EnglandEngland
Premier LeaguePremier League
Round 7

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips

17 Oct 2026
16:30
St. James' Park, Newcastle

Our prediction: Newcastle — Win (46%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Both Teams Score
Yes
@ 1.52
61%
Confidence
Do you agree with this prediction?

Betting Tips

46%
25%
29%
NewcastleDrawAston Villa
Match Result
Newcastle
@ 1.87
47%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
@ 1.63
59%
Double Chance
Home/Away
@ 1.27
38%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.5
@ 2.05
49%
Half Time
Draw
@ 2.34
38%
HT/FT
Draw/Home
@ 5.45
18.3%
Correct Score
2:1
@ 8.20
12.2%

Additional Markets

Anytime Goal Scorer
Yoane Wissa
40.0%@ 2.50
Matias Fernandez-Pardo
34.7%@ 2.88
Nicolas Jackson
34.7%@ 2.88
Tammy Abraham
34.7%@ 2.88
Brian Madjo
32.3%@ 3.10
Harvey Barnes
32.3%@ 3.10
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Key Statistics

Newcastle8
6Draws
6Aston Villa
2.45Avg Goals
40%BTTS
35%Over 2.5
14 Feb 2026Aston Villa1-3Newcastle
25 Jan 2026Newcastle0-2Aston Villa
16 Aug 2025Aston Villa0-0Newcastle
19 Apr 2025Aston Villa4-1Newcastle
26 Dec 2024Newcastle3-0Aston Villa
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet2.163.923.36
Bet3651.533.702.38
Betfair1.503.902.40

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Newcastle vs Aston Villa?
Our model predicts Newcastle with 47% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 12 a good bet for Newcastle vs Aston Villa?
Our double chance pick is 12 with 38% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
What is the best bet for Newcastle vs Aston Villa?
Our top recommendation is Yes with 61% confidence.
What scoreline is predicted for Newcastle vs Aston Villa?
Our most likely correct score is 2:1 (12.2% implied probability).
What is the Asian Handicap prediction for Newcastle vs Aston Villa?
Our Asian Handicap call is Newcastle -0.5 with 49% confidence.
When and where is Newcastle vs Aston Villa played?
Newcastle vs Aston Villa takes place on 17 Oct 2026 at St. James' Park.

Additional Information

NewcastleNewcastle

Top Scorers

A. Elanga
A. ElangaMidfielder
1Goals
J. Willock
J. WillockMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

Y. Wissa
Y. WissaMidfielder
1Assists
W. Osula
W. OsulaAttacker
1Assists

Cards

Y. Wissa
Y. WissaMidfielder
10
L. Horníček
L. HorníčekGoalkeeper
10
L. Miley
L. MileyMidfielder
10
J. Ramsey
J. RamseyMidfielder
10
J. Murphy
J. MurphyMidfielder
10
Aston VillaAston Villa

Top Scorers

No data

Top Assists

No data

Cards

João Gomes
João GomesMidfielder
11
M. Cash
M. CashDefender
10
J.  McGinn
J. McGinnMidfielder
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Newcastle
DWDLW
10Played
4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.5
Win %40%
Goals/Game3.1
Scored Avg1.6
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

19 SeptWvs Hull City2-1
14 SeptLat Leeds1-4
5 SeptDvs Bournemouth2-2
29 AugWat Tottenham2-0
23 AugDvs Liverpool2-2
Aston Villa
LDWLW
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.7
Win %50%
Goals/Game3.4
Scored Avg1.8
Conceded Avg1.6
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

19 SeptWat Tottenham3-2
12 SeptLvs Nottingham Forest1-2
8 SeptWat Club Brugge KV3-2
5 SeptDat Hull City0-0
31 AugLvs Arsenal0-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches20
Average Goals2.45
BTTS40%
Over 2.5 Goals35%
Over 1.5 Goals80%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Newcastle271.35 per game
Aston Villa221.1 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Newcastle7 (35%)
Aston Villa7 (35%)
14 Feb 2026FA CupAston Villa1-3Newcastle
25 Jan 2026Premier LeagueNewcastle0-2Aston Villa
16 Aug 2025Premier LeagueAston Villa0-0Newcastle
19 Apr 2025Premier LeagueAston Villa4-1Newcastle
26 Dec 2024Premier LeagueNewcastle3-0Aston Villa
30 Jan 2024Premier LeagueAston Villa1-3Newcastle
12 Aug 2023Premier LeagueNewcastle5-1Aston Villa
15 Apr 2023Premier LeagueAston Villa3-0Newcastle
29 Oct 2022Premier LeagueNewcastle4-0Aston Villa
13 Feb 2022Premier LeagueNewcastle1-0Aston Villa
21 Aug 2021Premier LeagueAston Villa2-0Newcastle
12 Mar 2021Premier LeagueNewcastle1-1Aston Villa
23 Jan 2021Premier LeagueAston Villa2-0Newcastle
24 Jun 2020Premier LeagueNewcastle1-1Aston Villa
25 Nov 2019Premier LeagueAston Villa2-0Newcastle
20 Feb 2017ChampionshipNewcastle2-0Aston Villa
24 Sept 2016ChampionshipAston Villa1-1Newcastle
7 May 2016Premier LeagueAston Villa0-0Newcastle
19 Dec 2015Premier LeagueNewcastle1-1Aston Villa
28 Feb 2015Premier LeagueNewcastle1-0Aston Villa

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