BulgariaBulgaria
First LeagueFirst League
Round 20

Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna Prediction & Betting Tips

7 Feb 2026
0-0
Full Time
Spartak Varna

Spartak Varna

13th23 pts
Ticha, Varna
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Home Win
@ 1.29
0 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

67%
21%
13%
Cherno More VarnaDrawSpartak Varna
Match Result
Home Win
@ 1.29
66%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
@ 1.85
51%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
@ 1.07
44%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -1.25
@ 1.89
53%
Half Time
Home Win
@ 1.90
45%
HT/FT
Home/Home
@ 1.93
51.8%
Correct Score
1:0
@ 5.00
20.0%

Additional Markets

Total Corners
Over 9.5
@ 1.59
57.9%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
6 min read

The Battle for Local Supremacy: Cherno More vs Spartak Varna Set to Ignite Varna In the seaside city of Varna, a fierce local rivalry is brewing with more than just bragging rights on the line. Cherno More and Spartak Varna, two storied clubs sharing...

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Match Facts

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna have kept 3 consecutive clean sheets
Cherno More Varna concede just 0.68 goals per game (17 in 25)
Cherno More Varna have kept 12 clean sheets in 25 matches (48%)
Cherno More Varna have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 home games (58%)
Cherno More Varna failed to score in 8 of 25 matches (32%)
Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna have received 5 red cards in 25 matches this season
Spartak Varna score 38% of their goals after the 75th minute (8 goals)
Spartak Varna have won just 1 of 13 away matches this season
Spartak Varna have lost 5 of 12 home matches (42%)
Spartak Varna score 67% of their goals in the second half
Spartak Varna failed to score in 9 of 25 matches (36%)

Key Statistics

Cherno More Varna3
3Draws
0Spartak Varna
2.17Avg Goals
50%BTTS
33%Over 2.5
7 Feb 2026Cherno More Varna0-0Spartak Varna
16 Aug 2025Spartak Varna1-3Cherno More Varna
8 Mar 2025Cherno More Varna1-1Spartak Varna
22 Sept 2024Spartak Varna0-2Cherno More Varna
7 May 2023Cherno More Varna3-2Spartak Varna
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.113.955.50
188Bet1.374.206.60
1xBet1.404.307.90

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

The Battle for Local Supremacy: Cherno More vs Spartak Varna Set to Ignite Varna

In the seaside city of Varna, a fierce local rivalry is brewing with more than just bragging rights on the line. Cherno More and Spartak Varna, two storied clubs sharing the same city but with contrasting recent fortunes, prepare to meet at Ticha Stadium on Saturday morning. While the league standings show a yawning gap—Cherno More comfortably nestled in 4th place, Spartak languishing near the bottom—the true drama lies in how these teams approach this fixture tactically, emotionally, and strategically.

For Cherno More, the game is an opportunity to sustain their push towards European qualification. Spartak, meanwhile, faces the harsh realities of relegation battles and must seek inspiration from past encounters that have often defied expectations. The pressure, the pride, the tactics—everything converges on this fixture, promising a tapestry woven with nuance, grit, and the potential for fireworks.

Tactical chess: How will the managers set the stage?

Cherno More's current approach reflects a pragmatic, possession-oriented style, often deploying a 4-2-3-1 formation that emphasizes control and creative fluidity. Their manager has emphasized disciplined pressing and quick transitions, aiming to exploit the flanks through energetic wingers and precise passing. With an attack averaging 1.63 goals and a solid defensive record—allowing only 1 goal per game—their plan seems to be a measured pursuit of the win, prioritizing stability and exploiting opponents' lapses.

Spartak, on the other hand, have struggled to find consistency, often deploying a more conservative 4-4-2 or 4-3-3 formation. Their recent run of form—seven losses in ten matches—suggests defensive frailty and a lack of offensive potency, averaging just 0.5 goals per game. Their coach will likely emphasize a compact shape, aiming to absorb pressure and hit on the counterattack, possibly relying on set pieces for goal opportunities. Given their defensive struggles—allowing an average of 2 goals—their game plan might revolve around frustrating Cherno More and hoping for a moment of offensive spark.

