MexicoMexico
Liga MXLiga MX
Round 2

CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro Prediction & Betting Tips

27 Jul 2026
1-2
Full Time
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
CF Pachuca
1 : 2
FT
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Betting Tips

62%
22%
17%
CF PachucaDrawClub Queretaro
Match Result
CF Pachuca
62%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams Score
Yes
53%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
42%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -1.25
@ 2.09
48%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
11 min read

When CF Pachuca and Club Queretaro meet at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo in the early hours of Monday morning, the two clubs will carry starkly different moods into their Apertura - 2 encounter. The hosts sit proudly atop the Liga MX standings with a perfect three points from their opening fixture, while Q...

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Key Statistics

CF Pachuca6
6Draws
8Club Queretaro
2Avg Goals
40%BTTS
35%Over 2.5
27 Jul 2026CF Pachuca1-2Club Queretaro
1 Feb 2026Club Queretaro0-0CF Pachuca
20 Sept 2025CF Pachuca0-2Club Queretaro
30 Jan 2025Club Queretaro0-1CF Pachuca
31 Aug 2024CF Pachuca1-1Club Queretaro
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% Our Pick Win Rate
30+ Years Experience
16.2k Predictions Tracked
CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro — match prediction & preview
CF Pachuca
WLWLL
Recent formvs
Club Queretaro
WLWWD

Pachuca Host Queretaro as Early Apertura Divide Emerges

When CF Pachuca and Club Queretaro meet at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo in the early hours of Monday morning, the two clubs will carry starkly different moods into their Apertura - 2 encounter. The hosts sit proudly atop the Liga MX standings with a perfect three points from their opening fixture, while Queretaro prop up the division without a single point after a heavy defeat last time out. That contrast in fortunes sets the stage for what should prove to be a fascinating test of momentum versus desperation.

Pachuca will feel they have every reason for optimism heading into this fixture. Bet365 price the home side at 1.55 to claim maximum points, reflecting their strong start to the campaign. Queretaro, by contrast, face a 5.50 outsiders according to the same bookmaker, with the draw available at odds of 4. Both clubs have enjoyed identical preparation time, with eight days separating their previous outings, so fatigue will not be a factor for either side. The question is whether Queretaro can summon a response from their dreadful opening performance or whether Pachuca will continue to impose themselves on opponents from the first whistle.

The gulf in class demonstrated in round one makes this a pivotal fixture for Club Queretaro's early season ambitions. A heavy defeat here could leave them already playing catch-up in the standings, while a positive result would inject genuine belief into their campaign. For Pachuca, protecting home advantage represents the minimum expectation as they look to establish themselves as genuine contenders. The Estadio Miguel Hidalgo crowd will expect their side to deliver a statement performance under the lights on Monday.

Pachuca's Scoring Rhythm Collides with Queretaro's Inconsistent Start

CF Pachuca make their entrance into this Apertura encounter sitting atop the Liga MX standings with a perfect record of three points from their opening fixture, while Club Queretaro prop up the early table with zero points and a defeat in their first match. The form guide comparison gives Pachuca a commanding 60% advantage over Queretaro's 40%, and watching the recent results from each camp reveals exactly why that gap has opened up so decisively. Pachuca arrive on a run of four wins from their last five matches across all competitions, whereas Queretaro have managed only two victories in their last five outings, interspersed with two draws and a heavy opening-day defeat. This pre-match picture suggests one side carries genuine momentum while the other still searches for consistency in the early stages of the campaign.

Pachuca's attacking output tells a compelling story of a team that has rediscovered its cutting edge. Their ten-match sample shows an average of 1.7 goals per game, and that recent burst of form has been punctuated by some eye-catching attacking performances. They dismantled Pumas 3-0 on their travels, a result that followed a narrow 1-0 home victory over the same opponents. The pair of wins against Toluca, a 2-0 home success followed by a 1-0 away triumph, demonstrate they can break down opponents in different ways. The solitary defeat in their recent sequence came away to Pumas in a 0-1 loss, but four subsequent wins have more than erased that setback. Their clean sheet rate of 40% adds a defensive dimension to their threat, suggesting they can shut opponents out when they are at their most clinical in the final third.

