HungaryHungary
NB INB I
Round 22

Paks vs Diosgyori VTK Prediction & Betting Tips

Paks

Paks

6th38 pts
14 Feb 2026
1-2
Full Time
Diosgyori VTK

Diosgyori VTK

11th25 pts
Fehervari uti Stadion, Paks
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Over 2.5
@ 1.42
1 : 2
FT

Betting Tips

62%
20%
18%
PaksDrawDiosgyori VTK
Match Result
Home Win
@ 1.39
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
@ 1.51
61%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
@ 1.13
41%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -1.25
@ 1.99
50%
Half Time
Home Win
@ 1.91
44%
HT/FT
Home/Home
@ 2.09
47.8%
Correct Score
2:1
@ 6.50
15.4%

Additional Markets

Total Corners
Over 9.5
@ 1.49
61.5%
Anytime Goalscorer
Daniel Bode
59.9%@ 1.67
Barna Toth
55.6%@ 1.80
Akos Szendrei
54.6%@ 1.83
Janos Hahn
54.6%@ 1.83
Martin Adam
52.4%@ 1.91
Janos Galambos
48.8%@ 2.05
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
5 min read

Strategic Chess at Fehervari Uti: Paks vs Diosgyori VTK Imagine a battlefield where tactical nuances could determine the course of the entire season—a high-stakes clash between Paks and Diosgyori VTK, set against the backdrop of Hungary’s NB I. Under...

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Paks
Paks have lost their last 3 league matches
Paks have scored all 6 penalties this season
Both teams scored in 12 of Paks's last 15 matches (80%)
Over 2.5 goals in 11 of Paks's last 15 matches (73%)
Diosgyori VTK
Diosgyori VTK have scored all 5 penalties this season
Diosgyori VTK have won just 1 of 10 away matches this season

Key Statistics

Paks7
3Draws
10Diosgyori VTK
3.35Avg Goals
75%BTTS
70%Over 2.5
14 Feb 2026Paks1-2Diosgyori VTK
11 Feb 2026Paks2-6Diosgyori VTK
25 Oct 2025Diosgyori VTK2-1Paks
8 Mar 2025Diosgyori VTK0-2Paks
3 Nov 2024Paks3-4Diosgyori VTK
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.524.305.10
188Bet1.464.454.75
1xBet1.494.335.06

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

Strategic Chess at Fehervari Uti: Paks vs Diosgyori VTK

Imagine a battlefield where tactical nuances could determine the course of the entire season—a high-stakes clash between Paks and Diosgyori VTK, set against the backdrop of Hungary’s NB I. Under the bright Saturday sun at Fehervari Uti Stadion, two managers will attempt to outthink each other, balancing attack with defense, all while chasing precious league points that could reshape their campaigns.

Deciphering the Tactical Duel

At the core, this fixture pits a Paks side that prides itself on organized structure against a Diosgyori VTK team known for sporadic brilliance and resilience. Paks's pragmatic 3-1-4-2 formation emphasizes midfield control and swift transitions, aiming to leverage their attacking trio while maintaining defensive solidity. Conversely, Diosgyori VTK's 4-4-2 setup leans on wide play and quick counterattacks, with an emphasis on overlapping full-backs and direct goal threats.

Expect Paks's manager to instruct his team to dominate possession early, press high, and unlock VTK’s compact defense with precise through balls. Diosgyori VTK, on the other hand, will look to absorb pressure and hit on the break, exploiting spaces left behind as Paks pushes forward. This tactical chess match could turn on who controls the midfield battleground—where Paks has shown numerically superior influence, but VTK's efficiency on counterattacks could prove decisive.

The Road to This Showdown

Paks enters the fixture with a slightly disappointing recent run—drawing two and losing one of their last five, though their league position in 4th place with 36 points underscores a resilient season. Their stats reveal an average of 1.5 goals scored per game but conceding over twice that—2.2 goals on average—highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that Diosgyori VTK might look to exploit.

Diosgyori VTK’s recent form is more balanced—W, L, W, L, D—yet their results demonstrate a team capable of mounting dangerous attacks and defending with grit. Their goals per match (1.8) and conceded (1.8) suggest a fluid, open style, which aligns with their high BTTS rate of 80%. Their form indicates a side with offensive sparks but defensive fragility that Paks might target.

