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Liga MXLiga MX
Round 17

FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis Prediction & Betting Tips

26 Apr 2026
2-1
Full Time
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez, Ciudad Juarez
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Both Teams Score
Yes
2 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

50%
24%
27%
FC JuarezDrawAtletico San Luis
Match Result
FC Juarez
50%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams Score
Yes
60%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
37%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.75
@ 2.06
49%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
11 min read

The upcoming clash between FC Juarez and Atletico San Luis promises to be a tightly contested affair as both teams battle for crucial points in the Liga MX standings. With FC Juarez sitting just above the relegation zone in 11th place and Atletico San Luis slightly deeper in 14th, every game takes o...

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Match Facts

FC Juarez
FC Juarez have conceded in each of their last 17 matches
FC Juarez have scored in each of their last 12 matches
FC Juarez have scored all 10 penalties this season
Both teams scored in 14 of FC Juarez's last 15 matches (93%)
FC Juarez have gone 4 league matches without a win
FC Juarez have received 6 red cards in 38 matches this season
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis have lost 11 of 17 home matches (65%)
Atletico San Luis have scored all 8 penalties this season
Atletico San Luis have received 7 red cards in 34 matches this season
J. Galvão has been involved in 16 goals (16G + 0A)
J. Galvão has scored 16 of Atletico San Luis's 49 goals (33%)
Atletico San Luis scored in the first half in 10 of their last 15 matches (67%)

Key Statistics

FC Juarez10
2Draws
6Atletico San Luis
2.67Avg Goals
56%BTTS
50%Over 2.5
26 Apr 2026FC Juarez2-1Atletico San Luis
1 Nov 2025Atletico San Luis1-2FC Juarez
8 Mar 2025Atletico San Luis1-0FC Juarez
28 Oct 2024FC Juarez2-4Atletico San Luis
8 Apr 2024Atletico San Luis2-3FC Juarez
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis: A Crucial Clash in the Midtable Battle

The upcoming clash between FC Juarez and Atletico San Luis promises to be a tightly contested affair as both teams battle for crucial points in the Liga MX standings. With FC Juarez sitting just above the relegation zone in 11th place and Atletico San Luis slightly deeper in 14th, every game takes on heightened significance. This match could serve as a pivotal moment in their respective campaigns, offering a chance to climb the table or at least avoid further drop in form.

Both sides have struggled to find consistency this season, with FC Juarez securing four wins and four draws from 14 games, while Atletico San Luis has managed the same number of victories but one fewer draw. The lack of goal-scoring prowess is evident, with neither team boasting a strong attacking line. As such, defensive solidity may play a key role in determining the outcome. Bookmakers have set tight odds, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding which side will come out on top in this midweek encounter.

With the pressure mounting for both clubs, the atmosphere at the venue is likely to be electric. Fans will be hoping for a performance that brings much-needed momentum into the next phase of the season. Whether it's a hard-fought draw or a narrow victory, this match represents more than just three points—it’s a statement of intent in a fiercely competitive league.

Form Analysis

FC Juarez enters this encounter with a mixed set of results over their last five matches, recording one win, two draws, and two losses. Their average goal output stands at 1.4 per game, indicating a reasonably consistent attacking threat. However, they have struggled defensively, conceding 1.6 goals on average, which is among the worst in the league. The team has failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their past ten games, suggesting a vulnerability at the back that could be exploited by a more organized opposition.

In contrast, Atletico San Luis has shown slightly better consistency, with three wins, two draws, and five losses across their last ten matches. Their attack has been slightly more effective, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while their defense has conceded 1.7 goals per match. Despite this, they have managed to keep one clean sheet in that period, showing some resilience in key moments. While their overall performance is still below par, there is evidence of a more balanced approach compared to FC Juarez, particularly in maintaining structure during critical phases of the game.

When comparing the two sides, Atletico San Luis holds a slight edge in overall form, with a 54% rating versus FC Juarez’s 46%. This difference is reflected in their attacking and defensive metrics. FC Juarez's attack is marginally less efficient, scoring 47% of the points attributed to offensive performance, while Atletico San Luis’ attack accounts for 53%. On the defensive side, FC Juarez’s weaker performances have cost them 53% of the defensive points, whereas Atletico San Luis has secured 47%, highlighting their relative strength in protecting their own goal.

