GermanyGermany
2. Bundesliga2. Bundesliga
Round 7

Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction & Betting Tips

Olympiastadion, Berlin

Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Confidence
Do you agree with this prediction?

Betting Tips

45%
45%
10%
Hertha BSCDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Match Result
Hertha BSC
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams Score
Yes
65%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
12 min read

Hertha BSC heads into Matchday 7 of the 2. Bundesliga sitting pretty at the summit of the table, and not without justification. Six matches played, six victories secured, and eighteen points accumulated — that is the remarkable reality confronting SpVgg Greuther Fürth when they arrive at the Olympia...

Read Full Analysis

Key Statistics

Hertha BSC5
1Draws
2SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3.38Avg Goals
75%BTTS
88%Over 2.5
10 May 2026Hertha BSC2-1SpVgg Greuther Fürth
12 Dec 2025SpVgg Greuther Fürth3-3Hertha BSC
4 May 2025Hertha BSC1-0SpVgg Greuther Fürth
7 Dec 2024SpVgg Greuther Fürth2-1Hertha BSC
11 Feb 2024SpVgg Greuther Fürth1-2Hertha BSC
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% Our Pick Win Rate
30+ Years Experience
16.2k Predictions Tracked
Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — match prediction & preview
Hertha BSC
WWWWW
Recent formvs
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
LWLDD

Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Berlin Leaders Put Perfect Start to the Test Against Uncertain Visitors

Hertha BSC heads into Matchday 7 of the 2. Bundesliga sitting pretty at the summit of the table, and not without justification. Six matches played, six victories secured, and eighteen points accumulated — that is the remarkable reality confronting SpVgg Greuther Fürth when they arrive at the Olympiastadion this Saturday. The capital club has made an impeccable start to life back in the second tier, winning each of their opening six fixtures in emphatic fashion, and the contrast with their opponents could hardly be more stark.

Fürth arrives in Berlin occupying 12th place, having claimed just six points from their six outings courtesy of one win and three draws. Their recent sequence of results — recorded as DDLWL — paints a picture of a side struggling to find any meaningful momentum, and with no specific promotion or relegation battle flagged in their season context, questions linger over how much is genuinely at stake for them on this occasion. For Hertha, by contrast, the pursuit of an immediate return to the Bundesliga provides a powerful driving force, and that motivation edge could prove decisive in determining the outcome.

The Olympiastadion in Berlin plays host to this fixture on Saturday, October 10th, with kickoff scheduled for 12:30 BST. Hertha's flawless home form this season has made the capital a fortress, and with the weight of a promotion push behind them, they will be expected to extend their winning run against a Fürth side desperate for points but lacking the same sense of collective urgency. Whether the visitors can disrupt that narrative remains the central question heading into Matchday 7.

Key Players and Probable Lineups

When examining the attacking threats for this fixture, the primary goal-scoring burden falls on two forwards who have managed to find the net once this season. For Hertha BSC, S. Grønning carries the main responsibility in the final third, with his solitary strike demonstrating the early-season workload that could fall upon his shoulders. Across the pitch, F. Klaus represents SpVgg Greuther Fürth's primary goal threat, also with one goal to his name, suggesting that both sides possess forwards capable of making the difference if given space.

The projected starting lineups reveal two sides committed to an attacking 4-3-3 formation. For Hertha BSC, the likely XI includes M. Gersbeck between the posts, with D. Zeefuik, N. Kolbe, L. Gechter, and J. Eitschberger forming the defensive unit. The midfield three appears to feature M. Winkler, K. Sessa, and P. Seguin, while S. Grønning leads the line alongside L. Schuler and J. Þorsteinsson on the flanks. This selection, based on cumulative appearances this season, presents a blend of defensive solidity and forward ambition.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth counters with their own projected lineup, with Florian Hellstern anchoring the defence. J. Heuer, K. Keresztes, G. Itter, and J. Dehm provide the defensive foundation, while P. Will, S. Appelkamp, and S. Bansé constitute the midfield engine. Up front, D. Srbeny, F. Klaus, and O. Sillah form the attacking trident expected to challenge the Hertha BSC backline. Both projected XIs reflect squads still finding their rhythm early in the campaign, with players stepping into prominent roles following limited opportunities thus far. The respective lineups suggest a balanced encounter where clinical finishing from either forward line could prove decisive.