Queretaro, by contrast, enter this fixture with question marks over both ends of the pitch. Their ten-match record of three wins, five draws, and two defeats paints the picture of a side that struggles to kill games off, and their average of just one goal per game leaves them looking toothless in attack compared to their opponents. The most recent result, a 0-1 home defeat to Club America, handed them an immediate setback in their Apertura campaign. Prior to that, they managed to win away to Puebla by a 2-1 scoreline, but they have found clean sheets hard to come by, managing only 30% over the same ten-match window. Two consecutive 1-1 draws against Cruz Azul and Mazatlán showed resilience in patches but also an inability to hold onto leads. Their one truly dominant display came in a 3-1 home win over Necaxa, yet those goals have been difficult to replicate on a consistent basis. The 60% BTTS rate across their recent games indicates that while they tend to find the net, they just as frequently concede, leaving them exposed at the back.

The scoring trends ahead of this clash point toward an interesting tactical contrast. Pachuca's superior firepower, reflected in their 1.7 goals-per-game average, stacks up directly against Queretaro's defensive frailties and low clean sheet percentage. Queretaro's BTTS record of 60% suggests they will create opportunities at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, but their struggles to convert dominance into victories, combined with Pachuca's habit of keeping clean sheets in their better performances, creates a mismatch that favours the home side. The weight of recent results, from Pachuca's 3-0 demolition of Pumas to Queretaro's frustrating sequence of draws and that opening-day loss to Club America, frames this as a contest between a side brimming with confidence and one desperately seeking its first positive result of the tournament.

Recent Encounters Show Tight Contest Between Pachuca and Queretaro

The head-to-head record between these two clubs reveals a remarkably balanced rivalry over their recent meetings. Across the last 20 encounters, both CF Pachuca and Club Queretaro have claimed seven victories apiece, with six matches ending in stalemates. This perfect equilibrium suggests neither side holds a psychological edge heading into their latest confrontation, with the outcome genuinely difficult to predict based on historical precedent alone.

When examining the scoring patterns of these matchups, a clear trend emerges toward low-scoring affairs. The average goal tally per game stands at just 1.95, indicating that tight, defensive battles have characterized this fixture. Furthermore, both teams have found the net in only 35 percent of their recent meetings, suggesting that clean sheets have been a common feature when these clubs face off.

Their five most recent encounters paint a picture of intense competition with Club Queretaro holding a slight recent advantage. Queretaro secured a 2-0 victory when they visited Pachuca in September 2025, while Pachuca claimed maximum points with a narrow 1-0 win in their January 2025 away trip. A goalless draw in February 2026 and a 1-1 stalemate in August 2024 further underscore how rarely this fixture produces a comfortable margin. The matches have consistently been decided by fine margins, making Friday's encounter another potentially cagey affair.

Can Queretaro Contain Pachuca's Attacking Threat at the Estadio Miguel Hidalgo?

The tactical landscape of this Apertura - 2 encounter presents a compelling contrast as CF Pachuca, sitting top of the table with a perfect three points from their opening fixture, prepare to host a Club Queretaro side yet to register a point. According to the league standings, Pachuca enter as firm favorites, with Bet365 pricing the home win at 1.55, while Queretaro are offered at 5.5. The pressure rests squarely on the visitors, who must arrest an early-season slide that has left them in 14th position after their opening-day defeat.

Queretaro's declared 4-2-3-1 formation offers a structured foundation, with two holding midfielders tasked with shielding the back four and breaking up opposition attacks before they reach the final third. However, the six yellow cards accumulated in their previous fixture suggests a disciplinary and tactical challenge that head coach Domnez might need to address. Their defensive discipline will be tested against a Pachuca side that, despite being unbeaten, has yet to find the net in open play. The Queretaro full-backs will need to balance their defensive responsibilities with occasional overlapping runs, while the three attacking midfielders must provide meaningful support to the lone striker during transitional moments.

The most fascinating tactical question surrounds Pachuca's approach in the final third. With zero goals scored and zero goals conceded through their opening fixture, their early-season success has been built on defensive solidity rather than attacking prowess. The home side will need to translate their table-topping position into meaningful goalmouth opportunities, particularly given their significant rest advantage following the international break. Queretaro's 4-2-3-1 shape naturally creates numerical superiority in wide areas, meaning Pachuca's wide players and attacking midfielders must demonstrate patience and movement to draw the opposition out of their defensive structure. The visitors' vulnerability on the counterattack could become a factor if Queretaro commit too many players forward in search of their first points of the campaign.

