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Liga LeumitLiga Leumit
Round 23

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Modi'in Prediction & Betting Tips

13 Feb 2026
5-1
Full Time
HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Maccabi Petah Tikva
5 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

74%
16%
10%
Maccabi Petah TikvaDrawIroni Modi'in
Match Result
Maccabi Petah Tikva
74%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams Score
No
54%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
45%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -2.00
@ 2.12
47%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
7 min read

The historic ambiance of HaMoshava Stadium imbues every match with an electric edge, especially for Maccabi Petah Tikva, whose home advantage often fuels their formidable performances. With passionate local supporters filling the stands, the energy can elevate players’ intensity and focus, offering ...

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Match Facts

Maccabi Petah Tikva
Maccabi Petah Tikva have conceded in each of their last 9 matches
Maccabi Petah Tikva have scored in each of their last 6 matches
Both teams scored in 13 of Maccabi Petah Tikva's last 15 matches (87%)
Maccabi Petah Tikva concede 34% of goals after the 75th minute (11 goals)
Maccabi Petah Tikva have scored all 3 penalties this season
Ironi Modi'in
Ironi Modi'in have gone 5 league matches without a win
Ironi Modi'in have scored all 4 penalties this season
Ironi Modi'in have won just 2 of 14 away matches this season
Ironi Modi'in score 31% of their goals after the 75th minute (9 goals)
Both teams scored in just 3 of Ironi Modi'in's last 15 matches (20%)
Under 2.5 goals in 12 of Ironi Modi'in's last 15 matches (80%)

Key Statistics

Maccabi Petah Tikva2
0Draws
0Ironi Modi'in
4.5Avg Goals
100%BTTS
100%Over 2.5
13 Feb 2026Maccabi Petah Tikva5-1Ironi Modi'in
15 Oct 2025Ironi Modi'in1-2Maccabi Petah Tikva
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

HaMoshava Stadium’s Vital Atmosphere and the Significance for Maccabi Petah Tikva

The historic ambiance of HaMoshava Stadium imbues every match with an electric edge, especially for Maccabi Petah Tikva, whose home advantage often fuels their formidable performances. With passionate local supporters filling the stands, the energy can elevate players’ intensity and focus, offering a psychological edge. Maccabi Petah Tikva’s recent record, undefeated in their last five matches and boasting a 7-win streak, underscores their confidence on familiar turf. The venue’s intimate atmosphere often amplifies their attacking rhythm, which has been one of the league’s most potent this season, with an average of 2.6 goals per game at home. Conversely, the challenge for Ironi Modi'in is to navigate the hostile environment while trying to breach a solid home defense. The stakes are high—this fixture is crucial for Petah Tikva’s push towards the top and for Modi'in to stabilize their mid-table position. The atmosphere plays a pivotal role—not just in motivating the hosts but also in testing the visiting team's resilience under pressure. 

Current Profiles: Momentum and Tactical Outlook

Recent Runways – Power vs. Struggles

Maccabi Petah Tikva’s recent form signals one of the strongest sides in Liga Leumit. Their last five matches read DWWWW, with an eye-catching unbeaten streak that includes a dominant home victory over Modi'in (2-1). Their attack has been relentless, averaging 2.6 goals, and they’ve kept six clean sheets this campaign—evidence of a well-organized defense. Such stability has propelled them to top spot with 47 points, significantly ahead of the chasing pack.

Ironi Modi'in, on the other hand, has endured a rough patch, with 4 defeats in their last six fixtures (LLDLL). Their goal-scoring rate is modest at just 1 per game, but notably, their matches are often high on BTTS potential, with an 83% BTTS rate in their recent games. The defensive frailty, conceding an average of 1.67 goals, leaves them vulnerable against a high-scoring Petah Tikva side. Despite their struggles, they’ve exhibited resilience, managing to secure two draws in their last five—highlighting a side capable of resistance, albeit inconsistent. Strategically, Modi'in will need to tighten up defensively to stay competitive, likely adopting a cautious approach to limit the hosts’ numerous attacking options.

