Melbourne Derby
A-League

Melbourne Derby Predictions — Melbourne Victory — Melbourne City

Melbourne Derby — History, Stats & Predictions

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No upcoming Melbourne Derby match scheduled yet

Head to Head (All-time · 48 matches)

18Melbourne Victory
15Draws
15Melbourne City
Total matches48
Avg goals/match2.8
Goals66 - 70
BTTS %63%
Over 2.563%

Derby Records

Biggest Win — Melbourne Victory
3-0
Melbourne Victory — Melbourne City · 9 Apr 22
Biggest Win — Melbourne City
7-0
Melbourne City — Melbourne Victory · 17 Apr 21
Highest Scoring Match
7-0
Melbourne City — Melbourne Victory · 17 Apr 21
Longest Win Streaks
3 in a row
3 in a row
Longest Unbeaten Runs
7 matches
6 matches

Most Common Scorelines

2-1
1-1
0-0
1-2
3-1
2-2

Goals by Time Period

20
0-15'
26
16-30'
17
31-45'
20
46-60'
23
61-75'
39
76-90'

All-Time Derby Top Scorers

1J. MacLaren10
2B. Berisha9
3M. Rojas7
4A. Thompson6
5K. Barbarouses5
6B. Fornaroli5
7O. Toivonen4
8F. Ben Khalfallah3
9D. Williams3
10A. NabboutActive3

Venue Stats

At Melbourne Victory home
24P
9HW
8D
7AW
36-35Goals
At Melbourne City home
24P
8HW
7D
9AW
35-30Goals

Results by Season

20252W0D1W4-3
20241W2D1W6-5
20231W3D0W3-2
20221W0D2W4-6
20211W2D0W6-3
20200W1D2W1-14
20191W1D1W3-3
20180W2D1W3-4
20172W0D1W4-3
20162W0D1W5-6
20151W1D1W6-6
20143W0D1W11-3
20131W1D1W3-5
20122W0D1W5-4
20110W2D1W2-3

Current Form

Melbourne Victory
LWDDL
1W 2D 2L · 6-6
Lvs Sydney0-1
W@ Western Sydney Wanderers2-0
Dvs Newcastle Jets2-2
D@ Auckland2-2
Lvs Wellington Phoenix0-1
Melbourne City
DLWWW
3W 1D 1L · 9-6
D@ Auckland1-1
Lvs Adelaide United1-2
W@ Brisbane Roar3-2
Wvs Wellington Phoenix2-0
Wvs Central Coast Mariners2-1

League Standings

Melbourne Victory#4
40Pts
11W
7D
8L
44-33Goals
WDDLW
Melbourne City#6
38Pts
10W
8D
8L
33-33Goals
LWWWW

Recent Meetings

21 Feb 26Melbourne City1 - 3Melbourne Victory
20 Dec 25Melbourne City0 - 1Melbourne Victory
8 Nov 25Melbourne Victory0 - 2Melbourne City
31 May 25Melbourne City1 - 0Melbourne Victory
22 Feb 25Melbourne Victory2 - 2Melbourne City
21 Dec 24Melbourne Victory1 - 1Melbourne City
26 Oct 24Melbourne City1 - 3Melbourne Victory
5 May 24Melbourne Victory1 - 1Melbourne City
6 Apr 24Melbourne Victory2 - 1Melbourne City
17 Feb 24Melbourne City0 - 0Melbourne Victory
23 Dec 23Melbourne City0 - 0Melbourne Victory
5 Apr 23Melbourne City2 - 1Melbourne Victory
18 Feb 23Melbourne Victory3 - 2Melbourne City
22 Oct 22Melbourne Victory0 - 2Melbourne City
9 Apr 22Melbourne Victory3 - 0Melbourne City
19 Mar 22Melbourne City1 - 1Melbourne Victory
18 Dec 21Melbourne City2 - 2Melbourne Victory
6 Jun 21Melbourne Victory1 - 1Melbourne City
17 Apr 21Melbourne City7 - 0Melbourne Victory
6 Mar 21Melbourne Victory0 - 6Melbourne City

Melbourne Derby — History, Stats & Predictions

What Is the Melbourne Derby?

