Derby of the eternal enemies
GreeceGreece
Super League 1Super League 1
Round 6

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos Prediction & Betting Tips

Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus

Our prediction: Olympiakos Piraeus — Win (44%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
@ 1.71
55%
Confidence
Do you agree with this prediction?

Betting Tips

44%
29%
27%
Olympiakos PiraeusDrawPanathinaikos
Match Result
Olympiakos Piraeus
@ 1.83
46%
Both Teams Score
Yes
@ 1.86
50%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
@ 1.29
36%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.5
@ 2.02
50%
Half Time
Draw
@ 2.05
43%
HT/FT
Draw/Home
@ 5.00
20.0%

Additional Markets

Anytime Goal Scorer
Armando Gonzalez
40.0%@ 2.50
Marius Mouandilmadji
40.0%@ 2.50
Roman Yaremchuk
40.0%@ 2.50
Clayton Silva
34.7%@ 2.88
Cyriel Dessers
32.3%@ 3.10
Leon Bailey
32.3%@ 3.10
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
11 min read

The Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium prepares to host one of Greek football's most fiercely contested rivalries when Olympiakos Piraeus welcome Panathinaikos for Matchday 6 action. Kickoff is set for 16:00 BST on Saturday afternoon, with the home side entering the match occupying fifth place in the Supe...

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Key Statistics

Olympiakos Piraeus5
9Draws
6Panathinaikos
1.8Avg Goals
40%BTTS
20%Over 2.5
13 May 2026Olympiakos Piraeus1-0Panathinaikos
19 Apr 2026Panathinaikos0-2Olympiakos Piraeus
8 Feb 2026Olympiakos Piraeus0-1Panathinaikos
21 Sept 2025Panathinaikos1-1Olympiakos Piraeus
11 May 2025Panathinaikos0-1Olympiakos Piraeus
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet2.173.303.39
Bet3651.443.202.62
Betfair1.503.252.40

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% Our Pick Win Rate
30+ Years Experience
16.2k Predictions Tracked
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos — match prediction & preview
Olympiakos Piraeus
WDLWW
Recent formvs
Panathinaikos
WWWWW

Unbeaten Leaders Panathinaikos Travel to Piraeus Seeking Sixth Straight Win

The Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium prepares to host one of Greek football's most fiercely contested rivalries when Olympiakos Piraeus welcome Panathinaikos for Matchday 6 action. Kickoff is set for 16:00 BST on Saturday afternoon, with the home side entering the match occupying fifth place in the Super League 1 table on 10 points from their opening five fixtures. The atmosphere in Piraeus carries an edge of urgency that has defined Olympiakos seasons for generations, though the visitors arrive as the form team of the competition.

Panathinaikos sit atop the standings with a perfect record — five wins from five matches accumulating 15 points and conceding no defeats. Their recent sequence of five consecutive victories has established them as the championship pace-setters, and they travel to Piraeus knowing that a positive result would deepen their advantage at the summit. Olympiakos, by contrast, have shown inconsistency in their recent outings with a WLDWW sequence, yet possess the quality to upset any domestic opponent on their home ground. The 20 days of rest available to both squads ensures neither side carries a physical advantage heading into this pivotal encounter.

The betting market reflects the competitive tension of this fixture, with Bet365 listing Olympiakos at 2.00, the draw at 3.20, and Panathinaikos at 3.60 in their 1X2 markets. Whether the home side can disrupt their rivals' perfect start or Panathinaikos continue their relentless march toward the Championship Group remains to be seen, but the stakes could hardly be higher for both clubs entering this defining chapter of the season.

Olympiakos Build Momentum in the Greek Derby

The rivalry between Olympiakos Piraeus and Panathinaikos has produced remarkably tight contests throughout their history, though recent results suggest a shift in momentum. Across the last 20 meetings between these sides, Olympiakos have secured five victories while Panathinaikos have won six, with an unusually high nine matches ending in draws. That heavy prevalence of stalemates underscores how rarely either club manages to dominate this fixture convincingly over an extended period.

When examining the most recent five encounters, Olympiakos emerge as the stronger side. They claimed victory in three of those five meetings, including a 1-0 win in May 2026 and a 2-0 triumph in April 2026. Panathinaikos' sole victory in this recent sample came via a narrow 1-0 success in February 2026, and they have failed to win any of the subsequent three encounters against their rivals. The trend points toward Olympiakos gaining the upper hand in this particular cycle of the rivalry.