Shapes and Strategies: Tactics in Play

Petah Tikva typically deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing fluid attacking transitions and pressing high up the pitch. Their front line, led by key creative and goal-scoring threats, is adept at exploiting defensive gaps. Their midfield duo provides stability and support, enabling quick counter-attacks.

Modi'in might opt for a more conservative 4-4-2 or 4-1-4-1, aiming to absorb pressure and hit on the break. Their defensive setup will need to focus on compactness and disciplined marking, especially to prevent the supply lines to Petah Tikva’s prolific frontline.

The match is expected to see Petah Tikva dictating possession, with Modi’in likely focusing on structured defense and trying to capitalize on set pieces or mistakes. The home team’s attacking prowess, combined with their disciplined shape, makes them significant favorites, but Modi'in will be searching for moments to frustrate and generate surprises.

Players Who Can Turn the Tide

Key Men for Maccabi Petah Tikva

  • Omer Atzili: The creative lynchpin who orchestrates much of Petah Tikva’s attack, his vision and finishing ability can unlock stubborn defenses.
  • Dani Sade: An energetic presence in attack, Sade’s movement and goal-scoring instinct have been vital, contributing heavily to the team's high scoring rate.
  • Shaked Kessedik: A versatile midfielder known for his work rate and distribution, often involved in quick transitions and assists.
  • Gadi Kinda: The veteran midfielder with both offensive and defensive duties, whose experience stabilizes the side both on and off the ball.

Potential Match-Winners for Ironi Modi'in

  • Yigal Bloch: Their top scorer, capable of exploiting chances and providing a focal point in attack.
  • Erez Kafri: A key midfielder whose ball progression can initiate Modi'in’s counters and provide stability in possession.
  • Yuval Avidor: A seasoned defender tasked with organizing the backline and mitigating Petah Tikva’s aerial threats.
  • Shlomi Azulay: A winger with pace, who could be a direct outlet on the break, particularly dangerous on counter-attacks.

Historical Encounters: Trends and Patterns

The only recent head-to-head meeting, played on October 15, 2025, saw Petah Tikva emerge victorious with a 2-1 away win. The game was characterized by Petah Tikva’s attacking dominance, registering a 3-goal average and a 100% BTTS rate, which indicates both sides are capable of scoring and concede in this fixture. Historically, Petah Tikva maintains the upper hand, with 1 win out of 1 recent fixture, suggesting an emerging pattern of dominance. Modi'in’s inability to secure wins against Petah Tikva, especially on their turf, underpins the confidence bookmakers place on a home victory, further reinforced by their recent form that lacks wins away from home.

Betting Intelligence: Odds, Probabilities, and Value Plays

Analyzing the Odds and Probabilities

Bookmakers clearly favor Maccabi Petah Tikva with odds of 1.05 for a home win, translating into an implied probability of approximately 76%. The low odds reflect their dominance and home advantage, but they also leave little room for value. The draw at 5.00 (16%) and Modi'in’s away win at 10.00 (8%) showcase slim chances for an upset, yet the odds do incorporate some risk of an upset considering Modi'in’s BTTS frequency and Petah Tikva’s occasional defensive lapses.

Double chance markets further emphasize the bookmakers’ view—1X at 1.04 (implied ~96%) practically guarantees Petah Tikva’s involvement in the outcome, though it offers minimal value.

Asian Handicap markets offer some intriguing angles: a -1.75 goal handicap for Petah Tikva at odds of 1.88 suggests they are expected to win comfortably, but the risk of a 2-goal margin or more is significant. Conversely, betting on Modi'in +1.75 at 1.84 could be justified if expecting a narrower or even split result, especially considering Modi'in's resilience in high BTTS matches.

Over/Under and BTTS Insights

The over 2.5 goals market stands at approximately 1.65, implying a 62% probability based on bookmaker odds, aligning with Petah Tikva’s high-scoring profile. Given Modi'in’s high BTTS rate (83%) and recent matches averaging over 3 total goals, an over bet offers backing but not exceptional value.

