PortugalPortugal
Segunda LigaSegunda Liga
Round 6

Chaves vs Feirense Prediction & Betting Tips

13 Sept 2026
1-0
Full Time
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, Chaves
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
1 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

45%
45%
10%
ChavesDrawFeirense
Match Result
Chaves
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams Score
Yes
62%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
10 min read

When Chaves and Feirense step onto the Estadio Municipal de Chaves pitch on Sunday, the stakes could not be higher. Both clubs find themselves in grave danger of sliding toward Liga 3, with each side collecting just one point from their opening fixtures of the Segunda Liga campaign. The 16:00 BST ki...

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Key Statistics

Chaves5
5Draws
7Feirense
2.47Avg Goals
47%BTTS
41%Over 2.5
13 Sept 2026Chaves1-0Feirense
14 Feb 2026Feirense1-0Chaves
14 Sept 2025Chaves1-1Feirense
7 Mar 2025Feirense0-1Chaves
13 Oct 2024Chaves0-0Feirense
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% Our Pick Win Rate
30+ Years Experience
16.2k Predictions Tracked
Chaves vs Feirense — match prediction & preview
Chaves
LWWLD
Recent formvs
Feirense
LLLLL

Chaves vs Feirense: Survival Battle Looms as Winless Sides Meet on Matchday 6

When Chaves and Feirense step onto the Estadio Municipal de Chaves pitch on Sunday, the stakes could not be higher. Both clubs find themselves in grave danger of sliding toward Liga 3, with each side collecting just one point from their opening fixtures of the Segunda Liga campaign. The 16:00 BST kickoff marks a crucial crossroads for two teams whose seasons are already threatening to unravel before the autumn leaves fall.

Chaves occupy 17th place with a single point from four matches, having managed a draw alongside three defeats. Their recent form of LDLL tells a story of struggle, with the side failing to find any consistency as they battle against the drop. Feirense sit one position below in 18th, having played one game more than their opponents and with a winless record of their own. The LLLLD sequence for Feirense suggests a team desperately searching for a turning point, a result that could inject belief back into a squad that has found goals and victories hard to come by.

The proximity of these two clubs in the standings transforms Sunday's encounter into something resembling a six-pointer in miniature. Three points on offer represent more than just a numerical improvement — it offers breathing space, momentum, and crucially, a psychological edge over a direct rival in the battle to remain in Portugal's second tier. With both sets of players aware that defeat could leave them cut adrift at the foot of the table, expect intensity, urgency, and perhaps some nerves as the clock ticks toward kickoff in Chaves.

Chaves and Feirense Search for First Win Amid Alarmingly Poor Runs

When Chaves and Feirense meet at Estadio Municipal de Chaves for Matchday 6, they will do so as the two most out-of-form sides in the Segunda Liga. Both clubs sit on a single point after five rounds, and the statistics paint a picture of teams struggling at both ends of the pitch. The hosts, currently 17th, have managed just one win in their last five outings, a 3-1 away victory over Maritimo that now feels like a distant positive memory. Their recent sequence of LDLLW shows they have found the net in most matches but have been consistently breached at the back, conceding in four of their last five games including a chastening 1-4 home defeat to Academica and a narrow 0-1 loss away to Sporting CP B.

Feirense's predicament appears even more perilous. The visitors prop up the table in 18th place and have managed just one win from their last ten matches, with that solitary success dating back further than their current sequence. Their form guide of LLLLD reflects a team utterly devoid of attacking confidence, having failed to score in four consecutive defeats before finally earning a goalless draw with Felgueiras 1932 in their most recent fixture. The statistic of just 0.6 goals scored per game over the last ten matches tells the story better than any narrative could: Feirense have managed single-goal returns in their three most recent losses, being shut out entirely in matches against FC Porto B, Academica, and AVS away from home.

The contrast in defensive solidity is equally revealing. While Chaves have kept just one clean sheet from their last ten matches, their attacking output of 1.7 goals per game means they have found the back of the net frequently enough to suggest they can trouble even a well-organized backline. The 80% BTTS rate for Chaves indicates that when they concede, they tend to reply in kind. Feirense, by contrast, offer very little going forward but have shown marginally greater defensive resilience, keeping clean sheets in 20% of their recent games compared to Chaves' 10%. Their 1.5 goals conceded per game is respectable, yet it counts for little when the attacking unit fails to contribute meaningfully to results.