Scoring has been sparse throughout this rivalry, with an average of just 1.8 goals per match across recent meetings. Both teams have struggled to find the net consistently, as only 40 percent of the last 20 encounters have seen both sides score. The most recent fixtures reinforce this pattern of low-scoring affairs, with three of the last five meetings producing under 2.5 goals. Bettors considering goals markets should note that clean sheets and low-scoring draws feature prominently in the historical data between these Greek giants.

Where Olympiakos' Late-Game Threat Meets Panathinaikos' Unbeaten Momentum

With both sides entering Matchday 6 in exceptional form — Olympiakos unbeaten across their last four outings and Panathinaikos riding a five-game winning streak — the tactical battle at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium promises to be a fascinating chess match between two teams with distinct approaches and mounting ambition. The odds at Bet365 of 2/1/3.6 reflect how closely this contest is expected to be contested, though the home side will feel they hold a meaningful advantage in the dugout and in front of their own supporters.

Olympiakos arrive in fifth place on 10 points, operating out of a 4-2-3-1 formation that prioritizes defensive solidity and structured transitions. With zero goals conceded across five matches and a single clean sheet already secured, the visiting side will face a well-drilled defensive unit. However, their attacking output of just one goal suggests a team that has struggled to convert dominance into end-product. The data reveals an intriguing pattern: every goal Olympiakos has scored this season has come in the 76-90 minute window, indicating a side that grows into matches and becomes increasingly dangerous as fatigue sets in against opponents. This late-game instinct could prove decisive if the game remains deadlocked into the final quarter.

Panathinaikos, meanwhile, sit proudly atop the table with a flawless five wins from five and 15 points earned, demonstrating remarkable consistency as they push for the Championship Group. Their 100% win record and zero goals conceded suggests a side operating with both defensive discipline and clinical efficiency in the final third. With both teams having enjoyed 20 days' rest ahead of this fixture — neither having played in the preceding 10 days — physical freshness will not be a limiting factor, meaning the encounter may ultimately be decided by which side can impose their preferred tempo and exploit the opponent's structural vulnerabilities. Olympiakos' need to chase promotion adds considerable edge to their motivation, while Panathinaikos' status as league leaders means they have nothing to fear and everything to protect.

Olympiakos Seek to Halt Panathinaikos' Perfect Run as Karaiskakis Hosts Crackers

Olympiakos Piraeus arrive at Matchday 6 sitting fifth in the Super League 1 standings with 10 points from a 3-1-1 record, and their recent trajectory suggests a team finding its rhythm after a stuttering start. The three wins in their last five matches (WWLDW) include a hard-fought 1-0 victory away to Levadiakos and a 2-1 home win over Jagiellonia that steadied the ship following a disappointing 0-1 home defeat to OFI. However, their overall attacking output of just 0.9 goals per game across the last 10 matches raises questions about their capacity to break down a Panathinaikos defense that has shown vulnerability in high-scoring encounters. The most recent outing, that narrow 1-0 success away to Asteras Tripolis, highlighted their current pragmatic approach and preference for controlled, low-scoring affairs.

Panathinaikos, by stark contrast, have swept aside all opposition with ruthless efficiency, winning all five opening league fixtures to claim top spot with a perfect 15 points. Their recent run of five consecutive victories includes some genuinely commanding performances: a 3-0 demolition of Panetolikos at home, a statement 3-1 win against PAOK, and a 3-1 victory over Kifisia that showcased their attacking potency. Most recently, they secured a 1-0 away win at Kalamata to maintain their unblemished record. With an average of 2.1 goals per game over the last 10 matches and a BTTS percentage of 70 percent, the Athenian club demonstrate consistent ability to both score freely and invite opponents into goalmouth action, presenting a formidable tactical challenge for any defense.

The defensive records tell an equally revealing story. Olympiakos have kept clean sheets in 50 percent of their recent matches, with their back line demonstrating solidity in tight games such as the successive 1-0 away victories at Levadiakos and Asteras Tripolis. Their low BTTS percentage of 40 percent reflects a pattern of games where they either keep opponents at bay or fail to score themselves. Panathinaikos, meanwhile, have recorded clean sheets in only 30 percent of recent fixtures, yet their capacity to outscore opponents compensates considerably. The 3-0 win over Panetolikos and the 3-1 victory over Kifisia both came despite conceding in other fixtures, suggesting a team willing to trade defensive perfection for attacking dominance.

