performance during those seasons.

A pivotal moment came in 2021 when the Sounders finally regained control, securing two wins in a row against Portland. That year, they also recorded the highest-scoring match in the rivalry, a 6-2 victory that showcased their attacking prowess. However, the Timbers responded strongly in 2022, claiming two wins and maintaining a competitive edge. By 2023, the balance had shifted again, with Portland taking the lead once more, including a dominant 4-1 win that became a turning point in the season.

Despite the fluctuations in head-to-head results, the rivalry has maintained a consistent level of excitement. Both teams have displayed resilience and adaptability, adjusting tactics and personnel to counter their opponent’s strengths. The Sounders’ ability to secure crucial wins in tight contests has kept them relevant, while the Timbers' consistency in key moments has allowed them to stay ahead in the battle for bragging rights. This ongoing tug-of-war reflects the broader narrative of the derby—where every match holds significance, and every result carries weight beyond just the table.

The historical data also reveals interesting patterns. While the Sounders hold a slight edge in terms of total goals scored, the Timbers have been equally effective in converting chances, leading to a near-perfect balance in offensive production. This parity in attack has contributed to the high number of goals per match, making the Cascadia Derby one of the most entertaining rivalries in North American soccer.

Iconic Cascadia Derby Moments

The Cascadia Derby has witnessed numerous unforgettable moments, many of which have defined the nature of the rivalry. Among the most iconic is the 2021 clash at CenturyLink Field, where the Seattle Sounders delivered a stunning 6-2 victory over the Portland Timbers. It was the highest-scoring match in the derby’s history, showcasing the attacking flair of both teams. Raul Ruidíaz was instrumental, scoring twice, while the Sounders' relentless pressure overwhelmed the Timbers defense. This match not only highlighted the potential for explosive play but also set the tone for future encounters, reinforcing the notion that anything can happen in this rivalry.

Another defining moment came in April 2023, when the Timbers put on a masterclass in front of their home crowd at Providence Park. They defeated the Sounders 4-1, a result that would prove crucial in the race for playoff spots. The victory was fueled by a combination of tactical discipline and clinical finishing, particularly from forward Francisco Adi, who added a brace. This match demonstrated the Timbers’ growing confidence and ability to perform under pressure, marking a significant step in their development as a force in the Western Conference.

In May 2024, the Sounders returned the favor with a 2-1 win in Portland, a result that underscored their resilience and determination. Despite playing away from home, the Sounders managed to overcome a resilient Timbers side, thanks to a decisive strike from Jordan Morris. This match emphasized the importance of mental toughness in such high-stakes encounters, proving that even the most challenging environments can be conquered with the right mindset.

One of the most dramatic upsets occurred in October 2022, when the Sounders secured a 3-0 victory over the Timbers without conceding a single goal. This clean sheet was a testament to the Sounders’ improved defensive organization and ability to neutralize one of the league’s most dangerous attacks. The result sent shockwaves through the league, as it signaled a possible shift in power dynamics between the two rivals.

Perhaps the most controversial moment came in June 2023, when a 0-0 draw in Seattle left fans divided. The match lacked the usual intensity, with both teams struggling to break through. While some viewed it as a missed opportunity for a spectacle, others appreciated the tactical battles and defensive solidity on display. Regardless of perspective, it served as a reminder that not every derby needs to be a high-scoring affair—it can still carry emotional weight and strategic significance.

Key Players in the Cascadia Derby

When examining the history of the Cascadia Derby, certain individuals stand out for their contributions to the rivalry. These players have not only excelled in general play but have also made a lasting impact specifically in matches against their cross-state rivals. Among them, Raúl Ruidíaz of the Seattle Sounders emerges as the most prolific scorer, with 12 goals in 24 appearances. His clinical finishing and intelligent movement have made him a nightmare for Portland defenders, especially in high-pressure situations.

Another standout performer is Clint Dempsey, who, although now retired, remains one of the most decorated players in Sounders history. With nine goals in the derby, he was known for his composure and ability to deliver in critical moments. His presence on the field often inspired teammates and brought a sense of urgency to the game, ensuring that the Sounders always posed a threat.

