SpainSpain
La LigaLa Liga
Round 6

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla Prediction & Betting Tips

16 Sept 2026
0-1
Full Time
Estadio Riazor, La Coruna
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
0 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

39%
28%
33%
Deportivo La CorunaDrawSevilla
Match Result
Deportivo La Coruna
39%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
57%
Both Teams Score
Yes
51%
Double Chance
Home/Away
35%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.25
@ 2.07
48%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
12 min read

When Sevilla make the trip to Estadio de Riazor on Wednesday for Matchday 6, they face a Deportivo La Coruna side that has proven remarkably difficult to break down. Deportivo arrive sitting seventh with nine points from five matches, their last three results all ending in draws following back-to-ba...

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Key Statistics

Deportivo La Coruna0
5Draws
8Sevilla
3.23Avg Goals
62%BTTS
46%Over 2.5
16 Sept 2026Deportivo La Coruna0-1Sevilla
17 Apr 2018Deportivo La Coruna0-0Sevilla
2 Dec 2017Sevilla2-0Deportivo La Coruna
8 Apr 2017Sevilla4-2Deportivo La Coruna
19 Nov 2016Deportivo La Coruna2-3Sevilla
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% Our Pick Win Rate
30+ Years Experience
16.2k Predictions Tracked
Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla — match prediction & preview
Deportivo La Coruna
DLDLD
Recent formvs
Sevilla
DWWLD

Riazor Test Awaits Sevilla as Unbeaten Deportivo Eye Upset

When Sevilla make the trip to Estadio de Riazor on Wednesday for Matchday 6, they face a Deportivo La Coruna side that has proven remarkably difficult to break down. Deportivo arrive sitting seventh with nine points from five matches, their last three results all ending in draws following back-to-back wins. Sevilla, by contrast, have shown more volatility but arrive in stronger form, winning two of their last three including consecutive victories in their most recent appearances. Kickoff is at 18:00 BST, with ESPN broadcasting the match live for viewers in this market.

The contrast in recent trajectories tells only part of the story. Deportivo have played three times in the last ten days, giving them a shorter recovery window than Sevilla, who have had five days between fixtures and will feel fresher in the latter stages. However, Sevilla travel with significant motivation — they sit sixth on ten points and remain in a playoff race that demands consistent results, whereas Deportivo have no specific incentive flagged at this stage. The question for the visitors is whether their stronger motivation and superior rest will outweigh the need to rotate the squad ahead of another fixture in just three days' time.

Bet365 price the away side at 3.0 to win, with Deportivo priced at 2.4 and the draw at 3.2, reflecting an even contest that acknowledges both teams' credentials. Sevilla possess the form and the hunger, but Deportivo have demonstrated resilience throughout the opening month, and the freshest legs may not necessarily belong to the visitors. Riazor has hosted some memorable upsets, and the home side will look to extend their unbeaten run against a Sevilla squad that cannot afford to drop points in the early-season scramble for European qualification.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Deportivo La Coruna head into this match carrying concerns over N. Carrillo, who has been ruled out due to an ankle injury. His absence creates a void in the squad that the coaching staff must address, potentially disrupting any established defensive partnerships. Sevilla face a double blow with R. Vargas and A. Sangante both unavailable through injury, with Vargas suffering a knee problem and Sangante dealing with an ankle issue. Sangante's potential unavailability particularly weakens the backline, as he features prominently in their defensive plans. Both sides must navigate these fitness setbacks as they prepare for this encounter.

Deportivo La Coruna's attacking threat will likely center on P. Aubameyang, their sole goal scorer this campaign with one strike but no assists to date. The forward carries significant responsibility to convert chances and provide the cutting edge their build-up play has been missing. For Sevilla, the scoring burden is more evenly distributed, with Oso, Isaac, and Jon Guridi each contributing one goal apiece, while both Oso and Isaac have also provided one assist. This collective goal threat makes Sevilla more unpredictable in the final third.

Based on season appearances, Deportivo La Coruna are projected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation: Leo Román; Ximo Navarro, L. Noubi, B. Ede, G. Quagliata; L. Amatucci, Mario Soriano, Adrià Alti; P. Aubameyang, Z. Eddahchouri, David Mella. Sevilla's probable XI, also in a 4-3-3 shape, appears as: O. Vlachodimos; G. Suazo, Juan Iglesias, A. Sangante, Andrés Castrín; L. Agoumé, Oso, Jon Guridi; R. Ure, Peque Fernández, Isaac. These lineups remain projected selections and subject to final confirmation from the respective coaching staff.

