Lisbon Derby
Primeira Liga

Lisbon Derby Predictions — Benfica — Sporting CP

Lisbon Derby — History, Stats & Predictions

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No upcoming Lisbon Derby match scheduled yet

Head to Head (All-time · 37 matches)

16Benfica
12Draws
9Sporting CP
Total matches37
Avg goals/match2.6
Goals53 - 42
BTTS %62%
Over 2.543%

Derby Records

Biggest Win — Benfica
0-2
Sporting CP — Benfica · 17 Apr 22
Biggest Win — Sporting CP
0-3
Benfica — Sporting CP · 25 Oct 15
Highest Scoring Match
4-3
Benfica — Sporting CP · 15 May 21
Longest Win Streaks
3 in a row
2 in a row
Longest Unbeaten Runs
8 matches
7 matches

Most Common Scorelines

1-1
2-0
2-1
0-1
2-2
1-3

Goals by Time Period

14
0-15'
15
16-30'
13
31-45'
11
46-60'
19
61-75'
24
76-90'

All-Time Derby Top Scorers

1O. Cardozo5
2Pedro GonçalvesActive5
3H. Seferović4
4Rafa SilvaActive4
5Bruno Fernandes3
6Pizzi3
7E. Salvio3
8N. Gaitán3
9TrincãoActive3
10V. Gyökeres3

Venue Stats

At Benfica home
19P
9HW
7D
3AW
30-25Goals
At Sporting CP home
18P
6HW
5D
7AW
17-23Goals

Results by Season

20251W1D0W3-2
20240W1D2W2-5
20231W1D2W6-7
20220W2D0W4-4
20211W0D1W3-3
20201W0D1W4-4
20192W0D0W4-1
20182W1D1W7-5
20170W2D0W1-1
20161W1D0W3-2
20151W0D1W1-3
20140W2D0W2-2
20131W1D0W3-1
20122W0D0W5-1
20111W0D1W1-1
20102W0D0W4-0

Current Form

Benfica
DWWWD
3W 2D 0L · 11-5
D@ Famalicao2-2
Wvs Moreirense4-1
W@ Sporting CP2-1
Wvs Nacional2-0
D@ Casa Pia1-1
Sporting CP
WDDDL
1W 3D 1L · 9-6
Wvs Guimaraes5-1
Dvs Tondela2-2
D@ AVS1-1
D@ FC Porto0-0
Lvs Benfica1-2

Upcoming Fixtures

Benfica
11 May 26Benfica — SC BragaPrimeira Liga
17 May 26Estoril — BenficaPrimeira Liga
Sporting CP
11 May 26Rio Ave — Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
17 May 26Sporting CP — GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
24 May 26Sporting CP — TorreenseTaça de Portugal

League Standings

Benfica#2
76Pts
22W
10D
0L
69-22Goals
DWWWD
Sporting CP#3
76Pts
23W
7D
2L
82-23Goals
WDDLW

Recent Meetings

19 Apr 26Sporting CP1 - 2Benfica
5 Dec 25Benfica1 - 1Sporting CP
25 May 25Benfica1 - 3Sporting CP
10 May 25Benfica1 - 1Sporting CP
29 Dec 24Sporting CP1 - 0Benfica
6 Apr 24Sporting CP2 - 1Benfica
2 Apr 24Benfica2 - 2Sporting CP
29 Feb 24Sporting CP2 - 1Benfica
12 Nov 23Benfica2 - 1Sporting CP
21 May 23Sporting CP2 - 2Benfica
15 Jan 23Benfica2 - 2Sporting CP
17 Apr 22Sporting CP0 - 2Benfica
3 Dec 21Benfica1 - 3Sporting CP
15 May 21Benfica4 - 3Sporting CP
1 Feb 21Sporting CP1 - 0Benfica
25 Jul 20Benfica2 - 1Sporting CP
17 Jan 20Sporting CP0 - 2Benfica
3 Apr 19Sporting CP1 - 0Benfica
6 Feb 19Benfica2 - 1Sporting CP
3 Feb 19Sporting CP2 - 4Benfica

Lisbon Derby — History, Stats & Predictions

The Rivalry That Defines Portuguese Football

Football in Portugal is more than just a sport—it's a cultural force that unites and divides communities. Nowhere is this duality more vividly expressed than in the Lisbon Derby, where the city’s two most powerful clubs, Benfica and Sporting CP, clash with an intensity that transcends the pitch. This fixture has become a defining element of Portuguese football, steeped in history, passion, and fierce competition. The stakes are always high, but in recent seasons, the rivalry has taken on added significance as both teams vie for supremacy in the Primeira Liga.