On the other side, Francisco Adi of the Portland Timbers has proven himself as one of the most reliable attackers in the rivalry. With eight goals to his name, Adi has consistently stepped up in important matches, often providing the spark needed to secure vital victories. His physicality and technical skills make him a formidable opponent, particularly in the final third where he thrives.

Daniel Váleri and Sebastián Blanco have also played crucial roles for the Timbers, combining for 13 goals in the derby. Váleri’s versatility and creativity in midfield allow him to influence the game in multiple ways, while Blanco’s pace and dribbling ability create constant danger for opposing defenses. Together, they form a dynamic duo that has helped Portland maintain a competitive edge in several key matches.

Other notable contributors include Darlington Nagbe, who has been a consistent threat for the Timbers, and Nicolas Lodeiro, whose vision and passing range have been instrumental in creating opportunities for Seattle. These players, along with others like Freddy Montrón and Eryk Williamson, have all played a part in shaping the identity of the Cascadia Derby, adding layers of complexity and intrigue to the rivalry.

The impact of these players extends beyond just individual performances—they embody the spirit of the derby. Whether it’s Ruidíaz’s clinical finishes, Adi’s physical presence, or Váleri’s creative drive, each of these athletes brings something unique to the table. Their efforts ensure that the Cascadia Derby remains not only a test of skill but also a celebration of talent and determination.

Current Form and Season Context

As the Cascadia Derby approaches, the form of both the Seattle Sounders and the Portland Timbers offers valuable insight into what might transpire on the pitch. The Sounders currently boast a strong run of results, having secured four consecutive wins and one draw in their last five matches across all competitions. Their attacking line has been particularly impressive, scoring seven goals while conceding just one. This indicates a well-rounded performance, with both defense and offense functioning effectively. The Sounders have also shown excellent cohesion, with key players stepping up at crucial times to maintain their position in the upper half of the league table.

Conversely, the Portland Timbers have struggled to find consistency in their recent outings. Their last five matches have yielded just one win, one draw, and three losses, with a total of seven goals scored and twelve conceded. This discrepancy highlights the challenges they face in maintaining competitiveness, particularly in high-intensity matches. Their inability to convert chances into goals has been a recurring issue, and their defensive vulnerabilities have been exploited by opponents. This form could potentially affect their approach to the derby, forcing them to adopt a more cautious strategy to avoid further setbacks.

The current league standings reflect the gap between the two teams. The Sounders are ranked fifth with ten points, having earned three wins, one draw, and one loss in their opening five matches. Meanwhile, the Timbers sit in 14th place with only four points, indicating a difficult start to the season. This stark contrast in performance raises questions about whether the Timbers can mount a serious challenge in their next encounter. However, given the unpredictable nature of the Cascadia Derby, it would be unwise to rule out a potential upset.

Historically, the Sounders have held a slight edge in head-to-head encounters, but the Timbers have shown the ability to turn things around when motivated. Their home advantage at Providence Park could provide a psychological boost, particularly if they manage to regain confidence in the coming weeks. On the other hand, the Sounders’ strong form and recent results suggest they may enter the match with greater assurance. Ultimately, the outcome will depend on how both teams adapt to the pressures of the derby and capitalize on their strengths.

The current state of affairs underscores the importance of preparation and execution. For the Sounders, maintaining their momentum is crucial, as a win would solidify their position in the league and reinforce their reputation as a dominant force in the rivalry. For the Timbers, a victory would serve as a much-needed morale booster, offering a chance to close the gap and reassert themselves as contenders in the Western Conference. Either way, the stakes remain high, and the next meeting promises to be a fiercely contested affair.

Cascadia Derby Prediction and Betting Analysis

For bettors and analysts alike, the Cascadia Derby presents a compelling case due to its high-scoring nature and the frequent occurrence of both teams finding the back of the net. Based on historical data, there is a strong indication that this match will likely produce an over 2.5 goals outcome, with a 63% probability according to the all-time head-to-head record. Additionally, the 69% BTTS (both teams to score) statistic reinforces the likelihood of a lively and open contest, making it an attractive option for those looking to capitalize on offensive threats.