Momentum shift: The current state of the contenders

Looking at recent performances, Cherno More boasts a positive streak—W W L W D—highlighting resilience and a knack for turning matches around. They've scored an average of 1.63 goals in the last five games, with a solid defensive record—conceding only once per game. Their latest performances suggest confidence, especially at home, where they have a history of overcoming local rivals.

Spartak's form paints a different picture. They have failed to secure a victory in their last ten outings, with a record of seven losses and three draws. Their attack is notably Anemic, managing only 0.5 goals per game while conceding twice as many—an unsustainable pattern if they hope to climb the table. Their recent matches have been characterized by defensive errors and a lack of offensive cohesion, raising questions about their ability to withstand Cherno More's aggression.

The players who could swing the outcome

  • Cherno More's G. Lazarov: The top scorer with four goals, Lazarov's movement and finishing ability could be decisive in breaking down Spartak's rearguard. His role is pivotal in unlocking tight defenses.
  • N. Zlatev: With three goals and an eye for positioning, Zlatev provides flexibility in attack, capable of creating space and opportunities from midfield.
  • Celso Sidney: His work rate on the flanks and presence in set-piece situations make him a constant threat, especially considering Cherno More's aerial prowess.
  • Berna (Spartak): Spartak's leading scorer, with four goals and an assist, Berna's ability to capitalize on counterattacks or set pieces could be vital if Spartak hopes to upset the odds.
  • Georg Stojanovski: A key playmaker with two goals and two assists, Stojanovski's creativity might be Spartak's best route to breaking through Cherno More's defensive lines.
  • Xande: Another offensive threat, Xande's pace and dribbling could cause problems if Spartak manages to establish possession in attacking areas.

Head-to-head echoes: Patterns from the recent past

The recent head-to-head record favors Cherno More, with three wins and two draws in their last five encounters, and Spartak yet to win. These clashes have often been tight, with an average of 2.6 goals per game and a 60% BTTS rate. Notably, Cherno More has historically dominated at home, securing victories in their last two visits to Ticha without conceding a goal.

The previous meetings have seen a mix of defensive solidity from Cherno More and occasional offensive sparks from Spartak. The pattern suggests Cherno More’s capacity to control the game, especially on their turf, while Spartak's best hope remains in catching Cherno More off guard during transitional phases or via set pieces.

Betting markets: What do the odds say?

  • Match Winner (1X2): Home 1.12, Draw 3.8, Away 5.5
  • Implied Probabilities: Home 66.7%, Draw 19.7%, Away 13.6%
  • Double Chance: 1X 1.08, 12 1.22, X2 2.62
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Slight emphasis on Under 2.5 with odds around 1.79 for Under 2.5, indicating expectations of a lower scoring affair.
  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No at 1.85, suggesting a modest probability that one side keeps a clean sheet given Spartak’s struggles and Cherno More’s defensive record.

Unpacking the odds: Probabilities and value

The heavy favoritism for Cherno More at 1.12 implies an implied probability of around 67%, which aligns with their form and head-to-head dominance. The value lies in the fact that Spartak's recent struggles—especially their inability to score more than 0.5 goals on average—make the under 2.5 goals market appealing at around 1.79. Given the defensive records and expected tactical approaches, the likelihood of a low-scoring match is high.

The slightly more cautious bet on 'No' for BTTS at 1.85 also fits the narrative: Spartak's offensive impotence and Cherno More's defensive resilience suggest that the clean sheet could be the outcome. The odds reflect a fair assessment, but a small edge might be in the under goals market or even the double chance (1X), considering Spartak's inability to turn results around recently.

The crystal ball: Predictions with layered confidence

Given the form, head-to-head history, and tactical setups, the most probable outcome is a Cherno More victory—probably a 1-0 or 2-0 result. The modest confidence level (around 64%) reflects the possibility of Spartak nicking a goal, but the defensive patterns suggest their chances are slim. The under 2.5 goals scenario also holds a 55% confidence level, making it a logically sound prediction.

Meanwhile, the 'Both Teams Score: No' bet carries a 55% implied probability, aligning with Spartak's scoring woes and Cherno More's defensive record—adding weight to the notion that this fixture could be low-scoring, with Cherno More perhaps securing a clean sheet again after their recent solid performances at Ticha.