Hertha BSC's Edge in Recent Meetings With Greuther Fürth

When these two sides meet, goals are virtually guaranteed. Across the last eight meetings between Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth, an average of 3.38 goals have been scored per game, with both teams finding the net in 75 percent of those fixtures. The sheer frequency of high-scoring encounters makes this fixture particularly appealing for those interested in BTTS markets.

Hertha BSC has established a clear upper hand in recent history, winning five of the last eight meetings. The Berlin side secured victories in the most recent encounter, winning 2-1 at home, while also claiming a 1-0 home win earlier in 2025. Their away form against Greuther Fürth has been equally impressive, with a 2-1 victory in February 2024.

Greuther Fürth has managed just two wins in this fixture, most recently triumphing 2-1 in December 2024. They have also proven difficult to beat on their own ground, holding Hertha to a dramatic 3-3 draw in December 2025. With the frequency of goals and the competitive nature of these matchups, another closely contested encounter appears likely.

Hertha BSC's Unblemished Run Meets Fürth's Inconsistent Displays at the Olympiastadion

As the two sides prepare for this Matchday 7 encounter at the Olympiastadion in Berlin, the contrast in their trajectories could hardly be more stark. Hertha BSC sit at the summit of the 2. Bundesliga with an immaculate record of six wins from six matches, their recent sequence of victories painting a picture of relentless momentum. The capital club arrives on the back of five consecutive wins, including a commanding 4-1 home triumph against 1. FC Heidenheim and a high-scoring 5-3 success away at Eintracht Braunschweig. Their most recent outing saw them claim a 2-1 victory away to Dynamo Dresden, demonstrating their ability to grind out results even when not at their fluid best. With an average of two goals scored per match across their last ten fixtures and a remarkable 70% both teams to score rate, Hertha have established themselves as a side that marries defensive solidity with genuine attacking potency.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth, by stark contrast, find themselves navigating troubled waters in 12th position with just six points from their opening six fixtures. Their recent form guide of DDLWL tells the story of a side struggling to gain any real purchase in the division, with their only victory across their last five matches coming via a narrow 4-3 away success at Energie Cottbus. That win against Energie Cottbus stands as their sole triumph in ten attempts this season, a record that underlines the scale of the challenge confronting them on Saturday. Fürth played out consecutive 1-1 draws with 1. FC Magdeburg at home and VfL Bochum away, results that highlight their capacity to compete at this level but also their inability to translate competitive showings into three-point hauls. Their defensive record, while marginally better than Hertha's on paper with a 1.4 goals conceded average, has yielded just one clean sheet across their last five outings.

The attacking comparison underscores the disparity between these two outfits, with Hertha's 67% advantage in the attacking metrics reflecting a side playing with genuine confidence and fluidity in the final third. The Berlin club have found the net in all bar one of their league encounters this term, with their 2.0 goals-per-game average representing one of the most potent attacks in the division. Fürth's 1.5 goals per game across their last ten matches appears respectable on the surface, yet their reliance on the away victory at Energie Cottbus for their most recent three-point return exposes a troubling inability to perform when the stakes are highest. The visitors have managed just one clean sheet in their last five fixtures, suggesting that Hertha's in-form forwards will enter this contest with genuine optimism of adding to their tally.

When weighing the momentum indicators, the 75% to 25% form advantage in favour of Hertha BSC provides a damning verdict on Fürth's current standing. The hosts have not only won their last five matches but have done so across varying tactical scenarios, winning home and away against diverse opponents. Their most recent displays, including that hard-fought 2-1 away win over Dynamo Dresden, demonstrate a resilience that has characterised their unbeaten start. Fürth, meanwhile, arrive having failed to win any of their last three fixtures, with that solitary win against Energie Cottbus feeling increasingly like an outlier rather than a foundation to build upon. The defensive advantage of 59% to 41% in Hertha's favour compounds the challenge facing Fürth, who must somehow arrest their slide against a side that has not dropped a single point all season.