Key Players to Watch in This Confrontation

  • J. Hahn (Paks): A primary goal threat with six strikes this season, Hahn's ability to find space in tight areas could be pivotal. His movement and finishing will test VTK’s defenders, especially if Paks play with their usual attacking midfielders behind him.
  • D. Böde (Paks): The veteran striker with four goals and an assist, Böde’s experience and physical presence could be the difference in tight moments, especially during set pieces or when exploiting defensive lapses.
  • G. Gyurkits (Paks): With 3 goals and 2 assists, Gyurkits adds creative spark on the wings, potentially stretching VTK’s backline and creating scoring opportunities.
  • E. Acolatse (Diosgyori VTK): Leading the attack with five goals and three assists, Acolatse’s pace and dribbling could carve out chances down the flanks, especially against Paks’s sometimes cautious defense.
  • I. Šaponjić (Diosgyori VTK): His ability to orchestrate play from midfield and chip in with goals makes him a key figure for VTK’s offensive actions.
  • L. Colley (Diosgyori VTK): A versatile attacking midfielder whose movement and timely runs will be vital in breaking down Paks’s defensive lines.

Head-to-Head Insights & Pattern Recognition

The history between these clubs is marked by volatility—19 meetings with a near-even split: 7 Paks wins, 9 VTK wins, and 3 draws. Goals have flown in, averaging over 3.3 per game, with a BTTS occurrence in approximately 74% of these encounters.

Recent clashes reflect the unpredictable nature of this fixture—just a few days prior, VTK inflicted a heavy 6-2 defeat on Paks, underscoring their potent attack and Paks’s defensive lapses. But earlier in the season, Paks managed a 2-1 victory at home, highlighting the fluctuating form and psychological swings in these meetings. This pattern suggests no distinct dominance and points towards an open, goal-rich game.

Breaking Down the Bookmakers’ Odds & Value Play

  • Match Winner (1X2): Home at 1.2, Draw 4.33, Away 4.0
  • Implied Probabilities: Home 63.4%, Draw 17.6%, Away 19%
  • Analysis: The odds heavily favor Paks, reflecting their league standing and recent form but may underestimate Diosgyori VTK’s attacking potential, especially considering recent high-scoring results and head-to-head trends.
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Odds suggest a 65% confidence in over 2.5 goals, supported by the teams' offensive metrics and the high BTTS rate (80%).
  • BTTS (Both Teams to Score): Priced attractively at approximately 1.7, considering the 74% historical BTTS rate and current attacking form.
  • Double Chance (1X): At around 1.15, this is a low-value but safe bet given Paks’s dominance in implied probability.

Where lies the value? The over 2.5 goals market at odds around 1.67 offers a compelling return, especially since recent matches have seen prolific scoring and both sides possess offensive threats. Additionally, the BTTS market at similar odds is worth considering given the historical data and current form.

Forecast & Confidence-based Predictions

With Paks’s solidity at home and their offensive capability, combined with Diosgyori VTK’s attacking prowess and vulnerabilities in defense, the likelihood is this fixture will follow the recent trend of goals galore. The prediction leans towards a narrow Paks victory, perhaps 2-1, but with a high potential for both sides to find the net.

Our confident prediction: Paks to win (62% confidence), over 2.5 goals (65%), and both teams scoring (61%). The double chance (1X) offers additional safety, reflecting Paks’s advantage but acknowledging VTK’s threat.

Best Bets Summary

  • Result: Paks to win — 1.2 odds (high confidence)
  • Goals Market: Over 2.5 goals — 1.67 odds (value and statistical backing)
  • BTTS: Yes — similar odds, justified by historical data
  • Double Chance: 1X — for safety in a competitive fixture

Expect an engaging match where tactical discipline and individual brilliance could determine the outcome. Paks’s home advantage and offensive edge give them the slight edge, but don’t discount VTK’s ability to spoil the party with their counterattacks and goal-scoring flair.

