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ISLISL
Round 1

Jamshedpur vs Mohammedan Prediction & Betting Tips

Jamshedpur

Jamshedpur

2nd12 pts
15 Feb 2026
1-0
Full Time
Mohammedan

Mohammedan

14th0 pts
JRD Tata Sports Complex, Jamshedpur
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Home Win
@ 1.12
1 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

79%
14%
7%
JamshedpurDrawMohammedan
Match Result
Home Win
@ 1.12
79%
Both Teams to Score
No
@ 1.56
59%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
@ 1.02
46%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -2.25
@ 2.03
49%
Half Time
Home Win
@ 1.44
58%
HT/FT
Home/Home
@ 1.53
65.4%
Correct Score
3:0
@ 5.25
19.0%

Additional Markets

Total Corners
Over 9.5
@ 1.52
60.4%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
5 min read

Jamshedpur's Rising Tide Faces Mohammedan's Struggling Shorelines With Jamshedpur's recent momentum and Mohammedan's rocky form, the upcoming ISL clash at JRD Tata Sports Complex is poised to be a critical juncture in both sides' campaigns. Central t...

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Match Facts

Jamshedpur
Jamshedpur have won their last 4 league matches
Mohammedan
Mohammedan have lost their last 4 league matches

Key Statistics

Jamshedpur3
0Draws
0Mohammedan
2.33Avg Goals
33%BTTS
33%Over 2.5
15 Feb 2026Jamshedpur1-0Mohammedan
20 Feb 2025Mohammedan0-2Jamshedpur
2 Dec 2024Jamshedpur3-1Mohammedan
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.036.0010.00
188Bet1.176.8013.00
1xBet1.146.3513.50

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

Jamshedpur's Rising Tide Faces Mohammedan's Struggling Shorelines

With Jamshedpur's recent momentum and Mohammedan's rocky form, the upcoming ISL clash at JRD Tata Sports Complex is poised to be a critical juncture in both sides' campaigns. Central to this narrative is the potential impact of Jamshedpur’s prolific scorer, whose sharp instincts in front of goal could prove decisive. Meanwhile, Mohammedan will look to their key midfield talisman to spark a turnaround amidst a challenging away fixture.

Setting the Scene: A Clash of Contrasts

Standing at opposite ends of the recent performance spectrum, these teams approach Sunday's fixture with markedly different trajectories. Jamshedpur's squad has been on fire lately, winning all six of their last matches, a streak that has propelled them into the top-flight conversations. Conversely, Mohammedan's form has dipped sharply, with just a solitary draw in their last four games, illustrating struggles in both attack and defense.

Recent Momentum and Underlying Statistics

Jamshedpur's form reads an eye-popping 5 wins from their last 6 outings, with an impressive goal average of 2.17 per game, coupled with a resilient defensive record of conceding only 0.5 goals per match. Their defensive stability is underscored by a 50% clean sheet rate, and they have shown a balanced attack with a 50% BTTS rate in recent games.

Mohammedan, meanwhile, has faced a difficult run, losing three of their last four matches, with their attack struggling to break down opponents—averaging just 0.5 goals per game. Defensive frailty is evident, conceding roughly 2 goals on average, and with zero clean sheets in that span, their backline is vulnerable. Despite a 50% BTTS rate, their challenges in both boxes cast doubt on their ability to escape Jamshedpur’s sharp pressing.

Strategic Outlook: Formations and Tactical Expectations

Jamshedpur is likely to deploy their familiar 4-2-3-1, emphasizing quick transitions, high pressing, and exploiting their home advantage. Their recent performances suggest a focus on disciplined positioning and relentless pressure, aiming to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities through quick interplay.

Mohammedan, on the other hand, might lean on a deeper 4-3-3 or 4-4-2 formation, prioritizing defensive solidity and counter-attacks. Their game plan would involve soaking pressure, compact positioning, and attempting to capitalize on set pieces or turnovers. However, their recent defensive lapses could be a significant vulnerability against Jamshedpur’s dynamic attack.

Key Players Who Could Shift the Narrative

  • Jamshedpur: Their top scorer—who has been pivotal in their winning streak—could be the match-winner if given space. Their creative midfielder, known for threading incisive passes, will be crucial in unlocking Mohammedan’s defense.
  • Mohammedan: Their central midfielder, a driving force in transitions, needs to orchestrate play and impose control. Their leading forward, whose finishing has been inconsistent but who has moments of brilliance, might be the visitors’ best hope for a surprise goal.

Head-to-Head Dynamics & Recent Encounters

In their last two matches, Jamshedpur has asserted dominance, winning both convincingly with an aggregate score of 5-3, including a 2-0 away victory last February. These encounters highlight a pattern where Jamshedpur’s offensive potency consistently challenges Mohammedan's defensive organization, despite Mohammedan's occasional resilience.

