FranceFrance
Ligue 2Ligue 2
Round 23

Clermont Foot vs Rodez Prediction & Betting Tips

Clermont Foot

Clermont Foot

14th28 pts
13 Feb 2026
1-2
Full Time
Rodez

Rodez

6th43 pts
Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Both Teams to Score
Yes
@ 1.68
1 : 2
FT

Betting Tips

40%
26%
35%
Clermont FootDrawRodez
Match Result
Home Win
@ 2.14
40%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
@ 1.90
50%
Double Chance
Home/Away
@ 1.31
36%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.25
@ 2.03
49%
Half Time
Draw
@ 2.04
42%
HT/FT
Draw/Home
@ 5.70
17.5%
Correct Score
2:1
@ 7.00
14.3%

Additional Markets

Total Corners
Over 9.5
@ 1.85
50.0%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
6 min read

Clermont Foot vs Rodez: Tactical Battles and Betting Insights Ahead of Friday’s Ligue 2 Clash Chasing contrasting narratives this season, Clermont Foot and Rodez meet at Stade Gabriel Montpied with vastly different recent fortunes shaping their outlo...

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Match Facts

Clermont Foot
Clermont Foot have scored all 7 penalties this season
Clermont Foot have received 3 red cards in 26 matches this season
Rodez
Rodez score 33% of their goals after the 75th minute (11 goals)
Both teams scored in 11 of Rodez's last 15 matches (73%)

Key Statistics

Clermont Foot2
2Draws
3Rodez
2Avg Goals
43%BTTS
29%Over 2.5
13 Feb 2026Clermont Foot1-2Rodez
19 Sept 2025Rodez0-1Clermont Foot
10 May 2025Rodez1-1Clermont Foot
13 Dec 2024Clermont Foot1-1Rodez
5 Feb 2021Rodez2-0Clermont Foot
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.773.301.95
188Bet2.303.452.67
1xBet2.443.242.83

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

Clermont Foot vs Rodez: Tactical Battles and Betting Insights Ahead of Friday’s Ligue 2 Clash

Chasing contrasting narratives this season, Clermont Foot and Rodez meet at Stade Gabriel Montpied with vastly different recent fortunes shaping their outlooks. While Clermont is battling to stabilize after a rough patch, Rodez is riding a wave of resilience, making this league fixture more than just three points—it's a test of tactical adaptability and strategic resolve.

Context & Significance: More Than Just League Points

This fixture, scheduled for a Friday evening, presents an intriguing tableau of Ligue 2 dynamics. Clermont, sitting in 15th place with 22 points, has struggled through a series of unstable results — their last five matches revealing a pattern of three losses and just one win. Their recent form indicates a team searching for consistency, with defensive leaks—16 goals conceded in their last five outings—highlighting vulnerabilities. Conversely, Rodez, positioned a tier higher in 11th with 30 points, boasts a more balanced recent record—three wins, five draws, and just one defeat in the same period—evidence of their resilience and ability to grind out results.

Beyond the league table, the tactical narrative promises an engaging chess match—Clermont’s 4-2-3-1 seeks to leverage possession and width, while Rodez’s sturdy 5-3-2 aims to frustrate and counter. The outcome could pivot on how well each manager employs their squad’s strengths against their opponent’s weaknesses.

Momentum & Recent Showings: A Tale of Two Forms

Analyzing recent performances reveals Clermont's turbulent state—just two wins in their last 10 matches, with a goal-scoring average of 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Their attack, featuring top scorer K. Bamba with 7 goals, has shown glimpses of potency but lacks consistency. Their defensive record, with zero clean sheets in their last five, underscores vulnerability at the back.

Rodez, on the other hand, has demonstrated more resilience, with 4 wins and 5 draws from their last 10 outings, scoring at an average of 1.7 goals and conceding 1.2. Notably, their goal threat is concentrated around I. Baldé with 8 goals, and their disciplined approach often results in high BTTS (90%), reflecting their willingness to engage both offensively and defensively.

