TurkeyTurkey
Super LigSuper Lig
Round 21

Eyüpspor vs Başakşehir Prediction & Betting Tips

8 Feb 2026
1-2
Full Time
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, Istanbul
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Asian Handicap
Başakşehir -0.25
@ 1.16
1 : 2
FT

Betting Tips

19%
23%
58%
EyüpsporDrawBaşakşehir
Match Result
Başakşehir
58%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams Score
Yes
57%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
41%
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.16
87%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Emre Yilmaz
Emre Yilmaz Turkish Football Expert
74.1% 10+ yrs
7 min read

As the vibrant heart of Istanbul reverberates with chants and anticipation, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu transforms into a battleground where local pride and league ambitions collide. With the February sun casting a crisp glow over the pitch, the home side, Eyüpspor, looks to leverage their familia...

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Match Facts

Eyüpspor
Eyüpspor have lost their last 3 league matches
Eyüpspor failed to score in 15 of 31 matches (48%)
Eyüpspor have received 4 red cards in 31 matches this season
Eyüpspor score 76% of their goals in the second half
Eyüpspor have lost 8 of 16 home matches (50%)
Eyüpspor have scored all 3 penalties this season
Başakşehir
Başakşehir are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches
Başakşehir have received 4 red cards in 31 matches this season
Başakşehir have scored all 4 penalties this season
E. Shomurodov has been involved in 18 goals (14G + 4A)
Over 2.5 goals in 11 of Başakşehir's last 15 matches (73%)
Başakşehir scored in the first half in 10 of their last 15 matches (67%)

Key Statistics

Eyüpspor0
3Draws
2Başakşehir
1.8Avg Goals
60%BTTS
40%Over 2.5
8 Feb 2026Eyüpspor1-2Başakşehir
31 Aug 2025Başakşehir0-0Eyüpspor
31 Mar 2025Eyüpspor1-3Başakşehir
27 Feb 2025Eyüpspor0-0Başakşehir
28 Oct 2024Başakşehir1-1Eyüpspor
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Emre Yilmaz
Emre Yilmaz
Turkish Football Expert
74.1% Accuracy
10+ Years Experience
1.6k Predictions

The Battle of Istanbul: Eyüpspor Hosting Başakşehir at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

As the vibrant heart of Istanbul reverberates with chants and anticipation, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu transforms into a battleground where local pride and league ambitions collide. With the February sun casting a crisp glow over the pitch, the home side, Eyüpspor, looks to leverage their familiar surroundings and passionate supporters against the formidable Başakşehir, a team riding high on confidence and consistent form. The atmosphere here is more than just the buzz of a league fixture; it’s a test of resilience, tactical discipline, and strategic execution that could carve a pivotal moment in the mid-season landscape of the Turkish Süper Lig.

Contextual Significance: More Than Just Three Points

Eyüpspor, sitting in 15th place with 18 points, faces a crucial juncture. Their recent form—three wins, four draws, three losses—illustrates a resilience but also highlights vulnerabilities, especially defensively. The aim here isn't just to secure points but to halt a slide down the table and ignite a home crowd eager for better results after a mixed bag of performances.

Başakşehir, standing comfortably in 6th with 30 points, have been a picture of consistency—seven wins, two draws, just a single loss in their last ten matches. Their attacking prowess, evidenced by an average of 2.4 goals per game, coupled with a solid defensive record (0.9 conceded per game), makes them favorites on paper. The psychological edge from their unbeaten run at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, combined with their squad depth, adds layers of significance to this fixture.

Momentum and Recent Trends: The Tale of Two Teams

Eyüpspor’s recent form—W D D W W—illustrates a side capable of surprising opponents, but their inconsistency—only 3 clean sheets all season—underscores defensive frailty. They average 1.8 goals scored per game but concede nearly as much, at 1.7, making high-scoring affairs a recurring theme, as 80% of their matches feature both teams scoring.

Başakşehir, however, showcase a more resilient and efficient side, with seven wins out of their last ten matches and impressive goal-scoring stats—an average of 2.4 goals, driven largely by their prolific striker E. Shomurodov, who has netted 14 goals alongside four assists. Their defense, conceding less than a goal per game, is complemented by a 7 clean sheet tally, reflecting their tactical discipline and ability to control the game.