Interestingly, the average goals across these fixtures hover around 3, with a BTTS rate of 50%, indicating that both teams can find the net, but Jamshedpur’s edge remains clear based on recent form and head-to-head trends.

Decoding the Bookmakers: Odds, Probabilities, and Value

  • Match Winner (1X2): Home: 1.05, Draw: 5.5, Away: 9.5
  • Implied Probabilities: Home: 76.8%, Draw: 14.7%, Away: 8.5%
  • Double Chance: 1X at 1.03 (~97%), 12 at 1.12 (~89%), X2 at 4 (~25%)
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Bookmakers favor an over 2.5 goals market, with the odds suggesting a 60% likelihood.
  • BTTS: Given the recent 50% BTTS trend, the odds reflect a balanced expectation, but perhaps slightly favoring no BTTS based on defensive solidity.

Analyzing these odds reveals a heavily skewed market towards a Jamshedpur victory, with an implied probability exceeding 76%. The value, however, lies in the over 2.5 goals market, especially considering Jamshedpur's prolific scoring form and Mohammedan's defensive vulnerabilities.

Forecasting the Final Score: Data-Driven Verdict

Given the overwhelming form advantage and head-to-head dominance, a home win seems highly probable—confidence level around 77%. The goal markets also suggest that over 2.5 goals is a solid pick, with a 60% probability, aligning with Jamshedpur’s attacking potency and Mohammedan’s defensive gaps.

Interestingly, the no BTTS angle carries a 58% confidence, considering Mohammedan’s struggle to find the net in recent outings and Jamshedpur's defensive resilience. The double chance (1X) also offers a safe, value-backed option, given the home team's form and odds.

Best Bets and Strategic Insights

  • Primary Pick: Jamshedpur to win (Odds: 1.05) — The data strongly favors a home victory, reinforced by recent form and head-to-head dominance.
  • Secondary bet: Over 2.5 goals (Odds based on bookmakers’ markets) — Considering both teams’ recent goal ratios and the attacking firepower of Jamshedpur, this holds a 60% likelihood.
  • Value Bet: No BTTS (Odds not specified but implied to be favorable) — Given Mohammedan’s recent inability to score and their defensive lapses, the odds suggest potential value here.

Closing Thoughts

While the bookmakers place a hefty premium on a Jamshedpur win, their recent form and head-to-head record build a compelling case. Mohammedan's challenge will be to re-establish their defensive organization and find an attacking rhythm—factors that seem unlikely given current trends.

Expect Jamshedpur to leverage their home advantage, attack with purpose, and potentially seal the victory with a scoreline like 2-0 or 3-1. The key will be whether Mohammedan can muster a response, or if Jamshedpur’s relentless momentum continues to build, making their victory not just probable but almost inevitable this Sunday.

Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDptsForm
1ATK Mohun BaganATK Mohun Bagan5410142+1213
2JamshedpurJamshedpur540163+312
3Mumbai CityMumbai City532074+311
4GoaGoa523052+39
5East Bengal IIEast Bengal II522194+58
6BengaluruBengaluru522154+18
7NorthEast UnitedNorthEast United513157-26
8Minerva PunjabMinerva Punjab412143+15
9Inter KashiInter Kashi512245-15
10ChennaiyinChennaiyin411224-24
11OdishaOdisha302126-42
12Kerala BlastersKerala Blasters501427-51
13SC DelhiSC Delhi401339-61
14MohammedanMohammedan4004210-80
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Jamshedpur
LWWWW
10Played
8Wins
0Draws
2Losses
Points/Game2.4
Win %80%
Goals/Game2.1
Scored Avg1.4
Conceded Avg0.7
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

15 MarLat NorthEast United1-2
6 MarWvs Inter Kashi1-0
27 FebWat East Bengal II2-1
21 FebWvs Minerva Punjab1-0
15 FebWvs Mohammedan1-0
Mohammedan
LLLLL
10Played
1Wins
0Draws
9Losses
Points/Game0.3
Win %10%
Goals/Game2.8
Scored Avg0.5
Conceded Avg2.3
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score50%

Recent Matches

7 MarLvs Bengaluru1-2
28 FebLat ATK Mohun Bagan1-5
20 FebLvs Goa0-2
15 FebLat Jamshedpur0-1
4 MarLat Goa0-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches3
Average Goals2.33
BTTS33%
Over 2.5 Goals33%
Over 1.5 Goals67%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Jamshedpur62 per game
Mohammedan10.33 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Jamshedpur2 (67%)
Mohammedan0 (0%)
15 Feb 2026ISLJamshedpur1-0Mohammedan
20 Feb 2025ISLMohammedan0-2Jamshedpur
2 Dec 2024ISLJamshedpur3-1Mohammedan