The statistical breakdown also reveals that FC Juarez has a higher probability of producing a goalscoring game, with a 90% chance of both teams finding the net, compared to Atletico San Luis’ 70%. This suggests that despite their defensive issues, FC Juarez may offer more opportunities for goals, potentially making this a high-scoring contest. However, Atletico San Luis’ ability to limit damage in tight situations might provide them with a tactical advantage in a closely contested match.

Tactical Preview: FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis

Both FC Juarez and Atletico San Luis will enter the match with similar 4-2-3-1 formations, suggesting a focus on balanced midfield control and attacking width. FC Juarez, sitting in 11th place, have shown a tendency to rely on their wingers to create chances, while maintaining defensive stability through their three clean sheets this season. Their ability to limit opponents to fewer than two goals per game indicates a disciplined backline, though their own goal tally suggests they struggle against strong attacks. Atletico San Luis, currently in 14th, have been more efficient in front of goal, scoring 45 times despite conceding 51. Their higher number of clean sheets implies a stronger defensive structure, but their lower position in the table highlights inconsistency in key moments.

The match could hinge on how each side handles midfield battles. Both teams deploy two central midfielders, which means the contest for possession and transition play will be crucial. FC Juarez may look to exploit spaces behind Atletico San Luis’ fullbacks using their forward, who operates as the lone striker. Conversely, Atletico San Luis might aim to overload the flanks with their wingers, testing Juarez’s defensive organization. Given that neither team has a dominant edge in either attack or defense, the outcome may depend on individual moments and set-piece execution. Bookmakers have positioned the draw as a viable option, reflecting the evenly matched nature of this encounter.

With both sides needing points to climb the table, it is likely that the game will feature a high tempo, especially in the first half. FC Juarez's reliance on counterattacks could clash with Atletico San Luis’ pressing style, creating opportunities for turnovers. However, the lack of significant differences in form and performance suggests that the result may come down to tactical adjustments during the match. The over/under 2.5 goals market appears attractive, given the relatively high shot counts from both teams. A tightly contested match with limited clear-cut chances is expected, making the 1X2 market a potential value bet for those looking for a low-risk outcome.

Key Players Who Could Influence This Match

The attacking threat from both FC Juarez and Atletico San Luis will play a crucial role in determining the outcome of this encounter. For FC Juarez, Ó. Estupiñán stands out as their most dangerous forward, having netted 11 goals and contributed one assist this season. His ability to find the back of the net consistently makes him a primary target for the opposition defense. Alongside him, Guilherme Castilho provides creativity and goal-scoring potential, with four goals and two assists to his name. His presence in the final third adds another dimension to Juarez’s attack, making it difficult for defenders to focus on just one player.

On the other side, Atletico San Luis relies heavily on J. Galvão, who leads the league in scoring with 16 goals and no assists. His clinical finishing and movement off the ball make him a constant danger, especially in tight spaces. While he doesn’t contribute much in the way of assists, his ability to convert chances into goals is unmatched. Supporting him is S. Salles-Lamonage, whose three goals and four assists highlight his importance in creating opportunities for teammates. His vision and passing accuracy can disrupt Juarez's defensive structure, while B. Galdames offers a physical presence and occasional goal threat that can shift momentum during critical moments.

The battle between these key players will likely dictate the flow of the game. If Juarez can neutralize Galvão, they may have a better chance to control proceedings through their own attacking options. Conversely, if San Luis can contain Estupiñán and Castilho, they might exploit gaps in the Juarez defense. The form and fitness of these individuals will be vital factors for both teams as they prepare for what promises to be a tightly contested match.

Head-to-Head History

The historical rivalry between FC Juarez and Atletico San Luis has produced a competitive balance over their last 17 encounters, with FC Juarez holding a slight edge by winning nine matches compared to six for Atletico San Luis. The remaining two games ended in draws, highlighting the unpredictability of this matchup. On average, each game has seen 2.65 goals, suggesting that both teams tend to play an open style, which could lead to high-scoring affairs. The 53%BTTS rate further supports the idea that there is often action in front of goal, making this a potentially exciting contest for fans and bettors alike.

