Uruguay
Primera DivisiónRound 5
Racing Montevideo vs Penarol Prediction & Betting Tips
Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo
Our prediction: Draw (45%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Racing MontevideoDrawPenarol
Match Result
Penarol
45%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
54%
Both Teams Score
Yes
60%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
32Draws
6
3.45Avg Goals
73%BTTS
64%Over 2.5
29 Mar 2026Penarol1-2Racing Montevideo
9 Mar 2025Penarol0-2Racing Montevideo
16 Jun 2024Penarol1-1Racing Montevideo
15 Mar 2024Racing Montevideo1-2Penarol
8 May 2023Racing Montevideo0-2Penarol
Frequently Asked Questions
Racing Montevideo vs Penarol: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Penarol with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Racing Montevideo vs Penarol have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (54% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?
Both teams to score: Yes (60% confidence).
When and where is Racing Montevideo vs Penarol played?
Racing Montevideo vs Penarol takes place on 12 Jul 2026 at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 31 | |
| 2 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 16 | +8 | 29 | |
| 3 |  Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | +10 | 28 | |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | +7 | 27 | |
| 5 |  Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 24 | |
| 6 |  Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 23 | |
| 7 |  Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 22 | |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 21 | |
| 9 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 20 | |
| 10 |  Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 20 | |
| 11 |  Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 | |
| 12 |  Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 | |
| 13 |  Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 17 | |
| 14 |  Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 | |
| 15 |  Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 | |
| 16 |  Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
Racing MontevideoLWDDD
10Played
4Wins
5Draws
1Losses
| Points/Game | 1.7 |
| Win % | 40% |
| Goals/Game | 1.6 |
| Scored Avg | 0.9 |
| Conceded Avg | 0.7 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% |
Recent Matches
6 JunDat Central Espanol1-1
30 MayDvs Defensor Sporting0-0
22 MayDat Liverpool Montevideo0-0
17 MayWvs Cerro Largo1-0
9 MayLat Central Espanol0-2
PenarolDWLLW
10Played
4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
| Points/Game | 1.5 |
| Win % | 40% |
| Goals/Game | 2.1 |
| Scored Avg | 1.1 |
| Conceded Avg | 1 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% |
Recent Matches
7 JunWat Cerro1-0
1 JunLvs Central Espanol0-1
28 MayLvs Santa Fe0-1
24 MayWat Defensor Sporting2-0
22 MayDvs Corinthians1-1
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 11 |
| Average Goals | 3.45 |
| BTTS | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 100% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Montevideo | 15 | 1.36 per game |
| Penarol | 23 | 2.09 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Racing Montevideo | 1 (9%) |
| Penarol | 2 (18%) |
29 Mar 2026Primera DivisiónPenarol1-2Racing Montevideo
9 Mar 2025Primera DivisiónPenarol0-2Racing Montevideo
16 Jun 2024Primera DivisiónPenarol1-1Racing Montevideo
15 Mar 2024Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo1-2Penarol
8 May 2023Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo0-2Penarol
23 Mar 2019Primera DivisiónPenarol2-2Racing Montevideo
4 Feb 2018Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo0-2Penarol
14 May 2017Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo1-3Penarol
13 Nov 2016Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo2-5Penarol
19 Sept 2015Primera DivisiónPenarol3-1Racing Montevideo
7 Dec 2014Primera DivisiónPenarol2-3Racing Montevideo
Primera División — Predictions
DanubioVS
JuventudO/U
Under 2.5
58%
Deportivo MaldonadoVS
Albion FCDC
DC 1X
90%
JuventudVS
Atletico TorqueDC
DC X2
90%
DanubioVS
Club NacionalDC
DC X2
90%
WanderersVS
ProgresoDC
DC 1X
90%
Liverpool MontevideoVS
CerroDC
DC 1X
90%
Boston RiverVS
Central EspanolDC
DC 1X
70%
Cerro LargoVS
Defensor SportingDC
DC 1X
90%
Albion FCVS
JuventudDC
DC 1X
90%
Club NacionalVS
WanderersDC
DC 1X
90%