Formations and Tactical Setups: Expecting a Classic 4-2-3-1

Both sides are aligned in deploying the tried-and-true 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing midfield stability and attacking width. Eyüpspor’s approach likely revolves around compact defending and quick counters, banking on set pieces or individual moments from U. Bozok and E. Akbaba, each with 3 goals. Their midfield duo will need to disrupt Başakşehir’s rhythm and limit service to their dangerous front line.

Başakşehir, on the other hand, will look to dominate possession, pressing high and utilizing their creative midfielders to supply Shomurodov in advanced positions. Their full-backs, known for overlaps and crosses, could be key in breaking down a sometimes-leaky Eyüpspor backline.

Influential Figures to Watch: Stars in the Spotlight

  • Eyüpspor:
    • U. Bozok—Their top scorer with 3 goals, his movement and finishing will be vital in exploiting spaces behind the Başakşehir defense.
    • E. Akbaba—A dynamic midfielder, his ability to orchestrate attacks and contribute defensively could tip the balance.
    • P. Ampem—Providing width and pace, he's instrumental in counter-attacks and creating crossing opportunities.
  • Başakşehir:
    • E. Shomurodov—The talismanic striker with 14 goals, his presence in the box will be central to their offensive threat.
    • B. Yıldırım—A versatile midfielder/winger capable of unlocking defenses with key passes and timely runs.
    • Nuno da Costa—Providing versatility and experience, his ability to drop into midfield or push forward adds tactical flexibility.

Head-to-Head Encounters: Patterns and Recent Outcomes

The historical exchanges between these two clubs reveal a tight, often cagey rivalry. Their last four meetings yielded three draws and one Başakşehir victory, with an average goals tally of 1.5 per game and a 50% BTTS rate. Notably, their recent matchups include two goalless draws and a narrow 1-3 loss for Eyüpspor, emphasizing the defensive solidity and competitive nature of these fixtures.

From a tactical perspective, both sides tend to neutralize each other's strengths, with recent matches often characterized by cautious buildup and counterattacks. The pattern suggests that this fixture could again be tight, with opportunities arising from set pieces or individual brilliance.

Deep Dive into Betting Markets: Data-Driven Insights

Current Odds and Implied Probabilities

Based on bookmakers’ latest odds, here are the typical ranges:

  • 1X2: Home Win (~2.80), Draw (~3.10), Away Win (~2.45)
  • Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over (~1.95), Under (~1.99)
  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes (~1.80), No (~2.00)
  • Double Chance: X2 (~1.45), 12 (~1.55), 1X (~1.80)

Converted into implied probabilities (e.g., for 1X2):

  • Home Win: 35.7%
  • Draw: 32.3%
  • Away Win: 40.8%

These probabilities suggest the market perceives a slight edge for Başakşehir but recognizes the home advantage and potential for a tight contest.

Analyzing Value and Strategic Bets

Given the data—Eyüpspor’s leaky defense and the high BTTS rate—playing BTTS Yes at 1.80 offers a notable value considering 80% of their recent matches feature both teams scoring. Since Başakşehir’s attack is prolific and Eyüpspor’s defense vulnerable, this market appears particularly appealing.

Over 2.5 goals at ~1.95 is marginally tempting but with the historical tightness and cautious tendencies, a conservative stance is warranted. However, considering the 53% predicted confidence level, it's leaning toward a slightly over scenario.

The double chance X2 at 1.45 — implying about a 69% likelihood — aligns with the current form and head-to-head trends, making it attractive for cautious bettors expecting Başakşehir to avoid defeat.

Forecast and Confidence: Personal Tactical Prediction

Based on the combined statistical landscape, tactical arrangements, and recent form, the most probable outcome leans towards a narrow away win or a draw. The predicted goal tally, supported by the stats and patterns, hovers around 2-3 goals, with both sides likely to find the net.

Our confidence in a result favoring Başakşehir stands at approximately 54%, reflecting their superior form, attacking firepower, and defensive resilience. The likelihood of BTTS is similarly high, given the attacking tendencies and defensive frailties on both sides.

Best Bets Summary

  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS) — Yes: Considered the most statistically supported bet, with 80% of recent matches featuring goals from both teams and a market price of ~1.80.
  • Over 2.5 Goals: Slightly riskier at ~1.95, but justified by the attacking strength of Başakşehir and Eyüpspor’s porous defense.
  • Double Chance (X2): At 1.45, offers a safer option aligned with the current form and head-to-head patterns, suitable for cautious bettors.

