ColombiaColombia
Primera APrimera A
Round 12

Deportivo Pasto vs Chico Prediction & Betting Tips

18 Mar 2026
2-0
Full Time
Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Deportivo Pasto
2 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

64%
23%
13%
Deportivo PastoDrawChico
Match Result
Deportivo Pasto
64%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
57%
Both Teams Score
No
60%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
43%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -1.25
@ 2.09
48%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
4 min read

In a battle of contrasting fortunes, Deportivo Pasto welcomes Chico to Estadio Departamental Libertad for a key Primera A fixture. With Deportivo Pasto currently nestled in third place and Chico languishing near the bottom of the table, this matchup promises to be a test of resilience and determinat...

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Match Facts

Deportivo Pasto
A. Estupiñán has scored 5 of Deportivo Pasto's 6 goals (83%)
Deportivo Pasto have received 3 red cards in 6 matches this season
Deportivo Pasto average 3.7 yellow cards per game (22 in 6 matches)
Deportivo Pasto have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches (50%)
Deportivo Pasto failed to score in 2 of 6 matches (33%)
Chico
Chico failed to score in 4 of 5 matches (80%)
Chico concede 40% of goals after the 75th minute (4 goals)
Chico scored in the first half in 10 of their last 13 matches (77%)
Chico average 2.8 yellow cards per game (14 in 5 matches)
Both teams scored in just 3 of Chico's last 13 matches (23%)
Chico concede 2 goals per game (10 in 5)

Key Statistics

Deportivo Pasto8
6Draws
1Chico
2.07Avg Goals
40%BTTS
33%Over 2.5
18 Mar 2026Deportivo Pasto2-0Chico
5 Sept 2025Deportivo Pasto2-0Chico
26 Jul 2025Chico2-2Deportivo Pasto
22 Mar 2025Chico0-0Deportivo Pasto
12 Feb 2025Deportivo Pasto3-0Chico
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

Deportivo Pasto vs Chico: Strugglers Meet in Crucial Primera A Clash

In a battle of contrasting fortunes, Deportivo Pasto welcomes Chico to Estadio Departamental Libertad for a key Primera A fixture. With Deportivo Pasto currently nestled in third place and Chico languishing near the bottom of the table, this matchup promises to be a test of resilience and determination for both sides.

Recent Momentum

Deportivo Pasto enters this match on the back of a strong run of form, having claimed three wins and two draws in their last five outings. Their most recent result, a narrow victory over Envigado, keeps them firmly in contention for a top-three finish. On the other hand, Chico’s form has been far less impressive, with only two wins and seven losses in their last ten matches. Their most recent defeat to Atlético Nacional leaves them fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone.

Tactical Preview

Deportivo Pasto typically lines up in a 4-3-3 formation, which allows them to maintain a solid defensive structure while also posing a threat in attack. Key to their success is the interplay between their midfield trio, who provide a blend of creativity and work rate. Meanwhile, Chico prefers a 4-2-3-1 setup, emphasizing a compact shape and quick transitions. Despite their struggles, Chico’s front three offer some spark, though they often struggle to convert chances into goals.

Key Players

  • A. Estupiñán: The top scorer for Deportivo Pasto with five goals, Estupiñán has been a constant threat in front of goal. His ability to break through tight defenses makes him a pivotal figure in their attacking play.
  • J. Romana: Chico’s lone goal scorer in the season, Romana will need to step up against a defensively solid Deportivo Pasto. His creativity and vision could be crucial for Chico to unlock the opposition defense.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record clearly favors Deportivo Pasto, with seven wins to Chico’s one over the past fourteen encounters. Notably, four of those games ended in draws, indicating that despite the overall superiority of Deportivo Pasto, Chico can sometimes match them on the field. In their most recent meeting just last month, Deportivo Pasto emerged victorious with a 2-0 win, a result that will surely give them added confidence heading into this clash.

Betting Analysis

Looking at the betting odds, Deportivo Pasto is favored to secure all three points with the bookmakers giving them odds of 1.95, implying a 51.3% chance of winning. An over 2.5 goals bet is priced at 2.00, suggesting a 50% probability of the total being three or more. For both teams to score, the odds are set at 1.80, indicating a 55.6% likelihood. Finally, a double chance bet favoring Deportivo Pasto or a draw comes in at 1.25, reflecting a high 79.4% probability.