Coruna's Unbeaten Sequence Meets Sevilla's Momentum at Riazor

Deportivo La Coruna head into Matchday 6 sitting seventh in the La Liga table with nine points from their opening five fixtures, and their recent form guide makes for encouraging reading. The side are unbeaten in their last five matches, a sequence that includes a 3-1 home victory over Valencia, a hard-fought 3-2 triumph away at Villarreal, and three consecutive draws against Getafe, Malaga, and Elche. That recent run translates to a form rating of 45 percent compared to Sevilla's 55 percent, positioning this as a closely contested encounter between two sides in reasonable shape. Deportivo's scoring average of 1.7 goals per game over their last ten matches underlines their consistent threat in the final third, while their involvement in BTTS outcomes at an 80 percent clip signals that goals have been a regular feature of their matches this season.

Sevilla arrive at Estadio de Riazor sitting sixth with ten points and carrying a superior recent record of three wins from their last five outings. Their sequence of WDLWW includes a narrow 1-0 home win against Valencia, a dominant 3-1 victory away at Athletic Club, and a 2-1 home success against Rayo Vallecano, demonstrating their ability to grind out results when not at their fluid best. However, a 1-3 home defeat to Atletico Madrid exposed defensive vulnerabilities that their underlying numbers reflect; they have conceded an average of 1.1 goals per game and kept clean sheets in just 20 percent of their recent matches, the same rate as their opponents. Sevilla's attacking average of 1.4 goals per game trails Deportivo's, and their 55 percent form rating suggests they enter as slight favourites despite playing away from home.

The defensive comparison presents one of the more compelling sub-plots heading into this fixture. Deportivo's underlying metrics rate their defensive performance at 63 percent compared to Sevilla's 38 percent, reflecting a cleaner recent record at the back despite their tendency to concede. Deportivo have conceded exactly one goal in each of their last four matches, suggesting a settled if unspectacular defensive unit, while Sevilla have shipped three goals against Atletico Madrid and kept only one clean sheet across their last five games. Neither side boasts a particularly dominant defensive record this term, which combined with Deportivo's prolific 80 percent BTTS rate creates the backdrop for an encounter where both teams finding the net appears a credible outcome.

Tactically, this fixture pitches Deportivo's patient, possession-based approach against Sevilla's more direct transitions. Deportivo's recent draws against sides like Getafe, Malaga, and Elche illustrate their resilience and ability to compete across different match contexts, while Sevilla's win against Athletic Club demonstrated they can perform under pressure on the road. The odds market appears finely balanced given the comparable form ratings, though Sevilla's marginally superior attacking metrics and their demonstrated capacity to win away from home give them a slight edge. Deportivo, unbeaten in five and protecting their home ground, will feel they have enough about them to extend that sequence and potentially climb into the top half of the table with a positive result.

Sevilla's Dominance Over Deportivo La Coruna in Recent Meetings

When these two clubs have met in recent seasons, Sevilla have established a commanding advantage that makes for stark reading for Deportivo La Coruna supporters. Across the last twelve competitive encounters between the sides, Sevilla have claimed victory on seven occasions, while Deportivo La Coruna have failed to secure a single win. The remaining five meetings have ended in draws, highlighting that the Galician club's most successful outcome in this fixture has been simply avoiding defeat rather than achieving one.

The fixture carries a reputation for entertainment, with an average of 3.42 goals per match across those twelve encounters. Both teams have found the net in approximately two-thirds of their meetings, underscoring the frequency with which attacking football prevails when these clubs face off. The most recent meeting in April 2018 produced a goalless draw, though that result stands as an outlier in an otherwise high-scoring sequence that has frequently seen multiple goals land in the net.

Examining the five most recent clashes reveals a pattern of narrow Deportivo La Coruna results mixed with emphatic Sevilla victories. The December 2017 meeting ended in a straightforward home win, while April 2017 produced a goal-laden encounter. November 2016 saw another away success for Sevilla, though the margin was tight. The sole draws across this period have typically been tight, low-scoring affairs that underline Deportivo La Coruna's inability to convert those hard-fought point hauls into full victories against this particular opponent.