With both teams desperately seeking a first league win of the season, the encounter carries an unusual dynamic where neither side can afford to play cautiously. Feirense have shown they can frustrate opponents into draws, as demonstrated by the stalemate with Felgueiras 1932, but their inability to convert that defensive structure into three points remains their primary concern. Chaves will feel they have the superior firepower to break down a stubborn but toothless opponent, yet their own defensive vulnerabilities make them far from certainties to keep a clean sheet. The underlying numbers suggest an open contest where both defences may struggle to contain their opponents' attacks, though Feirense's offensive shortcomings mean this could still be a low-scoring affair despite the hosts' tendency to both score and concede.

Chaves and Feirense Set for Tactical Stalemate in Relegation Six-Pointer

With both sides rooted to the foot of the Segunda Liga table and still awaiting their first victories of the campaign, Sunday's encounter at Estadio Municipal de Chaves carries enormous stakes. Both teams find themselves in the relegation zone after five rounds of action, making this a de facto six-pointer that could set the tone for the remainder of the season. The pressure will be immense on both sets of players, and how each manager approaches the tactical chess match will prove decisive in determining which side escapes this weekend with precious points in hand.

Neither team has found the net this season, with the statistics showing complete offensive impotence through the opening matches. This suggests both managers have prioritized defensive solidity over creative expression, likely deploying deep-lying defensive structures designed to frustrate opponents rather than break them down. The lack of goals scored also points to potential structural issues in the final third, whether through personnel limitations, coaching instructions, or a combination of both factors that have prevented any meaningful attacking cohesion from developing.

The disparity in rest periods adds another layer to consider. Chaves enter the match with 14 days of preparation, having last played nearly two weeks ago, while Feirense have had only eight days and played within the last 10 days. This could influence each side's approach: the hosts may attempt to seize early initiative and capitalize on superior freshness, whereas Feirense might look to absorb pressure and strike on transitions. Given both clubs' recent form trends of LDLL and LLLLD respectively, expect a cautious, error-strewn affair where the team that maintains composure in critical moments is most likely to prevail.

Feirense Edge Historical Meetings with Low-Scoring Encounters Dominant

When examining the historical encounters between these two clubs, Feirense hold a marginal advantage across the recorded sample. Of the last 16 meetings, Feirense have secured victory in 7 occasions, while Chaves have won 4 times, with the remaining 5 meetings ending in draws. This record suggests that while Feirense have historically performed slightly better in this fixture, the contest remains relatively balanced and competitive.

The most recent meetings on record further illustrate this closely contested rivalry. The latest encounter saw Feirense claim a narrow 1-0 victory, while earlier in the same season the teams played out a 1-1 draw. Prior to those results, Chaves recorded a 1-0 win in early 2025, followed by a goalless draw later that year, with a 3-1 Chaves victory dating back to 2022. The pattern emerging from these results shows extremely tight margins separating the sides, with matches frequently decided by single goals or shared points.

Goal-scoring patterns in this fixture tend toward the conservative end of the spectrum. The average goals per meeting across the 16 clashes stands at 2.56, indicating that low-scoring encounters have been the norm rather than high-scoring thrillers. Additionally, exactly 50% of the meetings have seen both teams find the net, highlighting the split nature of outcomes in this rivalry where clean sheets and shutouts occur as frequently as open contests.

Chaves vs Feirense: Betting Angles for a Clash of Struggling Sides

Sunday's encounter at Estadio Municipal de Chaves pitches two clubsanchored to the foot of the Segunda Liga table, with both sides arriving in desperate need of a positive result after torrid opening stretches. Desportivo de Chaves occupies 17th place with a single point from five matches, while CD Feirense sits directly below in 18th position with an identical tally. Neither side has registered a victory this season, with Chaves managing one draw alongside three defeats and Feirense managing the same solitary point from one draw and four losses. The margins between success and failure have been razor-thin for both clubs, and this fixture represents what could prove to be a pivotal moment in defining their respective trajectories for the remainder of the campaign.

The prediction model assigns Chaves a 45% probability of victory, with the draw also rated at 45%, leaving Feirense with just a 10% chance of success. This reflects the home advantage factor combined with Feirense's particularly wretched away record. The visitors have struggled to translate their limited attacking threats into meaningful returns on the road, and the model suggests that any away triumph would constitute something of an upset given the probabilities on offer. For punters seeking value, the strong 90% confidence rating on the Double Chance 1X market provides considerable security, essentially offering protection against a Feirense victory while backing either a Chaves win or the draw. Given how closely matched these two sides appear on current form, that market offers the most reliable pathway to a positive outcome.