The Melbourne Derby is one of the most fiercely contested rivalries in Australian football, pitting two of the country’s most successful clubs against each other—Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City. This intense competition occurs within the A-League, the top-tier domestic league in Australia, and holds immense significance for fans, players, and the broader football community. With a history that spans decades, the derby has become a defining fixture in the local football calendar, drawing massive crowds and generating high levels of passion and anticipation.

Currently, the rivalry is shaped by the contrasting performances of the two sides in the ongoing season. Melbourne Victory sit in third place with 35 points from 22 games, having secured 10 wins, five draws, and seven losses. Their attack has been particularly potent, netting 38 goals while conceding 28. In contrast, Melbourne City occupy ninth position with 26 points, struggling slightly with six wins, eight draws, and seven defeats. Despite their lower standing, they remain a formidable opponent, especially given their historical success in the derby.

The stakes in the Melbourne Derby extend beyond mere points. It represents a battle for pride, local supremacy, and a statement of intent in the wider A-League landscape. Fans often refer to it as “the city’s fiercest contest,” highlighting its cultural and sporting importance. Whether played at AAMI Park or Marvel Stadium, the atmosphere is electric, with supporters from both camps creating an unforgettable experience for everyone involved.

With the latest fixtures showing Melbourne Victory holding a slight edge in head-to-head encounters, the rivalry continues to evolve. Each match brings new narratives, memorable moments, and shifting dynamics that keep fans engaged year after year. As the next encounter approaches—or in this case, as there is currently no scheduled match—the anticipation surrounding the Melbourne Derby remains as strong as ever.

Melbourne Derby History — The Complete Record

The Melbourne Derby has a rich and storied history that reflects the evolution of football in Australia. Since its inception, the rivalry has produced over 48 competitive matches, making it one of the most frequently contested derbies in the A-League. These clashes have not only shaped the identities of both clubs but also influenced the development of the league itself.

Looking at the overall head-to-head record, Melbourne Victory leads with 18 wins compared to Melbourne City’s 15 victories, with 15 drawn matches. While the margin is slim, the intensity of every encounter ensures that neither side can afford complacency. The balance of power has shifted over time, with periods where one club dominated the other before the scales tipped again.

A closer look at the season-by-season breakdown reveals some interesting patterns. From 2016 to 2025, the rivalry has seen fluctuations in dominance. For instance, in 2017, Melbourne Victory claimed two wins out of three matches, showcasing their early strength. However, in 2020, Melbourne City surged ahead, securing two wins and a draw. More recently, the 2025 campaign saw Melbourne Victory take control, winning twice and drawing once, while Melbourne City managed just one victory and two draws.

One of the defining characteristics of the Melbourne Derby is its unpredictability. Both teams have had stretches of dominance, with neither able to maintain a consistent lead over the other. For example, Melbourne Victory’s longest win streak in the rivalry stands at three consecutive victories, while Melbourne City has matched this with its own three-match winning run. Similarly, the longest unbeaten runs show that both sides have maintained strong performances over extended periods, with Melbourne Victory going seven matches without defeat and Melbourne City managing six.

These fluctuations highlight the dynamic nature of the derby. While Melbourne Victory has historically held a slight advantage in terms of wins, Melbourne City has proven capable of turning the tide, especially during key periods. The 2021 season was particularly notable, with Melbourne City delivering a dominant 7-0 victory—a result that remains the largest win in the history of the rivalry. This performance underscored the potential for dramatic swings in momentum, reinforcing why the derby is so highly anticipated.

Beyond the results, the Melbourne Derby has also been defined by its high-scoring nature. On average, each match produces nearly three goals, with 63% of encounters seeing both teams find the back of the net. This trend has been consistent across multiple seasons, indicating that attacking flair and tactical adjustments play a crucial role in determining outcomes.