Dissecting the Tactical Approaches

Clermont typically employs a 4-2-3-1, emphasizing control through midfield with two defensive midfielders shielding a back four. Their attacking emphasis relies on wide play and crossing, often leaving gaps that opponents exploit. Given their recent defensive frailty, they might need to adapt—either by strengthening their defensive setup or attempting quick transitions to catch Rodez out.

Rodez, in a 5-3-2 formation, focus on compactness and counterattacking opportunities. Their wing-backs aim to stretch opponents, while their front two, led by Baldé, look to exploit turnovers. Their approach hinges on disciplined pressing and exploiting spaces behind Clermont's high line, perhaps when Clermont commits too many players forward.

Expect each manager to prioritize midfield control—Clermont to seek dominance through possession, Rodez to absorb and strike on the break. The key battle in midfield could determine the tempo and ultimately the outcome.

Key Players Who Can Carry the Day

  • Clermont: K. Bamba — the club's top scorer, his movement and finishing will be critical in breaking Rodez’s disciplined defense.
  • I. Fakili — creative outlet, capable of unlocking tight defensive setups with incisive passes and dribbling.
  • F. Diédhiou — versatility in attack, his hold-up play and link-up can create space for Bamba and Fakili.
  • Rodez: I. Baldé — prolific goalscorer, a constant threat on the counter, capable of exploiting half-chances.
  • K. Nagera — dynamic in attack, can stretch defenses and provide secondary goal-scoring threats.
  • T. Arconte — creative midfielder, pivotal in transition and set-piece situations.

Historical Encounters and Trends

Over the last six meetings, the head-to-head record remains evenly poised, with each side claiming two wins and two draws. The goal average of 1.83 hints at tightly contested fixtures, often featuring low-scoring outcomes. Recent results—Clermont’s victory at home (1-0) and Rodez’s narrow win (2-0)—highlight the competitive nature. Notably, their encounters tend to be closely fought, with only one game exceeding two goals in recent memory, suggesting cautious approaches and strategic battles rather than open, expansive football.

Decoding the Betting Landscape

The bookmakers offer betting odds that reflect a balanced view, with the home side listed at 1.83 (implying a 39.5% chance), and Rodez at 1.91 (37.9% probability). The draw sits at 3.2. Double chance markets slightly favor the 1X option at 1.44, indicating a marginal expectation for Clermont to avoid defeat, but the value may lie elsewhere.

Under/Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.88 for under and around 1.90 for over, with a slight lean towards under 2.5 goals given the defensive records and low goal averages. BTTS (both teams to score) is at 1.72, aligning with Rodez’s high BTTS rate (90%) and Clermont’s vulnerability in defense.

Asian Handicap markets show Clermont at +0.0 at 1.85, suggesting bettors see a close contest, while Rodez at +0.0 is slightly more enticing at 1.95, reflecting their resilience and recent form.

Predicting the Final Outcome: Confidence & Rationale

Based on statistical distributions, recent form, and head-to-head patterns, the most plausible outcome is a narrow, likely low-scoring draw. Clermont’s offensive limitations, combined with Rodez’s disciplined defense and counterattacking strength, point to a match in which both sides could find opportunities but also remain vulnerable.

Our confidence levels are as follows:

  • Match Result: Draw (36% confidence) — both teams have comparable chances, with Rodez's resilience slightly edging the probability.
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 (52% confidence) — given the history and form, a tight, low-scoring affair is most likely.
  • BTTS: Yes (54% confidence) — Rodez’s high BTTS rate suggests both sides will create chances.
  • Double Chance (12): Slightly leaning towards 1X (36% confidence), favoring Clermont's home edge.

Best Bets & Final Insights

  • Double Chance 1X at 1.44: Given the home advantage and Clermont’s relative stability in recent meetings, this offers a solid value with moderate risk.
  • Under 2.5 Goals at around 1.88: Supported by head-to-head data and recent scoring patterns, this bet aligns with expected closed contest dynamics.
  • Both Teams to Score — Yes at 1.72: Rodez’s offensive statistics and Clermont’s defensive lapses make this a worthwhile consideration, especially combined with low-goal expectation.