This season, the battle for top spot has been incredibly tight, with Benfica and Sporting CP locked at 65 points each. Benfica currently sit in third place, having won 19 games, drawn eight, and lost none, while Sporting CP occupy second with 20 wins, five draws, and one loss. Despite their identical point totals, the margin between them is razor-thin, making every encounter between the rivals a potential turning point in the title race. The absence of an upcoming match only heightens the anticipation, as fans across Lisbon prepare for what could be another unforgettable chapter in this storied rivalry.

The historical context of the Lisbon Derby adds layers of complexity to every meeting. With 36 encounters recorded, Benfica holds a slight edge in head-to-head records, winning 15 times compared to Sporting CP's nine victories, with 12 draws. The goal-scoring trend reflects the competitive nature of these clashes—on average, over 2.6 goals have been scored per game, with 61% of matches featuring both teams finding the net. The frequency of low-scoring draws, such as the 1-1 result appearing eight times, contrasts with the dramatic 4-3 thriller from 2021, showcasing the unpredictable and often explosive nature of the derby.

Recent performances suggest neither team has a clear advantage heading into the next encounter. Benfica has shown strong form, securing three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding six. Sporting CP has also been consistent, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss, with 12 goals scored and six conceded. While Benfica enjoys a stronger home record, with nine wins, seven draws, and three losses at Estádio da Luz, Sporting CP’s home form is slightly less dominant, with six wins, five draws, and six losses at Estádio José Alvalade. These stats underscore the balance of power between the two giants, ensuring that every derby remains a fiercely contested affair.

The History of the Lisbon Derby

Head-to-Head Overview

The Lisbon Derby between Benfica and Sporting CP is one of the most fiercely contested rivalries in Portuguese football, with 36 encounters recorded across all competitions. Benfica leads the head-to-head with 15 wins compared to Sporting CP's nine victories, while 12 matches have ended in draws. The average goal total per game stands at 2.6, reflecting the high-scoring nature of these fixtures. A significant 61% of matches have featured both teams scoring, highlighting the attacking intent from both sides. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 42% of games, reinforcing the competitive yet open style of play that defines this rivalry.

Era Analysis and Dominance Shifts

Looking back through the seasons, the balance of power between Benfica and Sporting CP has fluctuated over the years. From 2016 to 2019, Benfica held a clear advantage, winning two out of three derbies in 2019 alone. However, the following years saw Sporting CP gain momentum, particularly in 2022 and 2023, where they secured two wins and one draw. In recent seasons, the gap has narrowed significantly. Both clubs have shown strong performances, as evidenced by their current standings—both sitting at 65 points in the league, with Benfica just one point behind Sporting CP. This parity suggests a new era of intense competition between the two giants.

Historically, Benfica has enjoyed more success on their home turf, winning nine out of 19 matches at Estádio da Luz. Their defensive resilience is evident, with only 25 goals conceded in those games. Conversely, Sporting CP's home record shows a slightly less dominant performance, with six wins from 17 matches at Estádio José Alvalade. Despite this, their ability to secure results away from home has improved, contributing to their recent successes in the derby.

Key Moments and Records

One of the most memorable moments in the history of the Lisbon Derby came during the 2021 encounter, which ended in a thrilling 4-3 scoreline. That match remains the highest-scoring in the rivalry’s history, showcasing the unpredictable nature of these clashes. On the other end, the largest margin of victory for Benfica was a 2-0 win on 17 April 2022, while Sporting CP's biggest triumph came in October 2015 with a 3-0 victory. These extremes highlight how tightly contested the derby can be, with neither side consistently dominating.

