Colombia
Primera ARound 3
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Betting Tips
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Our prediction: Draw (45%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Deportes TolimaDrawIndependiente Medellin
Match Result
Independiente Medellin
45%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
51%
Both Teams Score
Yes
59%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Match Facts
Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches (67%)
Deportes Tolima failed to score in 3 of 6 matches (50%)
Deportes Tolima have received 5 red cards in 6 matches this season
Deportes Tolima scored in the first half in 10 of their last 15 matches (67%)
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin have scored in each of their last 15 matches
Both teams scored in 11 of Independiente Medellin's last 15 matches (73%)
Independiente Medellin failed to score in 2 of 6 matches (33%)
Independiente Medellin average 2.7 yellow cards per game (16 in 6 matches)
Key Statistics
48Draws
4
2.56Avg Goals
69%BTTS
50%Over 2.5
28 Jan 2026Independiente Medellin2-2Deportes Tolima
27 Sept 2025Deportes Tolima2-3Independiente Medellin
15 Jun 2025Independiente Medellin2-1Deportes Tolima
4 Jun 2025Deportes Tolima1-3Independiente Medellin
16 May 2025Independiente Medellin0-1Deportes Tolima
Frequently Asked Questions
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Independiente Medellin with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (51% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin?
Both teams to score: Yes (59% confidence).
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin played?
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin takes place on 4 Aug 2026 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Additional Information
Deportes TolimaTop Scorers
A. ParraMidfielder
2Goals
J. TorresAttacker
2Goals
J. GonzálezMidfielder
1Goals
Y. HurtadoDefender
1Goals
Top Assists
A. ParraMidfielder
1Assists
E. LópezMidfielder
1Assists
L. SandovalAttacker
1Assists
Cards
E. LópezMidfielder
30
J. TorresAttacker
20
Y. HurtadoDefender
11
J. NietoMidfielder
20
J. HernándezDefender
02
Independiente MedellinTop Scorers
L. ChaverraDefender
1Goals
D. MorenoMidfielder
1Goals
E. LarrosaAttacker
1Goals
J. OrtizDefender
1Goals
J. MontañoAttacker
1Goals
Top Assists
L. ChaverraDefender
1Assists
D. MorenoMidfielder
1Assists
E. LarrosaAttacker
1Assists
F. ChaverraMidfielder
1Assists
F. FydriszewskiAttacker
1Assists
Cards
F. FydriszewskiAttacker
30
L. ChaverraDefender
20
J. OrtizDefender
20
F. ChaverraMidfielder
20
L. BerríoMidfielder
20
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
Deportes TolimaWLLLD
10Played
4Wins
2Draws
4Losses
| Points/Game | 1.4 |
| Win % | 40% |
| Goals/Game | 2.1 |
| Scored Avg | 1.1 |
| Conceded Avg | 1 |
| BTTS | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% |
Recent Matches
27 MayDat Universitario0-0
23 MayLat Atletico Nacional1-3
19 MayLat Coquimbo Unido0-3
16 MayLvs Atletico Nacional0-1
13 MayWat Deportivo Pasto2-0
Independiente MedellinWWLWL
10Played
5Wins
1Draws
4Losses
| Points/Game | 1.6 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 2.6 |
| Scored Avg | 1.3 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.3 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% |
Recent Matches
27 MayLat Estudiantes L.P.0-1
21 MayWat Cusco3-2
3 MayLvs Águilas Doradas1-2
1 MayWvs Cusco1-0
26 AprWvs Fortaleza FC1-0
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 16 |
| Average Goals | 2.56 |
| BTTS | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 20 | 1.25 per game |
| Independiente Medellin | 21 | 1.31 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 4 (25%) |
| Independiente Medellin | 2 (13%) |
28 Jan 2026Primera AIndependiente Medellin2-2Deportes Tolima
27 Sept 2025Primera ADeportes Tolima2-3Independiente Medellin
15 Jun 2025Primera AIndependiente Medellin2-1Deportes Tolima
4 Jun 2025Primera ADeportes Tolima1-3Independiente Medellin
16 May 2025Primera AIndependiente Medellin0-1Deportes Tolima
22 Sept 2024Primera AIndependiente Medellin0-1Deportes Tolima
10 Mar 2024Primera ADeportes Tolima2-2Independiente Medellin
14 Sept 2023Primera ADeportes Tolima1-1Independiente Medellin
1 Apr 2023Primera AIndependiente Medellin1-1Deportes Tolima
11 Jul 2022Primera ADeportes Tolima1-1Independiente Medellin
12 Jun 2022Primera AIndependiente Medellin0-1Deportes Tolima
2 Jun 2022Primera ADeportes Tolima0-0Independiente Medellin
23 Jan 2022Primera AIndependiente Medellin1-0Deportes Tolima
24 Oct 2021Primera AIndependiente Medellin2-2Deportes Tolima
7 Feb 2021Primera ADeportes Tolima2-1Independiente Medellin
24 Jan 2020Primera ADeportes Tolima2-2Independiente Medellin
Deportes Tolima — Upcoming Predictions
Independiente Medellin — Upcoming Predictions
Primera A — Predictions
LlanerosVS
Deportivo Pereira1X2
Home
59%
Deportivo CaliVS
Jaguares1X2
Home
63%
ChicoVS
Atletico NacionalAH
Away -0.50
86%
Independiente MedellinVS
Deportivo Pasto1X2
Home
57%
MillonariosVS
BucaramangaO/U
Under 2.5
58%
Deportes TolimaVS
JuniorAH
Home -0.50
54%
Internacional de BogotaVS
America de CaliO/U
Under 2.5
58%
Águilas DoradasVS
Santa FeO/U
Under 2.5
60%
Alianza ValleduparVS
Fortaleza FCO/U
Under 2.5
60%
Once CaldasVS
Cucuta1X2
Home
62%