Uruguay
Primera DivisiónRound 6
Progreso vs Cerro Prediction & Betting Tips
Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
ProgresoDrawCerro
Match Result
Progreso
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams Score
Yes
60%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
51Draws
1
1.86Avg Goals
14%BTTS
14%Over 2.5
14 Mar 2026Cerro0-1Progreso
6 Apr 2025Cerro0-0Progreso
1 Mar 2024Cerro2-3Progreso
16 Aug 2020Progreso2-0Cerro
13 Apr 2019Cerro0-2Progreso
Frequently Asked Questions
Progreso vs Cerro: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Progreso with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Progreso vs Cerro have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (51% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Progreso vs Cerro?
Both teams to score: Yes (60% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Progreso vs Cerro?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Progreso vs Cerro played?
Progreso vs Cerro takes place on 13 Sept 2026 at Parque Abraham Paladino.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 10 | |
| 2 |  Atletico Torque | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 9 | |
| 3 |  Racing Montevideo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 | |
| 4 |  Boston River | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 | |
| 5 |  Juventud | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 | |
| 6 |  Wanderers | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 | |
| 7 | Cerro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 | |
| 8 |  Club Nacional | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | |
| 9 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | |
| 10 |  Cerro Largo | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 11 |  Penarol | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 12 | Progreso | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 | |
| 13 |  Central Espanol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | |
| 14 |  Danubio | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 | |
| 15 |  Defensor Sporting | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 | |
| 16 |  Albion FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
ProgresoLLLLW
10Played
3Wins
0Draws
7Losses
| Points/Game | 0.9 |
| Win % | 30% |
| Goals/Game | 2 |
| Scored Avg | 0.7 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.3 |
| BTTS | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% |
Recent Matches
29 AugWvs Danubio1-0
23 AugLat Club Nacional0-1
16 AugLvs Deportivo Maldonado0-2
8 AugLat Central Espanol0-1
2 AugLat Club Nacional1-2
CerroLWWLD
10Played
5Wins
1Draws
4Losses
| Points/Game | 1.6 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 2.1 |
| Scored Avg | 0.9 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.2 |
| BTTS | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 30% |
Recent Matches
29 AugDat Boston River1-1
21 AugLat Liverpool Montevideo0-4
15 AugWvs Albion FC2-1
9 AugWat Danubio1-0
3 AugLat Defensor Sporting1-2
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 7 |
| Average Goals | 1.86 |
| BTTS | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 14% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 57% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 10 | 1.43 per game |
| Cerro | 3 | 0.43 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Progreso | 5 (71%) |
| Cerro | 2 (29%) |
14 Mar 2026Primera DivisiónCerro0-1Progreso
6 Apr 2025Primera DivisiónCerro0-0Progreso
1 Mar 2024Primera DivisiónCerro2-3Progreso
16 Aug 2020Primera DivisiónProgreso2-0Cerro
13 Apr 2019Primera DivisiónCerro0-2Progreso
10 Mar 2018Primera DivisiónProgreso0-1Cerro
26 Aug 2012Primera DivisiónCerro0-2Progreso
Progreso — Upcoming Predictions
Cerro — Upcoming Predictions
Primera División — Predictions
Atletico TorqueVS
Cerro Largo1X2
Home
58%
Albion FCVS
ProgresoDC
DC 1X
70%
DanubioVS
PenarolAH
Away -0.25
85%
Deportivo MaldonadoVS
WanderersO/U
Under 2.5
55%
CerroVS
Racing MontevideoDC
DC X2
90%
Central EspanolVS
Defensor SportingAH
Away -0.25
74%
Club NacionalVS
JuventudDC
DC 1X
90%
Liverpool MontevideoVS
Boston RiverO/U
Under 2.5
55%
Racing MontevideoVS
Boston RiverDC
DC 1X
90%
Cerro LargoVS
Central EspanolDC
DC 1X
90%