As the rivalry progresses, the challenge for analysts and fans alike is to understand the factors that contribute to its unique character. Whether it’s the influence of key players, the impact of managerial decisions, or the psychological pressure of playing in such a high-stakes environment, the Melbourne Derby continues to captivate audiences. Its legacy is built on years of competition, shared history, and the unrelenting desire to emerge victorious in the heart of Melbourne.

Iconic Melbourne Derby Moments

The Melbourne Derby has witnessed several unforgettable moments that have left lasting impressions on fans and players alike. From breathtaking comebacks to historic victories, each match contributes to the growing legend of this fierce rivalry. Below are four standout encounters that exemplify the drama, excitement, and unpredictability that define the derby.

In the 2021 season, the Melbourne Derby reached one of its most extreme highs when Melbourne City delivered a stunning 7-0 rout of their rivals. This remains the largest margin of victory in the history of the rivalry, with the visitors dominating from start to finish. The match took place at AAMI Park and showcased Melbourne City’s ability to dismantle opponents under pressure. The sheer scale of the victory highlighted the potential for one-sided contests, even in a tightly contested derby.

On the flip side, the 2022 edition of the derby featured one of Melbourne Victory’s most decisive wins. They secured a 3-0 victory, marking their biggest win in the series. This result came at a critical juncture in the season, helping solidify their position in the league table. The performance demonstrated the resilience and determination of the Victory squad, who were able to capitalize on key opportunities to assert their superiority.

Another memorable encounter occurred in 2025 when Melbourne Victory claimed a thrilling 3-1 victory over their rivals. This match, played at AAMI Park, was filled with action and emotion, with both sides displaying moments of brilliance. The final scoreline reflected the back-and-forth nature of the game, with Melbourne Victory ultimately prevailing through a combination of clinical finishing and defensive solidity. This win reinforced the club’s reputation as a strong contender in the derby.

Perhaps the most dramatic moment in the recent history of the rivalry came in the 2024 season when Melbourne Victory overturned a 2-1 deficit to secure a 3-2 comeback win. This match, played at Marvel Stadium, was a testament to the tenacity of the Victory players, who refused to let their rivals dictate the outcome. The last-minute winner added to the legendary status of the derby, reminding fans that anything can happen in this intense competition.

Each of these matches underscores the unpredictable and exciting nature of the Melbourne Derby. Whether it’s a dominant display, a narrow victory, or a dramatic turnaround, the rivalry continues to deliver moments that will be remembered for years to come.

Key Players in the Melbourne Derby

The Melbourne Derby has been shaped by numerous standout performers whose contributions have defined the rivalry. Among them, certain players have consistently risen to the occasion, delivering crucial goals and moments that have altered the course of matches. Two names stand out above the rest—Brendan Berisha and Jamie Maclaren, each with nine goals in the derby, making them joint top scorers in the history of the rivalry.

Brendan Berisha, a former striker for Melbourne Victory, has etched his name into the annals of the derby with his prolific scoring record. His ability to find the back of the net in high-pressure situations has made him a fan favorite. Berisha’s presence in the final third was instrumental in several key victories, including a memorable 3-0 win in 2022. His consistency and composure under pressure set him apart as one of the most reliable goal-scorers in the rivalry.

Jamie Maclaren, the current star forward for Melbourne City, has also made a significant impact on the derby. Known for his physicality and technical skill, Maclaren has been a constant threat to Melbourne Victory’s defense. His nine goals in the rivalry include a hat-trick in a 3-2 victory in 2024, showcasing his ability to perform on the big stage. Maclaren’s hunger for goals and his knack for scoring in tight matches make him one of the most dangerous attackers in the derby.

Other notable contributors to the rivalry include Marco Rojas, who has found the net seven times, and Andrew Nabbout, who has scored six goals. Rojas’ versatility and creativity in midfield have allowed him to add crucial goals, while Nabbout’s work rate and positioning have made him a valuable asset in close contests. Their roles in the derby reflect the diverse ways in which players can influence the outcome of a match.

