Uruguay
Primera DivisiónRound 4
Progreso vs Danubio Prediction & Betting Tips
Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Our prediction: Draw (35%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
ProgresoDrawDanubio
Match Result
Progreso
35%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
50%
Both Teams Score
Yes
62%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
34Draws
2
2.78Avg Goals
78%BTTS
44%Over 2.5
30 May 2026Danubio1-2Progreso
28 Feb 2026Danubio2-2Progreso
31 May 2025Progreso0-1Danubio
23 Feb 2025Danubio1-1Progreso
6 Apr 2024Danubio1-1Progreso
Frequently Asked Questions
Progreso vs Danubio: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Progreso with 35% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Will both teams score in Progreso vs Danubio?
Both teams to score: Yes (62% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Progreso vs Danubio?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 70% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Progreso vs Danubio have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (50% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
When and where is Progreso vs Danubio played?
Progreso vs Danubio takes place on 30 Aug 2026 at Parque Abraham Paladino.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 6 | |
| 2 |  Cerro | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 | |
| 3 |  Racing Montevideo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | |
| 5 |  Wanderers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | |
| 6 |  Boston River | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | |
| 7 |  Penarol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 8 |  Atletico Torque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 9 |  Central Espanol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 10 |  Cerro Largo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 11 |  Juventud | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | |
| 12 | Danubio | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | |
| 13 |  Albion FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | |
| 15 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | |
| 16 |  Defensor Sporting | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
ProgresoLWLLL
10Played
2Wins
0Draws
8Losses
| Points/Game | 0.6 |
| Win % | 20% |
| Goals/Game | 2.3 |
| Scored Avg | 0.7 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.6 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% |
| Failed to Score | 40% |
Recent Matches
16 AugLvs Deportivo Maldonado0-2
8 AugLat Central Espanol0-1
2 AugLat Club Nacional1-2
18 JulWvs Deportivo Maldonado1-0
11 JulLat Wanderers0-2
DanubioDLDLD
10Played
0Wins
5Draws
5Losses
| Points/Game | 0.5 |
| Win % | 0% |
| Goals/Game | 1.6 |
| Scored Avg | 0.5 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.1 |
| BTTS | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 60% |
Recent Matches
14 AugDat Boston River0-0
9 AugLvs Cerro0-1
1 AugDat Albion FC2-2
24 JulLat Atletico Torque0-1
11 JulDvs Club Nacional0-0
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 9 |
| Average Goals | 2.78 |
| BTTS | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 14 | 1.56 per game |
| Danubio | 11 | 1.22 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Progreso | 1 (11%) |
| Danubio | 1 (11%) |
30 May 2026Primera DivisiónDanubio1-2Progreso
28 Feb 2026Primera DivisiónDanubio2-2Progreso
31 May 2025Primera DivisiónProgreso0-1Danubio
23 Feb 2025Primera DivisiónDanubio1-1Progreso
6 Apr 2024Primera DivisiónDanubio1-1Progreso
22 Aug 2020Primera DivisiónProgreso1-0Danubio
31 Mar 2019Primera DivisiónDanubio3-2Progreso
4 Feb 2018Primera DivisiónProgreso1-1Danubio
1 Sept 2012Primera DivisiónDanubio1-4Progreso
Progreso — Upcoming Predictions
Danubio — Upcoming Predictions
Primera División — Predictions
Albion FCVS
Boston RiverO/U
Under 2.5
59%
Liverpool MontevideoVS
Cerro1X2
Home
58%
Central EspanolVS
JuventudAH
Away -0.25
71%
Cerro LargoVS
Defensor SportingO/U
Under 2.5
61%
Deportivo MaldonadoVS
PenarolAH
Away -0.25
82%
DanubioVS
Racing MontevideoAH
Away -0.25
71%
Atletico TorqueVS
WanderersO/U
Under 2.5
53%
Club NacionalVS
ProgresoDC
DC 1X
90%
WanderersVS
Central EspanolDC
DC 1X
90%
Racing MontevideoVS
Albion FCDC
DC 1X
90%