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1. Lig1. Lig
Round 25

Erzurumspor FK vs Adana Demirspor Prediction & Betting Tips

14 Feb 2026
7-0
Full Time
Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
7 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

50%
50%
0%
Erzurumspor FKDrawAdana Demirspor
Match Result
Erzurumspor FK
50%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams Score
No
52%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
7 min read

Imagine a match where top scorers are set to clash amid contrasting trajectories—one team riding a wave of confidence, the other desperately seeking redemption. At the heart of this narrative is Erzurum Büyükşehir Belediye (Erzurum BB), with their talismanic striker E. Tozlu, whose 13-goal tally thi...

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Match Facts

Erzurumspor FK
Erzurumspor FK have scored in each of their last 17 matches
Erzurumspor FK have won their last 3 league matches
Erzurumspor FK score 39% of their goals after the 75th minute (30 goals)
Erzurumspor FK have scored all 4 penalties this season
Erzurumspor FK have kept 19 clean sheets in 37 matches (51%)
Erzurumspor FK concede just 0.7 goals per game (26 in 37)
Adana Demirspor
Adana Demirspor have conceded in each of their last 20 matches
Adana Demirspor have lost 16 of 19 home matches (84%)
Adana Demirspor failed to score in 22 of 37 matches (59%)
Adana Demirspor conceded in the first half in 14 of their last 15 matches (93%)
Adana Demirspor concede 4.35 goals per game (161 in 37)
Adana Demirspor have won just 0 of 18 away matches this season

Key Statistics

Erzurumspor FK5
0Draws
2Adana Demirspor
3.57Avg Goals
43%BTTS
71%Over 2.5
14 Feb 2026Erzurumspor FK7-0Adana Demirspor
20 Sept 2025Adana Demirspor0-3Erzurumspor FK
1 Jul 2020Erzurumspor FK1-2Adana Demirspor
8 Dec 2019Adana Demirspor1-0Erzurumspor FK
22 Apr 2018Adana Demirspor2-3Erzurumspor FK
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

Unlikely Drama at Kazım Karabekir: Erzurum BB’s Quest to Maintain Momentum Against Reeling Adana Demirspor

Imagine a match where top scorers are set to clash amid contrasting trajectories—one team riding a wave of confidence, the other desperately seeking redemption. At the heart of this narrative is Erzurum Büyükşehir Belediye (Erzurum BB), with their talismanic striker E. Tozlu, whose 13-goal tally this season has made him a thorn in opponents' defenses. His relentless pursuit of goals could be the catalyst that tilts the scales. Meanwhile, Adana Demirspor's season has been a saga of struggles, with only 15 goals scored and a staggering 107 conceded. But amid the despair, there’s a spark of hope in S. Kavrazlı, their top scorer, who might yet prove to be the game-changer.

Setting the Stage: A Fight for Survival and Pride

The Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu becomes the battleground where Erzurum BB, sitting comfortably in second place with 48 points, attempt to extend their impressive form. With a recent record of WLWLD, they are a team that combines resilience with offensive prowess, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per game and conceding 1.4. Their disciplined 4-1-4-1 formation emphasizes a sturdy defense and quick transitional play, aligning with their recent performances.

In stark contrast, Adana Demirspor languishes at the bottom, with a meager 0 points from their last ten matches, marred by a dire 0-2-8 record over their recent ten fixtures. Conceding an average of 2.8 goals, they are visibly struggling for stability. Their formation remains similar—4-1-4-1—but their defensive frailty has become a glaring issue, with only a 10% clean sheet rate this season. Their campaign has become a relentless uphill battle, with the latest results draining morale and confidence.

Recent Flows and Fluctuations: From Confidence to Crisis

Looking back at their recent form, Erzurum BB's victories have been significant, especially their 3-0 thrashing of Adana Demirspor last September—their latest head-to-head clash. Their wins have often come with a degree of dominance, driven by their attack’s ability to find the net in key moments. Their win rate against Adana Demirspor in the last six meetings stands at four victories, with an average of three goals per game—a handy indicator of their offensive consistency.

Adana Demirspor, meanwhile, faces a tumultuous period. The last encounter at Erzurum's home ground saw Erzurum BB clinch a commanding 3-0 victory, echoing their overall dominance in recent meetings. However, the last time they met on this very ground, Erzurum maintained their edge with a 2-0 win. The pattern suggests Erzurum’s home advantage combined with their superior form continues to swing the head-to-head dynamic in their favor.