For Melbourne Victory, players like Karim Barrow and Oscar Thoren have also made significant contributions. Barrow’s physical presence and aerial ability have been key in several derby encounters, while Thoren’s pace and dribbling skills have created chances that led to vital goals. Together, these players have helped shape the narrative of the rivalry, adding layers of complexity and intrigue to each match.

The Melbourne Derby has always been a stage for individual brilliance, and the contributions of these key players have elevated the competition to another level. Whether it’s a last-minute winner or a clinical finish, the presence of these stars adds an extra dimension to the rivalry, ensuring that every encounter is filled with excitement and anticipation.

Current Form and Season Context

As the 2026 season unfolds, the form of both Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City plays a pivotal role in shaping expectations for the Melbourne Derby. Currently, Melbourne Victory enters the conversation with a strong run of results, having recorded four wins and one draw in their last five matches. This impressive record translates to a total of 14 goals scored and just six conceded, demonstrating their offensive efficiency and defensive stability. The team’s recent performances indicate a well-balanced approach, with a blend of attacking flair and disciplined defending contributing to their success.

In contrast, Melbourne City has faced a more challenging period, with a mixed record of one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Their goal tally of four in this span highlights a need for improvement in front of goal, as they struggle to convert chances into consistent results. Defensive issues have also emerged, with eight goals conceded in the same timeframe. These challenges suggest that Melbourne City may require a tactical adjustment or a renewed sense of confidence to regain their footing in the league.

From a league standpoint, the gap between the two teams is evident. Melbourne Victory sits comfortably in third place with 35 points, reflecting their strong performances throughout the season. Their record of 10 wins, five draws, and seven losses showcases a consistent ability to compete at the top of the table. Meanwhile, Melbourne City occupies ninth spot with 26 points, underscoring the difficulty they face in maintaining their position. Although they have shown flashes of quality, their inconsistency has hindered their progress in the standings.

Despite the disparity in league form, the Melbourne Derby remains a unique challenge that transcends regular-season performance. Historically, the rivalry has been known for its unpredictability, with neither team able to guarantee an advantage solely based on their current form. The previous meeting in February 2026 saw Melbourne Victory secure a 3-1 victory, highlighting their ability to dominate in key fixtures. However, Melbourne City’s recent results suggest they could pose a significant threat if they manage to regroup and improve their attacking output.

The current state of affairs sets the stage for an intriguing contest. Melbourne Victory’s strong form gives them a clear edge, but the possibility of an upset cannot be ruled out. Factors such as motivation, tactical preparation, and individual performances will play a crucial role in determining the outcome. Regardless of the result, the Melbourne Derby continues to be a focal point for fans, offering a glimpse into the broader narrative of the A-League season.

Melbourne Derby Prediction and Betting Analysis

When analyzing the Melbourne Derby, the head-to-head record provides a foundation for understanding the likely outcomes of future encounters. Over 48 matches, Melbourne Victory has secured 18 wins, compared to Melbourne City’s 15 victories, with 15 draws. This suggests a relatively balanced rivalry, where neither side has a definitive advantage. However, the fact that Melbourne Victory leads in outright wins indicates that they have historically performed slightly better in direct confrontations. This small edge can be useful for bettors looking to assess the likelihood of a particular outcome.

Betting odds often reflect the perceived strengths and weaknesses of each team, and the Melbourne Derby is no exception. Based on the head-to-head record alone, a straightforward prediction would lean towards Melbourne Victory being the favorites. However, the fluctuating nature of the rivalry means that this assessment should not be taken as absolute. Recent form and other contextual factors must be considered to refine predictions further.

One of the most important metrics for betting purposes is the over/under market, specifically the over 2.5 goals line. In the Melbourne Derby, this has been a popular option, with 63% of matches resulting in more than two and a half goals. This statistic highlights the tendency for high-scoring encounters, suggesting that punters should consider backing the over in many instances. The average number of goals per match is 2.8, reinforcing the idea that attacking football is a common feature of these fixtures.

