BrazilBrazil
Serie ASerie A
Round 6

Cruzeiro vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Betting Tips

15 Mar 2026
3-3
Full Time
Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
3 : 3
FT

Betting Tips

51%
25%
24%
CruzeiroDrawVasco DA Gama
Match Result
Cruzeiro
51%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
52%
Both Teams Score
Yes
51%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
39%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.75
@ 2.09
48%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
15 min read

Cruzeiro vs Vasco DA Gama: A Clash of Momentum in Serie A The stakes could not be higher as Cruzeiro and Vasco DA Gama prepare to face off in Belo Horizonte. With both teams fighting for relevance in Serie A , the match promises to be a critical test of character and tactical discipline. In the last...

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Match Facts

Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro concede 38% of goals after the 75th minute (3 goals)
Cruzeiro scored in the first half in 8 of their last 11 matches (73%)
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama have scored in each of their last 9 matches
Vasco DA Gama have conceded in each of their last 10 matches
Both teams scored in 9 of Vasco DA Gama's last 10 matches (90%)
Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Vasco DA Gama's last 10 matches (70%)
Vasco DA Gama conceded in the first half in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%)

Key Statistics

Cruzeiro6
6Draws
5Vasco DA Gama
2.65Avg Goals
47%BTTS
41%Over 2.5
15 Mar 2026Cruzeiro3-3Vasco DA Gama
27 Sept 2025Vasco DA Gama2-0Cruzeiro
27 Apr 2025Cruzeiro1-0Vasco DA Gama
29 Sept 2024Cruzeiro1-1Vasco DA Gama
16 Jun 2024Vasco DA Gama0-0Cruzeiro
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

tag with a creative title. The sections are properly marked with and tags. The conclusion ends with a personalized prediction without generic endings. I have to ensure that all the data points are correctly cited and no fabricated stats. Also, the match is in Serie A, Brazil, so the exact competition name is used throughout. Finally, the output includes the SEO title and meta description as specified. Cruzeiro vs Vasco DA Gama: A Clash of Momentum in Serie A

Cruzeiro vs Vasco DA Gama: A Clash of Momentum in Serie A

The stakes could not be higher as Cruzeiro and Vasco DA Gama prepare to face off in Belo Horizonte. With both teams fighting for relevance in Serie A, the match promises to be a critical test of character and tactical discipline. In the last five matches, Cruzeiro has endured a frustrating run of results: LDDLL. This form has left them with a 10-game record of 1 win, 4 draws, and 5 losses. Their inability to convert chances has been evident, as they average 0.7 goals per game, a statistic that will be scrutinized intensely by the coaching staff. Conversely, Vasco DA Gama’s performance of WDLLL highlights a more balanced approach, with a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses. Their ability to score has been consistent, averaging 1 goal per game, which is a key metric to consider. The AI analysis of team form further reinforces the current momentum. Cruzeiro’s form is at 67% compared to Vasco DA Gama’s 33%, indicating a clear disparity in their recent performance. This data point is crucial as it underscores the potential for Cruzeiro to capitalize on Vasco’s shortcomings. The tactical landscape presents an interesting dynamic. Both teams employ a 4-2-3-1 formation, which suggests a structured approach to attacking play. Cruzeiro's attack has a 57% rating, while Vasco DA Gama's attack is at 43%, highlighting a significant difference in their offensive capabilities. This statistic is instrumental in understanding the team's approach to the match. Cruzeiro’s defense is rated at 40%, while Vasco DA Gama’s defense is at 60%, further emphasizing the need for Cruzeiro to strengthen their defensive line. This contrast is vital in shaping the team's strategy and the expected outcome of the match. The head-to-head statistics provide valuable insight into the teams' historical performance. Over the last 16 meetings, Cruzeiro has secured 6 wins, drawn 5 matches, and seen Vasco DA Gama claim 5 victories. The average goals scored in these encounters is 2.44, with a BTTS rate of 44%. This data is essential in understanding the teams’ historical performance and the likelihood of goals in this match. The recent matches between these two teams include Vasco DA Gama’s 2-0 victory over Cruzeiro in 2025, a 1-0 win for Cruzeiro in 2024, and a 1-1 draw in 2024. These results are indicative of the fluctuating nature of their encounters, which is a key consideration for predicting the match outcome. The betting odds provided by bookmakers offer a comprehensive overview of the match's potential markets. The match winner odds of Home: 1.36, Draw: 3.3, and Away: 2.9 are critical in determining the value of each bet. The implied probabilities of 53.2%, 21.9%, and 24.9% respectively indicate a clear preference for a home win, which aligns with the team's current form and performance. The double chance odds of 1X: 1.22, 12: 1.29, and X2: 1.91 further reinforce the value of the 1X bet. The Asian Handicap odds of Home -1: 2.35, Away -1: 1.57, Home -0.5: 1.85, and Away -0.5: 1.9 are crucial in determining the value of these bets. The top correct scores provided by bookmakers indicate the likelihood of specific outcomes, such as 1:1, 1:1, and 1:0, which are essential in predicting the match's result. The team's predictions include a match result of 1 with 51% confidence, a total goals under 2.5 with 52% confidence, and both teams scoring yes with 51% confidence. These predictions are grounded in the statistical data provided, ensuring a personalized approach to the match analysis. The double chance prediction of 1X with 39% confidence is a direct result of the team's form and performance. The value of these bets is evident in the bookmaker odds, which provide a clear indication of the market's potential. The team's form and performance data further reinforce the value of these bets. 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Additional Information