Key Players Who Could Shift the Balance

  • Erzurum BB:
    - E. Tozlu (13 goals): The poacher whose presence in the box often triggers decisive moments. His ability to capitalize on chances could prove pivotal.
  • M. Fettahoğlu:
    - Versatile attacking midfielder with 7 goals, capable of creating space and threading crucial passes.
  • B. Keser:
    - A reliable presence up front, contributing both goals and assists, adding depth to Erzurum's offensive options.
  • Adana Demirspor:
    - S. Kavrazlı (7 goals): Their key threat, with a knack for finding the net, embarking on a personal quest for form revival.
  • Kürşat Türkeş Küçük:
    Creative playmaker, needs to find his shooting boots to unlock Erzurum's defensive setup.
  • Sefa Gülay:
    Dynamic winger with the ability to stretch defenses and deliver telling crosses.

Tactical Expectations: A Clash of Strategies

With both teams deploying a 4-1-4-1, the battle will likely hinge on midfield control and defensive discipline. Erzurum BB’s approach emphasizes quick counters and exploiting set-pieces, leveraging their attacking firepower. Their solid defensive record, with 12 clean sheets and conceding only 18 goals, suggests they’ll look to keep things tight at the back and capitalize on offensive turnovers.

Adana Demirspor, on the other hand, will need to tighten the rear guard, which has been a chronic weakness—conceding over 100 goals. Expect them to prioritize a disciplined shape, possibly absorbing pressure early, looking for moments to hit on the break or capitalize on Erzurum’s occasional defensive lapses.

The Numbers Behind the Odds: Betting Insights

Bookmakers currently offer odds that reflect Erzurum BB’s favor, with the 1X2 market tilting heavily toward a home win. Typical odds for Erzurum BB to triumph hover around 1.50, implying a 66-70% probability. Conversely, Adana Demirspor’s chances are viewed as slim, with betting odds around 6.00, translating to a roughly 16-17% implied chance. A draw sits at about 3.80, indicating a moderate likelihood but less confidence compared to Erzurum’s favor.

Over/Under 2.5 goals markets show the under at around 1.85 and the over at 2.00, suggesting a close call but slightly favoring a moderate total score. Given Erzurum’s offensive record and Adana’s defensive frailty, an over 2.5 goals seems plausible, albeit with some caution due to Adana’s recent struggles.

Both teams scoring (BTTS) is priced near 1.90, reflecting a 52% implied probability, but the recent form suggests an edge for a clean-sheet or at least a game where Erzurum’s attack dominates.

Predictive Verdict: Breaking it Down

Considering Erzurum BB’s dominant form, their commanding head-to-head record, and the tactical setup, a home victory appears the most probable outcome, with a confidence level of around 50%. The offensive capabilities of Tozlu and Fettahoğlu could carve out scoring opportunities, especially if Adana Demirspor’s defense continues to leak goals.

Goals are expected to flow, with a 62% confidence level over 2.5 goals, driven by Erzurum’s scoring prowess and Adana’s defensive vulnerabilities. The odds favor a scenario where Erzurum’s offensive rhythm overwhelms the visitors, yet the risk remains that Adana could score on a counter or set-piece.

Given the current form and tactical outlook, a conservative approach would be to back Erzurum BB to secure three points through a combination of their attacking potency and disciplined defense, with over 2.5 goals supplementing the wager for added value.

Best Bets Summary

  • Result: Erzurum BB to win (1) — Confidence: 50%
  • Over 2.5 Goals — Confidence: 62%
  • Both Teams To Score: No — Confidence: 52%
  • Double Chance: 1X — Confidence: 95%

While Erzurum BB’s current form and head-to-head dominance lend strong support to their victory, bettors should weigh the possibility of goals flowing and consider the conservative double chance option for safer value. The match’s narrative points toward Erzurum’s offensive firepower shining brightest, but the unpredictable nature of football means keeping stakes sensible is wise.

In Conclusion: A Strategic Showdown with Clear Edges

As Erzurum BB hosts Adana Demirspor at Kazım Karabekir, the story is clear: the hosts, buoyed by form and home advantage, look set to continue their ascendancy. For the visitors, it’s a battle to halt their slide, but the weight of recent results makes a comeback difficult. Expect a game characterized by Erzurum’s attack looking to exploit gaps, with their sturdy defense attempting to stifle the visitors’ sporadic threats. The drama will unfold around key players like Tozlu and Kavrazlı, whose exploits might just define the match’s outcome.