Hertha's Promotion Push Meets Fürth's Survival Instinct in Berlin Tactical Tussle

The matchday 7 encounter at the Olympiastadion presents a fascinating contrast in ambitions and form. Hertha BSC enter this fixture sitting top of the 2. Bundesliga with a flawless six wins from six outings, accumulating 18 points and carrying the weight of an expectant fanbase demanding an immediate return to the top flight. Their recent sequence of victories suggests a side operating with supreme confidence and clear tactical cohesion, likely to adopt an assertive approach from the opening whistle. The pressure of their league position means they cannot afford a slip against a Fürth side occupying 12th place with just six points from their opening six matches.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth arrive in the capital with the unenviable record of one win, three draws and two defeats from their six fixtures, form that reads DDLWL and highlights their struggles to establish any momentum. With no specific promotion pressure and merely seeking stability in the middle reaches of the table, their motivation levels arguably differ markedly from their opponents. The tactical approach from the visitors likely centres on defensive solidity and disciplined shape preservation, seeking to frustrate Hertha's attacking players while looking to exploit any spaces left behind by the league leaders' offensive ambitions. The gap in form suggests Hertha possess a clear psychological edge, though Fürth will target this fixture as an opportunity to arrest their winless run.

The divergence in recent form and league positioning creates an obvious tactical template: Hertha will dominate possession and territorial statistics, probing for openings against what should be a deep-lying defensive block. Fürth's ability to maintain structural discipline while absorbing pressure will determine whether they can emerge with a positive result from the German capital.

Hertha's Unbeaten Run Meets Fürth's Inconsistent Form — Our Betting Verdict

Hertha BSC head into Matchday 7 at the Olympiastadion in Berlin sitting top of the 2. Bundesliga standings with a remarkable six wins from six matches. Their opponents, SpVgg Greuther Fürth, occupy 12th place with just six points from one victory and three draws across their opening six fixtures. The model probabilities give Hertha a 45% chance of extending their perfect start, with the draw also assessed at 45% and a Fürth away win at just 10%. This split suggests the hosts should prove too strong, but the equal weighting on the draw outcome warrants careful consideration before committing to a straight home victory. The model assigns 90% confidence to the double chance market of Hertha winning or drawing, making that the most statistically secure selection on the board.

Examining the goal-scoring potential of both sides reveals why the BTTS and Over 2.5 goals markets carry relatively strong confidence levels. Hertha have found the net in every match this season, demonstrating consistent attacking threat that should trouble a Fürth defence that has struggled to keep clean sheets. The Kleeblätter have conceded in five of their six league matches, with their only shutout coming against a side currently sitting lower in the table. The model places 65% confidence on both teams scoring and 63% on over 2.5 goals being reached. These figures reflect Hertha's attacking efficiency alongside Fürth's inability to repel opposition pressure, while also acknowledging that the visitors possess enough quality going forward to contribute to a goal-heavy contest.

The strong form guide heavily favors the home side heading into this fixture. Hertha have demonstrated they can dominate matches from the opening whistle, converting their territorial advantage into goals with ruthless efficiency. Fürth's three draws this campaign suggest they remain competitive in most encounters, but their inability to convert draws into victories points to a lack of cutting edge when it matters. With the Olympiastadion crowd behind them, Hertha should edge what promises to be an entertaining tactical battle. The model predictions collectively point toward a home victory or at minimum a draw, with goals expected at both ends of the pitch.

For bettors seeking the strongest statistical edge, the double chance market offers the highest probability of success given the current form disparity between these two sides. The goal-based markets provide value for those expecting an open match with attacking intent from both teams. No bookmaker odds are currently available for this fixture, so punters should monitor the markets as kickoff approaches to secure the most competitive prices on their selected predictions.