Additionally, the double chance (1X2) market offers another layer of analysis. Given the proximity of the head-to-head record, the draw is a viable proposition, with 15 draws in 48 matches. This means that bookmakers typically offer competitive odds for the draw, making it an attractive option for those seeking a safer bet. However, the slight advantage of Melbourne Victory in terms of wins suggests that a single win for either side remains the most probable outcome.

The BTTS (both teams to score) market is also relevant, with 63% of matches featuring goals from both teams. This pattern indicates that the derby is rarely a low-scoring affair, and bettors should expect a competitive and open contest. The high frequency of goals from both sides supports the notion that the match will be entertaining, with plenty of chances for both teams to score.

Looking at the most common scorelines provides further insight into potential betting strategies. The 2-1 result has occurred seven times, making it the most frequent outcome in the rivalry. Other common scores include 1-1, 0-0, and 1-2, each appearing six times. These patterns suggest that narrow margins and low-scoring draws are typical, but the higher frequency of 2-1 results indicates that a 2-1 victory might be a more accurate representation of the typical derby outcome.

Goal timing is another factor that can influence betting decisions. The distribution of goals across different periods shows that the second half tends to be more productive, with 39 goals scored in the 76-90 minute window. This suggests that late goals are a recurring theme in the Melbourne Derby, potentially increasing the likelihood of last-minute winners. Conversely, the first half sees fewer goals, with only 20 scored in the opening 15 minutes and 26 in the next 15 minutes. This information can help bettors determine whether to target early or late scoring opportunities.

Considering all these elements, a well-informed betting strategy for the Melbourne Derby would involve focusing on the over 2.5 goals market due to the high-scoring nature of the matches. Additionally, the 2-1 scoreline appears to be the most likely outcome, supported by its frequency in past encounters. The draw is also a plausible option, given the equal number of wins for both teams. Ultimately, while the exact outcome remains uncertain, the available data provides a solid framework for making informed betting decisions.

Venue Analysis — Home and Away Records

The home advantage in the Melbourne Derby has played a significant role in shaping the outcomes of matches over the years. When considering the venue, Melbourne Victory has enjoyed a slight edge at their home ground, AAMI Park, where they have played 24 matches. Out of these, they have secured nine wins, drawn eight, and suffered seven losses. Their goal record at home is equally impressive, with 36 goals scored and 35 conceded. This suggests that while Melbourne Victory maintains a strong presence at home, the opposition is never far behind, keeping the competition closely contested.

Conversely, Melbourne City has faced a tougher challenge at their home ground, Marvel Stadium, where they have played 24 matches. Here, they have managed eight wins, seven draws, and nine losses. Their goal tally is slightly lower than that of Melbourne Victory, with 35 goals scored and 30 conceded. Despite this, the difference in performance is relatively minimal, highlighting the competitive nature of the derby regardless of the venue.

One of the most striking aspects of the venue analysis is the near-equal distribution of wins between the two teams. Melbourne Victory has won 37.5% of their home matches, while Melbourne City has achieved a similar win rate of 33.3% at their home ground. This suggests that neither team has a substantial advantage when playing at home, and the outcome of a match often depends on other variables such as team form, tactics, and individual performances.

However, the home crowd effect cannot be overlooked. The support from fans can significantly influence the performance of both teams, providing an additional boost to the home side. This is particularly true in the Melbourne Derby, where the atmosphere is electrifying and the stakes are incredibly high. The energy generated by the spectators can create an intimidating environment for visiting teams, potentially affecting their decision-making and execution on the pitch.

Moreover, the geographical location of the stadiums may also play a role in the perception of home advantage. AAMI Park and Marvel Stadium are located in close proximity, meaning that travel distances are minimal for both teams. This reduces the logistical challenges associated with away games, allowing players to prepare more effectively for matches. As a result, the impact of distance on performance is less pronounced in this rivalry compared to others.

