TurkeyTurkey
2. Lig2. Lig
Round 26

Elazığspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor Prediction & Betting Tips

Elazığspor

Elazığspor

6th50 pts
14 Feb 2026
1-2
Full Time
Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu, Elazığ
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Home Win
@ 1.47
1 : 2
FT

Betting Tips

58%
23%
19%
ElazığsporDrawKaracabey Belediyespor
Total Goals
Over 2.5
@ 1.75
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
@ 1.76
52%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
@ 1.12
41%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -1.75
@ 2.00
50%
Half Time
Home Win
@ 2.00
43%
HT/FT
Home/Home
@ 2.32
43.1%
Correct Score
2:1
@ 6.30
15.9%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Emre Yilmaz
Emre Yilmaz Turkish Football Expert
74.1% 10+ yrs
6 min read

The Battle at Elazığ Atatürk: A Test of Resilience and Revival The atmosphere at Elazığ Atatürk Stadyumu is always charged when Elazığspor hosts a league fixture, and this Saturday’s clash with Karacabey Belediyespor promises to be no different. The ...

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Match Facts

Elazığspor
Elazığspor have missed 3 of 7 penalties this season (57% conversion)
Elazığspor have lost 6 of 14 home matches (43%)
Elazığspor have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches (45%)
Karacabey Belediyespor
Karacabey Belediyespor have lost 8 of 14 home matches (57%)
Karacabey Belediyespor have scored all 4 penalties this season
Karacabey Belediyespor have received 3 red cards in 29 matches this season
Karacabey Belediyespor failed to score in 10 of 29 matches (34%)

Key Statistics

Elazığspor4
1Draws
2Karacabey Belediyespor
3Avg Goals
57%BTTS
57%Over 2.5
14 Feb 2026Elazığspor1-2Karacabey Belediyespor
5 Oct 2025Karacabey Belediyespor0-3Elazığspor
20 Apr 2025Elazığspor1-0Karacabey Belediyespor
8 Dec 2024Karacabey Belediyespor1-1Elazığspor
11 Apr 2021Karacabey Belediyespor6-2Elazığspor
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.173.804.20
1xBet1.643.604.68
Bet3651.223.604.00

Full Match Analysis

Emre Yilmaz
Emre Yilmaz
Turkish Football Expert
74.1% Accuracy
10+ Years Experience
1.6k Predictions

The Battle at Elazığ Atatürk: A Test of Resilience and Revival

The atmosphere at Elazığ Atatürk Stadyumu is always charged when Elazığspor hosts a league fixture, and this Saturday’s clash with Karacabey Belediyespor promises to be no different. The sun filters through the stands, casting a warm glow over the vibrant crowd, many of whom are eager to see their team continue their recent surge or, conversely, see their rivals tumble further down the table. For Elazığspor, this is an opportunity to solidify their mid-table position amid a season that has oscillated between promise and inconsistency, while Karacabey Belediyespor faces the challenge of arresting a distressing losing streak. The home advantage here isn't just about familiarity with the pitch — it's about the intangible support of passionate fans who can motivate players to elevate their game in critical moments.

Context and Stakes: Navigating the Middle Ground

Positioned eighth with 37 points, Elazığspor is perched comfortably but without any real cushion, especially with only 11 wins under their belt. Their recent form, WWWDD, indicates a team that has found some stability—two wins in their last five, but still vulnerable to lapses, particularly against teams with a defensive edge. Conversely, Karacabey Belediyespor, sitting 14th with 23 points, has been meandering through a tough patch, with just one win in their last nine matches and six defeats. Their 6-13 record on the road has left them vulnerable, and confidence is thin among their ranks. This game isn't just about points; it’s about pride, positioning, and changing momentum in a season that’s been turbulent for both sides.

Momentum and Recent Performances: Analyzing the Pulse

Elazığspor’s form over the last five displays a positive trajectory—two wins, two draws, and only one defeat. Notably, they’ve scored an average of 1.56 goals per game while conceding just once, showcasing their defensive solidity complemented by an evolving attack. Their ability to keep the goals flowing while limiting opposition chances suggests a balanced approach that could trouble Karacabey’s backline.

Karacabey’s recent record paints a starkly different picture. Six consecutive losses have eroded morale, and their attacking output—averaging just 1.11 goals in that span—lacks potency up front. Defensively, they are more porous, conceding 1.67 goals per game, and have failed to keep a clean sheet since mid-season. This pattern underscores the uphill battle they face, especially against a team that’s demonstrated resilience and attacking threat.

Projected Tactics and Formations

Elazığspor, riding a wave of confidence, is expected to prioritize positional discipline and quick transitions. A plausible setup could be a 4-2-3-1, with midfielders tasked with controlling possession and feeding the front line. Their recent goals tally suggests a focus on width and incisive shots, potentially exploiting any lapses in Karacabey’s backline.

Karacabey, likely to set up conservatively, might deploy a 4-4-2 or a 4-3-3 with a focus on compactness and counterattacks. Their key to success lies in disrupting Elazığ’s rhythm early, pressing high when possible and looking for quick breaks, especially through their creative players.

Key Figures to Watch: Influence on the Pitch

  • Elazığspor’s pivotal players:
  • **Emre Demir** – The creative midfielder who orchestrates play, capable of unlocking defenses with incisive passes.
  • **Onur Can Çıkın** – A reliable scorer whose positioning and finishing are vital for breaking down stubborn defenses.
  • **Metin Akpınar** – Defensive stalwart providing leadership and stability at the back.
  • Karacabey’s catalysts:
  • **Kadir Turhan** – The top scorer with 1 goal and 2 assists, his movement and set-piece delivery could be decisive.
  • **N. Bilin** – A versatile attacker looking to exploit gaps with quick dribbling and tactical awareness.
  • **Mustafa Yılmaz** – The captain, whose experience in midfield is crucial for both defending and initiating counters.
  • **Goalkeeper Baturalp Derin** – A shot-stopper who can keep Karacabey in contention with crucial saves.

