SerbiaSerbia
Super LigaSuper Liga
Round 23

Napredak vs Radnicki NIS Prediction & Betting Tips

Napredak

Napredak

16th14 pts
14 Feb 2026
2-4
Full Time
Radnicki NIS

Radnicki NIS

9th33 pts
Youth Stadium
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.46
2 : 4
FT

Betting Tips

34%
27%
40%
NapredakDrawRadnicki NIS
Match Result
Away Win
@ 2.12
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
@ 1.82
51%
Double Chance
Home/Away
@ 1.29
36%
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.46
68%
Half Time
Draw
@ 1.95
43%
HT/FT
Draw/Away
@ 4.80
20.8%

Additional Markets

Total Corners
Under 9.5
@ 1.67
55.1%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
5 min read

Clash of Struggling Titans: Will Radnicki NIS Continue Their Momentum Against Napredak? Amidst the early-season grind of the Serbian Super Liga, a key player emerges as the potential difference-maker: R. Bosić from Radnicki NIS. With six goals to his...

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Match Facts

Napredak
Napredak have conceded in each of their last 11 matches
Napredak have lost their last 3 league matches
Napredak have lost 8 of 13 home matches (62%)
Over 2.5 goals in 10 of Napredak's last 11 matches (91%)
Napredak have won just 0 of 13 away matches this season
Napredak have received 5 red cards in 26 matches this season
Radnicki NIS
Radnicki NIS have won their last 3 league matches
Radnicki NIS have scored all 6 penalties this season
Radnicki NIS have received 4 red cards in 26 matches this season
Radnicki NIS have won just 2 of 13 away matches this season
Radnicki NIS average 3.2 yellow cards per game (82 in 26 matches)
Radnicki NIS failed to score in 8 of 26 matches (31%)

Key Statistics

Napredak5
6Draws
9Radnicki NIS
3.45Avg Goals
75%BTTS
70%Over 2.5
14 Feb 2026Napredak2-4Radnicki NIS
14 Sept 2025Radnicki NIS3-0Napredak
18 May 2025Napredak2-1Radnicki NIS
15 Dec 2024Napredak2-1Radnicki NIS
9 Aug 2024Radnicki NIS3-1Napredak
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.853.151.85
188Bet2.743.202.25
1xBet2.893.102.32

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

Clash of Struggling Titans: Will Radnicki NIS Continue Their Momentum Against Napredak?

Amidst the early-season grind of the Serbian Super Liga, a key player emerges as the potential difference-maker: R. Bosić from Radnicki NIS. With six goals to his name, Bosić has been Radnicki’s offensive anchor, capable of unlocking tight defenses and turning the tide of crucial fixtures. His ability to find space and convert chances makes him a player to watch, especially against a Napredak side that fights to stay afloat below the relegation line.

Contextual Stakes: More Than Just Three Points at the Youth Stadium

This Saturday’s fixture is more than a mid-table clash; it’s a tactical battleground with significant implications for both sides trying to climb away from the danger zone. Napredak, sitting 16th with just 12 points, desperately needs a win to escape the relegation zone, while Radnicki NIS, with 23 points and sitting in 14th, aims to tighten their grip in survival territory. The youth stadium often hosts these gritty encounters, where tactical discipline and individual brilliance can define the outcome.

Momentum Shift or Steady Decline? Analyzing Recent Form

Napredak’s Patchwork of Results

The hosts arrive with a mixed recent record of LLWWL over their last five outings. Their attack has been modest, averaging only 1.1 goals per game, while their defensive fragility—conceding 1.7 goals—continues to plague their campaign. Their home form, although not consistent, features a surprising statistic: a clean sheet rate of 10%. Such resilience could be pivotal in a game where goals are expected to be at a premium.

Radnicki NIS Showing Signs of Resilience

Meanwhile, Radnicki NIS's last five matches (LWLDW) display a side capable of both scoring and defending with relative stability. Their goals scored average (1.3) edges slightly ahead, and they concede just over a goal per game (1.1). Their defensive organization, evidenced by a 30% clean sheet rate, combined with a recent win, suggests they carry a slight edge in confidence and tactical cohesion.