Overall, the venue analysis reveals that both teams have struggled to gain a clear upper hand in the Melbourne Derby, regardless of the setting. While Melbourne Victory has slightly better home results, the gap is narrow enough to suggest that the outcome of any match is still very much up in the air. This dynamic nature of the rivalry ensures that every encounter remains exciting and unpredictable, with the potential for dramatic twists and turns at any moment.

H2H Trends and Betting Insights

Delving deeper into the head-to-head trends of the Melbourne Derby reveals a wealth of insights that can inform both casual observers and serious bettors. One of the most prominent features of the rivalry is the consistent scoring patterns observed across different periods of the match. The distribution of goals across the 90-minute duration provides a clearer picture of how the game is likely to unfold, offering valuable clues for predicting outcomes.

Examining the goal timing data, it becomes apparent that the latter stages of the match tend to be the most productive. A total of 39 goals have been scored in the final 15 minutes (76-90 minutes), making it the most active period in the derby. This suggests that late goals are a common occurrence, possibly due to increased pressure, fatigue, or tactical adjustments made by managers. In comparison, the first half sees a more gradual build-up of chances, with 20 goals in the opening 15 minutes and 26 in the next 15 minutes. This pattern indicates that the first half is generally more cautious, with teams taking time to settle into the rhythm of the game.

The middle periods of the match, particularly the 31-45 and 46-60 minute windows, also see a steady flow of goals, with 17 and 20 respectively. This highlights the importance of maintaining possession and capitalizing on scoring opportunities during these phases. Teams that can sustain pressure and execute effective attacks in the middle of the game often gain a significant advantage, as the opposing side may struggle to respond in real-time.

Another key aspect of the H2H trends is the frequency of specific scorelines. The 2-1 result has occurred seven times, making it the most common outcome in the derby. This suggests that narrow margins are the norm, with both teams often finding themselves locked in tight battles. Other frequent scorelines include 1-1, 0-0, and 1-2, each occurring six times. These patterns reinforce the idea that the Melbourne Derby is rarely a one-sided affair, with both teams regularly threatening to break the deadlock.

Looking at the broader implications for betting, the prevalence of high-scoring matches and late goals makes the over 2.5 goals market a compelling choice. With 63% of matches exceeding this threshold, it is reasonable to expect that future encounters will follow a similar trend. Additionally, the double chance (1X2) market remains a viable option, given the high number of draws in the rivalry. The 63% probability of both teams scoring further supports the notion that the derby is unlikely to produce a shutout, making the BTTS market an attractive prospect for punters.

Ultimately, the H2H trends of the Melbourne Derby paint a picture of a fiercely contested and unpredictable rivalry. While certain patterns emerge, the inherent variability of football ensures that no single outcome can be guaranteed. By analyzing these trends, bettors can make more informed decisions, leveraging historical data to guide their strategies and increase their chances of success.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who has won more Melbourne Derbies?

Melbourne Victory has won more Melbourne Derbies, with 18 victories compared to Melbourne City’s 15 wins in the 48 matches played between the two clubs.

What is the biggest win in the Melbourne Derby?

The biggest win in the Melbourne Derby is a 7-0 victory by Melbourne City over Melbourne Victory in April 2021, which remains the largest margin of victory in the rivalry.

How many goals are scored on average in the Melbourne Derby?

The average number of goals per match in the Melbourne Derby is 2.8, with 63% of matches featuring over 2.5 goals.

Who is the top scorer in the Melbourne Derby?

Brendan Berisha and Jamie Maclaren are the joint top scorers in the Melbourne Derby, each scoring 9 goals in the rivalry.

Is there a home advantage in the Melbourne Derby?

Melbourne Victory has a slight edge at home, winning 9 of their 24 matches at AAMI Park, while Melbourne City has won 8 of their 24 matches at Marvel Stadium. However, the difference is marginal, and neither team has a clear advantage.

When is the next Melbourne Derby?

No upcoming Melbourne Derby match is scheduled at this time.