Recent results show that neither team has dominated consistently. In their most recent meeting on November 1, 2025, FC Juarez secured a 2-1 victory at home, showing they can perform well against Atletico San Luis. However, Atletico San Luis managed to win 1-0 earlier in March 2025, indicating that they have the ability to secure results as well. Looking back, the 2024 season saw some dramatic outcomes, such as a 4-2 defeat for FC Juarez against Atletico San Luis in October and a thrilling 3-2 win for FC Juarez in April. These results suggest that form can shift quickly, and either side could come into this encounter with confidence depending on their current performance levels.

Betters should consider the tight nature of this head-to-head record when assessing the upcoming match. With a balanced history and frequent high-goal outcomes, the match could offer value in both Over/Under and BTTS markets. Bookmakers may set lines that reflect the uncertainty, but the consistent scoring pattern suggests that the total goals market might be worth exploring. Additionally, the fact that FC Juarez has won more recently could influence early odds, though past performances indicate that Atletico San Luis will not be easy to beat. This dynamic makes for an intriguing betting scenario where both teams have viable options based on their historical tendencies.

Betting Analysis: FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis

The upcoming clash between FC Juarez and Atletico San Luis in Liga MX presents an intriguing betting opportunity, particularly given the contrasting performances of both teams this season. FC Juarez currently sit in 11th place with 16 points from 14 games, having secured four wins, four draws, and six losses. Their record suggests a team that is inconsistent but capable of competing against mid-table opponents. On the other hand, Atletico San Luis occupy 14th position with 15 points from the same number of matches, showing similar struggles with four wins, three draws, and seven losses. Despite their lower standing, Atletico San Luis have shown moments of resilience, which could make them more dangerous than their league position indicates.

The bookmakers have set the odds with a slight edge towards FC Juarez, reflecting their slightly better form and home advantage, although the venue has not been specified. The prediction for a home win carries a 45% confidence level, suggesting that while FC Juarez may have the upper hand, there is significant uncertainty in the outcome. This makes the match result bet potentially valuable if there is a discrepancy between the perceived strength of either side and actual performance trends. A draw is also a plausible scenario, especially considering the defensive weaknesses of both teams, which supports the high confidence in the double chance 1X bet at 90%. This combination offers a safer route for punters looking to minimize risk while still capturing potential value.

In terms of total goals, the over 2.5 line holds a 58% confidence rating, indicating that the match is likely to produce a reasonably open contest. Both teams have struggled defensively, with FC Juarez conceding 18 goals in 14 games and Atletico San Luis letting in 20. This trend suggests that scoring opportunities will be available, making the over 2.5 goal market a strong candidate for value. Additionally, the 65% confidence in a both teams to score (BTTS) outcome further reinforces the likelihood of an attacking battle. With neither side known for tight defending, it is reasonable to expect multiple goals and chances for both sides, aligning well with these predictions.

Prediction Summary

The upcoming clash between FC Juarez and Atletico San Luis presents a tightly contested matchup in the Liga MX. FC Juarez, currently sitting in 11th place with 16 points from 14 games, has shown moderate form with four wins, four draws, and six losses. Atletico San Luis, in 14th with 15 points, has struggled slightly more, recording four wins, three draws, and seven losses. Despite their positions, both teams have demonstrated resilience, suggesting a competitive encounter.

Based on current performance trends and head-to-head history, FC Juarez appears to hold a slight edge. The home advantage, though unspecified, could play a role in influencing the outcome. The higher confidence in a 1-1 result reflects the likelihood of a low-scoring game, while the increased probability for over 2.5 goals indicates potential for attacking opportunities. A double chance of 1X highlights the strong possibility of either a home win or a draw, reinforcing the expectation of a closely fought contest.