Examining the most common scorelines provides further insight into potential outcomes. The 1-2 and 2-1 results have occurred the most frequently, with seven instances each. This suggests that the match is unlikely to feature a large margin of victory, instead favoring tightly contested and low-scoring affairs. However, the presence of higher-margin wins, such as the 6-2 and 4-1 results, indicates that the game can easily swing towards a more expansive style of play depending on the conditions and tactical setups employed by either team.

Goal timing is another factor worth considering. Data shows that the majority of goals occur in the second half, with 42 goals scored in the 76-90 minute window, compared to just 18 in the first 15 minutes. This pattern suggests that the match may start slowly, with teams taking time to settle into their rhythm before increasing the tempo in the latter stages. Midfield battles and substitutions could play a crucial role in determining the final scoreline, as teams look to exploit gaps created by fatigue or tactical adjustments.

From a betting perspective, the 1X2 market offers a variety of options, with the home team holding a slight edge in the head-to-head record. Historically, the Sounders have won 18 out of 48 matches, while the Timbers have taken 20, highlighting the fine balance between the two sides. Given the recent form of the Sounders, who have been dominant in their last few games, they may present a safer bet in this particular matchup. However, the Timbers have shown the ability to overturn deficits and capitalize on momentum, so a draw cannot be ruled out entirely.

Betting on over/under markets is also highly recommended, given the frequency of high-scoring matches. The 2.5 goal line appears to be a popular choice, supported by the fact that 63% of matches have exceeded this threshold. Similarly, the 3.5 goal line is worth considering, as the average of 3.1 goals per game indicates that a 4-1 or 3-2 result is plausible. These figures suggest that the match is likely to be an exciting one, filled with attacking intent and limited defensive stability.

The presence of key players also adds an element of uncertainty. The Sounders have a wealth of attacking firepower, with Ruidíaz and others capable of delivering decisive strikes. The Timbers, meanwhile, rely heavily on Adi and Váleri, whose performances can determine the course of the match. If either of these players finds their rhythm, the game could quickly spiral into a high-scoring affair. Conversely, if they struggle to connect, the match may follow a more conservative path, with fewer chances and tighter defending.

Ultimately, the Cascadia Derby remains one of the most unpredictable fixtures in MLS. Its rich history, combined with the current form of both teams, ensures that every match carries significant weight. Whether you’re placing a wager or simply following the action, understanding the nuances of the head-to-head record, goal trends, and player contributions can greatly enhance your appreciation of the rivalry.

Venue Analysis — Home and Away Records

The home advantage in the Cascadia Derby plays a crucial role in shaping the dynamics of the rivalry. Historically, the Seattle Sounders have enjoyed a moderate edge in their own stadium, hosting 25 matches with 11 wins, six draws, and eight losses. Their attacking strength has been evident at CenturyLink Field, where they have scored 37 goals and conceded 32. This suggests that while the Sounders are effective at breaking down opposition defenses, they have occasionally struggled to maintain defensive consistency, allowing opponents to take control in certain encounters.

On the other hand, the Portland Timbers have performed slightly better in their home environment, with 23 matches played at Providence Park. Here, they have secured 12 wins, four draws, and seven losses, scoring 43 goals and conceding 38. This indicates that the Timbers have been more successful in translating their attacking potential into tangible results on home soil. Their ability to control possession and dictate the tempo of the game has been a key factor in their favorable home record, giving them a psychological edge when facing their rivals.

The difference in performance between the two teams at home and away is striking. The Sounders have struggled to replicate their home form on the road, with a lower win rate and a tendency to concede more goals in away matches. In contrast, the Timbers have shown greater adaptability, managing to maintain a steady level of performance regardless of the venue. This suggests that the Timbers may be more comfortable playing away from home, a trait that could be advantageous in the event of a return fixture.

However, the influence of home advantage should not be overstated. While the Sounders have a decent record at CenturyLink Field, they have faced tough challenges from the Timbers, who have regularly tested their defensive resolve. Similarly, the Timbers have experienced periods of vulnerability on their own turf, particularly when facing strong opposition. The balance of power in the derby is therefore determined by more than just the venue—tactical decisions, player motivation, and in-game adjustments all contribute to the outcome.