Our Predictions

Based on the form, head-to-head history, and current standings, we predict Deportivo Pasto to come out on top. Our confidence level is 45%, and we expect the match to see a total of over 2.5 goals. We believe there’s a strong possibility that Deportivo Pasto will secure a comfortable victory, but we’re also open to the possibility of Chico finding the net too. Therefore, our best bet recommendation is to go with a double chance for Deportivo Pasto or a draw at 1.25 odds.

Conclusion

In this upcoming Primera A clash, Deportivo Pasto and Chico will face off with vastly different ambitions. Deportivo Pasto, with its third-place standing and strong recent form, looks set to extend its lead in the table. Chico, meanwhile, needs a positive result to bolster its survival hopes. With the odds slightly in favor of Deportivo Pasto, this match offers an excellent opportunity to back a team that has been performing consistently well in recent weeks. Get ready for an exciting battle on Wednesday night!

Additional Information

Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto

Top Scorers

A. Estupiñán
A. EstupiñánAttacker
5Goals
Y. Góez
Y. GóezMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

A. Estupiñán
A. EstupiñánAttacker
1Assists
J. Caicedo
J. CaicedoMidfielder
1Assists
Jonathan Perlaza
Jonathan PerlazaMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

A. Estupiñán
A. EstupiñánAttacker
31
J. Caicedo
J. CaicedoMidfielder
30
D. Chávez
D. ChávezMidfielder
30
M. Garavito
M. GaravitoDefender
20
E. Serje
E. SerjeMidfielder
20
ChicoChico

Top Scorers

J. Romana
J. RomanaMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

No data

Cards

Nicolas Valencia
Nicolas ValenciaMidfielder
30
J. Romana
J. RomanaMidfielder
20
D. Ramírez
D. RamírezMidfielder
20
J. Molina
J. MolinaAttacker
10
J. Palma
J. PalmaDefender
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Deportivo Pasto
LWWDL
10Played
6Wins
1Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.9
Win %60%
Goals/Game3
Scored Avg1.7
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

23 AprLvs Santa Fe1-2
17 AprWat Jaguares3-2
11 AprWvs Deportes Tolima1-0
1 AprDat Alianza Valledupar0-0
29 MarLvs Atletico Nacional1-2
Chico
LWLWL
10Played
3Wins
1Draws
6Losses
Points/Game1
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.1
Scored Avg0.5
Conceded Avg1.6
BTTS20%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score60%

Recent Matches

22 AprLat Independiente Medellin0-2
17 AprWvs Deportivo Cali1-0
12 AprLat Bucaramanga0-5
2 AprWvs Deportivo Pereira1-0
28 MarLat Cucuta0-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches15
Average Goals2.07
BTTS40%
Over 2.5 Goals33%
Over 1.5 Goals80%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Deportivo Pasto231.53 per game
Chico80.53 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Deportivo Pasto8 (53%)
Chico3 (20%)
18 Mar 2026Primera ADeportivo Pasto2-0Chico
5 Sept 2025Primera ADeportivo Pasto2-0Chico
26 Jul 2025Primera AChico2-2Deportivo Pasto
22 Mar 2025Primera AChico0-0Deportivo Pasto
12 Feb 2025Primera ADeportivo Pasto3-0Chico
22 Sept 2024Primera AChico1-0Deportivo Pasto
9 Mar 2024Primera ADeportivo Pasto2-1Chico
20 Aug 2023Primera ADeportivo Pasto1-1Chico
27 Feb 2023Primera AChico1-1Deportivo Pasto
4 Apr 2021Primera AChico0-0Deportivo Pasto
3 Oct 2020Primera ADeportivo Pasto2-1Chico
26 Oct 2018Primera AChico1-1Deportivo Pasto
24 Apr 2018Primera ADeportivo Pasto3-0Chico
10 Jul 2016Primera AChico0-2Deportivo Pasto
7 Feb 2016Primera ADeportivo Pasto2-0Chico