Uruguay
Primera DivisiónRound 13
Progreso vs Defensor Sporting Prediction & Betting Tips
Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Our prediction: Draw (35%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
ProgresoDrawDefensor Sporting
Match Result
Progreso
35%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
52%
Both Teams Score
Yes
61%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
12Draws
5
3Avg Goals
75%BTTS
63%Over 2.5
27 Apr 2026Defensor Sporting1-0Progreso
20 Apr 2025Defensor Sporting1-2Progreso
15 Jun 2024Defensor Sporting1-1Progreso
12 May 2024Progreso1-4Defensor Sporting
19 Aug 2020Defensor Sporting2-1Progreso
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Progreso vs Defensor Sporting?
Our model predicts Progreso with 35% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Progreso vs Defensor Sporting?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 70% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Progreso vs Defensor Sporting have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (52% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Progreso vs Defensor Sporting?
Both teams to score: Yes (61% confidence).
When and where is Progreso vs Defensor Sporting played?
Progreso vs Defensor Sporting takes place on 1 Nov 2026 at Parque Abraham Paladino.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 24 | |
| 2 |  Club Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 23 | |
| 3 |  Atletico Torque | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 22 | |
| 4 |  Penarol | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 20 | |
| 5 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 18 | |
| 6 |  Cerro | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 18 | |
| 7 |  Juventud | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 17 | |
| 8 | Progreso | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 | |
| 9 |  Racing Montevideo | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 | |
| 10 |  Boston River | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 15 | |
| 11 |  Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 | |
| 12 |  Danubio | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 10 | |
| 13 |  Albion FC | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 9 | |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 8 | |
| 15 |  Cerro Largo | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 | |
| 16 |  Central Espanol | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
ProgresoWWLDW
10Played
5Wins
1Draws
4Losses
| Points/Game | 1.6 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 2.4 |
| Scored Avg | 1.2 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.2 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
17 OctWvs Juventud2-0
10 OctDat Penarol1-1
3 OctLat Liverpool Montevideo2-3
26 SeptWvs Racing Montevideo2-1
19 SeptWat Boston River2-1
Defensor SportingLWLLL
10Played
2Wins
2Draws
6Losses
| Points/Game | 0.8 |
| Win % | 20% |
| Goals/Game | 3 |
| Scored Avg | 1.1 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.9 |
| BTTS | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
17 OctLat Boston River0-1
10 OctLvs Cerro2-3
3 OctLat Albion FC2-3
27 SeptWvs Danubio1-0
20 SeptLat Club Nacional2-3
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 8 |
| Average Goals | 3 |
| BTTS | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 88% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 7 | 0.88 per game |
| Defensor Sporting | 17 | 2.13 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Progreso | 0 (0%) |
| Defensor Sporting | 2 (25%) |
27 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting1-0Progreso
20 Apr 2025Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting1-2Progreso
15 Jun 2024Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting1-1Progreso
12 May 2024Primera DivisiónProgreso1-4Defensor Sporting
19 Aug 2020Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting2-1Progreso
1 Jun 2019Primera DivisiónProgreso0-3Defensor Sporting
17 Mar 2018Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting1-1Progreso
23 Sept 2012Primera DivisiónProgreso1-4Defensor Sporting
Progreso — Upcoming Predictions
Defensor Sporting — Upcoming Predictions
Primera División — Predictions
JuventudVS
PenarolAH
Away -0.25
78%
Central EspanolVS
Albion FCAH
Away -0.25
67%
Defensor SportingVS
Racing MontevideoO/U
Under 2.5
58%
Deportivo MaldonadoVS
DanubioO/U
Under 2.5
55%
WanderersVS
ProgresoBTTS
BTTS Yes
53%
Atletico TorqueVS
Cerro1X2
Home
62%
Cerro LargoVS
Boston RiverO/U
Under 2.5
59%
Club NacionalVS
Liverpool MontevideoDC
DC 1X
90%
Racing MontevideoVS
Cerro LargoDC
DC 1X
95%
CerroVS
Central EspanolDC
DC 1X
90%