When examining individual contributions, players such as Oussama Cardozo and Haris Seferović have stood out for Benfica, each netting five and four goals respectively in derby matches. For Sporting CP, Bruno Fernandes, Trincão, and Geny Catamo have each found the net three times. The presence of these key performers has often dictated the outcome of close contests, adding another layer of intensity to the rivalry.

Recent Form and Trends

In the last 10 encounters, the trend has been closely balanced, with both teams securing similar numbers of wins and draws. Benfica has won once, drawn five times, and lost four, while Sporting CP has claimed two wins, five draws, and three losses. Notably, the most recent meeting on 5 December 2025 ended in a 1-1 draw, continuing the pattern of tight finishes. This reflects the evolving dynamics of the derby, where neither club holds a consistent edge.

Statistically, the majority of goals in the derby have come after the 60-minute mark, with 23 goals scored in the final 30 minutes of matches. This late surge highlights the pressure-cooker environment of these games, where momentum can shift rapidly. Additionally, the frequency of 1-1 draws (eight instances) and 2-0 results (six times) indicates that many matches have been decided by narrow margins, further emphasizing the fine line between victory and defeat in this historic rivalry.

Conclusion

The Lisbon Derby continues to evolve, shaped by shifting fortunes, tactical adjustments, and the emergence of standout talent. While Benfica maintains a slight historical advantage, recent performances suggest that the balance of power may be tilting toward Sporting CP. With both clubs currently occupying top positions in the league table, the next chapter of this storied rivalry promises to be as compelling as ever.

ICONIC MOMENTS

Benfica 2-2 Sporting CP (2023-01-15)

The 2023 clash between Benfica and Sporting CP ended in a dramatic draw that highlighted the intensity of the rivalry. Both sides traded goals throughout the match, with Benfica taking an early lead before Sporting CP responded with equal determination. The game showcased the attacking flair of both teams, as they created numerous chances and pushed each other to their limits. Despite the result, the match was a testament to the high level of competition that defines this fixture.

Benfica 2-1 Sporting CP (2023-11-12)

In November 2023, Benfica secured a narrow victory over Sporting CP that proved crucial in the league standings. The hosts took control early, capitalizing on a defensive error to take a 1-0 lead. Sporting CP fought back in the second half, but Benfica's resilience saw them hold on for a hard-fought win. This result reinforced Benfica’s position at the top of the table and added another chapter to the storied history of the derby.

Sporting CP 2-2 Benfica (2023-05-21)

The May 2023 encounter between Benfica and Sporting CP was a thrilling spectacle filled with twists and turns. Both teams entered the match with high stakes, knowing that the outcome could influence the title race. The game featured two goals from each side, with neither able to gain a decisive advantage. The draw underscored the unpredictability of the derby and left fans debating which team had the stronger performance.

Benfica 1-1 Sporting CP (2025-05-10)

The most recent meeting between Benfica and Sporting CP in May 2025 ended in a tightly contested draw. Neither side managed to break the deadlock despite creating several scoring opportunities. The match reflected the tactical discipline of both managers, who prioritized defense over attack. The result kept the rivalry alive and demonstrated how evenly matched these two clubs remain, even as the pressure mounts in critical moments.

Benfica 1-3 Sporting CP (2025-05-25)

In one of the most significant victories in recent years, Sporting CP defeated Benfica by a margin of 3-1 in May 2025. The away side came out with confidence, taking an early lead and maintaining control throughout the match. Their superior execution and clinical finishing contrasted sharply with Benfica’s struggles. This win marked a turning point in the season for Sporting CP, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure and adding to the growing narrative of their dominance in key fixtures.

KEY PLAYERS

Benfica's Offensive Powerhouse

Benfica’s attacking line has been instrumental in their recent success, with Osvaldo Cardozo leading the charge as the club’s top scorer in the derby with five goals. His physical presence and clinical finishing make him a constant threat, particularly in tight matches. Alongside him, Haris Seferović has proven to be a reliable goal-scoring option, netting four times in previous derbies. The Swiss forward’s movement and positioning create space for teammates, while his aerial ability adds another dimension to Benfica’s attack.