Key Takeaways & Best Bets

  • Predicted Result: Cherno More Varna to win (confidence 64%)
  • Goals: Under 2.5 goals (confidence 55%)
  • Both Teams to Score: No (confidence 55%)
  • Double Chance: 1X — backing Cherno More to avoid defeat, especially given Spartak's current form (confidence 44%)

In summary, expect Cherno More to assert their local dominance with tactical discipline and home advantage, while Spartak's offensive struggles and defensive vulnerabilities likely set the stage for a low-scoring, controlled victory for the hosts. The odds favor a cautious approach, with the best value perhaps in betting on a Cherno More win and under goals, aligning with the statistical and tactical realities of this local derby.


Additional Information

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna

Top Scorers

G. Lazarov
G. LazarovAttacker
4Goals
N. Zlatev
N. ZlatevMidfielder
3Goals
Celso Sidney
Celso SidneyAttacker
2Goals
A. Chandarov
A. ChandarovAttacker
1Goals
V. Panayotov
V. PanayotovMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

A. Chandarov
A. ChandarovAttacker
1Assists
V. Panayotov
V. PanayotovMidfielder
1Assists
A. Donchev
A. DonchevDefender
1Assists
David Teles
David TelesMidfielder
1Assists
M. Milushev
M. MilushevMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

N. Zlatev
N. ZlatevMidfielder
40
V. Drobarov
V. DrobarovDefender
40
A. Donchev
A. DonchevDefender
30
David Teles
David TelesMidfielder
30
Alberto Martín
Alberto MartínDefender
30
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna

Top Scorers

Berna
BernaMidfielder
4Goals
Georg Stojanovski
Georg StojanovskiAttacker
2Goals
Xande
XandeMidfielder
2Goals
D. Ivanov
D. IvanovAttacker
1Goals
I. Budinov
I. BudinovMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

Georg Stojanovski
Georg StojanovskiAttacker
2Assists
Berna
BernaMidfielder
1Assists
D. Ivanov
D. IvanovAttacker
1Assists
E. Yanchev
E. YanchevMidfielder
1Assists
D. Halachev
D. HalachevAttacker
1Assists

Cards

D. Yordanov
D. YordanovMidfielder
80
D. Ivanov
D. IvanovAttacker
50
M. Kovalev
M. KovalevGoalkeeper
40
D. Lozev
D. LozevDefender
40
Mateo Jurić-Petrašilo
Mateo Jurić-PetrašiloDefender
40

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Cherno More Varna
WWDLD
10Played
4Wins
4Draws
2Losses
Points/Game1.6
Win %40%
Goals/Game1.7
Scored Avg1
Conceded Avg0.7
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets60%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

15 MarWvs Montana1-0
7 MarWat Septemvri Sofia3-0
4 MarDvs Arda Kardzhali0-0
28 FebLat Dobrudzha1-2
20 FebDvs Botev Vratsa0-0
Spartak Varna
LLWLD
10Played
1Wins
3Draws
6Losses
Points/Game0.6
Win %10%
Goals/Game2.3
Scored Avg0.6
Conceded Avg1.7
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score50%

Recent Matches

14 MarLvs CSKA 19481-2
6 MarLat Slavia Sofia0-4
3 MarWvs Montana1-0
27 FebLat Arda Kardzhali0-1
21 FebDat Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches6
Average Goals2.17
BTTS50%
Over 2.5 Goals33%
Over 1.5 Goals67%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Cherno More Varna91.5 per game
Spartak Varna40.67 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Cherno More Varna3 (50%)
Spartak Varna2 (33%)
7 Feb 2026First LeagueCherno More Varna0-0Spartak Varna
16 Aug 2025First LeagueSpartak Varna1-3Cherno More Varna
8 Mar 2025First LeagueCherno More Varna1-1Spartak Varna
22 Sept 2024First LeagueSpartak Varna0-2Cherno More Varna
7 May 2023First LeagueCherno More Varna3-2Spartak Varna
22 Oct 2022First LeagueSpartak Varna0-0Cherno More Varna