In sum, expect a tactical, cagey game that could hinge on individual moments rather than free-flowing attacking football. The betting angle favors cautious markets—double chance and under 2.5 goals—where statistical backing and recent form suggest value.

Conclusion: Close, Contested, and Strategically Poised

Clermont and Rodez come into this fixture with contrasting narratives—Clermont desperately seeking stability, Rodez striving to maintain their resilience. The tactical battle will likely revolve around Clermont’s desire for control versus Rodez’s counterattacking discipline. With both sides exhibiting defensive frailties but also the capacity to exploit transitional moments, the expected outcome is a tight, low-scoring draw that could see both teams netting but not overreaching in attack.

Additional Information

Clermont FootClermont Foot

Top Scorers

K. Bamba
K. BambaMidfielder
7Goals
I. Fakili
I. FakiliAttacker
3Goals
F. Diédhiou
F. DiédhiouAttacker
3Goals
A. Camblan
A. CamblanMidfielder
1Goals
L. Socka Bongué
L. Socka BonguéAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

I. Fakili
I. FakiliAttacker
2Assists
F. Diédhiou
F. DiédhiouAttacker
2Assists
J. Gastien
J. GastienMidfielder
2Assists
K. Bamba
K. BambaMidfielder
1Assists
A. Camblan
A. CamblanMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

Y. Salmier
Y. SalmierDefender
41
J. Gastien
J. GastienMidfielder
40
K. Bamba
K. BambaMidfielder
30
C. Konaté
C. KonatéDefender
30
F. Diédhiou
F. DiédhiouAttacker
20
RodezRodez

Top Scorers

I. Baldé
I. BaldéAttacker
8Goals
K. Nagera
K. NageraAttacker
3Goals
T. Arconte
T. ArconteAttacker
3Goals
S. Benchamma
S. BenchammaMidfielder
3Goals
R. Lipinski
R. LipinskiDefender
2Goals

Top Assists

E. Jean-Lambert
E. Jean-LambertDefender
4Assists
N. Galves
N. GalvesDefender
3Assists
J. Evan's
J. Evan'sDefender
3Assists
K. Nagera
K. NageraAttacker
2Assists
M. Saka
M. SakaMidfielder
2Assists

Cards

J. Mendes
J. MendesMidfielder
60
T. Arconte
T. ArconteAttacker
50
C. Jolibois
C. JoliboisDefender
40
M. Magnin
M. MagninDefender
30
I. Baldé
I. BaldéAttacker
20

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Clermont Foot
LLWWL
10Played
3Wins
0Draws
7Losses
Points/Game0.9
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.9
Scored Avg1.4
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

13 MarLvs PAU0-1
7 MarLat Estac Troyes1-2
27 FebWvs Dunkerque2-1
20 FebWat Boulogne2-0
13 FebLvs Rodez1-2
Rodez
WWDWW
10Played
6Wins
4Draws
0Losses
Points/Game2.2
Win %60%
Goals/Game2.5
Scored Avg1.6
Conceded Avg0.9
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

14 MarWat Reims2-1
6 MarWvs Grenoble1-0
28 FebDat Guingamp0-0
20 FebWvs Montpellier1-0
13 FebWat Clermont Foot2-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches7
Average Goals2
BTTS43%
Over 2.5 Goals29%
Over 1.5 Goals71%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Clermont Foot71 per game
Rodez71 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Clermont Foot2 (29%)
Rodez2 (29%)
13 Feb 2026Ligue 2Clermont Foot1-2Rodez
19 Sept 2025Ligue 2Rodez0-1Clermont Foot
10 May 2025Ligue 2Rodez1-1Clermont Foot
13 Dec 2024Ligue 2Clermont Foot1-1Rodez
5 Feb 2021Ligue 2Rodez2-0Clermont Foot
3 Oct 2020Ligue 2Clermont Foot3-0Rodez
18 Oct 2019Ligue 2Clermont Foot0-1Rodez