SpainSpain
La LigaLa Liga
Round 28

Rayo Vallecano vs Levante Prediction & Betting Tips

16 Mar 2026
1-1
Full Time
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

57%
23%
19%
Rayo VallecanoDrawLevante
Match Result
Rayo Vallecano
57%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
52%
Both Teams Score
No
51%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
40%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.75
@ 1.84
54%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Carlos Mendez
Carlos Mendez Spanish Football Expert
77.2% 18+ yrs
5 min read

The winds of change are blowing through La Liga as Rayo Vallecano and Levante prepare to clash in a crucial match at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. With both teams locked in a fierce battle for survival, this encounter promises to be filled with passion, intensity, and a touch of unpredictability.

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano have received 8 red cards in 32 matches this season
Rayo Vallecano have scored all 3 penalties this season
Rayo Vallecano failed to score in 12 of 32 matches (38%)
Rayo Vallecano have won just 3 of 16 away matches this season
Rayo Vallecano conceded in the first half in 10 of their last 15 matches (67%)
Rayo Vallecano average 2.7 yellow cards per game (86 in 32 matches)
Levante
Levante have received 4 red cards in 32 matches this season
Levante score 33% of their goals after the 75th minute (13 goals)
Levante have lost 7 of 17 home matches (41%)
Levante have won just 3 of 15 away matches this season
Levante failed to score in 11 of 32 matches (34%)

Key Statistics

Rayo Vallecano9
3Draws
6Levante
3.44Avg Goals
72%BTTS
72%Over 2.5
16 Mar 2026Rayo Vallecano1-1Levante
19 Oct 2025Levante0-3Rayo Vallecano
20 May 2022Rayo Vallecano2-4Levante
11 Sept 2021Levante1-1Rayo Vallecano
4 May 2019Levante4-1Rayo Vallecano
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Carlos Mendez
Carlos Mendez
Spanish Football Expert
77.2% Accuracy
18+ Years Experience
4.2k Predictions

Rayo Vallecano vs Levante: Battle for Survival in La Liga

The winds of change are blowing through La Liga as Rayo Vallecano and Levante prepare to clash in a crucial match at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. With both teams locked in a fierce battle for survival, this encounter promises to be filled with passion, intensity, and a touch of unpredictability.

Match Context and Significance

In the grand scheme of La Liga, every point matters, especially for teams battling at the lower end of the table. Rayo Vallecano currently occupies the 13th spot, while Levante finds themselves just one place above the relegation zone in 19th. This match is not just another game; it’s a chance for either side to make a statement and potentially secure their fate for the remainder of the season.

Recent Momentum

Let's dive into the recent performances of our two protagonists. Rayo Vallecano have shown flashes of brilliance in their last five matches, racking up a record of WDWDD. Although they haven't been able to string together consecutive wins, their consistency has kept them relatively safe in the standings. On the other hand, Levante’s form has been somewhat patchy, marked by DWLLL. Despite their struggles, they’ve managed to stay competitive and remain in contention for better positioning.

Current State of Play

A closer look at the statistics reveals that Rayo Vallecano have averaged 1.4 goals per game and conceded the same amount, indicating a well-rounded performance. They’ve managed to keep clean sheets in 20% of their matches and seen both teams score in 60% of their encounters. Levante, however, have found the back of the net less frequently, averaging only 0.9 goals per game, and their defense has struggled, conceding an average of 1.6 goals. The contrast in attacking prowess and defensive solidity is clear, setting the stage for an interesting tactical duel.

Tactical Preview

Both teams are expected to field familiar formations. Rayo Vallecano will likely deploy a 4-2-3-1 system, emphasizing their strengths in midfield and attacking width. Their formation allows for flexibility, with Jorge de Frutos leading the line and providing crucial support. Levante, on the other hand, will stick to their tried-and-true 4-4-2, aiming to balance their attack and defense. Expect Levante to press high and look to exploit any gaps left by Rayo's midfield.

Key Players

  • Jorge de Frutos (Rayo Vallecano): The top scorer with 7 goals, Jorge is the linchpin of Rayo’s offense. His ability to create chances and score crucial goals will be vital for his team's success.
  • Álvaro García (Rayo Vallecano): With 3 goals and 3 assists, Álvaro is a threat both in front of goal and in creating opportunities for his teammates. His versatility makes him a headache for opposing defenses.
  • Iván Romero (Levante): Scoring 4 goals in the league, Iván has been a consistent source of inspiration for Levante. His presence in the box can disrupt the best of defenses and provide much-needed boosts to morale.
  • Etta Eyong (Levante): Leading the scoring charts with 5 goals, Etta is a key figure in Levante’s push for more points. His ability to break down tight defenses will be crucial against a resilient Rayo side.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two sides is rich with close contests and dramatic moments. In their last five meetings, Rayo Vallecano have emerged victorious in nine out of seventeen matches, while Levante have won six times. The most recent encounter saw Rayo Vallecano triumph 3-0 at Levante’s home ground. This trend suggests that Rayo Vallecano hold a slight edge in head-to-head battles, though anything can happen on a given day in La Liga.