BTTS is priced near 1.70, with a 53% implied probability, making it attractive considering both teams’ attacking tendencies and recent form. Betting both teams to score seems a reasonable play, especially since Modi'in’s defense is porous.

Strategic Predictions & Confidence Levels

  • Match Result: Home Win (1) — Confidence Level: 74%
  • Petah Tikva’s overwhelming dominance at home, combined with their unbeaten streak and superior league standing, makes a home victory highly probable. Their offensive firepower suggests a comfortable margin.

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 — Confidence Level: 62%
  • The attacking strength of Petah Tikva and the propensity for Modi'in to concede, coupled with their BTTS tendencies, support an over scenario.

  • Both Teams to Score: No — Confidence Level: 53%
  • While Modi'in has struggled defensively, Petah Tikva’s solid backline and goal threat make a clean sheet plausible, but given Modi'in’s offensive potential, a BTTS scenario remains plausible.

  • Double Chance (1X): Favorable at 45% confidence
  • Although the data supports a strong home win, a small cushion for an unlikely Modi'in upset or draw justifies considering this safer option.

Final Verdict and Top Betting Picks

Considering the statistical landscape, recent form, head-to-head patterns, and bookmaker odds, the most compelling bets are:

  • Home Win (1): Back Maccabi Petah Tikva to continue their winning streak at home. Their offensive potency and home dominance make this the clearest angle, with a confidence of around 74%.
  • Over 2.5 Goals: Given both teams’ attacking profiles and Modi'in’s defensive issues, betting on over 2.5 goals offers a solid edge, backed by a 62% implied probability.
  • Both Teams to Score - Yes: Slightly less probable than others but supported by high BTTS rates and recent scores, making it a secondary value pick.

Summary: The Path to Victory

Maccabi Petah Tikva’s psychological edge, driven by their formidable home record and attacking prowess, makes them favored to extend their unbeaten run. Their ability to maintain defensive solidity, coupled with a potent offense, suggests they can secure a comfortable victory with over 2.5 goals, possibly 2-0 or 3-1. Modi'in’s recent struggles, coupled with their high BTTS frequency, imply they’ll likely find the net, but their defensive frailty at home remains a concern.

Overall, this fixture’s statistical profile points towards a confident home win with a high-scoring component, making it an appealing betting proposition for those valuing data-driven insights.


Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Maccabi Petah TikvaMaccabi Petah Tikva3017946732+3560
2Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3014884535+1050
3Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3014794836+1249
4Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3013984333+1048
5Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem3013895147+447
6Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda30128103437-344
7Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC30137104337+642
8Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba30118113839-141
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Maccabi Petah Tikva
WDDDW
10Played
4Wins
5Draws
1Losses
Points/Game1.7
Win %40%
Goals/Game3.1
Scored Avg2
Conceded Avg1.1
BTTS80%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

24 AprWat Hapoel Kfar Shalem3-2
17 AprDat Hapoel Rishon LeZion1-1
14 AprDvs Maccabi Herzliya1-1
10 AprDat Kiryat Yam SC2-2
7 AprWat Hapoel Ra'anana2-1
Ironi Modi'in
DDLLD
10Played
1Wins
4Draws
5Losses
Points/Game0.7
Win %10%
Goals/Game1.5
Scored Avg0.4
Conceded Avg1.1
BTTS20%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score70%

Recent Matches

24 AprDvs Hapoel Afula0-0
17 AprDvs Kafr Qasim0-0
14 AprLat Hapoel Ra'anana0-1
10 AprLvs Hapoel Ramat Gan2-3
6 AprDat Hapoel Afula0-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches2
Average Goals4.5
BTTS100%
Over 2.5 Goals100%
Over 1.5 Goals100%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Maccabi Petah Tikva73.5 per game
Ironi Modi'in21 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Maccabi Petah Tikva0 (0%)
Ironi Modi'in0 (0%)
13 Feb 2026Liga LeumitMaccabi Petah Tikva5-1Ironi Modi'in
15 Oct 2025Liga LeumitIroni Modi'in1-2Maccabi Petah Tikva