Strategic Approaches: Formations and Tactical Outlook

Both teams primarily deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing midfield control and attacking width. Napredak’s approach tends to be cautious, with a focus on midfield stability, aiming to capitalize on counterattacks led by their top scorer, A. Majdevac. Radnicki NIS, with a more balanced attack, rely on quick transitions and exploiting defensive gaps, particularly through their key winger R. Bosić. The tactical battle will likely revolve around which side can impose their style early—Napredak’s defensive discipline or Radnicki’s offensive fluidity.

Stars to Watch: The X-Factors for Both Teams

  • Napredak:
    • A. Majdevac (6 goals, 2 assists): The primary goal threat, whose ability to find space could be decisive.
    • N. Bogdanovski (2 goals): An emerging talent who can contribute in tight situations.
    • N. Đeković (2 goals): Deadly from set pieces, adding a threat in dead-ball situations.
  • Radnicki NIS:
    • R. Bosić (6 goals, 1 assist): Their key offensive weapon, capable of producing moments of brilliance.
    • M. Spasić (3 goals, 1 assist): Provides creativity and support in attack.
    • N. Srećković (2 goals, 1 assist): Adds additional depth and versatility in attack.

Historical Shadows and Recent Encounters

The head-to-head record shows a slight edge for Radnicki NIS with 8 wins in 19 matches, compared to Napredak’s 5 victories. The last five meetings indicate a pattern of close, high-scoring games—average goals stand at 3.32 with a 74% BTTS rate. Notably, Radnicki’s 3-0 victory in September 2025 underscores their ability to produce dominant home performances, yet Napredak has responded with recent wins, suggesting a turbulent but competitive rivalry.

Deciphering Odds and Market Value

Bookmakers offer odds of approximately 1.79 for a home win, 3.1 for a draw, and 1.81 for an away win. Calculating implied probabilities: home (39%), draw (22.5%), away (38.5%). The market perceives this as a very evenly balanced contest, with slight favoritism towards the home side.

Double Chance markets (1X and X2) offer around 1.38 and 1.38 respectively, implying a roughly 72% combined probability both teams will avoid losing. Asian Handicap betting shows a close line, with home +0 at 1.93 and away +0 at 1.8, emphasizing the tight odds favoring a narrow Radnicki victory or draw.

Over/Under 2.5 goals is notable: with a slight edge to under, at a confidence level of 53%, aligning with the low-scoring tendencies of both sides. The BTTS market at 1.80 suggests a moderate expectation of both nets being breached, consistent with recent form and head-to-head data.

Forecasted Outcomes: Data-Driven Predictions

  • Result Prediction: Radnicki NIS to edge out Napredak with a 2-1 scoreline, supported by a 40% confidence level. Their recent form and head-to-head dominance suggest they have the tools to secure the win.
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 goals, with a 53% confidence. Defensive setups and cautious approaches from both sides make multiple goals less likely.
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes, with a 53% probability, considering the attack-minded players and recent BTTS trend.
  • Double Chance: X2 (Radnicki win or draw) favored at 36% confidence, given their relative strength in recent encounters.

Key Takeaways & Best Bets

  • Most Favorable Bet: Betting on Radnicki NIS to win or draw (X2) offers good value, considering their head-to-head record and current form advantages.
  • Goals Market: Under 2.5 goals aligns well with the statistical backdrop, especially given the cautious nature of both teams.
  • BTTS Consideration: Both teams to score is plausible, given their attacking options and recent scoring patterns, but it remains a moderate probability market.

Given the data, Radnicki NIS’s slight edge seems the most probable outcome—supported by their recent results and statistical profile—yet Napredak's home resilience keeps the contest unpredictable. Expect a tight, low-scoring game with moments of offensive magic from Bosić or Majdevac deciding the result.