Pachuca's Perfect Start Meets Queretaro's Early Struggles — Where's the Value?

CF Pachuca make their first home appearance of the Apertura 2026 season in excellent shape, sitting top of the Liga MX table with a perfect record from their opening fixture. Club Queretaro arrive at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo having failed to collect any points from their first match, leaving them in 14th place. The bookmakers have installed Pachuca as clear favourites at 1.53, which translates to an implied probability of 58.1%. However, the best price available on the home win is 1.61 at Pinnacle — a notable enhancement that savvy punters should take advantage of. With the draw priced at 3.8 (implied 23.4%) and Queretaro at 4.8 (implied 18.5%), the market clearly expects Pachuca to continue their winning momentum against a side still searching for their first points of the campaign.

Our primary selection centres on the home win at 60% confidence, which represents the highest conviction pick in this fixture. The gap between league positions — first versus 14th — reflects genuine form divergence entering this matchday. Pachuca demonstrated their attacking capability in collecting three points on the opening round, while Queretaro's defensive issues from that defeat remain a concern ahead of their away trip. For punters seeking the optimal price, the best available odds of 1.61 for a Pachuca victory are offered at Pinnacle, providing value over the standard market line of 1.53.

Goals-related markets also merit attention based on our analysis. Over 2.5 goals carries 56% confidence and reflects an expectation that this fixture produces a relatively open contest. Pachuca at home typically approaches matches with offensive intent, while a winless Queretaro side must adopt a more aggressive posture to rescue points from their early-season deficit. Additionally, both teams to score attracts 54% confidence — Queretaro's attacking options may find space against a Pachuca defence that could be caught out if the visitors adopt desperate attacking tactics. The combination of home dominance and away desperation creates conditions for goals at both ends.

For those preferring a safety net, the double chance market offers an alternative angle. Our 1X selection carries 41% confidence — lower than the straight home win, but it provides protection against an unexpected Queretaro performance. The best draw odds of 4.1 are available at Betfair, making this option particularly attractive for those looking to hedge their main selection. Ultimately, the odds structure heavily favours Pachuca, and the value lies in backing them at the enhanced price available at Pinnacle while supplementing the selection with over 2.5 goals or BTTS options depending on risk appetite.

Why Enner Valencia and the Asian Handicap Stand Out for This Clash

Beyond the standard match-winner market, the Asian Handicap line of CF Pachuca -1.00 at 1.95 with 51% confidence presents a balanced proposition. Queretaro conceded twice on matchday one, and if Pachuca establish control early, this line could settle favourably for backers of the hosts. The 2:1 correct score sits at 6.50 with 15% confidence as the most likely outcome according to our model, offering significantly better value than the Asian Handicap for those seeking higher returns, though the lower confidence signals greater uncertainty around the exact margin.

The corner market shows strong conviction at 51% confidence, with over 9.5 total corners priced at 1.82. Both sides averaged above five corners per match in the opening round, suggesting this line should be reached comfortably if the game maintains its tempo. For goalscorer punters, Enner Valencia at 2.05 with 49% confidence represents the standout anytime market selection, carrying the highest odds among the recommended picks while still holding a coin-flip probability of landing.

Those building multiples may find appeal in combining the Asian Handicap with the over 9.5 corners selection, as both carry identical 51% confidence ratings and correlate reasonably well if Pachuca dominate possession and territory as expected. The 2:1 correct score at 6.50 could serve as a high-odds accumulator anchor for punters comfortable with lower-probability, higher-reward stakes. Always ensure selections align with your overall bankroll strategy when considering markets beyond the traditional 1X2 outcome.

Pachuca's Early-Season Momentum Gives Them the Edge in This Clash

CF Pachuca heads into this Apertura round 2 fixture with a perfect record from their opening match, sitting atop the standings with three points. Club Queretaro, meanwhile, finds themselves in the lower reaches after a defeat in their first outing. The data-driven picks point firmly toward a home victory, with Match Result: 1 holding the highest confidence at 60%.

