MexicoMexico
Liga MXLiga MX
Round 9

Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon Prediction & Betting Tips

19 Mar 2026
5-0
Full Time
Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Guadalajara Chivas
5 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

69%
18%
13%
Guadalajara ChivasDrawLeon
Match Result
Guadalajara Chivas
69%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams Score
Yes
52%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
43%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -1.50
@ 1.91
52%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
6 min read

Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon: Tactical Showdown in Liga MX The upcoming clash between Guadalajara Chivas and Leon in Liga MX promises to be a tactical masterclass. As we delve into the intricacies of this match, it's essential to understand the strategies that both teams will employ. Chivas, with thei...

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Match Facts

Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas have kept 3 consecutive clean sheets
Guadalajara Chivas have scored all 5 penalties this season
Guadalajara Chivas have received 3 red cards in 34 matches this season
A. González has been involved in 16 goals (15G + 1A)
Over 2.5 goals in 11 of Guadalajara Chivas's last 15 matches (73%)
Leon
Leon have won their last 3 league matches
Leon have scored in each of their last 6 matches
Leon have scored all 6 penalties this season
Leon have received 4 red cards in 32 matches this season
Leon scored in the first half in 10 of their last 15 matches (67%)
Leon have won just 3 of 16 away matches this season

Key Statistics

Guadalajara Chivas8
3Draws
8Leon
2.47Avg Goals
42%BTTS
47%Over 2.5
19 Mar 2026Guadalajara Chivas5-0Leon
20 Jul 2025Leon1-0Guadalajara Chivas
29 Jan 2025Leon2-1Guadalajara Chivas
19 Sept 2024Guadalajara Chivas2-0Leon
9 Mar 2024Guadalajara Chivas1-2Leon
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon - Tactical Showdown in Liga MX

Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon: Tactical Showdown in Liga MX

The upcoming clash between Guadalajara Chivas and Leon in Liga MX promises to be a tactical masterclass. As we delve into the intricacies of this match, it's essential to understand the strategies that both teams will employ. Chivas, with their 3-4-2-1 formation, have shown a propensity for control and precision, while Leon's 4-2-3-1 setup emphasizes width and attacking flair. This contrast in approaches sets the stage for an enthralling battle.

The recent form of both teams has been instrumental in shaping this encounter. Chivas' WWLLW record over the past five matches highlights their resilience and ability to adapt. With an average of 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded, their attack has been a consistent threat, while their 50% BTTS rate and 40% clean sheets indicate a balanced performance. Leon, on the other hand, boasts a LLWWL record, which reflects their struggles but also their capacity to bounce back. Their average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded underscores their inconsistent form, yet their 70% BTTS rate and 0% clean sheets signal a more aggressive approach.

Chivas' AI analysis percentages reveal a clear advantage in form (60% vs 40%), attack (58% vs 42%), defense (50% vs 50%), and overall (58% vs 41%). This data not only highlights Chivas' dominance but also their strategic adaptability. Leon's performance, while lacking in certain areas, shows a promising trajectory. The team comparison further emphasizes Chivas' superiority in these metrics, which will undoubtedly influence the match's outcome.

The head-to-head statistics over the past 18 meetings provide a compelling narrative. With Chivas' 7 wins, 3 draws, and Leon's 8 victories, the balance of power shifts based on recent encounters. The last five matches reveal a nuanced pattern, with Leon's wins against Chivas in specific instances, yet Chivas' victories in others. This ebb and flow of success creates a dynamic that is both intriguing and pivotal to the current match.

The key players for Chivas, including A. González, R. Alvarado, and B. González, showcase a blend of goal-scoring prowess and assist generation. Their contributions have been instrumental in shaping the team's performance. Leon's key players, I. Díaz, J. Rodríguez, and J. Alvarado, similarly reflect a combination of offensive capabilities. This contrast in individual performances further highlights the strategic depth of both teams.

The betting odds, as provided by bookmakers, offer a comprehensive insight into the markets. The match winner (1.14, 4.2, 4.8) and the implied probabilities (Home: 66.3%, Draw: 18%, Away: 15.7%) underscore the value in Chivas' dominance. The double chance (1X: 1.11, 12: 1.2, X2: 2.6) and Asian handicap (Home -1: 1.57, Away -1: 2.35, Home -1.5: 2.1, Away -1.5: 1.73) provide a nuanced understanding of the value in the markets. The top correct scores (2:0: 6, 1:0: 6.25, 2:0: 6.4, 2:1: 6.75, 2:1: 7) further illustrate the potential for high-scoring encounters.

The predictions for this match are grounded in the data provided. The confidence levels in the match result (1), total goals (over 2.5), both teams score (yes), and double chance (1X) are supported by the statistical analysis. This evidence-based approach ensures that the recommendations are both informed and definitive.

The significance of this match is underscored by the Liga MX standings, with Chivas in 3rd place and Leon in 16th. The team comparison, while highlighting Chivas' superiority, also acknowledges Leon's potential for resurgence. This duality of power and possibility creates an engaging narrative that resonates with the audience.

The betting analysis further emphasizes the value in the markets. The implied probabilities for the match winner (Home: 66.3%, Draw: 18%, Away: 15.7%) indicate a clear preference for Chivas. The double chance (1X: 1.11, 12: 1.2, X2: 2.6) and Asian handicap markets (Home -1: 1.57, Away -1: 2.35, Home -1.5: 2.1, Away -1.5: 1.73) offer a nuanced understanding of the value in the bets. The top correct scores (2:0: 6, 1:0: 6.25, 2:0: 6.4, 2:1: 6.75, 2:1: 7) further illustrate the potential for high-scoring encounters.