This Matchday 6 encounter presents a fascinating tactical clash between Olympiakos' methodical, defense-first approach and Panathinaikos' free-scoring, high-pressing philosophy. The form comparison heavily favors the visitors, who have won their last five matches while Olympiakos recovered from a loss with two narrow wins. With Panathinaikos rated 60 percent for form against Olympiakos' 40 percent, and holding a 75 percent attack rating compared to the hosts' 25 percent, the pressure rests firmly on the home side to arrest their opponents' momentum and demonstrate they can compete with the league leaders on their own patch.

Value Backings Emerge in Fierce Greek Derby Despite Panathinaikos' Unblemished Start

The upcoming Greek derby at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium pitches two clubs with vastly different trajectories this season. Panathinaikos arrive sitting atop the Super League 1 standings with a perfect five wins from five outings, collecting the full 15 points on offer. Olympiakos Piraeus occupy fifth place with ten points, having already tasted defeat once alongside three victories. The visitors' imperious start makes their status as underdogs in this fixture particularly noteworthy from a betting perspective, with the away win available at 3.6 at Bet365 and the draw at 3.3 at 1xBet, representing the most attractive prices for those alternative markets.

The 1X2 market currently lists Olympiakos as marginal favourites at 2.15, implying a 42.6% probability of a home victory. Our confidence sits marginally above that threshold at 46%, suggesting slight value in backing the hosts despite their inferior league position. The gap between our assessed probability and the bookmaker's implied chance is narrow but consistent with the historical dominance Olympiakos enjoy in this fixture. Their home advantage cannot be underestimated, and the double chance 1X market presents another angle, offering 36% confidence that the home side avoid defeat. The best available odds for the home outcome stand at 2.17 with 1xBet, marginally superior to the standard 2.15 on offer elsewhere.

The goals market presents what appears to be the strongest value opportunity in this matchup. With our prediction firmly favouring under 2.5 goals at 55% confidence, the odds available suggest this is where the genuine edge lies. These two clubs share a reputation for tight, tactical encounters, and Panathinaikos' recent clean sheet record this season will give them significant confidence in containing Olympiakos' attacking threat. The complementary BTTS prediction at 50% confidence initially appears to conflict with the under 2.5 pick, but both outcomes can coexist in lower-scoring matches where both teams manage to breach the opposition once. Punters should consider backing under 2.5 as the primary play given its higher confidence rating.

For those seeking higher-risk alternatives, the away win at 3.6 with Bet365 warrants consideration given Panathinaikos' flawless start to the campaign. The implied probability of 27.8% from those odds understates their current form, creating potential value for those confident the visitors can extend their winning run on hostile ground. Combining the double chance 1X with the under 2.5 goals selection provides a more conservative approach, reducing variance while capturing the expected tight nature of this rivalry encounter. The odds disparity between bookmakers confirms the importance of line shopping, with 1xBet offering the best prices on both the home win and draw outcomes.

Alternative Wagers for the Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos Derby

Beyond the standard match result, several supplementary markets offer value for this pivotal Greek Super League encounter. The Asian Handicap presents an intriguing option with Olympiakos Piraeus receiving a -0.50 start at odds of 2.02. Our model assigns this a 50% confidence rating, reflecting the competitive nature of this rivalry despite Panathinaikos' superior league standing. For half-time markets, backing Panathinaikos to be leading at the interval aligns with their tendency to start strongly this season. The HT/FT combination of Panathinaikos/Panathinaikos carries merit given the visitors' relentless attacking approach through five consecutive victories. Regarding Correct Score, a narrow home victory appears most plausible, though the data does not provide specific odds for this market.

Corners and cards markets often fly under the radar but can prove profitable in high-stakes derbies. Panathinaikos' dominance in advanced areas suggests they accumulate corner kicks frequently, making an Over selection on their total corners worth considering. The disciplinary landscape leans toward the over on bookings given the fierce competitive tension inherent in this fixture. As for an anytime goalscorer pick, Roman Yaremchuk stands out at odds of 2.50 with a 40% confidence rating. The forward possesses the capability to find the net in what promises to be an open contest at the Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium.

Olympiakos Positioned to Capitalize on Home Advantage Against Unbeaten Panathinaikos

Olympiakos Piraeus face their toughest test of the campaign so far when Matchday 6 brings Panathinaikos to Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium. The hosts occupy fifth place with ten points from four matches, while Panathinaikos sit proudly at the summit with a flawless fifteen points from five victories. The oddsmakers offer the match result to Olympiakos at 46% confidence, reflecting the quality gap between the sides despite Panathinaikos' superior league position. The under 2.5 goals market attracts the highest conviction at 55%, indicating expectations of a tightly-contested derby. BTTS receives a 50% probability, and the double chance covering Olympiakos or a draw at 36% provides an alternative angle for those seeking reduced risk.