Hertha BSC backed to extend perfect start against struggling Fürth

The data makes a compelling case for backing Hertha BSC to collect another three points on Matchday 7. Berlin's side sit top of the table with a flawless six wins from six matches, demonstrating both defensive solidity and attacking efficiency that Fürth have struggled to match this season. Playing at the Olympiastadion provides an additional psychological edge, with the home support likely to push for an early goal to settle nerves. Fürth arrive in 12th place with just one victory and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four competitive outings, which strengthens the case for goals at both ends.

The BTTS market stands out as particularly attractive given the confidence levels attached to that selection. While Hertha's imperious league position warrants respect, Fürth demonstrated their capability to find the net during recent draws, suggesting they possess enough quality to trouble even the most resolute backlines. The over 2.5 goals angle aligns with Fürth's defensive vulnerabilities and Hertha's sustained offensive output throughout the campaign. Our strongest recommendation remains the Double Chance 1X market, offering near-certitude of avoiding defeat, though the Match Result 1 angle carries solid value given Hertha's dominant form and current momentum heading into this fixture.

Our Predictions: Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our model predicts Hertha BSC with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (63% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Both teams to score: Yes (65% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?
Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth takes place on 11 Oct 2026 at Olympiastadion.

Additional Information

Hertha BSCHertha BSC

Top Scorers

S. Grønning
S. GrønningAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

S. Gouram
S. GouramMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

J. Eitschberger
J. EitschbergerDefender
10
D. Zeefuik
D. ZeefuikDefender
10
P. Seguin
P. SeguinMidfielder
10
J. Brekalo
J. BrekaloMidfielder
10
J. Þorsteinsson
J. ÞorsteinssonAttacker
10
SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth

Top Scorers

F. Klaus
F. KlausAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

J. Dehm
J. DehmDefender
1Assists

Cards

No data

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Hertha BSC
WWWWW
10Played
7Wins
0Draws
3Losses
Points/Game2.1
Win %70%
Goals/Game3.6
Scored Avg2
Conceded Avg1.6
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

19 SeptWat Dynamo Dresden2-1
13 SeptWat VfL Osnabrück3-1
6 SeptWvs 1. FC Magdeburg2-1
28 AugWat Eintracht Braunschweig5-3
15 AugWvs 1. FC Heidenheim4-1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
LWLDD
10Played
3Wins
3Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.2
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.9
Scored Avg1.5
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

18 SeptDvs 1. FC Magdeburg1-1
12 SeptDat VfL Bochum1-1
6 SeptLvs 1. FC Heidenheim0-1
29 AugWat Energie Cottbus4-3
23 AugLvs VfL Bochum1-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches8
Average Goals3.38
BTTS75%
Over 2.5 Goals88%
Over 1.5 Goals88%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Hertha BSC172.13 per game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth101.25 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Hertha BSC2 (25%)
SpVgg Greuther Fürth0 (0%)
10 May 20262. BundesligaHertha BSC2-1SpVgg Greuther Fürth
12 Dec 20252. BundesligaSpVgg Greuther Fürth3-3Hertha BSC
4 May 20252. BundesligaHertha BSC1-0SpVgg Greuther Fürth
7 Dec 20242. BundesligaSpVgg Greuther Fürth2-1Hertha BSC
11 Feb 20242. BundesligaSpVgg Greuther Fürth1-2Hertha BSC
26 Aug 20232. BundesligaHertha BSC5-0SpVgg Greuther Fürth
12 Feb 2022BundesligaSpVgg Greuther Fürth2-1Hertha BSC
17 Sept 2021BundesligaHertha BSC2-1SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Important Notice: Responsible Gambling & Predictions Disclaimer

18+

YOU MUST BE 18+ TO BET. Gambling involves risk and can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.

Our football predictions are based on statistical analysis and should be used for entertainment purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

We are not licensed financial or gambling advisors. Always consult professional advice before making betting decisions.

18+Local responsible gambling resources — United Kingdom
Self-exclusion:GAMSTOP