The predictions for this match are supported by the data, with the match result (1) at 67% confidence, total goals (over 2.5) at 59% confidence, both teams score (yes) at 52% confidence, and double chance (1X) at 43% confidence. This evidence-based approach ensures that the recommendations are both informed and definitive.

The best bets for this match include the match winner (1), double chance (1X), and Asian handicap (Home -1). These bets are supported by the statistical analysis and the implied probabilities, which underscore the value in the markets. The top correct scores (2:0, 2:1) also highlight the potential for high-scoring encounters.

The article concludes with a reaffirmation of the data-driven approach to the match, emphasizing the value in the bets and the confidence levels in the predictions. The engagement with the audience is underscored by the comprehensive analysis of the match's nuances.

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Additional Information

Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas

Top Scorers

A. González
A. GonzálezAttacker
15Goals
R. Alvarado
R. AlvaradoAttacker
4Goals
B. González
B. GonzálezMidfielder
3Goals
D. Aguirre
D. AguirreDefender
3Goals
E. Álvarez
E. ÁlvarezAttacker
2Goals

Top Assists

R. Ledezma
R. LedezmaMidfielder
6Assists
E. Álvarez
E. ÁlvarezAttacker
5Assists
R. Alvarado
R. AlvaradoAttacker
4Assists
V. Guzmán
V. GuzmánMidfielder
3Assists
B. González
B. GonzálezMidfielder
2Assists

Cards

R. Ledezma
R. LedezmaMidfielder
70
É. Gutiérrez
É. GutiérrezMidfielder
50
D. Aguirre
D. AguirreDefender
40
L. Romo
L. RomoDefender
31
D. Campillo
D. CampilloDefender
40
LeonLeon

Top Scorers

I. Díaz
I. DíazAttacker
6Goals
J. Rodríguez
J. RodríguezMidfielder
3Goals
J. Alvarado
J. AlvaradoMidfielder
2Goals
D. Cambindo
D. CambindoAttacker
2Goals
I. Moreno
I. MorenoMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

I. Moreno
I. MorenoMidfielder
3Assists
J. Rodríguez
J. RodríguezMidfielder
2Assists
F. Beltrán
F. BeltránMidfielder
2Assists
S. Reyes
S. ReyesDefender
2Assists
I. Díaz
I. DíazAttacker
1Assists

Cards

S. Barreiro
S. BarreiroDefender
70
R. Echeverría
R. EcheverríaMidfielder
60
N. Fonseca
N. FonsecaMidfielder
50
J. Cortizo
J. CortizoMidfielder
40
F. Beltrán
F. BeltránMidfielder
30

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Guadalajara Chivas
DDWLD
10Played
5Wins
3Draws
2Losses
Points/Game1.8
Win %50%
Goals/Game3.2
Scored Avg2.1
Conceded Avg1.1
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

26 AprDvs Club Tijuana0-0
23 AprDat Necaxa0-0
19 AprWvs Puebla5-0
11 AprLat Tigres UANL1-4
6 AprDvs U.N.A.M. - Pumas2-2
Leon
LLWWW
10Played
5Wins
0Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.5
Win %50%
Goals/Game3.7
Scored Avg1.5
Conceded Avg2.2
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

26 AprLat Toluca1-4
22 AprLvs Club America2-3
19 AprWvs FC Juarez3-1
11 AprWat Puebla1-0
5 AprWvs Atlas2-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches19
Average Goals2.47
BTTS42%
Over 2.5 Goals47%
Over 1.5 Goals74%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Guadalajara Chivas261.37 per game
Leon211.11 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Guadalajara Chivas7 (37%)
Leon6 (32%)
19 Mar 2026Liga MXGuadalajara Chivas5-0Leon
20 Jul 2025Liga MXLeon1-0Guadalajara Chivas
29 Jan 2025Liga MXLeon2-1Guadalajara Chivas
19 Sept 2024Liga MXGuadalajara Chivas2-0Leon
9 Mar 2024Liga MXGuadalajara Chivas1-2Leon
4 Jul 2023Liga MXLeon1-2Guadalajara Chivas
16 Apr 2023Liga MXLeon0-2Guadalajara Chivas
21 Jul 2022Liga MXGuadalajara Chivas0-0Leon
20 Feb 2022Liga MXLeon2-1Guadalajara Chivas
19 Aug 2021Liga MXGuadalajara Chivas0-3Leon
9 Feb 2021Liga MXLeon1-3Guadalajara Chivas
6 Dec 2020Liga MXLeon1-0Guadalajara Chivas
3 Dec 2020Liga MXGuadalajara Chivas1-1Leon
26 Jul 2020Liga MXGuadalajara Chivas0-0Leon
1 Mar 2020Liga MXGuadalajara Chivas2-0Leon
18 Aug 2019Liga MXLeon4-3Guadalajara Chivas
28 Apr 2019Liga MXGuadalajara Chivas2-1Leon
11 Nov 2018Liga MXLeon0-1Guadalajara Chivas
29 Apr 2018Liga MXGuadalajara Chivas0-2Leon