Head-to-Head Trends & Recent Encounters

Historically, Elazığspor has enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture, winning four of the last six meetings, with only one loss and a solitary draw. The recent clash in October 2025 saw Elazığspor dominate with a 3-0 victory, emphasizing their superiority in recent campaigns. Patterns suggest that Elazığspor’s attacking approach and home advantage often overwhelm Karacabey, who has struggled to breach their defense historically.

Interestingly, the goals per match across these encounters averages around 3, highlighting a slightly open contest with potential for goals. The 50% BTTS rate indicates that while both defenses have lapses, Elazığspor’s offensive edge often finds a way to capitalize.

The Betting Market Deep Dive: Odds, Probabilities, & Value

  • Match Winner (1X2): Home 1.35, Draw 4, Away 7.5
  • Implied probabilities: Home 65.9%, Draw 22.2%, Away 11.9%. The odds heavily favor Elazığspor, reflecting their form and head-to-head dominance.
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: From bookmakers, the line is likely around 2.5 goals, with the over at roughly 1.88 and under at about 1.90, making the market quite balanced.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS): 1.85, with a 50% implied probability, betting on yes seems justified considering both teams’ recent scoring trends and head-to-head history.
  • Double Chance (1X): At 1.07, almost a certainty, but seeking value, the 1X option offers solid coverage against a potential draw and aligns with the analysis.
  • Asian Handicap: Home -0.25 at 1.19 suggests a slight favorite, but the value isn’t compelling without considering the potential for a narrow margin.
  • Correct Score Predictions: 2:0 at 5.4 and 5.5, based on recent patterns and team potency, are worthwhile options for those seeking higher returns.

Expert Predictions and Tactical Outlook

Given the data, Elazığspor’s superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance point toward a home victory with a confidence level of approximately 67%. Their attacking balance and solid defense should suffocate Karacabey’s sporadic offensive efforts.

Over 2.5 goals hold a 57% confidence level, supported by the tendency for matches involving Elazığspor to produce multiple goals, especially against weaker defenses. Both teams scoring is a 50-50 proposition, reflecting the balanced attack-defense dynamic, although Elazığspor’s offensive edge tilts the scale slightly in favor of BTTS.

In terms of betting strategy, the safest play remains backing Elazığspor to win, combined with a modest wager on over 2.5 goals or BTTS. The 1X double chance offers good value, providing insurance while capitalizing on their proven home strength.

Final Reflections: A Home Win with Goals on the Horizon

Elazığspor’s recent form, combined with their historical edge over Karacabey, makes them favorites for Saturday’s encounter. Their ability to control matches at home and their balanced approach in attack and defense offer a tactical blueprint to secure three points. Karacabey’s struggles away from home and defensive frailties make it unlikely they’ll turn the tide here, though a resilient performance and maybe a goal or two are possible if their key players step up.

For punters, the recommended bets are straightforward: a confident wager on Elazığspor to win (1), complemented by over 2.5 goals or BTTS, which align with both statistical insights and market odds. The neat synergy between recent performances, head-to-head trends, and tactical expectations makes this a compelling fixture for those seeking value and clarity in their betting choices.


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Additional Information

ElazığsporElazığspor

Top Scorers

No data

Top Assists

No data

Cards

No data
Karacabey BelediyesporKaracabey Belediyespor

Top Scorers

Kadir Turhan
Kadir TurhanDefender
1Goals
N. Bilin
N. BilinDefender
1Goals

Top Assists

Kadir Turhan
Kadir TurhanDefender
2Assists
Yusuf Gumus
Yusuf GumusDefender
1Assists

Cards

Ö. Karaoğlu
Ö. KaraoğluMidfielder
01

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Elazığspor
WWDWW
10Played
5Wins
1Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.6
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.9
Scored Avg2
Conceded Avg0.9
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

15 MarWat Ankaraspor3-2
11 MarWvs Muğlaspor1-0
7 MarDat Kastamonuspor 19660-0
1 MarWvs Şanlıurfaspor1-0
22 FebWat Karaman Belediyespor5-0
Karacabey Belediyespor
LWDLW
10Played
2Wins
3Draws
5Losses
Points/Game0.9
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.9
Scored Avg1.1
Conceded Avg1.8
BTTS80%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

11 MarLat Batman Petrolspor1-4
7 MarWvs Altınordu2-1
28 FebDat Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı0-0
22 FebLvs Ankaragücü0-2
14 FebWat Elazığspor2-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches7
Average Goals3
BTTS57%
Over 2.5 Goals57%
Over 1.5 Goals71%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Elazığspor111.57 per game
Karacabey Belediyespor101.43 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Elazığspor3 (43%)
Karacabey Belediyespor0 (0%)
14 Feb 20262. LigElazığspor1-2Karacabey Belediyespor
5 Oct 20252. LigKaracabey Belediyespor0-3Elazığspor
20 Apr 20252. LigElazığspor1-0Karacabey Belediyespor
8 Dec 20242. LigKaracabey Belediyespor1-1Elazığspor
11 Apr 20212. LigKaracabey Belediyespor6-2Elazığspor
9 Dec 20202. LigElazığspor2-1Karacabey Belediyespor
23 Sept 2015Türkiye KupasıElazığspor1-0Karacabey Belediyespor