Final Take: A Tactical and Goals-Oriented Encounter

This fixture promises a tightly contested game with a tendency toward goals, particularly with both sides capable of exploiting defensive vulnerabilities. Başakşehir’s clinical attack and resilient mentality suggest they hold the edge, but Eyüpspor’s home advantage and fighting spirit keep the outcome open. Expect a match where tactical discipline and key moments decide, with an inclination toward a narrow away victory and both teams contributing to the scoreline.

The smart money leans toward BTTS and Over 2.5 goals markets, especially considering the statistical backing, recent form, and head-to-head dynamics. This match exemplifies the unpredictable yet analytically fascinating nature of the Turkish Super Lig—a battlefield where statistics meet strategic prowess, and every goal could be a game-changer.

Additional Information

EyüpsporEyüpspor

Top Scorers

U. Bozok
U. BozokAttacker
3Goals
E. Akbaba
E. AkbabaMidfielder
3Goals
P. Ampem
P. AmpemAttacker
2Goals
M. Thiam
M. ThiamAttacker
2Goals
H. Akbunar
H. AkbunarAttacker
2Goals

Top Assists

Y. Kayan
Y. KayanMidfielder
2Assists
J. Onguéné
J. OnguénéDefender
2Assists
S. Sešlar
S. SešlarMidfielder
1Assists
N. Mujakić
N. MujakićDefender
1Assists
M. Łęgowski
M. ŁęgowskiMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

M. Thiam
M. ThiamAttacker
40
N. Mujakić
N. MujakićDefender
40
K. Demirbay
K. DemirbayMidfielder
40
U. Bozok
U. BozokAttacker
30
E. Akbaba
E. AkbabaMidfielder
30
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir

Top Scorers

E. Shomurodov
E. ShomurodovAttacker
14Goals
B. Yıldırım
B. YıldırımAttacker
4Goals
Nuno da Costa
Nuno da CostaAttacker
3Goals
I. Brnić
I. BrnićAttacker
3Goals
A. Fayzullaev
A. FayzullaevMidfielder
2Goals

Top Assists

Miguel Crespo
Miguel CrespoMidfielder
5Assists
E. Shomurodov
E. ShomurodovAttacker
4Assists
O. Kemen
O. KemenMidfielder
3Assists
A. Harit
A. HaritMidfielder
2Assists
C. Operi
C. OperiDefender
2Assists

Cards

J. Opoku
J. OpokuDefender
50
O. Ba
O. BaDefender
50
Nuno da Costa
Nuno da CostaAttacker
30
A. Fayzullaev
A. FayzullaevMidfielder
30
Miguel Crespo
Miguel CrespoMidfielder
30

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Eyüpspor
WWLLL
10Played
3Wins
1Draws
6Losses
Points/Game1
Win %30%
Goals/Game1.7
Scored Avg0.7
Conceded Avg1
BTTS20%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score60%

Recent Matches

25 AprWvs Gaziantep FK3-0
18 AprWat Fatih Karagümrük2-1
13 AprLvs Samsunspor1-2
5 AprLat Antalyaspor0-3
18 MarLvs Trabzonspor0-1
Başakşehir
WDWDD
10Played
5Wins
3Draws
2Losses
Points/Game1.8
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.6
Scored Avg1.6
Conceded Avg1
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

24 AprWvs Kasımpaşa4-0
19 AprDat Trabzonspor1-1
11 AprWvs Gençlerbirliği S.K.3-0
6 AprDat Kocaelispor0-0
18 MarDvs Antalyaspor0-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches5
Average Goals1.8
BTTS60%
Over 2.5 Goals40%
Over 1.5 Goals60%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Eyüpspor30.6 per game
Başakşehir61.2 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Eyüpspor2 (40%)
Başakşehir2 (40%)
8 Feb 2026Super LigEyüpspor1-2Başakşehir
31 Aug 2025Super LigBaşakşehir0-0Eyüpspor
31 Mar 2025Super LigEyüpspor1-3Başakşehir
27 Feb 2025Türkiye KupasıEyüpspor0-0Başakşehir
28 Oct 2024Super LigBaşakşehir1-1Eyüpspor