Beyond the outright win, both the Over 2.5 goals market and the Both Teams To Score option show strong conviction, suggesting this encounter is likely to feature multiple goals and contributions from both sides. With Pachuca's superior early-season form and Queretaro still searching for their first positive result, backing the home side through either Match Result: 1 or Double Chance: 1X appears to represent the most solid approach for this fixture at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.

Our #1 PickCF PachucaMatch Result (1X2)@1.44 · 60%
Best ValueYesBoth Teams to Score@1.73 · 54%
Our Predictions: CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro — CF Pachuca — Win (62%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts CF Pachuca with 62% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Will both teams score in CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro?
Both teams to score: Yes (53% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 42% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro?
Enner Valencia is our pick to find the net.
CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro: what is our Asian Handicap tip?
Our Asian Handicap call is CF Pachuca -1.25 with 48% confidence.
When and where is CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro played?
CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro takes place on 27 Jul 2026 at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.

Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America431081+710
2Club TijuanaClub Tijuana431062+410
3MonterreyMonterrey4301125+79
4AtlasAtlas430165+19
5TolucaToluca421163+37
6U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas421175+27
7Club QueretaroClub Queretaro421154+17
8Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas42113307
9Cruz AzulCruz Azul42028806
10NecaxaNecaxa32015506
11Atlante FCAtlante FC41215505
12PueblaPuebla31113304
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca310243+13
14LeonLeon310234-13
15Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis402248-42
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL4013610-41
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna400428-60
18FC JuarezFC Juarez4004213-110

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

CF Pachuca
WLWLL
10Played
5Wins
0Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.5
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.2
Scored Avg1.2
Conceded Avg1
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

2 AugLat Leon0-1
27 JulLvs Club Queretaro1-2
18 JulWat U.N.A.M. - Pumas3-0
18 MayLat U.N.A.M. - Pumas0-1
15 MayWvs U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-0
Club Queretaro
WLWWD
10Played
5Wins
4Draws
1Losses
Points/Game1.9
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.3
Scored Avg1.4
Conceded Avg0.9
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

16 AugDat U.N.A.M. - Pumas0-0
1 AugWvs Tigres UANL3-2
27 JulWat CF Pachuca2-1
19 JulLvs Club America0-1
25 AprWat Puebla2-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches20
Average Goals2
BTTS40%
Over 2.5 Goals35%
Over 1.5 Goals65%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
CF Pachuca190.95 per game
Club Queretaro211.05 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
CF Pachuca8 (40%)
Club Queretaro6 (30%)
27 Jul 2026Liga MXCF Pachuca1-2Club Queretaro
1 Feb 2026Liga MXClub Queretaro0-0CF Pachuca
20 Sept 2025Liga MXCF Pachuca0-2Club Queretaro
30 Jan 2025Liga MXClub Queretaro0-1CF Pachuca
31 Aug 2024Liga MXCF Pachuca1-1Club Queretaro
10 Mar 2024Liga MXCF Pachuca1-2Club Queretaro
21 Aug 2023Liga MXClub Queretaro1-1CF Pachuca
30 Apr 2023Liga MXClub Queretaro0-1CF Pachuca
5 Jul 2022Liga MXCF Pachuca2-0Club Queretaro
15 Feb 2022Liga MXCF Pachuca2-2Club Queretaro
23 Aug 2021Liga MXClub Queretaro0-2CF Pachuca
5 Feb 2021Liga MXClub Queretaro3-1CF Pachuca
7 Aug 2020Liga MXCF Pachuca1-0Club Queretaro
29 Feb 2020Liga MXCF Pachuca1-1Club Queretaro
10 Aug 2019Liga MXClub Queretaro2-1CF Pachuca
13 Jan 2019Liga MXCF Pachuca3-0Club Queretaro
28 Jul 2018Liga MXClub Queretaro1-0CF Pachuca
21 Apr 2018Liga MXClub Queretaro0-0CF Pachuca
5 Nov 2017Liga MXCF Pachuca0-1Club Queretaro
18 Mar 2017Liga MXClub Queretaro3-0CF Pachuca

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