Bruno Fernandes may not have the same goal tally as some of his teammates, but his influence on the game is undeniable. As a creative force in midfield, he consistently links play between defense and attack, often setting up key chances. His vision and technical skill allow him to dictate the tempo, making him a crucial figure in any high-stakes encounter. Meanwhile, players like Pizzi, Éder Salvio, and Nicolás Gaitán provide additional firepower, offering variety in attack through their dribbling, crossing, and finishing abilities.

Sporting CP's Rising Stars

Sporting CP has relied heavily on its young and dynamic forwards to challenge Benfica in recent derbies. Trincão has emerged as one of the most exciting talents in Portuguese football, scoring three goals in derby matches so far. His pace, technical flair, and ability to cut inside from the wing make him a dangerous opponent. Geny Catamo also plays a vital role, contributing three goals in the rivalry, showcasing his composure in front of goal and his knack for finding the back of the net at crucial moments.

Theo Berna, though not listed among the top scorers, has been a consistent performer in the midfield, providing both defensive cover and offensive support. His work rate and tactical awareness help maintain balance in the team, allowing the attackers more freedom to operate. While Sporting lacks a single dominant striker, the collective effort of their forwards and midfielders creates a well-rounded attacking unit that can trouble even the strongest defenses.

Current Form and Season Context

Benfica and Sporting CP enter this period of inactivity with contrasting yet similarly strong performances this season. Both clubs sit level on 65 points, with Sporting CP occupying second place due to superior goal difference. Benfica’s recent run has been marked by four wins and one draw in their last five matches, scoring 10 goals while conceding just six. Their attacking prowess is evident, as they have netted in each of their past five games, showcasing consistency at both ends of the pitch. Sporting CP, meanwhile, have also secured three wins and one draw in their last five outings, with a slightly more balanced approach—scoring 12 goals and allowing six. The two sides have maintained near identical defensive records, highlighting the high standard of play across the board.

Their recent head-to-head encounters reflect a fiercely competitive rivalry, with neither side holding a clear advantage. In the 2025 season, the teams drew once without a win, while previous years have shown fluctuations in dominance. In 2024, Sporting CP claimed two wins and a draw, whereas Benfica managed one victory and a draw in 2023. These results indicate that the outcome of future meetings could hinge on tactical adjustments and key individual performances. With both teams competing closely for the title, the absence of an upcoming fixture adds intrigue, as momentum from recent form may carry significant weight when the next encounter finally arrives.

PREDICTION AND BETTING ANALYSIS

H2H Trends and 1X2 Probabilities

The historical head-to-head record between Benfica and Sporting CP shows a clear advantage for Benfica, with 15 wins compared to Sporting CP's nine victories across 36 encounters. However, the teams have drawn 12 times, highlighting the intensity and competitiveness of this fixture. The average of 2.6 goals per game underscores the attacking nature of these clashes, making it a high-scoring affair that often favors both sides.

In recent meetings, Benfica has shown resilience, drawing twice at home against a Sporting CP side that has struggled to maintain consistency. The last match on 5 December ended in a 1-1 draw, while a 1-3 loss in May was offset by a 2-2 draw in February. These results suggest that neither team dominates consistently, but Benfica's ability to secure points in tight games gives them a slight edge in terms of reliability. Despite this, the 1X2 market remains closely contested, with both teams capable of claiming victory depending on form, injuries, and tactical adjustments.

Over/Under and BTTS Analysis

The statistical trend clearly indicates a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this encounter, with 42% of past fixtures exceeding that threshold. This aligns with the average of 2.6 goals per game, reinforcing the notion that both teams tend to create chances and struggle to keep clean sheets. The 61% probability of Both Teams To Score further supports this view, as the frequency of multiple-goal outcomes suggests a dynamic and open style of play.

Looking at common scorelines, the 1-1 result has occurred eight times, reflecting the tendency of both teams to find the back of the net without necessarily dominating. Other frequent outcomes include 2-0 and 0-1, which show the unpredictability of the match. A 2-1 result appears four times, indicating that narrow margins often decide the outcome. The 2-2 draw, though less frequent, occurs three times, adding another layer of complexity to predicting the exact result.