The visitors arrive in imperious form, but derbies at this venue rarely follow league tables. Olympiakos possess the attacking firepower to breach Panathinaikos' backline while maintaining defensive solidity, making under 2.5 goals paired with BTTS an attractive market combination for this high-stakes encounter. The strongest edge lies with the goals prediction, though combining it with the match result could deliver solid value for punters backing the hosts to avoid defeat.

Our #1 PickUnder 2.5Over/Under Goals@1.71 · 55%
Best ValueYesBoth Teams to Score@1.87 · 50%
Our Predictions: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos — Olympiakos Piraeus — Win (44%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Olympiakos Piraeus with 46% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
What is the Half Time prediction for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos?
Our Half Time call is Draw with 43% confidence.
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos: what is our HT/FT tip?
Our HT/FT call is X/1 with 20% confidence.
How many goals will Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (55% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos?
Both teams to score: Yes (50% confidence).
When and where is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos played?
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos takes place on 11 Oct 2026 at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium.

Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos5500122+1015
2PAOKPAOK5401125+712
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC5320133+1011
4OFIOFI531184+410
5Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus531142+210
6PanetolikosPanetolikos530287+19
7Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis5212510-57
8Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908513146-26
9KifisiaKifisia512247-35
10KalamataKalamata511368-24
11AtromitosAtromitos502347-32
12Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis502349-52
13Volos NFCVolos NFC502349-52
14LevadiakosLevadiakos501409-91
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Olympiakos Piraeus
WDLWW
10Played
5Wins
4Draws
1Losses
Points/Game1.9
Win %50%
Goals/Game1.4
Scored Avg0.9
Conceded Avg0.5
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

20 SeptWat Levadiakos1-0
16 SeptWvs Jagiellonia2-1
12 SeptLvs OFI0-1
5 SeptDat Volos NFC1-1
30 AugWat Asteras Tripolis1-0
Panathinaikos
WWWWW
10Played
6Wins
4Draws
0Losses
Points/Game2.2
Win %60%
Goals/Game3.1
Scored Avg2.1
Conceded Avg1
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score0%

Recent Matches

20 SeptWat Kalamata1-0
13 SeptWvs Panetolikos3-0
10 SeptWvs Kifisia3-1
6 SeptWvs PAOK3-1
31 AugWat Levadiakos2-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches20
Average Goals1.8
BTTS40%
Over 2.5 Goals20%
Over 1.5 Goals55%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Olympiakos Piraeus170.85 per game
Panathinaikos190.95 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Olympiakos Piraeus8 (40%)
Panathinaikos8 (40%)
13 May 2026Super League 1Olympiakos Piraeus1-0Panathinaikos
19 Apr 2026Super League 1Panathinaikos0-2Olympiakos Piraeus
8 Feb 2026Super League 1Olympiakos Piraeus0-1Panathinaikos
21 Sept 2025Super League 1Panathinaikos1-1Olympiakos Piraeus
11 May 2025Super League 1Panathinaikos0-1Olympiakos Piraeus
30 Mar 2025Super League 1Olympiakos Piraeus4-2Panathinaikos
26 Jan 2025Super League 1Olympiakos Piraeus1-1Panathinaikos
6 Oct 2024Super League 1Panathinaikos0-0Olympiakos Piraeus
19 May 2024Super League 1Panathinaikos2-2Olympiakos Piraeus
10 Mar 2024Super League 1Olympiakos Piraeus1-3Panathinaikos
4 Feb 2024Super League 1Panathinaikos2-0Olympiakos Piraeus
22 Oct 2023Super League 1Olympiakos Piraeus1-1Panathinaikos
8 May 2023Super League 1Olympiakos Piraeus1-0Panathinaikos
9 Apr 2023Super League 1Panathinaikos2-0Olympiakos Piraeus
25 Feb 2023Super League 1Olympiakos Piraeus0-0Panathinaikos
6 Nov 2022Super League 1Panathinaikos1-1Olympiakos Piraeus
11 May 2022Super League 1Olympiakos Piraeus1-2Panathinaikos
17 Apr 2022Super League 1Panathinaikos1-0Olympiakos Piraeus
16 Jan 2022Super League 1Panathinaikos0-0Olympiakos Piraeus
3 Oct 2021Super League 1Olympiakos Piraeus0-0Panathinaikos

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