Additional Information

PaksPaks

Top Scorers

J. Hahn
J. HahnAttacker
6Goals
D. Böde
D. BödeAttacker
4Goals
G. Gyurkits
G. GyurkitsMidfielder
3Goals
J. Windecker
J. WindeckerMidfielder
3Goals
K. Horváth
K. HorváthMidfielder
2Goals

Top Assists

K. Horváth
K. HorváthMidfielder
3Assists
G. Gyurkits
G. GyurkitsMidfielder
2Assists
E. Silye
E. SilyeMidfielder
2Assists
D. Böde
D. BödeAttacker
1Assists
J. Windecker
J. WindeckerMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

K. Papp
K. PappMidfielder
80
Á. Kinyik
Á. KinyikDefender
60
G. Gyurkits
G. GyurkitsMidfielder
30
K. Horváth
K. HorváthMidfielder
30
A. Osváth
A. OsváthDefender
30
Diosgyori VTKDiosgyori VTK

Top Scorers

E. Acolatse
E. AcolatseAttacker
5Goals
I. Šaponjić
I. ŠaponjićAttacker
2Goals
L. Colley
L. ColleyAttacker
2Goals
B. Babos
B. BabosDefender
2Goals
S. Bokros
S. BokrosDefender
1Goals

Top Assists

E. Acolatse
E. AcolatseAttacker
3Assists
M. Sajbán
M. SajbánAttacker
2Assists
I. Šaponjić
I. ŠaponjićAttacker
1Assists
L. Colley
L. ColleyAttacker
1Assists
S. Bokros
S. BokrosDefender
1Assists

Cards

E. Acolatse
E. AcolatseAttacker
40
I. Šaponjić
I. ŠaponjićAttacker
40
M. Máté
M. MátéMidfielder
40
Á. Bényei
Á. BényeiMidfielder
30
Álex Vallejo
Álex VallejoMidfielder
30

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Paks
DDLLL
10Played
2Wins
2Draws
6Losses
Points/Game0.8
Win %20%
Goals/Game4
Scored Avg1.7
Conceded Avg2.3
BTTS80%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

14 MarDvs Zalaegerszegi TE1-1
7 MarDat Ujpest0-0
28 FebLat Kisvarda FC1-2
22 FebLvs Gyori ETO FC3-4
14 FebLvs Diosgyori VTK1-2
Diosgyori VTK
LDLDL
10Played
4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.5
Win %40%
Goals/Game3.1
Scored Avg1.8
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

13 MarLvs Kazincbarcikai0-4
8 MarDat MTK Budapest1-1
5 MarLat Budapest Honved0-1
28 FebDvs Zalaegerszegi TE1-1
21 FebLat Ujpest1-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches20
Average Goals3.35
BTTS75%
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Over 1.5 Goals85%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Paks331.65 per game
Diosgyori VTK341.7 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Paks2 (10%)
Diosgyori VTK4 (20%)
14 Feb 2026NB IPaks1-2Diosgyori VTK
11 Feb 2026Magyar KupaPaks2-6Diosgyori VTK
25 Oct 2025NB IDiosgyori VTK2-1Paks
8 Mar 2025NB IDiosgyori VTK0-2Paks
3 Nov 2024NB IPaks3-4Diosgyori VTK
28 Jul 2024NB IDiosgyori VTK2-2Paks
16 Mar 2024NB IDiosgyori VTK2-1Paks
24 Nov 2023NB IPaks4-1Diosgyori VTK
12 Aug 2023NB IDiosgyori VTK1-1Paks
11 Apr 2021NB IDiosgyori VTK1-4Paks
24 Jan 2021NB IPaks2-1Diosgyori VTK
3 Oct 2020NB IDiosgyori VTK1-2Paks
24 Jun 2020NB IPaks4-2Diosgyori VTK
15 Feb 2020NB IDiosgyori VTK2-0Paks
26 Oct 2019NB IPaks1-2Diosgyori VTK
20 Apr 2019NB IDiosgyori VTK1-0Paks
15 Dec 2018NB IPaks1-2Diosgyori VTK
1 Sept 2018NB IDiosgyori VTK0-0Paks
19 May 2018NB IDiosgyori VTK1-0Paks
24 Feb 2018NB IPaks2-1Diosgyori VTK