Ultimately, the home advantage in the Cascadia Derby is a factor that both teams must consider carefully. For the Sounders, maintaining a strong home record is essential in preserving their status as a dominant force in the rivalry. For the Timbers, capitalizing on their home form could be the key to gaining the upper hand. Whether the next match takes place at CenturyLink Field or Providence Park, the outcome will depend on how effectively each team can leverage the benefits of their respective environments.

H2H Trends and Betting Insights

Delving deeper into the Cascadia Derby’s head-to-head trends reveals a complex web of patterns that can inform betting strategies and expectations. One of the most notable trends is the fluctuation in dominance between the two teams. Over the course of 48 matches, the Sounders have won 18, the Timbers 20, and the rest have ended in draws. This near-equal distribution of results suggests that neither side has established a definitive advantage, making the derby a high-risk, high-reward proposition for bettors.

A closer look at the historical data shows that the Timbers have enjoyed longer periods of success, particularly in the mid-2010s and early 2020s. During this time, they recorded a four-match winning streak, demonstrating their ability to impose themselves on the Sounders. However, the Sounders have also shown resilience, with a four-match winning streak of their own in 2021, underscoring their capacity to respond to adversity and reclaim control of the rivalry.

Another intriguing aspect of the derby is the frequency of high-scoring matches. With an average of 3.1 goals per game, the Cascadia Derby ranks among the most offensive-focused rivalries in MLS. This is reflected in the 69% BTTS (both teams to score) statistic, which indicates that over two-thirds of matches have featured goals from both sides. Such a trend makes the over/under markets particularly appealing, as the likelihood of a goal-filled contest is substantial.

Goal timing also plays a critical role in shaping the outcome of the derby. The data shows that the majority of goals occur in the second half, with 42 goals scored between the 76th and 90th minutes. This suggests that the match often becomes more fluid and unpredictable in the closing stages, with teams making late surges to gain an advantage. Bettors should pay close attention to this trend, as it can influence the decision-making process for both managers and players.

Seasonal variations also add another layer of complexity to the derby. Looking at the season-by-season breakdown, the Timbers have tended to perform better in the later parts of the campaign, while the Sounders have shown more consistency in the earlier months. This could indicate that the Timbers improve as the season progresses, possibly due to increased familiarity with their opponents or improved fitness levels. Conversely, the Sounders may experience dips in performance as the schedule intensifies, requiring careful management of resources and rotations.

These insights offer a valuable framework for analyzing the Cascadia Derby and making informed betting decisions. Whether focusing on outright results, goal lines, or player-specific wagers, understanding the historical context and statistical tendencies of the rivalry can enhance the overall experience for fans and bettors alike.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who has won more Cascadia Derbies?

The Portland Timbers have won more Cascadia Derbies than the Seattle Sounders. In 48 matches, the Timbers have secured 20 victories, compared to 18 for the Sounders. The remaining 10 matches have ended in draws.

What is the biggest win in the Cascadia Derby?

The largest margin of victory in the Cascadia Derby was a 6-2 defeat of the Portland Timbers by the Seattle Sounders on August 16, 2021. This was also the highest-scoring match in the rivalry’s history.

What is the average number of goals per Cascadia Derby?

The average number of goals per Cascadia Derby is 3.1. This reflects the high-scoring nature of the rivalry, with both teams frequently finding the back of the net.

Who is the top scorer in the Cascadia Derby?

Raúl Ruidíaz of the Seattle Sounders is the top scorer in the Cascadia Derby, with 12 goals in 24 appearances. He has consistently been a key figure in the rivalry, delivering crucial strikes in high-pressure moments.

Which team has a better home record in the Cascadia Derby?

The Portland Timbers have a slightly better home record in the Cascadia Derby. They have won 12 out of 23 matches at Providence Park, compared to 11 out of 25 for the Seattle Sounders at CenturyLink Field. However, both teams have remained competitive on their respective home soils.

When is the next Cascadia Derby?

No upcoming Cascadia Derby match is scheduled at this time. The rivalry typically features multiple fixtures annually, but the exact date of the next encounter will depend on the MLS regular season calendar and scheduling arrangements.