Can Deportivo La Coruna's Defensive Structure Neutralize Sevilla's Fresh-Looking Attack at Riazor?

The tactical battle at Estadio de Riazor on Wednesday presents a compelling contrast in circumstances. Deportivo La Coruna arrive in seventh place on nine points from their opening five fixtures, with their unbeaten record built on resilience and organizational discipline. The home side's recent sequence of results suggests a team that has prioritized defensive solidity, frustrating opponents through collective shape and counter-pressing triggers rather than expansive possession football. Their approach will likely center on soaking up pressure before hitting transitions at pace, exploiting any spaces Sevilla leave when pushing bodies forward.

Sevilla, sitting one place above on ten points, enter this Matchday 6 fixture with considerably more riding on the outcome. Their motivation for European competition qualification gives them a clear psychological edge, and the 5-3-2 split in rest days between the two clubs is significant. While Deportivo have played once in the last ten days with only three days since their previous outing, Sevilla have had five days to recover and prepare. The fresher legs could prove decisive in the closing stages, particularly if the game remains tight into the final twenty minutes. The Bet365 odds of 3.00 on a Sevilla victory reflect genuine uncertainty, but their superior fitness profile and stronger motivation make them the marginal favorites in what promises to be a closely contested encounter.

The key tactical question revolves around how Deportivo cope with Sevilla's rotational choices. With another fixture arriving in just three days, Sevilla coach could opt to rest one or two key individuals, which may introduce unpredictability into their attacking patterns. Deportivo must remain adaptable, ready to adjust their defensive shape if Sevilla introduce fresh legs with different movement profiles. Conversely, if Sevilla field their strongest available XI, expect them to press higher and earlier than Deportivo's recent opponents, disrupting their build-up play and forcing turnovers in dangerous areas. The outcome may hinge on which side better executes their game plan during the periods of highest intensity, with fatigue potentially becoming the deciding factor in the closing stages.

Deportivo La Coruna Offer Attractive Value Despite Narrow Favourite Status at Riazor

The Riazor stadium prepares to host an intriguing mid-table clash as Deportivo La Coruna welcome Sevilla for Matchday 6 of the La Liga season. The home side sit seventh with nine points from their opening five fixtures, unbeaten in three consecutive draws after opening their campaign with back-to-back victories. Sevilla arrive in sixth place, one point ahead, having accumulated ten points through three wins and one defeat alongside their solitary draw. The tight nature of the standings suggests both teams harbour genuine ambitions of pushing toward European qualification spots, lending extra significance to this encounter between two in-form outfits.

The match result odds present an interesting scenario for value-seeking punters. The 1X2 market has Deportivo La Coruna as marginal favourites at 2.45 with an implied probability of 37.6 percent, while the draw sits at 3 and Sevilla at 2.9. These odds reflect how closely matched the two sides appear on current form. However, those seeking the best price for a home victory will find 2.6 available at Pinnacle, representing a meaningful improvement on the standard market offering. For those wanting to reduce risk, the double chance 12 option at favourable odds provides coverage should either side claim all three points, though our analysis leans toward the hosts securing a first-half advantage.

The goals market reveals perhaps the strongest betting angle in this fixture. Both teams enter in solid defensive shape, with Deportivo La Coruna's unbeaten run built on tactical discipline rather than free-scoring exploits. Sevilla have shown occasional vulnerability in away fixtures while remaining competent at the back themselves. The under 2.5 goals selection carries our highest confidence rating at 58 percent, and the tight nature of both teams' recent results strongly supports this projection. Punters should also note the BTTS market shows no as our preferred selection at 51 percent confidence, reinforcing the expectation of a low-scoring affair decided by fine margins.

Combining the various markets, our primary recommendation centres on backing Deportivo La Coruna to win at the enhanced odds of 2.6 with Pinnacle, paired with the under 2.5 goals market to maximise value. The hosts possess sufficient quality to overcome a Sevilla side that has shown inconsistencies on their travels. The 3.25 available on the draw at Betfair serves as a credible safety net for those adopting a more cautious approach, while the 3.18 on Sevilla away at 1xBet remains available should the visitors prove capable of snatching victory. Either way, expect a tightly contested tactical battle where defensive organisation likely prevails over attacking fluency.