Additional Information

NapredakNapredak

Top Scorers

A. Majdevac
A. MajdevacAttacker
6Goals
N. Bogdanovski
N. BogdanovskiMidfielder
2Goals
N. Đeković
N. ĐekovićDefender
2Goals
M. Šarić
M. ŠarićAttacker
2Goals
S. Hajdin
S. HajdinDefender
1Goals

Top Assists

A. Lutovac
A. LutovacAttacker
3Assists
M. Tošeski
M. TošeskiMidfielder
3Assists
A. Majdevac
A. MajdevacAttacker
2Assists
L. Zličić
L. ZličićMidfielder
2Assists
N. Bastajić
N. BastajićMidfielder
2Assists

Cards

F. Krstić
F. KrstićMidfielder
80
S. Bukorac
S. BukoracDefender
70
Luka Drobnjak
Luka DrobnjakDefender
41
U. Ignjatović
U. IgnjatovićDefender
40
V. Miletić
V. MiletićMidfielder
40
Radnicki NISRadnicki NIS

Top Scorers

R. Bosić
R. BosićAttacker
6Goals
M. Spasić
M. SpasićAttacker
3Goals
N. Srećković
N. SrećkovićMidfielder
2Goals
B. Mboup
B. MboupAttacker
2Goals
N. Belaković
N. BelakovićAttacker
2Goals

Top Assists

M. Ilić
M. IlićDefender
2Assists
R. Bosić
R. BosićAttacker
1Assists
M. Spasić
M. SpasićAttacker
1Assists
N. Srećković
N. SrećkovićMidfielder
1Assists
B. Mboup
B. MboupAttacker
1Assists

Cards

R. Milosavljević
R. MilosavljevićMidfielder
100
N. Srećković
N. SrećkovićMidfielder
60
Stefan Nikolić
Stefan NikolićMidfielder
60
U. Vitas
U. VitasDefender
50
R. Bosić
R. BosićAttacker
40

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Napredak
DLDLL
10Played
0Wins
2Draws
8Losses
Points/Game0.2
Win %0%
Goals/Game3.8
Scored Avg0.9
Conceded Avg2.9
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets0%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

16 MarDvs OFK Beograd2-2
8 MarLat FK Crvena Zvezda0-4
1 MarDvs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV1-1
21 FebLat Radnik Surdulica1-2
14 FebLvs Radnicki NIS2-4
Radnicki NIS
LDWWW
10Played
4Wins
2Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.4
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.8
Scored Avg1.4
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

14 MarLvs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV0-2
8 MarDat Radnik Surdulica2-2
1 MarWvs Javor1-0
22 FebWvs IMT Novi Beograd2-1
14 FebWat Napredak4-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches20
Average Goals3.45
BTTS75%
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Over 1.5 Goals90%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Napredak281.4 per game
Radnicki NIS412.05 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Napredak3 (15%)
Radnicki NIS3 (15%)
14 Feb 2026Super LigaNapredak2-4Radnicki NIS
14 Sept 2025Super LigaRadnicki NIS3-0Napredak
18 May 2025Super LigaNapredak2-1Radnicki NIS
15 Dec 2024Super LigaNapredak2-1Radnicki NIS
9 Aug 2024Super LigaRadnicki NIS3-1Napredak
17 Mar 2024Super LigaNapredak1-0Radnicki NIS
6 Oct 2023Super LigaRadnicki NIS1-1Napredak
9 May 2023Super LigaNapredak1-2Radnicki NIS
23 Feb 2023Super LigaNapredak2-0Radnicki NIS
26 Aug 2022Super LigaRadnicki NIS3-2Napredak
20 Apr 2022Super LigaNapredak0-4Radnicki NIS
20 Nov 2021Super LigaNapredak1-1Radnicki NIS
24 Jul 2021Super LigaRadnicki NIS4-2Napredak
7 Apr 2021Super LigaRadnicki NIS1-2Napredak
17 Oct 2020Super LigaNapredak0-0Radnicki NIS
30 May 2020Super LigaNapredak1-1Radnicki NIS
19 Oct 2019Super LigaRadnicki NIS4-1Napredak
11 May 2019Super LigaNapredak3-3Radnicki NIS
17 Dec 2018Super LigaNapredak1-2Radnicki NIS
25 Aug 2018Super LigaRadnicki NIS3-3Napredak