In betting terms, the pick is straightforward—lean towards Erzurum BB to take all three points, with a cautious eye on goals and defensive solidity. This fixture encapsulates the volatility of the 1. Lig—moments of brilliance interrupted by defensive frailty—making it a compelling contest for fans and bettors alike.

Additional Information

Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK

Top Scorers

E. Tozlu
E. TozluAttacker
13Goals
M. Fettahoğlu
M. FettahoğluMidfielder
7Goals
B. Keser
B. KeserMidfielder
6Goals
B. Baiye
B. BaiyeMidfielder
4Goals
G. Crociata
G. CrociataMidfielder
3Goals

Top Assists

G. Crociata
G. CrociataMidfielder
6Assists
S. Akgün
S. AkgünMidfielder
5Assists
M. Rodríguez
M. RodríguezMidfielder
5Assists
O. Ovacıklı
O. OvacıklıDefender
5Assists
B. Baiye
B. BaiyeMidfielder
3Assists

Cards

B. Keser
B. KeserMidfielder
70
Y. Kırtay
Y. KırtayDefender
70
E. Tozlu
E. TozluAttacker
50
M. Fettahoğlu
M. FettahoğluMidfielder
40
C. Sylla
C. SyllaAttacker
40
Adana DemirsporAdana Demirspor

Top Scorers

S. Kavrazlı
S. KavrazlıMidfielder
7Goals
Kürşat Türkeş Küçük
Kürşat Türkeş KüçükMidfielder
2Goals
Sefa Gülay
Sefa GülayMidfielder
2Goals
Ozan Demirbag
Ozan DemirbagAttacker
1Goals
Ahmet Yilmaz
Ahmet YilmazMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

Caner Kaban
Caner KabanMidfielder
2Assists
S. Kavrazlı
S. KavrazlıMidfielder
1Assists
Kürşat Türkeş Küçük
Kürşat Türkeş KüçükMidfielder
1Assists
Sefa Gülay
Sefa GülayMidfielder
1Assists
Ozan Demirbag
Ozan DemirbagAttacker
1Assists

Cards

Ali Fidan
Ali FidanDefender
31
Yücel Gürol
Yücel GürolDefender
40
Yusuf Buğra Demirkıran
Yusuf Buğra DemirkıranDefender
21
Ali Arda Yildiz
Ali Arda YildizDefender
30
Enes Demirtas
Enes DemirtasDefender
30

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Erzurumspor FK
DDWWW
10Played
7Wins
2Draws
1Losses
Points/Game2.3
Win %70%
Goals/Game3.4
Scored Avg2.5
Conceded Avg0.9
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score0%

Recent Matches

26 AprDvs Bandırmaspor1-1
19 AprDat Bodrum FK1-1
13 AprWvs Boluspor2-0
9 AprWat İstanbulspor1-0
4 AprWvs Iğdır FK2-1
Adana Demirspor
LLLLW
10Played
1Wins
0Draws
9Losses
Points/Game0.3
Win %10%
Goals/Game4.6
Scored Avg0.5
Conceded Avg4.1
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets0%
Failed to Score60%

Recent Matches

25 AprLvs Ümraniyespor1-3
19 AprLat Boluspor0-6
12 AprLvs Iğdır FK1-6
7 AprLat Hatayspor0-4
3 AprWvs Manisa F.K.2-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches7
Average Goals3.57
BTTS43%
Over 2.5 Goals71%
Over 1.5 Goals86%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Erzurumspor FK192.71 per game
Adana Demirspor60.86 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Erzurumspor FK3 (43%)
Adana Demirspor1 (14%)
14 Feb 20261. LigErzurumspor FK7-0Adana Demirspor
20 Sept 20251. LigAdana Demirspor0-3Erzurumspor FK
1 Jul 20201. LigErzurumspor FK1-2Adana Demirspor
8 Dec 20191. LigAdana Demirspor1-0Erzurumspor FK
22 Apr 20181. LigAdana Demirspor2-3Erzurumspor FK
9 Dec 20171. LigErzurumspor FK2-0Adana Demirspor
21 Sept 2016Türkiye KupasıAdana Demirspor1-3Erzurumspor FK