Turning to the goal markets, the Over 2.5 goals selection carries 52% confidence, a marginal edge that reflects the likelihood of a competitive, open contest rather than a comfortable victory for either side. Neither defense has demonstrated the solidity required to keep clean sheets consistently, and the underlying statistics suggest goals at both ends remain a genuine possibility throughout the ninety minutes. Indeed, the BTTS market registers at 62% confidence, representing the strongest numerical edge in the goal-related selections. Both squads have shown defensive vulnerabilities that invite optimism about finding the net, and with the stakes at their highest for two clubs already facing an uphill battle to climb the division, expect an encounter where caution is abandoned in favour of positive intent. The combination of defensive uncertainty and the necessity of securing maximum points makes goals at both ends a compelling proposition for this Matchday 6 fixture.

Verdict: Home Comfort Should Guide Chaves to Long-Awaited Victory

With both clubs anchored to single points after five rounds, this encounter carries significant weight for two teams desperate to ignite their seasons. Chaves possess a marginally superior defensive record and will retain home advantage at Estadio Municipal de Chaves, factors that provide the foundation for a home win selection despite low confidence levels across the board. The over 2.5 goals market offers stronger conviction, with both outfits leaking goals regularly and combining for 19 tallies conceded across their five fixtures apiece. BTTS receives the highest confidence rating at 62%, reflecting the pattern of inconsistency at the back that has plagued each side through the opening month of Segunda Liga action. The double chance 1X provides the most robust selection at 90% confidence, offering insurance against an unlikely away triumph while keeping alive the prospect of maximum returns should Chaves finally click into gear on home soil.

Our recommended hierarchy places the double chance 1X as the primary selection for cautious punters seeking exposure without excessive risk, while those willing to accept greater variance may prefer the over 2.5 goals angle backed by solid analytical reasoning. A narrow 1-1 draw remains plausible given the symmetrical struggles both teams have encountered, making the BTTS yes selection a viable secondary option that aligns with observed patterns of play through matchday five.

Our Predictions: Chaves vs Feirense — Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Chaves vs Feirense?
Our model predicts Chaves with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Chaves vs Feirense?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Chaves vs Feirense have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (52% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Chaves vs Feirense?
Both teams to score: Yes (62% confidence).
When and where is Chaves vs Feirense played?
Chaves vs Feirense takes place on 13 Sept 2026 at Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira.

Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa7520125+717
2Sporting CP BSporting CP B7502106+415
3FarenseFarense7421136+714
4PenafielPenafiel7412147+713
5Benfica BBenfica B741285+313
6AcademicaAcademica74031010012
7TondelaTondela740386+212
8VizelaVizela732276+111
9União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria7313109+110
10LeixoesLeixoes731398+110
11PortimonensePortimonense731367-110
12AVSAVS723287+19
13FC Porto BFC Porto B7214614-87
14Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 1932713357-26
15TorreenseTorreense7133710-36
16AmaranteAmarante7124610-45
17ChavesChaves7124614-85
18FeirenseFeirense7016210-81
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Chaves
LWWLD
10Played
3Wins
2Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.1
Win %30%
Goals/Game3.2
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1.9
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

11 OctDat Lusitânia Lourosa1-1
4 OctLat Farense0-4
20 SeptWat Guarda3-2
13 SeptWvs Feirense1-0
30 AugLat Felgueiras 19321-2
Feirense
LLLLL
10Played
0Wins
2Draws
8Losses
Points/Game0.2
Win %0%
Goals/Game2
Scored Avg0.5
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score60%

Recent Matches

11 OctLat Farense1-2
19 SeptLat Salgueiros0-1
13 SeptLat Chaves0-1
5 SeptLvs Sporting CP B1-3
30 AugLat AVS0-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches17
Average Goals2.47
BTTS47%
Over 2.5 Goals41%
Over 1.5 Goals59%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Chaves211.24 per game
Feirense211.24 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Chaves5 (29%)
Feirense6 (35%)
13 Sept 2026Segunda LigaChaves1-0Feirense
14 Feb 2026Segunda LigaFeirense1-0Chaves
14 Sept 2025Segunda LigaChaves1-1Feirense
7 Mar 2025Segunda LigaFeirense0-1Chaves
13 Oct 2024Segunda LigaChaves0-0Feirense
30 Jan 2022Segunda LigaChaves3-1Feirense
22 Aug 2021Segunda LigaFeirense3-1Chaves
30 Jan 2021Segunda LigaChaves0-1Feirense
15 Oct 2020Segunda LigaFeirense0-4Chaves
22 Feb 2020Segunda LigaChaves1-2Feirense
14 Sept 2019Segunda LigaFeirense1-0Chaves
4 May 2019Primeira LigaFeirense4-4Chaves
3 Jan 2019Primeira LigaChaves0-0Feirense
4 Feb 2018Primeira LigaFeirense1-2Chaves
26 Aug 2017Primeira LigaChaves0-2Feirense
19 Mar 2017Primeira LigaFeirense3-2Chaves
31 Oct 2016Primeira LigaChaves1-1Feirense

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