Round 1
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction & Betting Tips
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Independiente MedellinDrawDeportivo Pasto
Match Result
Independiente Medellin
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams Score
Yes
64%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Match Facts
Independiente Medellin have scored in each of their last 15 matches
Both teams scored in 11 of Independiente Medellin's last 15 matches (73%)
Independiente Medellin failed to score in 2 of 6 matches (33%)
Independiente Medellin average 2.7 yellow cards per game (16 in 6 matches)
A. Estupiñán has scored 5 of Deportivo Pasto's 6 goals (83%)
Deportivo Pasto have received 3 red cards in 6 matches this season
Deportivo Pasto average 3.7 yellow cards per game (22 in 6 matches)
Deportivo Pasto have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches (50%)
Deportivo Pasto failed to score in 2 of 6 matches (33%)
Key Statistics
6Draws
4
1.44Avg Goals
31%BTTS
25%Over 2.5
18 Jan 2026Deportivo Pasto1-0Independiente Medellin
19 Aug 2025Deportivo Pasto1-2Independiente Medellin
4 Mar 2025Independiente Medellin1-0Deportivo Pasto
9 Sept 2024Deportivo Pasto1-0Independiente Medellin
1 Mar 2024Independiente Medellin1-0Deportivo Pasto
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our model predicts Independiente Medellin with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (55% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
Both teams to score: Yes (64% confidence).
When and where is Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto played?
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto takes place on 25 Jul 2026 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Additional Information
Top Scorers
L. ChaverraDefender
1Goals
D. MorenoMidfielder
1Goals
E. LarrosaAttacker
1Goals
J. OrtizDefender
1Goals
J. MontañoAttacker
1Goals
Top Assists
L. ChaverraDefender
1Assists
D. MorenoMidfielder
1Assists
E. LarrosaAttacker
1Assists
F. ChaverraMidfielder
1Assists
F. FydriszewskiAttacker
1Assists
Cards
F. FydriszewskiAttacker
30
L. ChaverraDefender
20
J. OrtizDefender
20
F. ChaverraMidfielder
20
L. BerríoMidfielder
20
Top Scorers
A. EstupiñánAttacker
5Goals
Y. GóezMidfielder
1Goals
Top Assists
A. EstupiñánAttacker
1Assists
J. CaicedoMidfielder
1Assists
Jonathan PerlazaMidfielder
1Assists
Cards
A. EstupiñánAttacker
31
J. CaicedoMidfielder
30
D. ChávezMidfielder
30
M. GaravitoDefender
20
E. SerjeMidfielder
20
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
WWLWL
10Played
5Wins
1Draws
4Losses
| Points/Game | 1.6 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 2.6 |
| Scored Avg | 1.3 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.3 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% |
Recent Matches
27 MayLat Estudiantes L.P.0-1
21 MayWat Cusco3-2
3 MayLvs Águilas Doradas1-2
1 MayWvs Cusco1-0
26 AprWvs Fortaleza FC1-0
WLLLL
10Played
4Wins
1Draws
5Losses
| Points/Game | 1.3 |
| Win % | 40% |
| Goals/Game | 2.7 |
| Scored Avg | 1.3 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.4 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 30% |
Recent Matches
13 MayLvs Deportes Tolima0-2
9 MayLat Deportes Tolima0-1
3 MayLat Junior3-4
23 AprLvs Santa Fe1-2
17 AprWat Jaguares3-2
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 16 |
| Average Goals | 1.44 |
| BTTS | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 31% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 13 | 0.81 per game |
| Deportivo Pasto | 10 | 0.63 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 8 (50%) |
| Deportivo Pasto | 7 (44%) |
18 Jan 2026Primera ADeportivo Pasto1-0Independiente Medellin
19 Aug 2025Primera ADeportivo Pasto1-2Independiente Medellin
4 Mar 2025Primera AIndependiente Medellin1-0Deportivo Pasto
9 Sept 2024Primera ADeportivo Pasto1-0Independiente Medellin
1 Mar 2024Primera AIndependiente Medellin1-0Deportivo Pasto
26 Oct 2023Primera ADeportivo Pasto0-0Independiente Medellin
14 May 2023Primera AIndependiente Medellin1-0Deportivo Pasto
30 Nov 2022Primera ADeportivo Pasto0-0Independiente Medellin
6 Nov 2022Primera AIndependiente Medellin0-0Deportivo Pasto
30 Oct 2022Primera ADeportivo Pasto0-0Independiente Medellin
14 May 2022Primera AIndependiente Medellin1-0Deportivo Pasto
21 Nov 2021Primera ADeportivo Pasto1-1Independiente Medellin
21 Mar 2021Primera AIndependiente Medellin2-2Deportivo Pasto
19 Oct 2020Primera ADeportivo Pasto2-1Independiente Medellin
2 Oct 2019Primera AIndependiente Medellin3-1Deportivo Pasto
7 Apr 2019Primera ADeportivo Pasto1-0Independiente Medellin