Additional Information

FC JuarezFC Juarez

Top Scorers

Ó. Estupiñán
Ó. EstupiñánAttacker
11Goals
Guilherme Castilho
Guilherme CastilhoMidfielder
4Goals
R. Pizarro
R. PizarroMidfielder
4Goals
J. Rodríguez
J. RodríguezAttacker
3Goals
Madson
MadsonMidfielder
3Goals

Top Assists

J. Rodríguez
J. RodríguezAttacker
6Assists
A. Mayorga
A. MayorgaDefender
3Assists
Guilherme Castilho
Guilherme CastilhoMidfielder
2Assists
R. Fulgencio
R. FulgencioMidfielder
2Assists
Ó. Estupiñán
Ó. EstupiñánAttacker
1Assists

Cards

H. Martínez
H. MartínezMidfielder
100
Guilherme Castilho
Guilherme CastilhoMidfielder
80
A. Mayorga
A. MayorgaDefender
71
J. Murillo
J. MurilloDefender
50
H. Ortega
H. OrtegaDefender
32
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis

Top Scorers

J. Galvão
J. GalvãoAttacker
16Goals
S. Salles-Lamonge
S. Salles-LamongeMidfielder
3Goals
B. Galdames
B. GaldamesMidfielder
3Goals
J. Sanabria
J. SanabriaDefender
2Goals
S. Pérez Bouquet
S. Pérez BouquetMidfielder
2Goals

Top Assists

J. Sanabria
J. SanabriaDefender
5Assists
S. Salles-Lamonge
S. Salles-LamongeMidfielder
4Assists
S. Pérez Bouquet
S. Pérez BouquetMidfielder
2Assists
R. Torres
R. TorresDefender
2Assists
M. García
M. GarcíaMidfielder
2Assists

Cards

J. Galvão
J. GalvãoAttacker
41
J. Sanabria
J. SanabriaDefender
41
Rodrigo Dourado
Rodrigo DouradoMidfielder
41
R. Torres
R. TorresDefender
40
S. Salles-Lamonge
S. Salles-LamongeMidfielder
30

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

FC Juarez
WLLLD
10Played
3Wins
3Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.2
Win %30%
Goals/Game3.4
Scored Avg1.5
Conceded Avg1.9
BTTS100%
Clean Sheets0%
Failed to Score0%

Recent Matches

26 AprWvs Atletico San Luis2-1
22 AprLat U.N.A.M. - Pumas2-4
19 AprLat Leon1-3
11 AprLvs Club Tijuana1-2
8 AprDat Club Queretaro1-1
Atletico San Luis
LWLDW
10Played
3Wins
2Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.1
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.6
Scored Avg1.2
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

26 AprLat FC Juarez1-2
23 AprWvs Santos Laguna2-0
18 AprLvs U.N.A.M. - Pumas0-2
13 AprDat Toluca1-1
4 AprWat Monterrey2-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches18
Average Goals2.67
BTTS56%
Over 2.5 Goals50%
Over 1.5 Goals78%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
FC Juarez251.39 per game
Atletico San Luis231.28 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
FC Juarez4 (22%)
Atletico San Luis4 (22%)
26 Apr 2026Liga MXFC Juarez2-1Atletico San Luis
1 Nov 2025Liga MXAtletico San Luis1-2FC Juarez
8 Mar 2025Liga MXAtletico San Luis1-0FC Juarez
28 Oct 2024Liga MXFC Juarez2-4Atletico San Luis
8 Apr 2024Liga MXAtletico San Luis2-3FC Juarez
26 Oct 2023Liga MXFC Juarez3-2Atletico San Luis
14 Apr 2023Liga MXAtletico San Luis2-0FC Juarez
4 Aug 2022Liga MXFC Juarez1-1Atletico San Luis
21 Jan 2022Liga MXAtletico San Luis0-1FC Juarez
22 Sept 2021Liga MXFC Juarez1-0Atletico San Luis
10 Apr 2021Liga MXFC Juarez2-1Atletico San Luis
27 Jul 2020Liga MXAtletico San Luis1-1FC Juarez
29 Feb 2020Liga MXAtletico San Luis0-3FC Juarez
6 Oct 2019Liga MXFC Juarez1-2Atletico San Luis
16 Feb 2019Liga de Expansión MXAtletico San Luis2-0FC Juarez
2 Sept 2018Liga de Expansión MXFC Juarez1-0Atletico San Luis
14 Jan 2018Liga de Expansión MXFC Juarez2-1Atletico San Luis
29 Jul 2017Liga de Expansión MXAtletico San Luis2-0FC Juarez

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