CruzeiroCruzeiro

Top Scorers

Matheus Pereira
Matheus PereiraMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

L. Romero
L. RomeroMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

Matheus Pereira
Matheus PereiraMidfielder
10
Fabrício Bruno
Fabrício BrunoDefender
10
Kaiki
KaikiDefender
10
Lucas Silva
Lucas SilvaMidfielder
10
Kenji
KenjiAttacker
10
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama

Top Scorers

Philippe Coutinho
Philippe CoutinhoMidfielder
2Goals
J. Rodríguez
J. RodríguezDefender
2Goals
Rayan
RayanAttacker
2Goals
A. Gómez
A. GómezMidfielder
1Goals
C. Cuesta
C. CuestaDefender
1Goals

Top Assists

J. Rojas
J. RojasAttacker
2Assists
Philippe Coutinho
Philippe CoutinhoMidfielder
1Assists
A. Gómez
A. GómezMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

Philippe Coutinho
Philippe CoutinhoMidfielder
10
A. Gómez
A. GómezMidfielder
10
C. Cuesta
C. CuestaDefender
10
Robert Renan
Robert RenanDefender
10
Lucas Piton
Lucas PitonDefender
01

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Cruzeiro
WWLWW
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.7
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.7
Scored Avg1.5
Conceded Avg1.2
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

25 AprWat Remo1-0
18 AprWvs Gremio2-0
15 AprLvs U. Catolica1-2
12 AprWvs RB Bragantino2-1
8 AprWat Barcelona SC1-0
Vasco DA Gama
WWDLD
10Played
5Wins
4Draws
1Losses
Points/Game1.9
Win %50%
Goals/Game3.1
Scored Avg1.8
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS90%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score0%

Recent Matches

22 AprWat Paysandu2-0
18 AprWvs Sao Paulo2-1
11 AprDat Remo1-1
5 AprLvs Botafogo1-2
1 AprDat Coritiba1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches17
Average Goals2.65
BTTS47%
Over 2.5 Goals41%
Over 1.5 Goals65%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Cruzeiro241.41 per game
Vasco DA Gama211.24 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Cruzeiro5 (29%)
Vasco DA Gama5 (29%)
15 Mar 2026Serie ACruzeiro3-3Vasco DA Gama
27 Sept 2025Serie AVasco DA Gama2-0Cruzeiro
27 Apr 2025Serie ACruzeiro1-0Vasco DA Gama
29 Sept 2024Serie ACruzeiro1-1Vasco DA Gama
16 Jun 2024Serie AVasco DA Gama0-0Cruzeiro
22 Nov 2023Serie ACruzeiro2-2Vasco DA Gama
8 Jul 2023Serie AVasco DA Gama0-1Cruzeiro
2 Dec 2019Serie AVasco DA Gama1-0Cruzeiro
1 Sept 2019Serie ACruzeiro1-0Vasco DA Gama
14 Oct 2018Serie AVasco DA Gama2-0Cruzeiro
7 Jun 2018Serie ACruzeiro1-1Vasco DA Gama
26 Nov 2017Serie ACruzeiro0-1Vasco DA Gama
3 Aug 2017Serie AVasco DA Gama0-3Cruzeiro
17 Sept 2015Serie ACruzeiro2-2Vasco DA Gama
14 Jun 2015Serie AVasco DA Gama1-3Cruzeiro
23 Nov 2013Serie AVasco DA Gama2-1Cruzeiro
1 Sept 2013Serie ACruzeiro5-3Vasco DA Gama