Deportivo La Coruna's Riazor Advantage Tilts the Scales in Tight Encounter

With both sides entering Matchday 6 separated by just a single point and occupying consecutive mid-table positions, this encounter at Estadio de Riazor presents one of La Liga's tighter assignments. Deportivo La Coruna's unbeaten start to the campaign demonstrates solidity without brilliance, while Sevilla's marginally superior record reflects greater attacking ambition but also defensive vulnerabilities. The confidence metrics point toward a low-scoring affair, with the under 2.5 goals market holding the strongest conviction at 58%, supported by the no BTTS selection at 51%. These indicators suggest both defenses will hold firm and the match is unlikely to produce a goal rush.

Our primary selection of Match Result 1 carries 40% confidence and reflects Deportivo La Coruna's home advantage at Riazor, where they will look to capitalize on Sevilla's inconsistent away form. The Double Chance 12 option at 35% confidence offers a safety net given the closeness of the teams' league positions. While a draw remains plausible given both sides' tendency toward stalemates, Deportivo La Coruna's defensive discipline and home crowd support provide the edge needed to secure all three points. Expect a tightly contested match where goals prove scarce and the outcome hangs on a single decisive moment.

Our #1 PickUnder 2.5Over/Under Goals@1.64 · 58%
Best ValueDeportivo La CorunaMatch Result (1X2)@2.19 · 40%
Our Predictions: Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla — Deportivo La Coruna — Win (39%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Deportivo La Coruna with 39% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (57% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
Both teams to score: Yes (51% confidence).
Is the double chance 12 a good bet for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
Our double chance pick is 12 with 35% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is our pick to find the net.
When and where is Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla played?
Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla takes place on 16 Sept 2026 at Estadio Riazor.

Additional Information

Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna

Top Scorers

P. Aubameyang
P. AubameyangAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

L. Amatucci
L. AmatucciMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

L. Amatucci
L. AmatucciMidfielder
10
Ximo Navarro
Ximo NavarroDefender
10
SevillaSevilla

Top Scorers

Oso
OsoMidfielder
1Goals
Isaac
IsaacAttacker
1Goals
Jon Guridi
Jon GuridiMidfielder
1Goals
Peque Fernández
Peque FernándezAttacker
1Goals
C. Ejuke
C. EjukeAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

Oso
OsoMidfielder
1Assists
Isaac
IsaacAttacker
1Assists

Cards

Isaac
IsaacAttacker
20
Jon Guridi
Jon GuridiMidfielder
20
Peque Fernández
Peque FernándezAttacker
10
G. Suazo
G. SuazoDefender
10
L. Agoumé
L. AgouméMidfielder
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Deportivo La Coruna
DLDLD
10Played
2Wins
5Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.1
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.8
Scored Avg1.4
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS90%
Clean Sheets0%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

16 OctDvs Levante1-1
11 OctLat Real Sociedad2-3
20 SeptDvs Real Betis1-1
16 SeptLvs Sevilla0-1
13 SeptDat Getafe1-1
Sevilla
DWWLD
10Played
4Wins
2Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.4
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.7
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

12 OctDat Levante3-3
19 SeptLvs Barcelona1-3
16 SeptWat Deportivo La Coruna1-0
11 SeptWvs Valencia1-0
6 SeptDat Espanyol1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches13
Average Goals3.23
BTTS62%
Over 2.5 Goals46%
Over 1.5 Goals77%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Deportivo La Coruna141.08 per game
Sevilla282.15 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Deportivo La Coruna2 (15%)
Sevilla5 (38%)
16 Sept 2026La LigaDeportivo La Coruna0-1Sevilla
17 Apr 2018La LigaDeportivo La Coruna0-0Sevilla
2 Dec 2017La LigaSevilla2-0Deportivo La Coruna
8 Apr 2017La LigaSevilla4-2Deportivo La Coruna
19 Nov 2016La LigaDeportivo La Coruna2-3Sevilla
17 Apr 2016La LigaSevilla1-1Deportivo La Coruna
5 Dec 2015La LigaDeportivo La Coruna1-1Sevilla
7 Mar 2015La LigaDeportivo La Coruna3-4Sevilla
5 Oct 2014La LigaSevilla4-1Deportivo La Coruna
15 Feb 2013La LigaSevilla3-1Deportivo La Coruna
24 Sept 2012La LigaDeportivo La Coruna0-2Sevilla
29 Jan 2011La LigaDeportivo La Coruna3-3Sevilla
12 Sept 2010La LigaSevilla0-0Deportivo La Coruna

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