Goal Timing Patterns and Tactical Implications

The distribution of goals across different periods reveals interesting insights. The highest number of goals occur in the final 15 minutes of the match, with 23 goals recorded in the 76–90 minute window. This suggests that both teams may adopt more aggressive tactics in the closing stages, leading to increased scoring opportunities. Conversely, the first half sees a relatively balanced spread of goals, with 14 in the opening 15 minutes, 13 in the next 15, and 13 in the second half’s first 15 minutes.

The middle of the game, particularly the 61–75 minute period, sees 18 goals, indicating that momentum shifts can lead to decisive moments. Coaches often make substitutions during this phase, which could influence the flow of the match. With such a pattern, bettors should consider the possibility of late goals when placing wagers, especially in markets like Over 2.5 Goals or Both Teams To Score.

Given these trends, the match is likely to be an open contest with multiple goals and a high chance of both teams finding the net. While Benfica holds a marginal advantage in the 1X2 market, the overall dynamics point towards a competitive and unpredictable encounter that offers value across various betting options.

VENUE ANALYSIS

Benfica's home record this season has been dominant, with 19 matches played at their stadium resulting in nine wins, seven draws, and three losses. They have scored 30 goals while conceding 25, showcasing a strong attacking presence and a solid defensive structure. The high goal difference highlights their ability to control games on their own turf, often creating numerous scoring opportunities. Their home form suggests that they are a formidable opponent, particularly when supported by a passionate crowd.

Sporting CP, by contrast, has struggled more at home, with 17 matches yielding six wins, five draws, and six losses. Their attack has been less consistent, netting only 16 goals compared to 21 conceded. This indicates that their defensive vulnerabilities may be more exposed when playing at home. However, their away record shows a different story, as they tend to perform better on the road. With a more balanced approach and fewer defensive lapses, Sporting CP could pose a serious threat when traveling to Benfica's stadium.

H2H TRENDS AND BETTING INSIGHTS

The Lisbon Derby between Benfica and Sporting CP has consistently delivered high-scoring encounters, with an average of 2.6 goals per game over 36 meetings. The head-to-head record shows Benfica leading with 15 wins compared to Sporting CP's nine, but the gap is narrowing as both teams have shown resilience. Betting markets reflect this balance, with Both Teams To Score (BTTS) at 61%, indicating that goalscoring opportunities are frequent. Over 2.5 goals have been recorded in 42% of matches, suggesting that defensive structures often break down in these high-pressure games.

Historically, late goals have played a significant role in determining outcomes, with 23 goals scored in the final 15 minutes compared to just 11 in the first half. This trend highlights the intensity and unpredictability of the derby, where momentum can shift rapidly. In terms of betting strategies, backing both teams to score and predicting over 2.5 goals remains a strong approach based on historical data. Additionally, the recent form of both clubs—Benfica with a record of WWDWL and Sporting CP with WWLDW—shows they are evenly matched, making draw markets worth considering. With Sporting CP currently sitting second in the league and Benfica third, the stakes remain high for this fiercely contested rivalry.

FAQ: The Derby Between Benfica and Sporting CP

Who has won more derbies?

Benfica holds the edge in head-to-head encounters, having won 15 out of 36 matches compared to Sporting CP's nine victories. The remaining 12 games ended in draws, highlighting the competitiveness of this intense rivalry.

What is the biggest win for each team?

The largest margin of victory for Benfica came in a 2-0 win, while Sporting CP recorded their most decisive result with a 3-0 triumph. These results reflect the high stakes and intensity that define this fixture.

What is the average number of goals per match?

The average number of goals in this derby stands at 2.6 per game, with both teams frequently creating chances and maintaining attacking momentum throughout the contest.

Who is the top scorer in the derby?

O. Cardozo leads the scoring charts with five goals in this rivalry, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure and make a significant impact in high-stakes matches.

Does home advantage play a role?

Home advantage often influences the outcome, as teams tend to draw strength from their supporters. However, the closely balanced record suggests that neither side consistently dominates when playing at home.

When is the next derby match?

There are no upcoming matches scheduled between Benfica and Sporting CP at this time, meaning fans will have to wait until the next season to witness another encounter between the two giants of Portuguese football.