Betting Analysis

Let's delve into the betting options and see where the value lies. The bookmakers offer the following odds:

  • Match Winner (1X2): Home (Rayo Vallecano) 1.25, Draw 3.7, Away (Levante) 3.6
  • Implied Probabilities: Home 59.3%, Draw 20%, Away 20.6%
  • Double Chance: 1X 1.18, 12 1.25, X2 2.05
  • Asian Handicap: Home -1 2.25, Away -1 1.65, Home -0.5 1.7, Away -0.5 2.15
  • Top Correct Scores: 1:0 5.75, 1:0 6.08, 1:1 6.25, 1:0 6.3, 2:0 6.5

Given the form and recent history, backing Rayo Vallecano to win seems like a solid bet. Their higher probability of winning is reflected in the odds, but there's still enough value to consider. The double chance of 1X (Home or Draw) at 1.18 offers a safer option for those looking to hedge their bets. As for the Asian Handicap, Rayo Vallecano at -0.5 looks attractive due to their strong home form and Levante's inconsistency.

Predictions

Based on the analysis, we predict a narrow victory for Rayo Vallecano, with a total goal count exceeding 2.5. Both teams scoring remains a possibility, given their recent trends. We're confident in these predictions, but always ready for the unexpected twist in La Liga!

Best Bets Summary

  • Match Winner: Rayo Vallecano (1)
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes
  • Double Chance: 1X (Home or Draw)

In this captivating clash, expect Rayo Vallecano to capitalize on their home advantage and edge out a hard-fought victory. Don’t miss this opportunity to witness the drama unfold!

Additional Information

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

Top Scorers

Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de FrutosAttacker
7Goals
Álvaro García
Álvaro GarcíaMidfielder
3Goals
Isi Palazón
Isi PalazónMidfielder
2Goals
Pep Chavarría
Pep ChavarríaDefender
1Goals
Fran Pérez
Fran PérezMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

Álvaro García
Álvaro GarcíaMidfielder
3Assists
Isi Palazón
Isi PalazónMidfielder
3Assists
Unai López
Unai LópezMidfielder
3Assists
Pep Chavarría
Pep ChavarríaDefender
2Assists
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de FrutosAttacker
1Assists

Cards

Isi Palazón
Isi PalazónMidfielder
70
P. Ciss
P. CissMidfielder
42
Unai López
Unai LópezMidfielder
60
A. Rațiu
A. RațiuDefender
60
Pep Chavarría
Pep ChavarríaDefender
50
LevanteLevante

Top Scorers

Etta Eyong
Etta EyongAttacker
5Goals
Iván Romero
Iván RomeroAttacker
4Goals
Carlos Álvarez
Carlos ÁlvarezMidfielder
3Goals
Dela
DelaDefender
2Goals
Iker Losada
Iker LosadaAttacker
2Goals

Top Assists

J. Toljan
J. ToljanDefender
3Assists
Pablo Martínez
Pablo MartínezMidfielder
2Assists
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Jon Ander OlasagastiMidfielder
2Assists
Etta Eyong
Etta EyongAttacker
1Assists
Iván Romero
Iván RomeroAttacker
1Assists

Cards

Manu Sánchez
Manu SánchezDefender
50
Dela
DelaDefender
40
J. Toljan
J. ToljanDefender
40
K. Arriaga
K. ArriagaMidfielder
40
Unai Vencedor
Unai VencedorMidfielder
31

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Rayo Vallecano
DWLLW
10Played
4Wins
2Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.4
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.6
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

26 AprDvs Real Sociedad3-3
23 AprWvs Espanyol1-0
16 AprLat AEK Athens FC1-3
12 AprLat Mallorca0-3
9 AprWvs AEK Athens FC3-0
Levante
WWLWD
10Played
4Wins
2Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.4
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.3
Scored Avg1.1
Conceded Avg1.2
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

23 AprWvs Sevilla2-0
13 AprWvs Getafe1-0
4 AprLat Real Sociedad0-2
21 MarWvs Oviedo4-2
16 MarDat Rayo Vallecano1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches18
Average Goals3.44
BTTS72%
Over 2.5 Goals72%
Over 1.5 Goals89%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Rayo Vallecano351.94 per game
Levante271.5 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano4 (22%)
Levante2 (11%)
16 Mar 2026La LigaRayo Vallecano1-1Levante
19 Oct 2025La LigaLevante0-3Rayo Vallecano
20 May 2022La LigaRayo Vallecano2-4Levante
11 Sept 2021La LigaLevante1-1Rayo Vallecano
4 May 2019La LigaLevante4-1Rayo Vallecano
23 Dec 2018La LigaRayo Vallecano2-1Levante
6 May 2017Segunda DivisiónRayo Vallecano2-1Levante
14 Dec 2016Segunda DivisiónLevante1-0Rayo Vallecano
15 May 2016La LigaRayo Vallecano3-1Levante
9 Jan 2016La LigaLevante2-1Rayo Vallecano
28 Feb 2015La LigaRayo Vallecano4-2Levante
27 Sept 2014La LigaLevante0-2Rayo Vallecano
1 Feb 2014La LigaLevante0-0Rayo Vallecano
30 Aug 2013La LigaRayo Vallecano1-2Levante
19 May 2013La LigaLevante2-3Rayo Vallecano
20 Dec 2012La LigaRayo Vallecano3-0Levante
19 Feb 2012La LigaLevante3-5Rayo Vallecano
21 Sept 2011La LigaRayo Vallecano1-2Levante